Mumbai 29.04 Analysis and Choices

Sunday, April 29, 2018


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Race1: 4. Raise a Grand-Win
Raise a Grand drops to lowest class after finishing good suggestive second in higher class, should be the one to be beaten here
Lovely Fair who was interfered in last two runs over unfavorable trip returns to this trip where it finished second beyond Centaurus who won again; since its previous form is ordinary I am inclined to discard that run as flash in pan
Saffron Flower was hanging in last run, has history of slow starts, not a genuine performer
Angel Coin could not show spark in any run of this season
Shakin Stevens lost as fav in same class and distance in penultimate run, was once considered to be a good performer proved by the fact that it made handicap debut with a rating of 30, has lost way since then and cannot be trusted
Spirit of Oath drops to lowest class, has impressed in preparation, gets aid of Tongue strap but one really needs a big leap of faith to fancy him since his best performance till date is finishing 23lengths behind winner
Toretto made handicap debut with a rating of 30, gets better rider and positive switch in shoes, working very well but again same story, out of 4 runs 2 times trailed the field and finished 30+ lengths behind winner
*****************************************
Race2: 3. Domination-Win
Arc Shine won last time but at this juncture of season I am inclined to ignore repeat winners
Star of Thea is fair consistent performer, comes slightly better than Arc Shine if we compare 15th March runs, allowance claiming rider will further boost its chances
Celestial Light has been consistent, has impressed in preparation
Zanzibaar has disappointed this season, may run well in same age group
Domination has dropped closer to its winning mark, should be in serious contention
************************************
Race3: 2. Excellent-Win
Excellent drops in grade, finished good second in debut in a field consisting of winners, here in this set of maidens looks formidable, his DAM ran a good second in grade race, default contender
Grand Chieftain was heavily whipped in last run, bloodlines suggest it is will be suited for races over mile
Jetfire is from ordinary dam, last run was good forward one
Retained Asset gave a good forward run in last run which was first after gelding, looks ordinary on Dosage Profile
Natalma from red-hot stables is out successful sire, has put up lot of work in trials
************************
Race4: 3. Kimberella-Win
Sandalphon’s dam was Black type long distance filly, will improve after interfered good second in last run
Cupido was fancied in last run, could not carry weight, can upset
Arrecife failed with top jockey astride, gets rid of blks this time and can surprise
Kimberella over this trip in maidens has won a race formline of which has worked well since producing 3 winners and runner ups, last 3 runs can be ignored due to top weights, will be the one to beaten here
Momentum from champions stable made a disappointing debut over mile
We Break The Rules is suspect to carry this weight over mile
****************************************
Race5: 9. Lorraine-Win
Lorraine gets positive switch in shoes and saddle support, disgraced jockey will hope to end his final assignment on winning note
Rare Silver targeted lowest class where he could not do much
Yutaka has dropped rapidly, can be season end surprise
Sporto is bleeder, buckles out under pressure
**************************
Race6:3.Nembe Greek-Win
Nembe Greek drifted out in last run yet finished good second to better horse, not a regular morning worker
Hopeilicious is keeping fit by regular pool exercise,ran a good forward in last run and stands good chance in this shorter trip
Reds Revenge failed as fav in last run, distance will be sharp for its comfort
Speed of Sound was stumbled in last run, gets better saddle assistence and impressed in preparation
Fabio and Blitzkreig are bleeders
****************************
Race7: 1.Abraxas-Win
Abraxas makes quick appearance to cash on forward form
Royal Blood who won well has penalty to beat now
Arvan is speedy but drawn widest
Outstanding improved in last run, has dropped significantly in handicap
Golden Tower bundles out too quickly
Alsace drops to lowest class but negative shoes, wide drawand ordinary preparation are against it
Magical Blossom is speedy, positive switch in shoes,saddle support and suggestive work outs make her a worthy upset contender
**********************************
Days Best:Lorraine(5-9)
Double: Excellent(3-2)


Thanks for support,Have a safe and nice time

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Mum 29.04

Saturday, April 28, 2018

Worksheet for final day of Mumbai races is posted here, pls use the data and make your own selections, I will upload my analysis and choices by 3pm tomorrow


To View and download CLICK HERE

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Mum 28.04 Worksheet

Friday, April 27, 2018

Worksheet posted here, pls use the data provided to make your own selections.I will post my analysis and choices by 3pm tomorrow

To view and download CLICK HERE


Race1:6. Next Star-Win
Bidstone Hill finished 2nd in last two outings but in oldies group, will find tough here
Smart Choice ran close last time has good speed and can be season end surprise
Arabian Storm is speedy but packs off too quickly; may fancy its chances here in this set of non winners of this season
Next Star extended well with Blks last time over 1200mts, shorter trip, better rider, age and good preparation are positive pointers
Montana was interfered in last run where winner was too good, suggestive in recent trials
Cezanne drops in class and goes with Blks but one really needs a leap of faith to fancy a horse from stables of A M Jadhav and ridden by  D A Naik
Royal Ace stumbled in last run, earlier got mighty impressive TR but goes up in class
*********************************

Race2: 11. Dazzle N Daze-Win
Class 5 race
Star Ace won in oldies group, can be ignored at this juncture of season where held up horses are tried and repeat winners looks tough
Huzzah’s Phoenix who lost in a blanket finish can do well over this trip-WITHDRAWN
Dazzle n Daze runs well over this trip and can do well against younger horses

