Sunday, January 25, 2015

Hyderabad Derby 25th Jan

Hi

As a gesture of goodwill for benifit of visitors who still visit this blog iam posting here the analysis of Derby day races


Race1:
Golden Essence was badly interfered in its last run,giving very impressive tracks{Ld horses giving -2 for 800mts on outersand are strong signal},should be in thick of action
Vijay Vidhata broke its winning streak in its last run where it lost under mysterious conditions to interconnected horse,with positive switch of saddle will be in contention       
Rosemonde is speedy,trainer is known to saddle a winner on Derby day,has only two entries for the day,lost blood vessel in first run of the season,subsequent run after that was easy one,will try its level best to lead all the way on this No False rails day,may place     
Flower Roll Up  last run can be ignored due to whiploss and unfavorable distance,earlier impressed a lot by wonderful turn of foot in first run of season,tracking very impressively,should be in 1-2      
Khosgel last 2 runs were in wrong distance,fact that it lost to Dad’s Dollar which struggled to win in its next outing clearly underlines the point that it will not be able to tackle this class2
Sunday beauty is entrusted to its fav rider after two easy runs but it lacks the class to pose any challenge here
Red Express gets huge jockey switch after 4 easy runs this season,likes to run in front,disadvantgously drawn in outerbox which will not aid its front running
Rubyonrails never won in this distance ridden by winnerless rider
Valerian Steel won drawing away in its last run,colors of this stable sparkle on D days,will be tried but has to tackle a very very tough set,handicapper did not penalize me even a class penalty inspite of 7 lengths win showing that it does not have the class
Rani has failed too many times,did not clear class3


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Race2:
Odysseus won on debut clocking class 2 timings,working very impressively,bred well,should be the one they all have to beat
Time to Climb showed clean pair of heels to ordinay set of horses but its manner of victory was stunning,has better DR.Interesting thing to note here is interconnection of owners-Trainer.Vijaj Gupta horse is under Laxman Singh whereas LVR saddles other owners horse,there have been some questionable performances in last few weeks due to this factor,on Pedigree,trainer,Jockey factor I would opt for Odysseus inspite of second in DR
Green Striker not in this set,Love for the game will find distance sharp
Karromshade has been running forward runs in strong company,it was seen struggling in race no 110,gets better rider aftergood impressive preparation but still cannot beat fancied duo
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Race3:                
Kireeti has never over this distance,last win was over weak company
Aston Doulton has struck purple patch,will try for hattrick,weight will be an issue
Globetrotter has lost form,last run was slow in start,cannot be trusted
True Pearl is a maiden,warms up late when all is over,at best place
Dolce runs with positive switch of shoes,seen urged for response in tracks,best for 1000mts
Reflections has been getting preferential handicap reductions,all its run this season were in very strong company,latest spurts indicate its fitness,can upset


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Race4:

Racing Ikon will not sustain over this distance with this weight
Roma Rogue has poor saddle support and negative shoes
Romantic  Fire this season has always ran along very good races,this is relatively lot weaker set,has good chance to win
Parade Queen won by distance in last run,has been consistent,has highest DR due to that factor,will be surprised by Romantic Fire this time
 Vijaysakhi lacks class as it failed to clear maidens


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Race5:

Taviz likes to run In front and that will be the reason for its failure
Red Ramble merits attention due to its notable second to Right Dimension in first run of season,subsequent runs were in wrong distance,tested by Trainer himself ,will be in strong contention
Upon A Star lacks the winning punch,is a maiden,preparation suggests it will be an easy run here
Silver Passion is ridden by winnerless rider under Trainer who had just one win{that too Doosra} in 120 horses it saddled
Ondha Ondha Ondha will attract public fancy due to Jockey,its rider was reprimanded in last run due to inept handling,runs with Blks for first time in handicap race but one thing which puts a big question mark over its chances is the fact that it is continuously giving unimpressive Gate practices without any fast trackwork,falls back after 7 furlongs
Lightning Streak was seen improving well under disinterested rider in its last run over 1400mts,with strong saddle assistance and step up distance it may be fancied,cannot take any call due to unproven record over this distance


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Race6:
Fairy Emperor is not sighted in tracks after last run,stables will not be active on this D Day as it had very good season till now
Machine Gun lost to better horses in last two runs,has decent chance in this set
Gentle Chief won well last time but over weak company
Westminister is long due for a win,at tidy handicap,can upset
Vijays Victory will run easy in this higher class over out of bound distance
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Race7:
Mountak may try start to finish,one cannot ignore the fact that its final fast trackwork was indicative of stables intentions
Lips Locking is ignored due to negative shoes
Fair And Square has been giving very good DR,best for 1000mts,ignoring it due to lack of preparation
In Reality was interfered in its last run,shorter distance and relatively weaker rider forces us to ignore it
Musk Melon will find distance sharp
Proud Image which improved dramatically after addition of Blks is facing very tough set of class2,
Yski Yski yski will target lower class
Aware has been giving some good forward runs this season,in this set of very good sprinters looks
Ein Ein Ein is best suited for 1000-1100mts,will not be able to hit front from outer box,not seen in tracks
Rajkumar was beaten by very ordinay horses,no chance here


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Race8:THE DECCAN BOOKMAKERS GOLCONDA DERBY STAKES
There is only one horse which can pose some threat or challenge to Quasar and that is Right Dimension,rest looks way beyond in comparision


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Race 9

Galiat lost as fav in last run where it was badly interfered,returned lame,I always maintained that Jockey  Beuzelin  Louis knows only one type of riding and that is trying thru rails sides,has lost many races due to getting boxed up,top weight and outer box are added disadvantage
Palm Spring ran unextended along very superior horses this season,may try start to finish but tough job
Aventus surprised everyone by brilliant turn of foot in its last run where it could front due to weak set,here that luxury will not be able,difficult
Movie Mughal will stay close to pace this time due to favorable draw,has to save himself from Desire’s Onslaught
Power Planet is not sighted in tracks after last run,will not extend against this set
Desire has never lost in this distance,has beaten Movie Mughal and Carlton{Vanquisher of Galiat} in its last run,should win again
Super Falcon has very good speed,upset if any can come in this form,negatives are outerdraw
and relatively weaker rider,place looks good


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Race10:
Without going into much detail I would say that Silver Cruise is a good betting option


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