Autonomy or Riyasat:Who will prove to Nemesis of Riyasat?

Hi all,

Premier event of Indian racing calender Indian derby has generated lot of curiosity and will be keenly watched by entire racing fraternity.Setalight will leave no stone unturned to make a history of remaining unbeaten till all prestigous Indianderby.Nearest rival is Autonomy who won 2000 guineas and usually winners of that race win Indian derby.Next comes Riyasat who clocked better timings than Indianderby record holder Velvetrope's timings.Having said that in the end they all have to beat Setalight.


Race1:Brezhnev(5)/LoneTrojan(6)

Totally avoidable race.

Brezhnev:Long in tooth,Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in last 3 outings,best suited for 2000mts as it has won three races in that distance.
Lone Trojan:Can upset,do not ignore.
Aristocratical: Only notable thing of his career is finishing second in its last run,at best can again place.
Elementto Code:Bit slow in both starts,whipless jockey could not mount to full extent,now entrusted to same jockey,has best chance in this very very poor set.
Eternal Flight: Neither in track nor pool after last run,cannot sustain this distance,ignore.
Quand Meme: Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in last 3 outings,ignore.
Statjford:Reading of its previous running suggest it is best suited for 1400mts.
Musical Rhythm:Non winner till to date,will not be able to last this distance.
Forest Native: No two runs are same,cannot be trusted.
Yowza:Very poor performance all thru.

Race2:Cotswold Arms(1)

Cotswold Arms: Ran with better horses,well rested and prepared,should easily win.
Secret Pilgrim:Not fully prepared,only one track after last run,not better than cotsworldarms.

Race3:Flaming Ace(1)

One horse race

Flaming Ace:Won impressively inspite of rough passage thru out,is heads and shoulders above the rest should win as it like.
Carlos: Has good initial speed and will lead all the way till being caught.
Rococo: Hopelessly out of for,last won a race 2 1/2 years back,ignore.
Cosmopolitan: Working very well,but it is problematic horse,does not like to get crowded,has short dash,short of class when compared to flamingace.
Prince Lochinva:Failed twice in his own age group,no chance here.
Corfu:Can do well only in its parent centre,ignore.

Race4:Cabriolet(2)/Salute The Star(6)

Uncertain race

Cabriolet: Must have benifitted by its last run,regular in trials,can make an impact.
Salute The Star: Improving with every run,can trouble the eventual winner.
Desert Queen:Regularly tracked by Rajender himself,nothing much to write against or in favour as it ran only once unextended.
Snow Queen:Improving with every run,can win here over this longer distance.
Bemisaal: Averagely bred,not so impressive track works.
Itsallaboutracing: Not prepared for this run,ignore.
Prince Of Troy:Neither in track nor pool for last one month,but based on its previous runs has an outside chance to place in this distance
Red Dragon: Suffered from respiratory infection after last run,tested with "Blks" in final gallop but not sporting the same for race,will run easy.
Caustic Finale: Regular in trials,with same jockey astride gave one good forward run,not impressive bloodlines,may place only.
Divine Majesty:Need lot of polishing before entering winners cirle.


Race5:Rage Of Angels(2)/Matata Pride(1)

Rage Of Angels: Finished impressive second to Matatapride in a race where none of the runners won a race over 2400mts,can win here as it has handicap advantage over Matatapride.
Matata Pride:Won under heavy whipping last time,now carrying top weight would be difficult.
Western Challenge:Failed twice as favourite,connections running in different distances but still unable to get desired result,has handicap in favour,tracked with "Blks" but not sporting for race,very difficult to back for win.
Rising Hero: Struggled to accelerate in its last run over mile,won a race in poor timings in Pune,looks difficult.
Indian Summer: Poor blood lines,Entrusted to better rider,impressive final preparatory gallop,ran for first time over this distance in last run,looks difficult to me.
Cavaradosi: Needs hard riding,ignore.

Race6:Recardo(17)/Cameo(9)

Recardo:Improving with every run,final track given by Mcullagh himself,can win.
Cameo: Ignore its last run,can make an impact here.
Insite Soul: Fifth entry from Harish Mehta,over worked,used as peddler for other classic hopefuls in track,won two races in row over 1000mts,jockey is strong +ve point,cannot be ignored.
Yankee Lane:First entry from Mansoor shah and Harishmehta camp last run ran easy due to strong company and long lay off,always shows very little work in track before race,jockey baria is -ve still can upset.
Exuberance: Third entry from Mansoor shah and Harishmehta camp,Running after long lay off,will need this run.
Forbes List: Won in same distance clocking gppd timing,outermost box is huge -ve,can be ignored for win.
Star Attraction: Fourth entry from Mansoor shah and Harishmehta camp,failed as fav in last run,well rested,but not seen in track for last 15 days which is not the pattern of preparation of this horse.
Bella: Impressive second behind Divine,now running in most ideal distance,not ideally prepared for this race as we see only one track wrk when compared to regular 3 tracks wrks before its last run,weight will be stopper.
Wahy,Wild Vegas: Long lay off,will need this run,ideally suited for 1400mts,may find this distance sharp.
Here Comes The Don: Failed thrice in same age group and even Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in last 3 outings,ignore.
Snow Blind: Second entry from Mansoor shah and Harishmehta campJockey is clear -ve indication,best for 1000mts,ignore.
Absolute Reality: Won a race in lower class by inform jockey Parmar,now entrusted to jockey who is yet to register a win for this trainer,looks difficult.
Ponyta,Tearaway: Failed in same age group,not in tracks for last one month,non winner for last 2 years.
Kiss Away: Failed to deliver even its own age group,looks to have lost the zest for racing.
Major Wager:Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in last 3 outings,ignore.

