Bangalore Penultimate day

Friday, March 27, 2009

Hi all,

Following are my views for races to be held on Friday.

Race1:Let The River Run(1)/Non Stop Cannon(5)

Let The River Run:A nonwinner till to date,was slowly off in its last run,gave a good gate practise thereafter,all its previous run baring last one were in higher category,can extend its best here in this lowest set.
Non Stop Cannon:Hiding form,will extend its best here,good eachway bet.
Awesome Fighter:Surprised winner last time,continues to be in fine nick,can repeat.
Pretty N Fast:One eyed mare,showed some form earlier,very poor record,cannot be backed for win.
Firey Business:Running first time in this distance,very poor record,cannot be backed for win.
Sensational Bay:Poor form,no chance.
Lady Of Light:A nonwinner,slowly off in its last run,no GP,seen sparingly in Swimming,earlier sustained cut injuries twice,looks very difficult. Silver Paris:Working well,but distance looks beyond its compass,at best can place.
Fantabulous Hero:Habitual slow starter,Non winner even after 28 runs,cannot be trusted.

FinallyLet The River Run should ran a good race.Nonstopcannon will place ahead of Awesomefighter and prettyfast.

Race2:Rai's Style(1)/Spark Of Solitaire(4)

Rai's Style:Working very well,now running with "Ts" and Blks",can win.
Spark Of Solitaire:Good forward runs in both start,now running with "TS" ,will extend its best here.
Appolonaire:Bloodlines suggest it is best suited for this distance,last was in forward condition till last 200mts,with 100mts less to travel has good chance.
Youre Magnifique:Slowly off in its lone start,can be ignored.
Winged Light:Slowstart in last race,no chance here.
Saratoga:Troublesome gatemanners,will need lot of polishing,can be ignored here.
Trillion Win:Only one track after last run,will run easy.
Isinbayeva:4th in first start,easy track thereafter,looks difficult for win.
Game Dancer:Tracking well,will need this run.

FinallyRai's Style,Spark Of Solitaire,Appolonaire are capable of extending each other with former holding waferthin advantage.

Race3:One(8)/Raptor Force(3)

One:Shocked by Sarmaidar on post,running at very good handicap,should win this race easily.
Raptor Force:Was fancied by its connections in its last run over wrong distance,not much activity seen in track or swimming after race,going by reputation of Byramjis,will be in 1-2.
The Last Samurai:After impressive victory in lower class,was shaping like a winner in its last run before being beaten by Sarmaidar{won again} ,will extend its best,but at best can only hope to place.
Enduring Star:Impressive winner last time,earlier ran along very good horses,won in 40-65 class after clearin maidens,tracking well,,,but the million dollar question is y such a long break after its last run?
Saptashwa:-ve change of shoes and weak jockey is clear -ve indication,can be ignored.
Kajuraho:Running for the first time over,was seen warming up late over 1400mts,can extend its best over this distance,lacks class to make an impression.
Sunny Colours:Distance may be sharp for his comfort.
Royal Player:Beaten by ordinary horse in its last run,can be ignored.

Finally One has better credential than others but a surprise cannot be ruled out in form of Raptor force and Enduring star.

Race4:Nox(6)/Shotgunn(2)

Nox:Half brother to Bourbonstar,Showed good initial speed in its last run and was always prominent close 4th till bend,had to ride in check in straight,now running in shorter distance,tracking very very well,should simply canter away.
Shotgunn:Impressive preparation,good GP beating Valid expectation{R60},will follow Nox home.
Administrator:Full brother to Ikaria,tracking easy,is it season end gift, to M Ravi??good long shot place bet.
Surefire:Exp for first run,no other reason to discount its chances,belongs to stable which periodically springs surprises.
Real Magic:Well bred,ran good forward races to superior horses,just one track after last run,belongs to unreliable stable.
Cash Is King:Just one GP,will need this run,ignore.
Spade Ace:Regular in trials,2 GP,modestly bred.
Amar Prem:No track after last run,ignore.
Spark Of Hanover:No Gatepractises in preparation,will need this run.
Chaitanya Jyothi:Gave three good Gate practises,but still will need this run.
Youre So Beautiful:Neils darasah's horses with "S" shoes does not inspire confidence,can be ignored.
Lady Duff:Tracking well but with Riderboy,can be ignored.

Finally Nox should simply canter away.Shotgunn will end up as bridesmaid.Administrator or surefire may grace third spot.

