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Bangalore 30th November--Trials selections based on Dynamic Handicap Ratings

>> Saturday, November 30, 2013

Kolkotta was reasonably good..same is applied for Bangalore..Track Variants is the key here

No one can win in all races and no one can ever win by betting in all races
Moment you are in plus just say this to yourself-Get the hell out of here



Race1
Rating
3. VISTABELLA
638
4. ETHOPHIAN
625
6. KING OF HEROES
623
10. BLIZZARD OF OZ
620

Vistabella in this step up distance can do it.Ethopian is running after long layoff,working well,can place at good odds.
************************************************************
Race2
6. ATMOS
4. NESTO
8. SMART CONNECTIONS
2.MANDARIN
Maidens,may the best horse win
*********************************************************************
Race3
rating
4. RAKSHITHA
628
3. RECORDMAKER
611
12. EMPHATIC VICTORY
608
11. DOMINATOR
600

Rakshita has numbers but not in tracks..Recordmaker has better credentials.Emphatic Victory is moral for place
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Race4
rating
2. SILHOUETTE
647
6. ZIZZI
641
1. OCEANIC WIND
627
9. HILLTON
623
3. TRADITION
621
Race is restricted to top2...Race time trend will be pointer.There seems to be tough competition for third spot
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Race5
rating
10. SUNNY EXPRESS
667
7. ZERMATT
654
1. SEE BRIGHT
653
11. SEE YOU LATER
645
Sunny Express after clearing maidens ran good second in this class 3 which speaks volumes abt its class,is sparingly raced,after easy run last time has stripped fitter,can create flutter..See You later is very fit and should place
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Race6
rating
3. DIAMONITE4
671
1. INQUISITION
664
2. RICH CELEBRATION
661
5. SUPREME REGIME
652

Supreme Regime who won in class 4 after clearing maidens is installed as firm fav,finished 30lengths behind in 2000guineas at mysore..then y it is hot fav..reason is that in mockrace it finished second to Muroi which won last sunday..good luck to all who backs it..Diamonite can do this time
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Race7
rating
1. ALCAZABA
690
5. KETURAH
683
6. MARIINSKY
678

Alcabza improved a lot in its last run,can upset

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Race8
rating
9. SWEET ANGEL
643
2. GLYCYS BAY
639
8. OUR LOVE
631
5. SUPREME
630

May be upset race as fancied runners do not come in top 4
*********************************************************************

Race9
rating
1. THE GUARDIAN
624
10. DANCE WITH ME
623
4. STARSCREAM
616
2. THE SITUATION
612
The Guardian can win easily as next two rated are ridden by weaker riders 
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Kolkotta 29th November--Trial selections based on Dynamic Speed Ratings

>> Friday, November 29, 2013

I  attended Prakash Gosavi's handicapping class where i got introduced to this unique way of handicapping called Dynamic Handicapping Rating system.I have worked out selections based on what i learnt in that class,study material and infos on this from other sources..Please note that i have totally ignored my usual way of handicapping.Have listed  top 4 then tried to pick winner by finding  5 winning ATTRIBUTES which i learnt from recent handicapping class

No one can make millions from racing in one day.Money management is the key..Do not chase losses and dont throw surplus..Decide how much u want to earn,cultivate discipline and above all have PATIENCE

Race1:

2. HELL ON HEELS[590]
4. IRON LADY[577]
7. VAANI[573]
9. BALLET BELLE[562]

A 3yr old cannot give much weight to other 3 yrs old..Here both Hell On hell who finished good second in higher class and Iron Lady who ran good races in terms maidens race are giving atleast 5kg to another 3 yrs old Ballet Belle who gave good forward run in its last outing and has stripped fitter and under this forceful rider will go all out,good eachway bet or sure place
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Race2:

6. ANGELS QUEST[606]
4. ISLE OF CAPRI[594]
2. HAYNESTOWN[593]
11. FANKAAR[592]

Angels Quest though top rated looks best till 1000mts.Rest three are closely matched.Isle Of Capri won well last time,can repeat.Haynestown has been consistent,can stage pillar to post victory,safe place option.Fankaar this time can surprise,longshot prospect
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Race3:

