Mumbai 5th April

Sunday, April 5, 2009

Hi all,
Following are my selections and workout.

Selections


Race1:Highlandvision(5) -Win Tattenhoe-Place Alohamora-Upset

Race2:Maseeha(2)-Win Desertdust(3)-Shp

Race3:Pretty Commission(4)-Win Chios-Place Recardo-Upset

Race4:Nonios(5) -Win Thefirstlady-Place Mrsjones-Upset

Race5: Clarion Call(1)-win Absolute (3)-Place Zen-Upset

Race6:River Chieftain(3) -Win Sea sparrow(4)-Place

Race7:Starimpact(7)-Win Spitz(3)-Place Beuamonde-Upset

Race8:Harmonica(4) -Win Riverblossom-Place Rockebyvenus-Upset

Race9:Portrush(7)-Win Spica(6) -Place Beyondbelief-Upset

Race10:Kapathos(15)-Win Fidel defensor(3) -Place Boldbabe:Upset

Daysbest:Harmonica(8-4)

Kainchi:Prettycommission,Nonios,Starimpact,Harmonica

Workout

Race1:

Highland Vision:Improved a lot as evident by impressive last run,working very well,can raise winning flag.
Alohamora:Well prepared,has good initial speed,can run away in this lower class.
Rule Of Law:Endowed with good intial speed,has tendency of jumping towards inside after start,impressive final preparatory gallop,long straight of mumbai track is disadvantegous. Tattenhoe:Ran good races in Pune as maiden,all its run in this season were in higher category,now in this lower class had good chance with "Blks",but beaten by same class horse in final track,hence ignored.
Fiamma:First run after lameness,will run easy,can be ignored.
Salawati:Underprepared,first run of season,will run easy.
Sunburst:First run,suffered from colic last month,not fully prepared,may run easy.
Last Nights Sonnet:May not be able to sustain itself till end.
Sarjerao:Suffered from joint stiffness,prepared well,may not be able to sustain itself.
Bold Act:Nothing impressive so far,looks to be underprepared.


Race2:

Maseeha is clearly better then rest of three but ran a race of 2800mts last sunday,will it be fit enough to run again?,only solace is, that race was literally walkover for it and didnot have to stretch itself completely as it had only to over take tiring nitrous and win.Desertdust and Skywards are short in class when compared to Maseeha, but if it fails to deliver than Desertdust who was fluent winner last time can make an impact and return as winner.Agha is underprepared and not suited to carry this weight over this distance.


Race3:
Pretty Commission:Better than Dancingglory when compared to timings,tracking well with blks and sporting the same for race,has good chance.
Dancing Glory:Ignore its run in 2000guineas,after clearling maidens last season ran along very good horses in Pune,working very well,should easily win this race.
Rose Bowl:As a maiden won impressively cutting smart timings,last run was fancied strongly but was struggling thru out,now running with "ts" and "blks",working very well,has to beat Dancingglory.
Recardo:Last run improved very well from last position to finish close in the end,seen regularly on threadmill,can do well.
Classic Star:Suffered from Respiratory infection after its last run,tracking well,winner of same age group consisting of poor performer.
chios:Good run last sunday but running too early for its comfort.
Sierravista,Adalia:Short of class when compared to other runners.


Race4:

Nonios:Final track was very impressive and cannot be ignored
Phosphor:endowed with good initial speed,can run away in this shorter distance.
Step By Step:Broke blood vessel in last race,only one GP after ,can be ignored.
The First Lady:Running in lower class,regular in pool and tracks.
Bay Destiny:ran easy in its debut,tracking regular.
Mrs Jones:Gave good forward over 1200mts in last race,regular in pools,can upset.
Rubaiyat:Blood vessel case,cannot be backed confidently.
Secret Affair,Glory Of Love:Looks difficult,nothing much done so far.


Race5:Clarion Call:Runaway winner of lower class,ran easy in higher class last run,working very well,should easily win.
Absolute Reality:Gave very good forward run over 1400mts in last run,always ran along good horses,can upset.
Zen:Winner of lower class,working well with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,can win again
Exotic Star:Failed as fav this season,last two runs were not impressive either,choice of jockey is -ve indication
Rising Princess:Runnig in lower class,seen only in pool,won two races in pune
Bonny Light:Failed in his own age group,not prepared,ignore.
Stud Of Gold,Honeyday,Expensive Affair,Born Destiny,Lucky Honey,Red Cloud:Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.
Game Of Power,The Right Man:Failed in his own age group,ignore,not prepared,ignore.
Wells Fargo:Won a race in same age group in lower class,not race fit as evident by lack oftrack work,can be ignored.

