Mumbai 22nd March: PBM MILLION Sheika vs Versaki

Sunday, March 22, 2009

Hi all,

Following are my views for Mumbai races to be held on Sunday.

Race1:Frenchkiss(2)/Dutchart(2)

Frenchkiss:Last run was bit slow in start,in straight was struggling for room thru out,earlier finished eye catching second over 1200mts,looks very good here in this poor set.
Dutchart:Could not ride to full extent due to saddle slipping in its last run,seen regular in swimming,now running with "Ts" and "Blks",may win.
Illusionist:Failed as hot market fancy,nothing much exp for impressive track works.
Persianpower:Regular in swimming and tracking well with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,will be involved in final finish,place is sure.
Chopsani:Is in forward condition,may kick till the end,genuine upset horse.
Highlandquest:Started his career with "Dispute",nothing impressive.
Nonios:Last run after long lay off was easy thru out,last seen in track on Feb 02,can be ignored.
Supremo:Regular in swimming,earlier record is very very poor.
Tribalwarrior:Long in tooth,is not race fit,ignore.

Race2:Seatreasure(3)/Seaofkisses(2)

Forestflair may be installed as favourite on basis of his performance in Graded races,its win were highly laboured as evident by relentlessly whipping by jockey,in this sprint race may find it difficult.Seatreasure's win was very very impressive beating Astral comprehensively,its final track is winners track,should win this race.Stablemate Seaofkisses may finish ahead of Forestflair.

Race3:Cheveron(1)/ Flaringsun(3)

Only Rageofangels has travelled this distance and won,but is out of form and can be ignored.Flaringsun has not travelled beyond Mile,but impressive winner twice in as much starts,has bloodlines to stay this distance.Indiansummer has not won a race over 2000mts or travelled 2400mts ever,so ignored.Matatapride at best can sustain itself over 2000mts.We are left only with Cheveron who won impressively in lower category,can extend its best over this distance,but has to be careful with unknown Flaringsun.

Race4:Flaming Ace(4)/Athena(6)

Flaming Ace:Vanquisher of Autonomy in Pune,ran poorly in Pune Derby,and unextended to Setalight this season,is endowed with good initial speed,winner has to beat him.
Athena:Not seen in tracks,but lot of activity in last week in swimming and over threadmill,loves mumbai track as evident by 3 victories last season,has very good chance.
Beau Monde:Hatrick winner in Pune,all 3 runs in Mumbai were in higher category,now running in lower category,can upset.
Red Indian,Born To Lead,Generalissimo:Failed in their own age group,sparingly seen in tracks and Swimming,can be ignored.
Amberogio:Yet another Hattrick winner in Pune,long straight of Mumbai is not to the liking of this forward runner,not seen in tracks,can be ignored.
Romantic Impact:After clearing maiden status,did not win in 20-46 or 40-66 class,i do not fancy its chances in this class2.

Race5:Divine(1)/Bella(3)

Divine:Always ran with superior horses,last run was seen moving well in final furlong over 1000mts,now running in 1400mts,tracking well,should win this race.
Bella:impressive winner,continues to be in fine nick,can trouble winner
Kai:Winner of his age group,running within short span of time,may find difficult to carry top weight.
Forbes List:Shocked everyone last time,cannot travel this distance.
Giannatassio:Not seen in tracks after last run.
Pacemaker:Will not be able to last this distance,ignore.
Major Wager:No chance of win as it could not even beat half of the field even once in its last three outings.
Pathekphilips:First run in Mumbai,winner of lower category in Pune,surprisingly running at same handicap in this higher category,gave a good mock race,but still i do not fancy its winning chances,at best can place.

Race6:Czaralexender(3)/Secretpilgrimage(5)

Czaralexender:Last run could not accelerate and overtake Seastorm,needs hard riding.Regularly seen on threadmills, now entrusted to M Cullagh who is better judge of pace,should win this race over this extended distance.
Secretpilgrimage:Impressive winner last time,well rested,working very well,but has to beat Czar
Ming:Was moving well in its last run,could have done better if not lugging in ,can create a flutter and upset.
Agha:Not in form,can be ignored.
Seastorm:Biggest upset of this season,keeping fit,may not be able to sustain itself over this distance.