1. IN THE TWILIGHT[613]
2. PETALOID[610]
8. TOUGH ONE35[604]
9. SONGSTRESS35[592]

They r expected to finish in that order.Flash will be market fancy but not finding its place in top 4
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Race4:

6. NOBLE AND NICE[672]
3. ALWAYS WELCOME[654]
4. ROYAL SCOTS[625]
5. DIVINE SYMPHONY[621]

Noble And Nice looks outstanding and should win.Always Welcome safe place.Divine Symphony in this extended distance can sneak in place at longer odds'
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Race5:

2. DOUBLE DO[655]
9. IMPRESSIVE MOVE[624]
4. ANASSA[602]
5. GOLIATH41[591]

Double Do has all attributes of a winner and looks home and dry .Impressive Move is a miler but in this set can place.Goliath who had good forward run last time is sure to place
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Race6:

6. VALEROSA[595]
3. COPERNICUS[590]
8. SMOKEY BABA[585]
4. SILKEN SENORITA[577]

Copernicus has failed in this class after coming from maidens.Valerosa was a fluent winner in Monsoon,working well and has good chance to win,Smokey Baba may need A shoes.Silken Senoritas rider lost whip in its last run,is pleasing in trials and can be considered as safe place bet
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Race7:

4. VIJAY MONARCH[581]
3. SNOWSCAPE[574]
2. BERLUSCONI[564]

Snowscape being the youngest one will be market fancy but this being class 1 race even older horses have fair chance.Vijay Monarch can beat Snowscape
*****************************************************************************
Race8:

No ratings here for obivous reason

Pretty Woman who won comprehensively should win again

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Race9:
7. SCUDERIA[614]
6. CHALA JA BACHHA[592]

Should be `1-2
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Hyderabad 25th November

>> Monday, November 25, 2013

Card looks fav

R1) Amazing Weapon(7)-Good

Impressive winner beating horses which won in  next run,should win

Staminoizd and Globetrotter for place

R2)Dear Friend(2)

Maidens.Dear Friend who warmed up late can win this time

R3)Light Blue Sky(3)

Light Blue Sky is best of younger lot if we consider weight and class

R4)Hometown Hero(4)

Lost  narrowly last time,should do well over extended trip

R5)Golden Rule(2)

Specialist  disappointed too many times, Golden rule who is ridden by jockey consideredbest for mile,can win

R6)Power Drive(3)-Days Best

Over this extended trip looks Cinch Emerald Reef can place at lucrative odds

R7)Hidden Destiny (4)
Cash for dash race,Ashwashakthi and Bloody Mary can be ignored in this distance.Hidden Destiny can stage pillar to post victory

R8) Lucy Diamond(3)-Upset

Merits attention on good third to Amelia, returned lame in Derby,all is well,can do well

R9)Fair and Square(4)

One last chance as in last run it was beaten by good horse

Read more...

>> Saturday, November 23, 2013

Due to continous rains for past 24hours and forecast of continuing the same for Next 24hours conditions would not be suitable for racing.Monsoon track will be used instead of Winter track.Totally unexpected results would be order of this two days

Better to wait for next week rather than loosing 

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Hyderabad 18th November--Comments and selections

>> Sunday, November 17, 2013

Long well filled Mixed card

Race1

4.FLAMES OF FOREST
Win
5.NANO DAME
SHP
2.HAVOK
Place
3.ANY GIVEN DAY
Upset

Comments
Flames Of Forest after winning impressively in last run is working very good along with class 2 animals,is classy as evident by its win in class 3 directly after coming from maidens
Nano Dame won in class 4 after coming from maidens,working very well but not better than FOF
Havoc won well on debut and finished good third in next run inspite of poor riding,but not sighted in tracks or pool after that,cannot take any call
Any Given Day who won under brilliant riding of PSC is very active in pool and track but for last run where it ran very poorly after change of equipments i can only give it upset chance

