Mumbai 26th March

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Hi all,

After windfall of favourites on Sunday one can expect Outsiders to dominate the proceedings on this special day.

Race1:Firevault(2)/Diplomaticlicense(3)

Bad race to begin with where except for Diplomatic license rest all are non winners.

Firevault:Finished on well over mile in last race,working well and looks very good over this extended distance.
Diplomaticlicense:Only winner of this set,running in lower set,swimming regularly,loves this distance,allowance claiming jockey is positive sign,can upset.
Elementocode:Last run was slowly off,bad last till bend but moved impressively in final furlong to finish good third over 1400mts,now in 1800mts had very good chance but whipless jockey is deterrent.
Desertdynamite:Still a nonwinner,Its previous runs suggest it warms up late,tracking well,will not go down without fight.
Chieftan:Twice failed as favourite in same class,working almost daily for last 10 days, now running with "Cnb",travelling over extended distance,looks very difficult with whipless jockey astride.
Goldengrace:Only one track,regular in swimming,ran good races in Pune,last run was seen moving well in final furlong,can be ignored due to relative jockey merit.
Essider,Magicalmantra:Not seen in tracks or swimming after last run,can be ignored.

Race2:Bluevision(6)/Taanush(1)

Bluevision:Ignore last run,earlier failed as hot fav in wrong distance,is one of the few horses which cleared 40-66 class after clearing maidens,now running in pet distance,working well and with aid of "Ts""Cnb",can force a win in this very poor set.
Taanush:Running in pet distance,lone track after its last run was good,can win.
Carlos:Ignore its last run and 2 runs in Pune,performed well in last mum season,working well,only worry is can he stay this distance.
Divine:One does not know if it was "entered" for this race before sunday or after,if entered before then it can be ignored.Running within just 4 days,had very tough run on Sunday under severe conditions ,not sure abt fitness,looks difficult in this higher class.
Arkhos:Never travelled beyond 1400mts,not seen in track after Fef22,can be ignored.
Desertdust:Cudnot perform even his own age group in Pune,looks very difficult.

Race3:Youngoffender(2)/Weizhou(1)

Young Offender:In form,in last run it was badly hampered in last 400mts,finished impressive second to Flaringsun{Won again},winner has to beat him.
Weizhou:Fit as evident by impressive final track where it is easily beating Majortoberts(R92),won impressively last time,can make an impact in higher class.
Argentina:Winner in lower category,ran in wrong distance in higher class,can make an impact in this distance if jockey can extend best{whipless jockey}.
Caramel:Last track seen on Feb2,no swimming record either,can be ignored.
Mountainking:After a win in lower category in Pune,seems to have lost form,this type of horses cannot be trusted.
Gyspyqueen:Not in tracks for long time.,out of form.
Share My Dreams:Broke bloodvessel in last run,not seen in tracks or swimming after that,looks very difficult in this hot conditions.
Red Cloud:First run of season,earlier failed in his own age group in Pune,ignore.
Black Phantom:Winner of lower class over 2400mts,now runnin in mile in higher class,earlier record not much impressive,looks difficult.

Race4:Kissaway(4)/Misschevious Trot(1)

Kissaway:Except for last run,always ran in 1000mts,now running without "Blks".genuine upset horse.
Misschevious Trot:Twice failed in his own age group,last track noted on Feb16,seen in Swimming,last run was up with front bunch till last 200mts,beaten in end,its chances cannot be ruled out entirely.
Encouragement:Working well,at this weight can pull it off in its pet distance.
Pontya,Star Legend:Cudnot beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,not in tracks after last run,ignore.
Warofattrition:Cudnot beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.
Walkingtall:In same class always ran in higher odds clearly indicating its worthiness,no significant improvement thereafter,can be ignored.
Thunderingstar:All its previous run this season and in Pune were in wrong distance,now running in pet distance,but one gets the feeling that it is looking for class down and hence may run easy here.
Medtias Pride:Had very good chance in its own age group,but surprisingly last track was noted on 31st Jan.

Race5:Claimtofame(2)/Strauss(6)

Claimtofame:Impressive in 2 gatepractises,will be right there.
Strauss:Gave 2 good gatepractises,can make an impact.
Mariposa:2 good gate practises,can surprise.
Star Blaze:Has run benifit,working nicely,can be involved in final finish.
Bluethunder:Working regularly,will need this run.
Dancing Shadow:No track after feb 12.
Guns N Roses:Was slow in start in final gatepractise,hence cannot be trusted.
Starfall:Well bred,gave one unimpressive gatepractise,final track work was very impressive,yet cannot be backed confidently.
Triunfo:Working regular,only one gatepractise in feb.
Creme De La Creme:Couple of runs would have brought him on,now running with "Blks",no track after last run.
Sea Angel:Has run benifit,but no track after last run,ignore.

Race6:Spirituall(6)/Escravos(2)

Spirituall:Almost unextended win in lower class,should not have much difficulty in tackling this weak set of higher class.
Escravos:Always ran with very good horses,except for first race of the race of the season all its runs were in Terms graded race,last year finished close fourth to Oasisstar,is genuine upset horse.
Schnell:Easy winner of lower class,poor timings when compared to other winners of same distance in this set,at best can place.
Monopoly:Won with plently in hand in lower class,continues to be in fine nick as evident by track work,beaten by Schnell at identical handicap diff,can only finish on board.
Riverdancer:Running in ideal distance,surprisingly neither seen in tracks or swimming after its last run,can be ignored.
Covenant:Neither in track or in swimming for last one month.
Major Roberts:Beaten by Weizhou(R 40) in final track,nothing impressive in this class,looks difficult,may be heading for class down.
Encledus,Engleheart:Out of form,Looks difficult in this set.

Race7:Premier Queen(2)/Here Comes The Don(3)

Premier Queen:Winner of lower class,working well,can make an impact in this higher class.
Here Comes The Don:Genuine upset horse,cannot be ignored.
Golden Spurs:First run of the season,had good Pune campaign,generally runs well with fresh legs,can upset.
Crespo:Endowed with good initial speed,Can place in this poor set.
Elementto Angel:Best suited for 1000mts,may not be able to sustain itself.
Fantasy Lake:Neither tracks nor swimming exercise,jockey is clear -ve indication,ignore.
Ka Ching:Twice failed with better jockeys,now entrusted to relatively weaker jockey,can be ignored.
Cosmic Flower,Mantovani:Cud not beat half of the field of same class in its last 3 outings,ignore.
Tearaway:Last 2 runs were hopless ,last track noted on Feb2,can be ignored.

Race8:Theodoros(5)/Surmount(8)

Theodoros:Running in very weak set,working impressively,should pull it off.
Surmount:Not in track for long time,but seen in swimming,only horse to have run in 20-46 class more than 3 times in this set,endowed with good initial speed,can upset.
Double Delite:Entrusted to good jockey,now running with "Blks",working well,will extend its best.
Phosphor:Working well,now running with "Blks",can pull it off.
Chak De:Still a maiden,but its last track was very good to be ignored,regular in swimming,ran in higher class in Pune and in this very poor set,can upset.
Winning Treat,Dangerous Belle,Statjford,Yowza:Maiden,running after long lay off,will need this run.
La rose:No track after last run,can be ignored.
Kimaya,Constantia,Strike It Rich:Out of form
Uber alles:Can place in this poor set.

Daysbest:Firevault(1-2)

Double:
Firevault(1-2)/Spirituall(6-6)

Treble:Firevault(1-2)/Youngoffender(3-2)/Spirituall(6-6)

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