Mumbai 4th April

Saturday, April 4, 2009

Hi all,

Lacklustre card.Caution will be key word.

Race1:American Idol(5)/Paper King(2)

American Idol:Working regular on tracks and in pools,last ran was prominent with front runners till bend in strong company consisting of weizhou,Firevault{winner in next race},Frenchkiss{already winner},cud not accelerate thereafter in mile race,now running in shorter distance without TS,winner has to beat him.
Paper King:Ran along good horses.Was fancied in higher category,Has good initial speed,was prominent till final furlong in its last two runs in higher category,Not seen in tracks after 11/02 but seen regular in pools,running with aid of Ts and blks this time has very good chance.
Zippitycity:Running in lower class,was seen finishing on well in its last outing to superior Centreofattraction who was running as hot market fancy at cramped odds,seen regular in trials in last week,can extend its best here in this set.
Aboveall:May lead initially but long straight of Mumbai will be disasdvantage.


Race2:Golden Grace(6)/Resilience(8)

Golden Grace:Ignore its last run over 1800mts,where it led all the way till final furlong before being beaten by stablemate Firevault,earlier in higher category was seen to be prominent till final furlong to superior clarioncall,eased thereafter as evident by warning issued to jockey for deliberately easing off thus loosing third position,ran good races in Pune,has nothing to beat in this set,should easily pull it off.
Resilience:Came up very well to finish very good second to belligerent finishing ahead of fav solar,will be involved in final finish,cannot be ignored.
Raftaar:Seen regular in pool after its last run,can place.
Anemos:Finished in rucks in both starts,done nothing to improve so much that it can win.
Siooux Chief:As a favourite, failed to not so impressive horses,neither seen in tracks or pool after last run,can be ignored.
Dangerous Belle:Poor form,sparingly seen in pools,no track for over month,can be ignored.


Race3:Sepia tone(6)/Hidden Dragon(1)

Sepiatone:Vanquisher of Hiddendragon giving 1kg,now giving 4kgs,it is better than hiddendragon,seen in pools,can pull it off.
Hidden Dragon:Winner of poor company in lower class,seen regular in pools thereafter,can force a win again.
The Brave Heart:Winner of same class in last mumbai season,subsequently ran in higher class in Pune and first two runs this season,its last run in same class was very very poor,not sighted in tracks after last run and not seen in pools for last one week,at best can place.
Heifitz:Won two races in row 2 years back in Pune,subsequently failed to show any form,may be heading towards class down,can be ignored.
Amberley,Yourethetouch:Running after long lay off,Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three outings,sparingly shown in track,can be ignored.
Arabian Pride:Neither in track nor pool after last run,except for first run of this season all its previous runs in Pune and last mumbai season were very poor,won two races in row in lower category some 2 1/2 years back,can be ignored.
Top Action:Won a race in lower class in Pune,it is obivous that it is aiming for class down,will raneasy.
Hitz:Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three outings,sparingly shown in pool,it is obivous that it is aiming for class down,will raneasy.


Race4:Pacemaker(7)/Master Craft(8)

Pacemaker:Set up a hot scorching pace over 1400mts in its last run,it should be fancied on that point in this shorter distance, ignore its run{Raceno 59} in same distance where it finished behind Elementoangel and ringbearer as it was drawn in outermost box,took flyjump and was trying to run out. Will run true to its form and can win if others wake up late.
Master Craft:Running after long lay off,prepared well,failed thrice in same age group in Pune,always ran in longer odds suggesting its worthiness,won a race 3 1/2 years back when it was in its peak running in classic races,can win if it has regained his past zest.
Encouragement:Winner over good horses,has good initial speed,will be live force over this shorter distance,can win again.
Three Of Arts:Started his career with bang,easily clearing maidens,and winning upto 60-90 class,disqualified in subsquent run,thereafter lost form,and for last 2 1/2 years unable to win a race,has developed tendency of slow start lately,sparingly seen in tracks but regular in pools,can be ignored.
Elementto Angel:Failed twice in same age group in this season,picks up a race every season,may wait for another race.
Blazing Speed:Endowed with good initial speed and drawn advantegously in innermost box,has services of top jockey,seen in pool regularly,won a race 2 years back in Pune,long straight of Mumbai may not be suitable.
Ring Bearer:Running in ideal distance,but after gap of almost 2 months with no track work,cannot be backed confidently.
War Of Attrition:Likes to come off the pace,this distance may be sharp for his comfort,except for a win in 20-46 class last mum season,has failed to impress in any of its runs.
Casual Look:Good runs this season along with good horses,now running in his own age group,but not sighted in tracks or pools after last run,twice winner of lower class,one gets the feeling it is heading for class down.

Race5;Urban Warrior(4)/Thanda(3)

Urban Warrior:Whipless jockey cud not extract best of it in its last 2 runs,distance is favourable,should be in thick of action.
Thanda:Inspite of whipless jockey astride,won well last time with aid of "blks" ,now at rating of 39,will definetely be in top 3 so as to increase rating atleast by 2 points to ensure a berth in higher class of 40-66.
Forever Amber:Failed to carry top weight in lower class,working well,will be in thick of action,earlier runs in Pune were good.
Telstar:Winner of not so impressive company,will not be able to carry this weight over this distance.
Arbudh:Winner of same age group,not sighted in tracks for long time,can be ignored.
Lightning Cavalry:Winner of same class in Pune but in very weak company,except for +ve switch of jockey nothing else merits attention.


Race6:Hereafter(8)/Peregrine Falcon(10)

Tricky race.

Hereafter:Failed as fav to much superior Amore mia,working very well,will not go down without a fight.
Peregrine Falcon:Ignore its last two runs in tough bunch,cannot be ignored as its final track was given by M Narredu.
Adriana:Working well,final two track works were given by Mcullagh himself,can win this race.
Divinegrace:Winner of mockrace,has very good chance to upset,can place at longer odds.
Semper Eadem:Gave 2 good gatepractise,working very well,regular in swimming,cannot be ignored,can place at longer odds.
Azul:Prepared very well,can upset.
Chanakya:Gave good forward race over 1400mts in its debut run,can do well in this shorter distance.
First Empire:Well bred,working very very well,if allowed to run can make a race out of it.


Race7:Khubsoorat(14)/Elementto Trance(8)

Khubsoorat:Running first time over this distance,is non winner even after 21 runs,last run was seen mving well thru out,regular in swimming and gave one good GP,can win over this extended trip.
Elementto Trance:Still a maiden even after 23 runs,regular in trials,is in forward condition this season,but still win is elusive,at best can place.
Can Can:Good runs in higher category,earlier in last mum season won a race over identical distance in same class,but not seen in tracks or pool for last one month,outermost box is added disadvantage,can only place.
Jolteon:May not be able to sustain itself over this distance,can only hope to place


Daysbest:Golden Grace(2-6)

Kainchi:
American Idol,Sepia tone,Pacemaker,Urban Warrior

Have a nice day.

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