Mumbai 18th April

Saturday, April 18, 2009

Hi all,

Lacklustre card.Post derby the scenario changes dramatically as season is nearing its end.Small time owners and trainers will try to get their share of pie.

Race1:Desdemona(4)-Win

Desdemona:Last two runs were in superior company,was fancied in Shiekha's race,working well with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,should run a good race.
Paninaro:First run,regular in trials with 2 GP,can place at good odds.
Lusty:Has run benifit,tracked regularly for last week,will place.
Lothario:Has run benifit,averagely bred,final track was good,but only one track does not inspire confidence.
Sunny Island:First run,regular in trials but no gatepractises.
Ibis:First run,regular in trials,non impressive in gate practise.
Poundfoolish:Not prepared well,will need this run.Sire ,kainisi ,a property of Aghakhan had great career and was best suited for 1400-1600.

Race2:Balance De Power(2)-Win

Balance De Power:Working impressively with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,failed as fav in same age group to Raquel which won again,was unlucky twice in last mumbai season,is all set to register its first win in Mumbai.
Fiery Fortune:Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three outings,can surprise as we cannot take lack of adequate track work in consideration because earlier it won with out showing out in tracks,has won three races in this distance.
Desert Dust
:Failed to impress in higher class,winner of non intersted company in lower class,will find this weight hard to carry.
Rococo: Hopelessly out of form,last won a race 2 1/2 years back,ignore.
Arkhos:Not seen in track nor pool after feb 12,languishing in this class for last thirteen runs after a win in lower class,may be looking for class down and Pune,never won a race without 2 track works within a week bfr race.

Race3:Seatreasure(2)-Win

Seatreasure:Endowed with good initial speed,Ignore its failure to superior Forestflair,working well thereafter,will lead all the way till being caught.
Blue Danube:Won easily with plenty in hand,only one track after last run in entire month with 3 days of exercise on threadmill,previosuly it was shown atleast twice in week before race,looks to be unprepared for this event.
Irishqueen:Abroad filly,has been prepared systematically,can run a good race.
Checkherout:Won on debut in race where majority of runners were withdrawn due to fever,last run was easy due to long lay off,working well with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,will run a good race.

Race4:Tora Bora(4)-Win

Tora Bora:Has run benifit,working impressively beating two time winner Raquel{r 85} by distance,will return as winner.
Moonstorm:In its last run was shaping like a winner before being beaten by superior Riding fantasy and Anastasia,worked well thereafter,winner has to beat her.
Riding Fantasy:Beaten on post by superbly ridden Anastasia,not seen in track after that run,but regular in pools for last week,will be in contention.
Claim To Fame:Ignore last run as it was slow in start and badly held up in last 100mts,working regularly for last week,should do well over this extended trip.
Guns n roses:In its last run was moving best of lot,if it can reproduce that form then it has good chance to place in this extended distance.
Oriental Magic:Half brother to ordinary Hyderabad horse, Ivory snow,will need lot of polishing before making an impression.
Vincero:First run,prepared well but not better than Stable mate Torabora in track as latter is easily beating it by distance.
Critical Acclaim:First run regular in tracks but without any Gatepractise,will need this run.
La Calisto:First run,half sister to Noble eagle,will need this run.

Race5;Theodoros(5)-Win

Theodoros:Non winner,is in forward condition,impressed in final preparatory gallop where it has beaten Yana{r 110} should return as winner in this poor set.
Bold Act:Can place in this set and in this extended distance.
Statjford:Was favourite last week on derby day,odds moved up North very fast,can be ignored as we cannot expect it to improve within a week .
Black Partridge:Non winner,not in track for last 45 days,will not be able to sustain itself till end.
Marine Zone:Running after gap of 2 months,nothing much to fancy its chances.
Salawati:Not in track for last 45 days,ignore.
The First Lady:Both runs were very very poor,only seen sparingly in pools.
Solid Rock:Poor runs so far,running after 45 days without adequate preparation,can be ignored.

Race6:Highland Bounty(2)-Eachway

Highland Bounty:Won impressively showing clean pair of heels in lower class,not seen in tracks after last run but regular in pools,can upset in this higher set.
Ekhabinskya:Ignore its last run,can be different customer in this set,genuine upset horse.
Incredible Beauty:Always runs without showing in tracks,running in shorter distance,but still can make an impact,good long shot place bet.
Red Chili:Burst its blood vessel in last race,looks to be fit as evident by impressive track work,will be in thick of action,can place.
Hefitiz:Winner of same age group in very poor set,can be ignored due to top weight and jockey.
Here Comes The Don,Tearaway:Failed in his own age thrice,failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three outings,running in shorter distance without adequate preparation,can be ignored.
Moonstorm:Winner of 2 races in row,is in great form,initial fast pace of the race and outermost box will not help it.
Pacemaker:Does all the run before fizzling out,can be ignored.
Master Craft:Running after long lay,needs longer distance,can be ignored.
Solid Black:Not the winning pattern of track work,earlier whenever it won races it was shown in track for atleast 3 times within fortnght before race,can be ignored here.
Casual Look:Running in shorter distance,probably going for class down.
Clarion Call:Found weight as stopper in lower class,may not be able to make any impression in this shorter distance due to initial fast pace.

Race7:Daffodils(1)-Win

Race for horses which have run this season but not won.

Daffodils:Slowly off in its last run,very sparingly seen in tracks,can upset.
Onus Probandi:Ignore its last run where whipless rider could not ride properly,will place at longer odds.
Pomme De Terre:Can place in this favourable distance.
Hidden Danger:M Narredu has lot to prove to his detractors,will fully extend this horse.
Paris Hilton:Cannot discount its chances on lack of track work as it has always ran without being shown in track much,failed in its own age group,can be ignored.
Polariser:Non winner,will find this distance sharp for his comfort.
Global Spirit:Will find this distance wee bit sharp for its comfort.
Honeyday,Anamika:failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three outings
Naseebdar:Failing in his own age group,can be ignored.
The Right Man:Out of form,can be ignored.

Valuebet:Highlandbounty(6-2)

Place:
(1-2)Paninaro
(4-2) Guns n roses
(5-7)Bold Act
(6-12)Incredible Beauty
(7-5)Onus Probandi

Have a nice day

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