Hyd 25.10 -Juveniles Million

Wednesday, October 25, 2017


Pratap Chander Reddy Million attracts best of Juveniles at this center.Since all are running for first time we look for Dosage Profile of a horse to determine its class and suitable distance

Race2
1100
2Yrs
Maiden
Sl
Name
DP
DI
CD
1
HANDSOME DUO
4-1-18-9-0 (32)
0.78
0
2
KINGSWOOD
6-7-19-0-0 (32)
2.37
0.59
3
RISING ACE
2-6-6-0-0 (14)
3.67
0.71
4
SOUTHERN METEOR
7-8-15-0-0 (30)
3.00
0.73
5
AAROHI
5-1-12-4-0 (22)
1.20
0.32
6
CATALONIA
7-7-14-0-0 (28)
3.00
0.75
7
SINDHU
3-5-14-2-0 (24)
1.67
0.38
8
VALLEE ROMANCE
4-4-6-0-0 (14)
3.67
0.86

Read more...

Mysore Derby analysis

Sunday, October 22, 2017

Presented here is DR and analysis of Mysore derby race as good will gesture for regular visitors of this blog

Race7
2000
Sl
Name
DR
2
CASTLEBRIDGE 
653
6
ROMANTIC STAR 
651
3
KAMBAKU 
640
5
TURF STAR 
631

5. Turf Star-Upset

Lower the CD and DI higher the stamina of the horse

ApacheSunrise:  DP = 5-5-10-0-0 (20) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.75
Won in ordinary company in last run, has earlier beaten Romantic Star who incidentally lost blood vessel in that race and hence reversal is very much possible, Dosage Profile shows highest points in “Classic” division suggesting it has ideal combination of speed and stamina

Castlebridge: DP = 7-0-9-0-0 (16) DI = 2.56   CD = 0.88
Has been winning as he likes, lost to Manifold who could not do much thereafter.Dosage Profile shows highest points in “ Classic” Division which shows it has good speed and stamina but not better than Apache Sunrise,Ignore for win

Kambaku: DP = 6-0-8-0-0 (14) DI = 2.50   CD = 0.86
Kambaku ran behind Prevalent Force and Lady in Lace in Hyderabad Derby, Dosage Profile suggests it has speed and stamina to stay this trip,can upset

Spotlight:  DP = 2-2-6-0-0 (10) DI = 2.33   CD = 0.60
 Clearly out of class here .Dosage Profile suggests it will not stay this trip

Turf Star:  DP = 4-2-9-1-0 (16) DI = 1.91   CD = 0.56
Ran behind Castlebride in last run.Dosage Profile shows maximum points in classic division and also note that he is the only horse here to get a point in Solid division, futher it is free of inbreeding like other horses in fray here, fair chance

Romantic Star:  4-2-10-0-0 (16) DI = 2.20   CD = 0.63
Regained its form after losing blood vessel in last run of Bangalore, can be live threat to Castlebridge as its Dosage Profile suggests it’s a perfect mixture of speed and stamina but its not advisable to trust a bleeder in a hotly contested event


Conclusion: Castlebridge will be market fancy but is not a certainity and can get beaten by Turf star or Romantic Star {if does not bleed} or rank outsider Kambaku

Results: Castlebridge won very easily toying with the opposition in a record time.Turf Star finished last and was seen struggling in last furlong


Read more...

Deepavali Greetings

Thursday, October 19, 2017


Read more...

Pune Derby -One for the day

Sunday, October 15, 2017

Presented here is Analysis of Pune Derby race as a goodwill gesture for all

Race7
2000
Sl
Name
DR
12
LADY IN LACE
579
4
PERFECT STAR
578
13
THEMIS
576
14
ZANARA
575
Same Trainer: (6-8)

DI = Dosage Index    CD=Centre of Distribution
The fundamental principle of dosage theory is that the higher the DI and
CD, the lower the distance potential of the horse, and conversely, the lowerthe DI and
CD, the higher the distance potential of the horse

