Prelude of Winter Season

Monday, October 29, 2012

Some interesting facts:

1)No race can have less than eight horses and more than 14 horses except for Sweepstakes races.


2)Maximum number of races per day will be 9.


3)HRC is the only centre which gives stakes for 5th and 6th places also for Handicap races.


4)Top weight  of all handicap races should be 60kgs and in case if top rated horse weight is less than 60kgs it will be raised to 60kgs and weights of all other horses will be raised relatively

5)No apprentice is permitted to ride in any race for 3 year olds until he/she shall have ridden in atleast ten races. No Apprentice is  permitted to ride in any race for 2 year olds until he/she shall have ridden ten winners.

Professionals

Trainers

D Netto:Had just 3 winners  in Monsoon season.Stables have good fleet of  50 horses under his charge now.Winter Season is his forte and one can  safely assume that his stables will come out firing all guns in winter season.

Narayan Rao:Spent Monsoon in reducing handicap of his wards. Just 27 horses left under his charge,winner count of his stables is usually higher in Winter season,he will try to win races to win back the trust of owners.Should be carefully watched and followed.

Laxman Singh:His stables had very good Monsoon season thanks to some good youngsters and very talented P A Culhane whose guidance his helping them to improve horse performances.Usually his percentage of winning is higher in Monsoon,Winter runs are used to reduce handicaps,yet they manage to get nearly 15-20.

Prasad Raju:Baring winter season of 2010-2011 his stables have performed extremely well in Winters,last year had dream run,should be followed

Anant Vatsalya:Winter season is used to reduce handicap,his horses should not be backed,,,they may just win few races {below 7}.

Anupam Sharma:Lot of entries from this stables on all race days,usually strikes when odds are in favor {between 4-8}.


Jockeys:

All the jockeys which have been retained by stables will do well.

Christopher seems to have improved his wayward habits and sincerely trying to make a comeback.



Track

This is what a winter race track is all about according to official website of HRC.


The Winter Race Track is tan bark based and is used during the winter period between November and February is 70' or 21.4 meters wide while the track length is about 2150 meters.


What is a Tanbark?

Shredded bark from which the tannin has been extracted, used to cover circus arenas, racetracks, and other surfaces.In other words track is same like a pathway found in forests or other woody area

.Difference between Monsoon track and Winter Track

Monsoon track is sand based,penotrometer reading ranges from 3.5 to as high as 5.4.Timings are slower  when compared to Winter.Front runners have advantage on this track.Wear and tear to horse is minimal on this track and hence many classic and costly horses are run only on this track.Track is wider which allows multiple horses extending themselves in case of close finish.

Winter track is hard and as such penotrometer reading ranges from 2 to max 3.2.Timings are relatively faster.Wear and tear to horses is higher on this track.Track is relatively narrow when compared to Monsoon track.

Needless to say that transition from monsoon track to Winter track is not easy for most of the horses.In fact some horses perform well only on winter tracks.

It is indeed very difficult for speed rating analyst to assess the exact potential of horses based on their performances in Monsoon season and if they look for previous year winter runs they are bound to commit a mistake as no horse remains the same after one year.

It will be ideal if for first few meetings only the horses which have reduced handicap in Monsoon season are considered

Horses which are tracked on outergrass {OG} will be on job.

Following horses can do well in early part of the season.

Al Sarah:Impressive winner ,can repeat in distance of 1200-1400
El paso:Ready to strike in same age group in distance of 1400-1800.
Hidden Power:Something brewing in it,watch out when runs next time in distance of 1000-1200
Iapetus:Knocking door,can win in same age group race in distance upto 1600mts.
Perfect:Getting ready for big coup
Suchiman:In 5yrs up race with 57 kgs weight in distance of 1200-1400

Read more...

Pune 28th --->Ratings,Pointers

Saturday, October 27, 2012


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Both N Lagad and Dallas Todywalla scored double on Sat,so the status quo remains with Dallas just one win ahead.Common perception is that N Lagad's horses will be on job but for racing reasons none of his horses except for Monza come in contention.


Best bets of the day will be

Monza(3-2)
Kismat(5-10)
Wings Of Glory(8-6)


R1
Name
RT
Comments
3
JOSEPHINE
99
Not in tracks which is  the pattern of this horse,looks to be improving with every run,can raise winning gallop today
1
SERENA
95
Shies to take on front runners,has to hit front to win,outer box will hamper its chances
7
ZIDAAN
89
Now runs with TS,tracking well,can do well over this extended trip,place is certain
2
FOLLOW ME
85
Met interferences in last two starts and slowly off in first run,should be in 1-2 here
4
WIND OF THE NORTH
82
Reject from Vinayak Lagad,except for jky no other positive factors
Suggestion
Josephine(3)-Win,Follow Me(2)-Place
R2
Name
RT
Comments
4
YUVILLE
122
On roll can repeat even in this higher class
5
SEA TREASURE
121
Long in tooth,can be ignored
1
MOUNTAIN REGIMENT
108
Will fold up in final furlong
2
DOVERS HILL
104
Wrking well,will run close to winner
3
SAINTS N SINNERS
100
Long in tooth,can be ignored
Suggestion
Yuville(4)-Win
R3
Name