Race5:Aristos(2)/Dinesa(6)

Aristos:Impressive winner over strong field,continues to be in fine nick,will set his own pace,can do well in this higher set also.
Dinesa:Has very good chance here as it has beaten most of the runners here,good eachwaybet.
Lionheart:Has electric turn of foot,has proved his mettle again and again,but not seen in tracks after Feb12 and entrusted to relatively weaker jockey,looks difficult.
Cartwheel:Won impressively in lower class,working well but looks difficult here.
Riverisland:From lower class,tracking very well,but short of class.
Nobleguest:Didnot beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.
Jerseypride:Beaten by Lionheart,only one track after last run,cannot make an impression in this set.
Flaminglamborgini:Winner of same age group in lower class,stands no chance here.
Mercurial,Logansrun:Not better than Dinesa,has no chance whatsoever.
Firestone:Running after loong lay off,ignore.

Finally Aristos hardly faces any threat and should return as comfortable winner.Dinesa will be in place along with Riverisland.

Race6:Read My Mind(3)/Lush Foliage(6)

Read My Mind:Ignore last run where it finished third to too good aristos,can definetely do well and make his presence felt.
Lush Foliage:Impressive winner,continues to be in fine condition,can win again.
Super Speed:Managed to finish third in disturbed race,can be safely ignored.
Fantabulous Prince,Cannavaro:Failed in same class thrice,can be ignored,
Afea:Tracking very well,won impressively earlier,but distance is worry.
Lava,Game Fighter:Didnot beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore
Stone Of Destiny:Failed in same class twice,can be ignored.
Van De Star:In this shorter distance has good chance to upset,not seen in track or swimming after last run,hence ignored.
Ever So Clever,Ciboney:Winner of same age group in lower class in not so impressive timings,at best can place.

Finally Readmymind has very good chance to win this race from Lushfoliage.Vandestar can place ahead of Afea.

Race7:Refresh(5)/Hawaiian Sunrise(11)

Refresh:Won in same class,in last run recieved severe interference near 600mts,now carrying heavy impost,tracking very well, will extend its best.
Hawaiian Sunrise:Entrusted to his Fav jockey,will be right there.
Easy:Forward runner,had good chance over 1200mts,but outermost box is huge deterent,at best can place.
Smart N Special:In forward condition,will kick away till end if other fancy or eligible contenders choose to "gift" away this race.
Awesome Beauty:Getting beaten in last track by lesser mortal,at best can place due to jockey merit.
Raider's Sun:After clearing maiden status last summer has been struggling,once ran close second to Sweepingsuccess,"S" shoes and Jockey are clear -ve indication.
Southerner,Showhorse,Zaios:Didnot beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.
Tina's Triumph:Won a race at identical handicap and distance,its quota is over for this season,can be safely ignored.
Panchakshari:Will not be able to carry this weight till end,ignore.
Enforcer:Winner of poor bunch,heavily penalised,can be ignored.

Finally Refresh and Hawaainsurprise should fight it out in final furlong with former holding advantage.Easy may finish third ahead of Awesomebeauty.

Race8:Colonel Duff(10)/Madam Rich(4)

Colonel Duff:Was unable to carry weight in lower class and failed as hot fav,should easily win this race at this handicap.
Madam Rich:Running in ideal distance,weak jockey is for odds,should be right there.
Cimarron:On basis of good second to superior Aristos should place in this set.
Chilly Wind:Other than jockey,not much impressive,distance is sharp.
Blink:Troublesome horse,suffering from ailments,iam not impressed by its winning chances.
Snob Value,Strong Minded:Didnot beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.
Carabinieri:Will not be able to sustain itself till end.
India Shining:Winner of lower class over poor bunch,cannot make an impact here.
Mucho:Just one track in last 45 days with no swimming exercise,ignore.
Royal Treasure:No track after last run,Didnot beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.
Milagro:Struggling in same category with top jockey astride,at best can place due to jockey merit.
Finally Colonel duff should make up for costly failure last time.Madam rich is genuine upset horse and should easily place along with Cimarron.

Race9:Monarchial(2)/Chilli Chocolate(11)

Monarchial:Trainer earlier stated he will switch to shorter distance,can make a race out of it here.
Chilli Chocolate:Ignore last run where it was ridden by whipless jockey,now with stronger rider astride and in inner box holds advantage.
Sheza Star:Still a non winner,has age on her side,can win.
Royal Hero:Jockey is -ve,no track after last run,ignore.
Worth A Million:Had a win this season,will run easy,ignore.
Nearco Master,Fly For Sure:No worthy performance to merit attention.
Royal Flynn:Cannot make an impression in this distance and in this higher class.
Simply Dangerous:Didnot beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.
Gara Fluid:Failed even in his own age group,can be ignored.
Way To Fantasy:I do not back Puttana's horses if they r not shown in track,-ve change of shoes,can be ignored.
Unique Star:No track after last run,but seen regularly in swimming,now running with change of equipments,non winner,outer box is disadvantegous to this forward runner.

FinallyMonarchial,Chilli Chocolate should fight out in final stages with sheza star filling in remainin berth.

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