Race6:
Sea sparrow:Vanquisher of Astral,Natuacha,blue danube,wrking well,has bloodlines to sustain this distance,should be strong contender for this race
Classerville:Was prominent in millions race,cud not accelerate,distance may be beyond its compass,working very well,final track is very impressive.
River Chieftain:Won well but in not so impressive timings,working well with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,has good chance to win
Cambiasso:Prepared very well,but cud not beat River Chieftain last time,reversal of that trend looks difficult

Race7:

Star impact:Won impressively beating strong company consisting of Prettycommission{fancied to win},catalyst{winner},Heifitz{Winner},well rested,well prepared,will be right there at busy end.
Spitz:Ignore its last failure where it was not happy with prevailing conditions,is well prepared,can hoist winning flag.
Beau Monde:Looks have improved lot as evident by good forward run in last race in strong company,its earlier runs in higher category can be ignored,has very good chance to place.
Feet Of Flames:Running after 2 months,not seen in tracks or pool after 17th march,but seen regularly on threadmill,still has tough task on hand in this tough set.
Amberogio:Never won a race in Mumbai clearly establishing the fact that it does not love long straight.Neither in track nor pool after last run,can be ignored.
Appreciate:Coming down in scales rapidly,may be looking for class down,cannot sustain this distance,not fully fit.
Generalissimo:Not race fit as evident by lack of proper work outs,won a race long back in 2006.
Romantic Impact:Was shaping like a winner before being beaten to superior flamingace,has jsut won a maidens race in its entire career,can be ignored for win.
Flames Of Fire:Out of form and not prepared well,not suited for this distance as it may beyond its compass to sustain itself,won a race long back in Feb 2007.
Cyclades:Cannot sustain itself over this distance.

Race8:

Harmonica:Should have win more easily than it appeared,to me it was half hearted unextended win,tracking very well,should win with measure of comfort.
Astral Flash:Improving with every run,working very impressively beating class 1 horse by distance,but can neeraj rawal can perform like M cullagh.
The Pearl:Lot of hype in its first run with Jockey Oza astride,went wide and lost all chances,winner of mockrace after that run,will take lot of effort to make an impression. Captivating:From bangalore circuit,Winner over weak opposition majority of whom have not been able to pick up a race later on,has tough job on hand in this set.
River Blossom:Ran good race in Million,looks to be underprepared,can be ignored.
Rokeby Venus:Its final track is too good to be ignored,but may not be able to sustain this distance,beaten by River blossom.
Sea Queen:Not better than Harmonica,its ability to sustain over this distance is doubtful,not well prepared.

Race9:

Portrush:Toprated in this terms race,Blood vessel case,vanquisher of Diegoriver in Pune,subsequent run was ridden by whipless jockey,hence unplaced,ran unextended in sole run of Pune,and this season ran easy to Superior Oasisstar,has very good chance to register a win here.
Spica:Vanquisher of Avecplaisir,has benifit of 1.5 kgs when compared to that run,can again win
Beyond Belief:Has good initial speed,appeared in mockrace thereafter seen only in pools,can surprise.
Avec Plaisir:Working well,but not better than Pepejunior
Lago Medio:Not better than Pepe Junior
Elmwood:Lagomedio has beaten it at same handicap difference,can be ignored.
Pepe Junior:Vanquished of Lago medio at identical handicap difference,beaten twice by Avecplaisir but this time has scales in its favour,not prepared well,can be ignored.
Shyboy:Long in tooth,not well prepared.

Race10:
Kapathos:Has some credibility in this very poor set,should pull it off.
Fidel Defensor:Not fully prepared,earlier won a race beating good horses.
Fascination:Won very impressively covering lot of ground in final furlong beating Mysterio and Siouxchief{winner in next outing},but not race fit as evident by no track work or swimming
Bold Babe:Finishing on board regularly,but not race fit.

Pomme De Terre:Forward runner,may not be able to last this distance
Adams Law:Winner of lower category in poor bunch none of which have done anything worthy thereafter,looks difficult here.
Uproar:Outermost box is huge disadvantage,not race fit.
record after last run.
Pacific Zone:May not be able to sustain itself till the end.
Rave On,Morpheus,King's Troop,Solskjaer,Gold Biscuit,Clas:Failed to beat of the half of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.

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