*************************************  
Race3: 4. Enchanted-Win

Enchanted ran a good second on debut earning an impressive TR, should be the one to be beaten here
Shivalik Queen improved last time in modest company, may place
Whitewalker who was interfered in last two runs looks to be an ordinary type and will target handicap races
Falconette is most experienced of lot, no two runs are same
Charles Bridge is showing out in trials
*******************************  
Race4: 1. Dean’s Gold-Win
Dean’s Gold drops in grade, has impressed in preparation since then
Eden Rock may find these 5 furlongs too short for its comfort as suggested by its Dosage Profile
Julio Cesaro has been running fair forward races; trainer is testing with change of equipments to extract best from it
Chezza is full brother to ELYSEE, is active in trackworks
******************************************* 
Race5:5. Princess P-Win
Southpaw was mighty impressive in last two runs but now goes up in class, can’t expect to continue its winning streak
Locarno won a targeted race, will run easy here
Princess P has speed, well rested and will improve
Miss Moneypenny who lost as fav by nose in last run has penalty to beat now
Beneficial runs easy with this rider
Undisputed ran in target class last time where it was badly interfered, gets allowance rider but drawn wide
Sereno was interfered in last run, has recent winning form and should be in strong contention
******************************** 
Race6:3. Relentless Pursuit-Win
Bakhtawar is from weak connections, has good speed and gets services of better rider
Relentless Pursuit has recent winning form, deserves attention for drop of 1 point in handicap, well rested since then and well prepared
Smart N Noble is lethargic horse who runs for first this season, tough task
Rapid Girl improved in last run, will try its best
************************** 

Race7:2. Rio De Janerio-Win
Adam’s Beginning has targeted this class, can upset if fit {no trackwork noted}
Rio De Janerio has best numbers for this class and distance, is default contender
************************
Days Best: Enchanted (3-4)
Double: Relentless Pursuit (6-3)

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Delhi 27.04

Race1
1100
SL
Name
DR
3
FIRE FLY
613
6
ROOPMANTRA
604
4
FLORI DI CAMA
601
9
NEVERLOOSETHEHOPE
593
5
DARJEELING
593
10
GLADNESS
592
1
DIM DIM
587
8
ASHWA TEJASVI
581
2
UDAAN
563
7
VEER
520


3. Fire Fly-Win
FireFly was repeat pattern winner in last run and can add one more to its kitty in current form
RoopMantra is default place contender
************************************
Race2
1100
Sl
Name
DR
2
TOP KING
662
4
MOUNTAIN GUNNER
656
8
ASHWA SAANGA
654
7
FLEMENCO
653
3
MR SINGH
648
9
BLACK SWAN
648
1
MISS CINDRELLA
645
5
HE IS SEXY
634
6
MASTER CRISTIANO
614

2. Top King-Win
Top King merits respect for defying class penalty, should be the one they all have to beat here
Mountain Gunner who gets services of its fav rider is default place contender
********************************
Race3
1100
Sl
Name
DR
2
ANGEL PRINCESS
659
1
NOBLE ONE
645
7
MASTER JEFFERSON
645
5
GOLDEN COAST
643
3
ARTAXIAS
638
6
ASHWA BAHULA
632
8
MASTER MADRID
610
4
ENCHANTING LADY
595

2. Angel Princess-Win
Angels Princess lost to better horse last time, can kick on gamely this time
Noble One drops in handicap and will be in strong contention, default place contender
***************************************
Race4
1200
Sl
Name
DR
1
NIOBRARA
638
2
AL AZEEM
631
11
GLORY AWAITS
626
6
SEA STORM
622
7
BEAUTIFUL EVENING
619
4
SHES STRIKING
615
5
MISS DUNCAN
613
8
LIKE MY CHILD
613
3
AZOTH
601
10
DESERT OF GOLD
590
9
WHIFF OF GOLD
555

1. Niobrara-Win
Niobrara failed as fav in 5 furlongs race last time as fast pace and top weight did not allow him to settle well, gets allowance claiming rider over 6 furlongs race which will suit its style of running
She’s Striking is default place contender
****************************************
Race5
1200
Sl
Name
DR
1
ORGANIC
630
2
SOLID WOOD
622
3
BEAUTIFUL SOUL
606
4
HEART OF OCEAN
606

1. Organic-Win
Organic has beaten her nearest rival Solid Wood comprehensively
********************************************
Race6
1000
Sl
Name
DR
1
SPECIAL FIGHTER
638
4
DARING
634
9
DOT ON TIME
631
7
LOVELY GIRL
619
2
AMAZING INFERNO
614
12
SHAUGHNESSY
614
8
JATS JET
603
3
ALL IS WELL
596
5
MISS FERRARI
594
10
ATTICUS
581
6
TARANTINO
572
11
BEE PRINCESS
569

1. Special Fighter-Win
Special Fighter’s last run in 2000Guineas was an easy one, earlier won very impressively, only thing which goes against it is that in this 5 furlongs race few horses may embark on suicidal start to finish mission which may unsettle this top weighted but then good horses are the ones who with their temperament overcome this type of challenges 
Daring is default contender for place
***********************
Days Best: Angels Princess (3-2)

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