Big Sur: DI=2.50 CD=0.86
Last start winner of mile race, lost to Pure Zinc in Colts Championship stake in Mumbai.Dosage Profile suggests its stamina to stay decreases with distance, ignore
Caprisca:  DI = 3.44   CD = 1.00 
Yet to win a race over mile, was mercilessely punished in Colts championship stakes yet could not sustain.Dosage Profile suggests it loses speed rapidly after travelling 7 furlongs, ignore
Lord of The sea: DI = 1.57   CD = 0.50
Lord of The Sea cleared its maiden here in Pune and ran a game race over derby distance last time. Dosage Profile suggests it’s a perfect balance of speed and stamina, loses out on class factor
Perfect Star: DI = 1.67   CD = 0.36
Perfect Star’s last three runs have been in grade,has beaten Lord of the sea earlier.Its CD{Centre od Distribution} is mighty impressive and suggests this horse has stamina to stay this distance easily, should be in 1-2
Pure Zinc: DI = 2.60   CD = 0.67 
Winner of Colts Championship at Mumbai, last run was tad disappointing as it was seen hanging under pressure.Dosage Index and CD clearly suggests this horse lacks the stamina to stay, ignore
Rochester:  DI = 1.48   CD = 0.38
Rochester who was struggling to accelerate in Mumbai and first run here improved massively after removal of Blks. Dosage Profile suggests it is slow in speed but has stamina,loses out on relative handicapping, ignore
Sweet Music:  DI = 1.67   CD = 0.44 
Sweet Music has beaten Rochester, not in same league as that of others,preparation is ordinary.DI and CD suggests it has speed but loses out on stamina, ignore
Timeless: DI = 3.80   CD = 0.75
Has convincingly won a mile race here in Pune,before trying its luck in Hyderabad Colts stake,working very well.Dosage profile suggests it is bred for speed and lacks stamina to stay over mile, ignore
We Break The Rules:  DI = 2.00   CD = 0.56
Lacks class.Dosage profile suggests it’s a ideal combination of speed and distance ,ignore
Auburn DI = 2.27   CD = 0.44
Merits attention for winning a mile race in second run of its career, moving attractively in trials.Dosage Profile suggests it has stamina to stay over this 10 furlongs trip, upset if any
Kangra:  DI = 2.38   CD = 0.59
Winner of Mysore 1000Guinneas and close runs in Bangalore Derby clearly makes her one of the prime contender here.Dosage Profile suggests it has speed but stamina diminishes with increase in distance, may falter in final furlong, ignore
Lady In Lace: DI = 0.67   CD = -0.05
How beautifullyshe ran in Hyderabad derby!!.Dosage Profile suggests she has speed and very good stamina , Win contender
Themis: DI = 2.33   CD = 0.60
Winner of fillies stake in Mumbai and won a race over derby distance in Bangalore, showing out in trials.Dosage Profile suggests while it has good speed and stamina it may falter in final furlong against better stayers, can upset
Zanara: DI = 3.00   CD = 0.86

Winner of maiden’s race, takes on proven classic horses here.Dosage Profile suggests it has good speed but diminishing staying power, ignore


Read more...

Indian horse racing Future

Friday, October 13, 2017

Its over 100 days now since the implementation of 28% GST on Horse racing in India .Slowly but surely effects are starting to show . Totalizer pool is fast losing it's popularity  owing to poor dividends ,worst hit is place pool which hardly pays anything for investment on first 3 favs.Small punters who like to invest on totes are deserting OTCs and falling in traps of illegal bookies who have mushroomed in large numbers off lately . Bookies are not here for charity ,they want to make maximum profits , absence of competition from Tote has further aided their business ,punters have no other options but  to accept lesser than deserved odds .

Disturbances at BTC has set a gloom in punting community , with no signs of early solution to problems at BTC looks like we are heading for a dull Winter season

Will GST on Horse racing be reduced ? Answer probably is no simply because persons expected to do so have failed to put a strong case before *His Excellency* finance Minister of our Country .As much as we may dislike late MAM but things would have been totally different had he been alive

Future of Horse racing looks bleak, not that punters were making millions by punting but still there was this "hope" which kept them floating thru troubled times


Read more...