Lady Luck was tested by Suraj Narredu in tracks,lost blood vessel in last run,distance will be sharp,may be they are treating this run as fitness run for future races
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Race2
6.GREEK STAR
Win
2.AVENTUS
SHP
1.KALLU MAMA
Place
3.CORAL SPRINGS
Upset
Comments
Very confusing race.Kallu Mama may be hot fancy for obivous reasons but it has not beaten anything worthy till date.
Greek Star has been epitome of consistency,its good third in race no 173 where it finished good ahead of multiple winners and choice of rider boldens me to select it for win
Aventus in last run did not try as it just could not beat Galiat,will be different customer this time
Coral Springs is extended in tracks,has a chance to upset

Aware is running in -ve change of shoes
********************************************************************
Race3

1. BOUNCER
Win
2. GOLDEN STORM
SHP
4. KILDARE KING
Place
7. LOPAMUDRA
Upset

Comments
Needless to waste time on first timers
******************************************************************
Race4

8. CHAL BHAI CHAL
Win
1. VIJAYS PRIDE
SHP
7.NASHEETA
Place
3. GOLDEN QUEEN
Upset

Comments
Again a tough race
Vijays Pride will be hot market fancy as it has returned winner in 6 outings out of 7 times it ran but all its run were in 1600mts,here on No False Rails day it will not be able to settle well
Chal Bhai Chal has been consistent,is highest rated in this terms race,at this weight can just hold on
Nasheeta has impressed in mockrace,will make all the running till last 50mts before being overtaken either by CBC or Vijays Pride
Golden Queen is consistent,not sighted in tracks,hence giving it as upset chance
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Race5
2. COMMANCHE GOLD
Win
5. YOURS TRULY
SHP
1. INDIAN EPIC
Place
6. MUKHTAR
Upset
Comments

Commanche Gold won very nicely clocking handsome finishing time,has changed stables,never much active in tracks,is best suited for this distance as it finished in top 2 in 6 runs out of 7 it ran in 1000mts
has great chance to win
Yours Truly is active in tracks,will be in thick contention
Indian Epic who gave a forward run in last race will again be fancied as it is seen in tracks after that,never won a race over this scurry,looks difficult
Mukhtar has been consistent,but in this higher class can have only upset chance
Crown Castle lost out on well planned gamble in last race,will run easy here
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Race6

5. HOMETOWN HERO
Win
8. VIJAYS TRIUMPH
SHP
3 LAUREL CANYON
Place
7. ANCILLARY
Upset
Comments

Match race between Home Town Hero and Vijays Truimph,former is preferred due to its experience in this class
Laurel Canyon is fit,has good initial speed,can end up in place
Ancillary is tracking very well,distance suitability is issue,upset chance
*******************************************************************
Race7

2. KEY NOTE
Win
1. DUSTY LADY
SHP
5. DRUM BEAT
Place
3. KOHINOOR SUPREME
Upset
Comments

Dusty lady will be hot fav due to win in mockrace and jockey,will find distance sharp

Ignore Monsoon runs of Key note,has been quietly prepared,can upset
Drum Beat in this set has good chance to place
Kohinoor Supreme shoots like a rocket,on this NFR can upset
********************************************************
Race8

6. POLICY MAKER
Win
3. RIO ROJO
SHP
1. MONTAUK
Place
4. FIELD SMASHER
Upset
Comments
Policy Maker beat good set of runners,has good chance to win

Rio Rojo found Roses in Bloom too hot to handle,working well,can do well here

Field Smasher won a mockrace recently,can upset in this set
****************************************************************
Race9

1. ALL THE FUN
Win
8. MAX BABY
SHP
6. DEVIL’S ADVOCATE
Place
3. ASKIOZ
Upset
Comments
All the Fun may run away with this race,worth only if above 5/1
Max baby is consistent,can do well
Devils Advocate with this rookie can only hope to place
Askioz is prepared well,has feel of this distance,can upset
*****************************************************************************

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