Comments
8
INTEQUAM
93
Imp winner of lower class,is facing tough set now
2
MONZA
88
Won well clocking impressive finishing time,can be considered as Days best betting proposition
5
CENTRESTAGE
88
Running after long lay off without adequate preparation,can be ignored
7
VICTORIOUS MARCH
87
failed fav in first run,last run was drawn disadvanteously in outer box,can finish seciond here
1
IRRESISTIBLE HUNK
87
Will not be able to sustain
Suggestion
Monza(2)-Win
R4
Name
RT
Comments
9
SONGLARK
78
Looks outstanding,should win
2
MOUNTAIN FORCE
59
Winner of lower class over identical distance,looks difficult now
1
PHOENIX FORCE
51
Ran along classic horses,distance is out of compass
4
JEN’S GLORY
41
Forward run over 2400mts,can end up in place money
7
PERFECT STRENGTH
34
Ideal for this distance,never won a race in this class
Suggestion
Songlark(9)-Win
R5
Name
RT
Comments
10
KISMAT
79
Winner of mockrace,final track very impressive,should be the one to be beaten by all
6
QUE SERA SERA
59
Now runs with TS,tracking well,earlier failed fav,place is certain
3
HOME ADVANTAGE
37
Runs without CNB,TS this time,can place
9
CERRO NEGRO
30
Working well,can place
4
ICE COOL
29
Finishing on over 6 furlongs in debut run,now runs over extended distance,nothing certain abt its chances
Suggestion
Kismat(10)-Win
R6
Name
RT
Comments
8
MARIINSKY
Full sister to Schimitar and Hatsuhana,impressed in mockrace,can win
2
DECATHLON
Working well,can place
7
INVINCIBLE

benefit of mockrace and Gate practises,will be fancied,can place
6
BRIGHT LADY
Has run benefit,working well thereafter,if not Marinsky then this will return as winner
Suggestion
Marinsky(8)-Win
R7
Name
RT
Comments
2
OCEAN AND BEYOND
93
Non winner for 2yrs,looks to have lost form
5
HILLS AND STARS
93
Just 13 days back won a 3200mts race at Hyd,then travelled to Pune,no horse can get race fit so soon
6
ONASSIS
92
Top rated,Ideally suited for this distance,well prepared as evident by pleasing mockrace and trackwork,will be on job
4
ALMA MATER
91
Best suited for 1400-1600
3
NATIVE KNIGHT
90
Last week won a race over 3200mts, will run easy here
11
BERLUSCONI
90
Best suited for 1600-1800,choice of jockey reveals non interest of connections
7
SPEARHEAD
89
Surprise wnner of Idar Gold Trophy beating most of the runners of this set,will be on job and should place
1
MACCHUPICCHU
88
Distance sharp
8
ASTAPI
87
Most ideally suited for this distance,lost to Superior In the Spot light and in first run of season beaten quality field,has good chance
9
STAR OF GIBRALTAR
83
Lacks Class to tackle this field as its sole win in terms race was over weak company
Suggestion
Onassis(6)-Win
R8
Name
RT
Comments
6
WINGS OF GLORY
90
Very very impressive winner clocking handsome finishing time,this is a classic gelding in making,can be considered as second Days Best of the day
8
MOUNTAIN SONG
83
Winner of lower class,can be ignored
5
AUTUMN RUSH
77
Looks like it is on handicap reduction
9
AFROJACK
80
best for 1000
1
FOREST LEGION
73
Can place
Suggestion
Wings Of Glory (6)-Win
R9
Name
RT
Comments
2
MZIMA
78
Working well,now runs with blks,can raise winning flag in this race which is restricted to non winners of this season
7
SNOW BALL
76
One gets the feeling it is best suited for 1000
8
TAG ALONG TOMMY
75
If takes level jump can place at longer odds
6
SAN RAFAEL
74
Entrusted to its fav rider after two seasons of listless runs with work jockey,will be on job
3
FLYING STAR
79
Distance sharp
Suggestion
MZIMA (2)-Win
R10
Name
RT
Comments
6
SENOR HILL
57
Ignore last two runs,will be  a different customer this time,can upset
3
MON AMI
56
Lost as fav to very poor set,cannot be trusted
10
ADVENTURER
49
Distance is sharp
5
FAIRY EMPRESS
49
Will be in odds if fancied,race time trends will be the best pointer
1
ATLANTIC STAR
47
needs hard riding
Suggestion
Senor Hill (6)-Win


Jackpot selections

Ist {Race nos 4,5,6,7,8}




6


4
6
7

9
10
8
8
6

2nd{6,7,8,9,10}


6



6
7

2
5
8
8
6
6
6

Read more...

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