SetAlight: Will she meet her WATERLOO?

Thursday, March 19, 2009

Hi all,

Following are my views for races to be held on Thursday.

Race1:Ratnavalli(10)

Ratnavalli:After long lay off of nearly 10months, ran a good forward race before being beaten by Hotmarket Fancy Stefano.Now running with +ve change of shoes and in her age group,keeping fit as evident by regular track work,should not have much difficulty in winning this race.
Free Spirit:Second in lower category,now running in higher category with +ve switch of jockey,working regularly,can only hope to place.
Gameoftalent:Was up with front bunch till last 200mts over 1400mts in its last run,whipless jockey could not extract best from it,now with strong saddle assistence,will fully extend and if distance is not sharp,can make an impression on winner,place is certain.
Therebel:Running in ideal distance,but not seen in tracks or Swimming exercise after its last run.
Amadomio:Winner of lower category in not so impressive timings,lack of trackwork and weak jockey are deterrent.
Mrfixit:Longlay off,no track for last one month,always ran in longer odds in Pune,Could not beat half field even once in its last 3 outings,its chances are almost nil.
The Right Man:Ideal distance is 1200mts,may run easy.

Race2:Imperio(1)

Imperio was fancied in its run in Pune,well prepared,entrusted to good jockey,by default can win in this very poor set.Elemento trances last run was suggestive even though it was running in his age group,will be involved in final finish.Rivertern would have benifitted by its last run,can improve.Exp for Brezhnev and Lone trojan,rest all runners are non winners.Brezhnev is out of form as it could not beat half of the field in same class in its last few outings,whereas Lonetrojan is not sighted in track or pool after its last run.t.Ranbanka was lethargic thru out,no significant acceleration in its last outing,now running with -ve change of shoes.Attractive girl may find this distance beyond its compass..Forestnative is working regularly but has very poor record,even jockey is medicore.Orientaljewel was never fancied in its previous runs,last run was improved,can hope to place.

Race3:Needforspeed(6)
An Upset is in store.

Needforspeed:Lost race to Kai in stewards room, which went to win again easily,has very good chance but only one track in entire month is huge deterrent.
Gameofpower:Ideally suited for 1200mts,but can place in this poor set.
Notablerunner:A forward runner,drawn advantageously in innermost box,should set a hot pace,now running with "Blks",but one -ve point is that it is getting easily beaten by same class horse in final track work.
Hidden Dragon:Was asked to give more gate practise and show to the satisfaction of Starter.We have not seen any gate practise,infact no track work after last run,so how it is accepted to run is Puzzle.
Stud Of Gold,Honeyday,Expensive Affair:Can be ignored as they have not beaten half of the field even once in their last 3 outings.
Parishilton:Running in his age group,may be a gamble is on,i cannot back it coz iam not sure abt its fitness due to lack of track work or swimming after its last run.
Absolut:Not suited for this distance,may be for mile.
Naseebdar:Not fully prepared,only 1 track after Pune campaign.

Race4:Moonlight(10)

After balloting out horses for various reason mentioned in above 3 races we are left only with Snowblind,Recardo and Moonlight.Recardo's bloodline suggest it is not suited for this distance,but the long straight of Mumbai may be to its advantage.Snowblind is endowed with good initial speed,will lead all the way till being caught.My final vote goes to Moonlight who was very impressive in its last victory,has upper hand vis-a-vis Snowblind if Pune runs are compared,has only Recardo to take care of.

Race5:Balance de power (4)/Ishthar(6)

Very interesting race with many interconnected.My first pick is Balance de power to win this race.Make note of Ishthar whose last run was too bad to be believed,has upper hand vis-a- vis all runners on handicap,is genuine upset horse and can stun the field.If fancied both Raquel and Tigressnoire can be eaten.Mr greedy is in great form and by default will be in top3.

Race6:Sweptaway(4)

Very rarely u find a horse easily winning in 40-66 class after winning maidens.Secretadmirer did so,and by default is prime contender.Sweptaway after an easy run is regular in tracks and final track is given by Rajendra himself,which is clear indication and hence is my first pick to win this race in very suitable distance.Race is restricted to this two.Ildivo can only hope to place as it has failed as hot market fancy earlier on many occasions.

Race7:.Amoremia(5)/Herafter(11)

Going by preparation Amore mia looks outstanding,but the puzzling thing is when final 2 track were given by MCullagh,y he was not declared to ride,only valid reason i see is that may be MCullagh is rested for next big race.Herafter is regularly worked out by C Rajender,its final preparatory gallop was very very impressive and can pull it off in its first run.Bluemarina is well prepared and may grace board.Visionary is working well,was lethargic in its last run,can improve.

Race8:SetAlight(6)

Will SetAlight Meet her "WATERLOO"? One gets the feeling that its last two wins were not so impressive,may be trainer was testing her holding capacity and her acceleration.This run is extension of that test and this race will decide her staying capacities.Dancingdynamite may be touted as opponent,but after its dismayal failure in Pune derby to Phenomanale who lost here in Mumbai,i do not fancy its chances.Highlandcrown may finished second as the horse is in great form,will fetch good returns for place.Palazios sun was easily beaten by Setalight earlier,tracking with "Blks" but not sporting the same for race.

Race9:Victory Star(5)

Victorystar after an easy run last time,looks very good over this extended trip.Classicstar is working very well,but lack of run is huge deterrent.Nyssa was seen moving very in its last run,now with strong saddle assistence can make an impact here.

Race10:Redmesa(2)

If Amaranza is race fit then it is one horse race or else Redmesa stands outstanding and should easily win.Princesssamerah will place at longer odds.

Daysbest:Ratnavalli(1-10)

Double:Ratnavalli(1-10)/Sweptaway(6-4)

Treble:Ratnavalli(1-10)/Moonlight(4-10)/Sweptaway(6-4)

Have a nice day

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