Bangalore 26th June

Saturday, June 26, 2010

Hi,

Following are my views for saturday races.

Race1:Leopaldo(4)

Mister trooper being a Slow and old horse had advantage in its last run in heavy underfoot conditions,here it looks very difficult..Leopaldo falls back rapidly after 6 furlong but in this set can kick on gamely till end,decent each way chance.I Fancy You won purely due to feather weight,can only hope to place in this set.Orange Orchid looks extensively prepared but trainer had good gamble in places last week,will not extend his wards this week.. Magnifique is best suited for 1200mts and cane be ignored for win.

Race2:Sun Salvador(2)

Alisa almost stopped nearing 200mts mark in its last run,seems to morning glory and one cannot expect any improved performance.Matias has not displayed any good momentum or turn of foot in any race,hence cannot be backed for win.This leaves us with first time runners Sun Salvador who seems to be good type as evident by pleasing trials {where it is seen beating Criminal Lawyer} and Cool Mover who is half sister to classy Sea Ruler and will run a bold race provided distance is not sharp for its comfort.

Race3:Lush Lashes(1)

Conventional racing wisdom says for races run over mile prefer horses which have travelled that distance atleast once and placed or horses which are winner of not less than 400mts of distance of race.By that logic

  • Winners of 1400mts have to selected.Paint Me Red twice winner of  1400mts but in same age group and strangely is at same ratings for last 6 runs inspite of finishing in rucks.Camorra was seen tiring in its last run and hence its ability to traverse this distance is doubtful.Rezoom won well over 1400mts and in last run was seen finishing on well but this is higher class and cannot expect same performance.
  • Next comes horses which travelled this distance and place,Only Lush Lashes qualifies.At first glance one may discard this horse as it is shown only in one track and failed repeatedly in winter.But further study shows that this horse does runs well inspite of very less trackwork and all its failure came against superior horses.I would prefer eachway bet on it.
  • Ballibay is vigourously worked out to run over this distance as evident by trackwork,one needs to watch its runs over this distance.
Race4:Smarty Ways(6)
  • Young Sapper is for airing,ignore 
  • Yamas is winner of 1800mts and now running in 1600mts,will fail.
  • Da Xia too is for airing,will do all the running before easing off.
  • Southern King belongs to most ureliable trainer whose wards all of a sudden get flying wings,if backed at race time should not be ignored.
  • Deep Blue Sky ran first time after being gelded in its last run where it was seen hanging out and struggling to beat ordinary Rosemead,now runnning with change of equipments but i dont give it much chance
  • Smarty Ways was seen coming up with second run in its last run against too good Hillary,this full brother of All My colours should not have much difficulty in picking this race.

Race5:Lock And Load(8)

Lock And Load if handled properly has very good chance to win.
  • Atlantus needs hard riding,can be ignored inpsite of good second to Astral flash
  • Highland Crown seems to be here for lung opening
  • Advantage Logan is the only  horse apart from Blink in this race to perform well in this class but jockey is big put off
  • Bid For Gold is from Kol  after winning classics there,may not be able to perform at this centre
  • Blink is most consistent horse of this class,likes to run in front  but jockey B Prakash is not very good at STF tactics,Place looks certain due to the fact that the horse has tracked very well and looks very fit
  • Magnamity is drawn in outermost box,will not be able to sustain this distance.
  • Spot On is blazing tracks but is drawn in outer box,may not be able to grab the initiative.
  • Weight Favours Caprioska and will place.

Race6:Hampton Court(1)

Hampton court has stripped fitter after its last run and stands good chance to win this race.Prashastha if not for jockey would have been my first choice,has chance to finish on board.Cash Is King is now running with +ve change of shoes,trainer Amit Caddy had good winners last week,will take it easy this week.Amazer is showing out in tracks,but long lay off and weight will have its effect.

Race7:Carnival Of Joy(1)

Set of non performers.Carnival Of Joy has won a race over same distance ,same weight and at same rating,can upset.Gara Fluid has good chance to place in this set.Good Gift by default will place.Chronicle is running after 8 months,cannot be trusted to win.


Race8:Count Royal(8)

Count Royal was seen moving very well in its last run,should have improved a lot after that and emerges as good bet.Recharged and  Sky Marshal should fill in remaining berth.

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      All the postings and comments are my personal Views.Owner of the blog cannot be held responsible for any consequences arising due to use of data from this blog for any wagering etc . The blog is basically for information & guidance purposes and not for basis of any venture of any kind. I have created this site for airing my views on the subject and not for any personal benefits

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