Race7:Star Crowned(9)/San Rafael(3)

Star Crowned: Full sister to classy Sixspeeed,Failed as fav to very good horse,has improved a lot,will not go down without fight.
San Rafael: Full brother to Arkhos ,impressive Gate practises and final gallop where it is beating Escavaros{R 102} makes him as one of the contender.
River Route: Improved a lot after good third in debut,will be in thick of action.
Blumarine:Finished good third inspite of lethargic start and interference in straight,must have beniffited by that run,should run a bold race here.
Blumarine:Finished good third inspite of lethargic start and interference in straight,must have beniffited by that run,should run a bold race here.
Triunfo:Failed in last run in weak company majority of which have not been able to make any impression thereafter,was urged in its lone track,may only hope to place.
Baskervile: First run,ridden by Delhi jockey,working well and if not rusty can make an impact.
River Pride: Has run benifit,entrusted to better rider this time,regular in trials.
Super King: Will need this run,tracking regular but not given any gate practise.
Estevez:Ignored as it is not race fit as evident by lack of track work and swimming exercise.



Race8:THE MCDOWELL SIGNATURE INDIAN DERBY (GRADE 1)
Set Alight:Must have preserved best for this race,only -ve point one can see is that may be it is over worked,has to be careful with Autonomy and Riyasat.
Autonomy: Usually winner of 2000 guineas wins Derby,he is the only horse to have beaten Set alight,never travelled over mile which does not mean it cannot travel this distance,a big coup is possible.
Riyasat:Won impressively clocking better timing than record holder of Indian derby Velvet hope,her last win was part of grand plan,do not ignore,she can beat Riyasat.
Juventus: Has impressive blood lines,can sustain this distance,will be in top3.
Icebreaker: Do not get carried by its last defeat,it learnt hard lesson abt the long straight of mumbai,will make amends and should place.
Antonios:Failed to beat even Phenomenale who has failed miserably this season,can be ignored even for place.
Dancing Dynamite: Beaten by Poor Phenomenale ,i do not fancy it even for place.
Falcon Crest: Will play the role of pace maker,hope it does not turn out to be another "Noble guest",can be ignored even for place.
Fantastic Quest: Will not even place,ignore.
Go Guzzi Go:shud be feeling honoured to share paddock with great horses,just a cosmopolitian put up,nothing else,will not even place.
Star Presentation: Can win only in centres like Hyderabad,ignore even for place.
Telstar: Will play the role of CATALYST to set alight,ignore even for place.
Abs Fabs: Won kol derby beating Raghuvansh who could not even beat Aquillo,only brave hearts can fancy its chances,to me it does not even qualify for place berth.
Nora: Running within 15 days, i do not fancy its chances even for place.
Veera Wang:.I do not prefer fillies who ran race of 2400mts just 13 days back.

Race9:Onus Probandi(4)/Highland Flame(15)

Onus Probandi: A Forward runner,advantegously placed in innermost box,should be in 1-2.
Highland Flame: Winner of lower class with relatively better timings,well rested,is race fit,will be right there.
Flaming Arrow: Not seen in track for last one month,but regular in swimming,running after long lay off,can run away with this race.
Fidel Defensor: Genuine upset horse,cannot be ignored and for lack of track work it has not given any track work this season,last was seen in oct in pune.
Hymns To Freedom: Not race fit,cannot carry this weight,ignore.
Stefano: Winner of poor company,not in track or pool for last one month,ignore.
The Tempest:Winner of lower class in poor timings,can be ignored.
Tattenhoe: Last time won in lower classdue to advantage of innermost box,now in outer box may find difficult to make any impact in higher class,ignore even for place.
Katania:Underprepared,looks very difficult even for place.
Warcraft: running after 50 days and without any preparation,ignore.
Alaska: Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outing,ignore.
Zen: Jockey declared to ride is clear -ve indication.
Amadomio: Winner of lower class of same age group,can be ignored.
Red Cloud: Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outing,ignore.
Jaanemann: Not so impressive mockraces,can be ignored.
Uproar:Can upset in this shorter distance,good place bet.

Race10:
Alexus: Working very well,should easily win this race.
Elegante: Has very good chance to earn a victory.
Flying Spirit: Vanquisher of Elegante,working well but is placed disadvantegously vis a vis elegante.
The Giant: Non winner,fails to accelerate when asked for,can only place.
Highland Quest :with help of "Cnb" may try to make an impression,can place.
Saarah: Running in higher category for last 2 1/2 years,won a race in identical distance earlier,can be ignored.
White Hart Lane:Non winner,will not be able to carry this weight,igore for win.
Chandelier: Must be suffering from some problem as it running after gap of 45 days without any preparation.
Headlight: First run,will need this run.
Dreamride: First run,will needthis run.
Gift Of Grace: Done nothing so far to merit attention.

Daysbest:Flamingace(3-1)

Kainchi:Flamingace(3-1),Cabriolet(4-2),Rage Of Angels(5-2),Recardo(6-17)

Have a nice day