Race7:Sheikha(15)/Versaki(6)

Sheikha:Most impressive winner without even extending,entrusted to Taskmaster,should be one the prime contender.
Versaki: Last victory was too good,should be one of the front line contender.
Bourbanbay:Fourth to stablemate Forestflair,earlier failed as hot fav in bangalore,tracking well,but stands no chance here.
Jaqueline:It won wonderfully weaving its way thru the centre,should be there at busy end.
Classerville:Won very impressively in bangalore beating quality field,long stretch of Mumbai may not be to its liking
Mightyprince:Winner of mockrace,but in final track struggled to beat Shangaigirl(R15),cannot be expected to do well here.
Desmenoda:Was fancied a bit in its last run,but its final track where it is getting easily beaten By Forestnative(R10) is clear indication that it has no chance.
Gypsiewish:Another bng circuit horse,was beaten by Bourbonbay,stables may prefer classerville as it is showing better in tracks.
Riverblossom:Impressive winner over weakcompany,earlier failed as fav in pune,can only hope to place.
Sansperil:Struggled to beat Forestflair who was comprehensively beaten by Versaki,only bravehearts can fancy its chances.

Race8:Got to go(1)/La Joie De Vie(2)

Got to go:Running in lower class,her final track on 19th March where she clocked 1200-1.21(-9) in outersand track is winners timing,earlier in pune finished second to Eventual derby winner Phenomenale,there is common perception that fillies cannot carry top weight,but i do feel winner has to beat her.
La Joie De Vie:Knocking door,itching for that coveted win,i do get the feeling that it is running in right distance and may hold on till end.
Adamspleasure:Conventional racing wisdom says "Respect winners".Eventhough winner of same age group,is working well to merit attention.
Bourbonqueen:Best bred filly in this set,running after long lay off,could not clear maidens when strongly fancied,iam not much impressed by her winning chances.
Centreofattention:Winner,not sighted in track after its last run.
Itsracingafterall:Whiplessjockey over this distance is strict no-no.
Tyumen:Running after long lay off,will need this run,not fully prepared as evident by only 2 track works.
Roaming Fame:Will be prominent till last 200mts before being faded out.
Globalspirit:Running too early for comfort,last run was one paced,did not show the required acceleration,may place.
Highlandwarrior:Winner of lower category in his own age group,looks difficult here.
Sharp Memory,Tommy Carmichael,.Flo Nightingale,King's Troop,Solskjaer,Morality:Cud not beat half of the field even once in its last 3 outings.No chance whatsoever.

Race9:Ares(7)/Secrettalk(12)/Paperking(14)

Ares:Itching for coveted win,may oblige here as it is working very well.
Secrettalk:Still a maiden,can surprise at this weight as it loves to be up with front bunch and in this poor set can Kick away till end.
Paperking:Now running with "Cnb",seen regular in swimming,can upset.
Cancan:As required now entrusted to strong jockey,i have not seen any track work,swimming record or threadmill exercise after 19th feb,so how to guage fitness??
Absolute Reality:Distance and weight will be adverse.
Eagle Mountain,Born Destiny,Anamika,Hisham,Cloud Cover:Cud not beat half of the field even once in its last 3 outings.No chance whatsoever.
Wellsfargo:Winner of same age group in lower class,no chance here.
Exoticstar:Failed as hot fav,can be ignored.
Knightofwindsor:Not seen in tracks for last 45 days,running after long lay off.
Suddenimpact:Even in its age group could not impress,can be ignored.
Physicpower:Will need this run.

Daysbest:Seatreasure(2-3)

Double:Frenchkiss(1-2)/Seatreasure(2-3)

Treble:Frenchkiss(1-2)/Seatreasure(2-3)/Got to go(8-1)

Winroll(High5):
Frenchkiss(1-2)/Seatreasure(2-3)/Chevron(3-1)/Divine(5-1)/Got to go(8-1)

Placeroll:Persianpower(1-7)/Pathekphilips(5-8)/Jaqueline(7-11)/Adamspleasure(8-9)/Secrettalk(9-12)

Have a nice day

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