Hyderabad 29th July selections

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Hi all,

Following are my views for Hyderabad races to be held on Wednesday.Card does not look exciting.Laxman singh will score good double along with Ex cricketer turned trainer Anantvatsalya.Trainer Narayan rao has also chance to open his account for this season in opening event of the day.

Race1:King of court(4)-Win

Ignore last run of King of court in juvenile million,earlier was seen moving impressively in Darley Arabian Millionstakes,has been prepared well and should win this race.Vijayfamme was sacrified for stablemate Vijaysiddantin its last outing,had been off track for too long and looks to be underprepared,hence can be ignored for win.Hide and seek has done nothing worthy in Bangalore,may place only.Kansascitymac if fancied can be ignored for win.Style ikon is lethargic slow starter,hence cannot be trusted.

Race2:Rudolph Valentino-Win/SHP

Elpaso will be hot market fancy on basis of its win in Bangalore.Closer look at that race reveals that except for Alacrity rest all where hopeless non jobbers in that race.Earlier in Winter was winner of Barb stakes beating quality opposition.Can it loose?? The points which goes against it a)Top weight b)lowest Rating of 69 c)Pitched against seasoned and proven opponents d)Struggles to be with pace initially.Let us analyse which horse can beat it.

Lady Escort:Choice of jockey is clear indication.
Copertina:Not in class,but does well at lower weight,can place at best.
Rudolph Valentino:Top rated,Ran good races with superior horses,has chance to beat Elpaso.
Kingsize:Wee bit lethargic slow starter and will not be able to hold on till end with this weight.
Indiandancer:Was unlucky in winter,runs well with fresh legs,likes Monsoon track and can pose serious threat to Elpaso.

All said and done, i strongly believe that Elpaso is not invincible and can be beaten either by Indian dancer or Rudolphvalentino.Elpaso will run at cramped odds hence a win/shp bet on Rudolphvalentino and Indiandancer will reap rich dividends.

Race3:Debonair(7)/Tasteofindia(3)

Bad race with poor performers.Debonair has best credentials to win this race if it takes level jump.Taste of india is genuine upset horse.Penumatcha is not genuine performer as per his trainer and can be ignored as it is unprepared.Cat Of The Course will need this run.Coolspice will place ahead of Milleniumqueen.

Race4:Madho(9)/Golden Sabot(5)

Choice of jockeys on Ldsilva's horses clearly reveal his intentions.Spectacular hero,Deccanpassion and Scorcher will not be able to sustain this distance.Golden Sabot is eternal failure but in this group has good chance,it only has to overtake Madho who has good initial speed and in this set of Non jobbers will lead all the way.Narwhal finished third on opening day because not many were keen,looks difficult here.

Race5:Caliagatae(5)/Alukhaas(2)

Caligatae looks home and dry in this set of non jobbers.Alukhas had best chances but was winner with A shoes and choice of jockey is puzzling,yet in this set will place for sure.Ivorysnow comes up with a rattle and the hot pace of this race will be disadvantegous.Firebender has good initial speed but not prepared.Chamatkar is ignored due to choice of jockey.


Race6:Bundleofroses(3)/Kohinoor diamond(2)

Race is restricted to Kohinoor diamond,Bentota and Bundleofroses.Kohinoordiamond will lead al the way and if others wake up too late,can win.Bundleofroses runs well with fresh legs,last run can be ignored as it could not position itself properly due to hot pace and wall of horses,has good chances to win this race.Bentota warms up late,if King of court wins in first race then it can be backed confidently or else can be ignored.

Race7:Mightyprince(1)

Mightyprince faces no threat and should easily win this race.Jia Yoh Jia Yoh may finish second.India gate can place at longer odds.Musicvalley has problem of hanging out.

Race8:Mrchief(3)

Mrchief should easily score in this set of non jobbers.Greenvision is the one which has capability to upset even in this sprint.Easy touch will fill remaining berth.

Daysbest:King of court(1-4)

Double:King of court(1-4)/Caliagatae(5-5)

Best 3 bets{Depending upon odds win or E/w}:
Debonair,Madho,Mrchief

Best 3 place bets: Indiandancer,
Golden Sabot,Alukhaas

Jackpot


2 2

5 3 3 1 3
9 5 5


6 7


8 8



Have a nice day

10 comments:

bihari July 28, 2009 at 9:21 PM  

Mr.Vinod, In the 4th race Madho
No. is (9) kindly correct.
Never be in a hurry,

Vincero July 28, 2009 at 9:24 PM  

Thanks Bihariji,i try my level best to post correct numbers but somehow end up doing one mistake for sure.

Anonymous,  July 28, 2009 at 9:58 PM  

vindo,
what about the jackpot combination
you have not touched the MAM horses
sbee

Easwaran,  July 29, 2009 at 8:43 AM  

Respected vyasji
it is regarding Elpaso and weight , i played this horse last time here in bangalore, a fabulous price too.this horse won well, and i am sure the weight is a factor, but today i am sure this horse will defy the handicap and come out successfully, the odds are not attractive to back.hence i will just watch this race.
may be i am wrong, in educated guess
keep it vyasji
love
easwaran
bangalreo

Vincero July 29, 2009 at 9:04 AM  

Hi Eashwaranji,

No doubt Elpaso is in great form,but it lacks initial speed.It can win but there is an element of doubt.

My belief that it is not invincable has strengthened by the fact that Deccan chronicle {Owned by Venkatramreddy,owner of Elpaso} has not tipped Elpaso as days best instead gave Ninja power.To me Eating Elpaso and backing Rudolph in shp/place is good option.

Prakash Gosavi July 29, 2009 at 1:15 PM  

Dear Vinod,
I hope you are still online and respond to this post ASAP. As per FINOO, Vijays Famme is coming out as a good bet. In fact, the horse you have listed as fav on your blog (Hide N Seek) and King Of Court (your choice for the race) don't look like threats. At the most, Kansas City Mac may run close to Vijays Famme, according to the FINOO picture.

Just want to know if you think this is a very weird assessment? Of course, as you know, I am just experimenting with FINOO for Hyderabad just now.

Hope to hear from you before the race if you are still online. Otherwise, I will just thank or blame my luck depending on the result of the first race. LOL!

Prakash

Prakash Gosavi July 29, 2009 at 1:18 PM  

Also, you say the VF is not on the track. But my Bombay book is listing two tracks, last one on 21/7 which is quite decent. Have you erred or my book is wrong?

pathfind007,  July 29, 2009 at 6:23 PM  

Dear Vinodbhai,

As usual ur picks were good 2day Vinod. Taste of India was just unlucky to be placed 2nd due to objection (had placed SHP bet too). As per ur list, I placed Copertina, so did well there too.

Once again Vinod, ur help is more really appreciated. Thanks a lot

Vincero July 29, 2009 at 7:18 PM  

Dear Prakash,

Yes i erred on Vijay famme,i missed out its last track.Costly mistake i agree.I fancied it last time and clearly noted in my racing file that Vijayfamme will easily when it runs next time upto 7 frlngs.

Easwaran,  July 30, 2009 at 8:34 AM  

Vyasji
Namaste
great show buddy about Elpaso.
good analysis, keep it up.
can you guide me regarding, HRC,
Pl mail me
bbliss47@gmail.com
many thanks.
i wish you abundance of wellness
love and
cheers
easwaran

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