HRC - Race day report

Thursday, October 12, 2017

Just when you think you have seen or read all there comes gem like this :-)

Truth is indeed stranger than fiction


Read more...

Next posting

Monday, October 2, 2017

Subscription for Winter races will open on 27th October and end on 31st

Till then take care and Be safe

Regards 

Read more...

Hyd 02.10 One sample for the day

One race analysis of bloggers choice {not necessarily top selection} posted here 1 hour before 1 st race




Read more...

Kolkotta 01.10 --one sample for the day

Sunday, October 1, 2017

One race analysis of blogger's choice posted here 1 hour before first race

Results: Finished second


Full post

Race1
1200
Sl
Name
DR
2
SMITH AND WESSON 
567
3
TOMORROW FOREVER 
554
4
PORAS 
552
6
HAPPY RETURNS 
550

5. Nobu-Upset
·         Bit slow in start and brushed rails in debut run
·         Making handicap debut with allowance claiming rider
·         Impressed a lot in final fast work
·         Other 3 years old does not impress on number

**********************************************
Race2
1600
Sl
Name
DR
7
PANCHOVILLA 
558
6
PIERCE ARROW 
552
5
MARISKA 
546
2
DIXIE DIAMOND 
538
4. Mariska-Win
·         Impresive TR for last two runs
·         Keeping fit as evident by trials
·         Positive switch in saddle support
·         Last run was repeat pattern winner
**********************************************
Race3
1200
Sl
Name
DR
7
DEVOTION 
584
8
MALANA 
582
1
MY LADY LUCK 
580
3
MILLENIUM GLORY 
567

7. Devotion-Win
·         Top rated in DR and TR
·         Repeat pattern winner in last run
·         Posiitve shoe change
·         Regular trackwork
**********************************************
Race4
1200
Sl
Name
DR
1
JUMP AND RUN 
569
5
BOURNVILLE 
566
3
KAARTIKEN 
563
6
JABBLE 
559
1. Jump And Run-Win
·         Lone 3 years old in fray here
·         Notable winner in last run
·         Facing modest opposition
**********************************************
Race5
1200
Sl
Name
DR
11
THE TALISMAN 
612
10
KNIGHTHOOD 
607
4
MAKE WAY FOR ME 
603
7
BANG BANG 
600

11. The Talisman-Win
·         Top  rated in DR and TR
·         Excellent record for this distance
·         Impressed in final fast work
·         Attractive handicap
**********************************************
Race6
2000
Sl
Name
DR
6
SANA 
583
5
DAFFODIL 
570
2
HARTNELL 
567
3
RUFUS 
564

3. Rufus-Win
Sana may be second choice of stables behind RUFUS
Daffodil is a front runner which is negative factor on this tough track
Rufus is best as per class terms and should be fancied here
Hartnell is no mean contender and cannot be ignored
**********************************************
Race7
2000
Sl
Name
DR
6
WASHINGTON 
563
3
EVERYBREAKINGWAVE 
561
7
AMBRIES 
557
1
PALLAS 
548

6. Washington-Win
·         Top rated in DR and TR
·         Repeat pattern winner in last run
·         Keeping fit
·         Can traverse extra furlong
********************************************** 





Race8
1100
Sl
Name
DR
8
ROMANTIC LASS 
605
4
PRAISE HER GAZE 
595
3
BEACH GAME 
587
2
SPEAR OF TRIUM 
586

8.Romantic Lass-Win
·         From Mumbai,ran along better horses
·         Impressed in final fast work
·         Facing modest set
********************************************** 
3 Best for the day
(2-5)Mariska
(3-7)Devotion
(5-11)The Talisman



Read more...

About This Blog

All the postings and comments are my personal Views.Owner of the blog cannot be held responsible for any consequences arising due to use of data from this blog for any wagering etc . The blog is basically for information & guidance purposes and not for basis of any venture of any kind. I have created this site for airing my views on the subject and not for any personal benefits

Blog Archive

  © Blogger template On The Road by Ourblogtemplates.com 2009

Back to TOP