Bangalore 19th June

Hi,

Iam petrified to say or predict anything after reading comments in fellow bloggers blogs.Please  note that iam neither expert nor do i have any unique methodology to predict outcome of a race.Whatever iam predicting here is out of limited knowledge i have .Please analyse all aspects,weigh the arguements against or in support and decide.

Race1:Morova Goodtime(7)

In absence of any genuine opposition one gets the feeling that Morova Goodtime,who ran forward race in superior bunch,may win.Balmoral Castle is showing out in trials but running after long lay off,weaker jockey astride indicates connections unwillingness to  try all out over this horse which is returning after a setback.Jennifer merits attention due to jockey astride but Neil Darashah seldom wins a race with Steel shoes,moresover gatepractises are not impressive.Good shot is regular and impressive in tracks,can place.

Race2:Sky Rider(2)

If my way of handicapping is right then sky Rider looks outstanding and should win atleast by 3 lengths not withstanding long lay off factor.Crown Princess in my view is shying to pass front runners and hence should be made to run with aid of Blks.North Cape was running green in its only run,is fitted with various equipments in this run,cannot be trusted.Ice Bound if fancied can be ignored for win as it lacks finishing punch.Hard To Pin Down looks very difficult even for place.

Race3:Sky Glider(10)

Sky Glider finished third to Sweet Caroline and Citrali{won in next outing},gave good forward runs in winter,is in pink condition as evident by pleasing final track,should run a bold race this time and can ward off late challenges of other runners.Swift Star's final track is given by Suraj himself where it is displaying very good initial speed,will run a prominent race and if Sky Glider falters out then can grab winning berth.Foswell may fizzle out in final furlong.One For The Money was seen flying in final 50mts in its last run,its track work {600-47  1200-1.26} suggests that it has poor initial speed and warms up late,can place in this set.


Race4:Magic Million(2)

Mooves Good Enough has very good inital speed,but will not be able to carry this crushing weight.Saavy Concept needs more ground and hard riding.Mega Joy is running after long lay off and beaten in final track.Gift Of Love struggled to earn a win in poor bunch and faired badly in relatively weaker set,looks difficult for win.Magic Million has match strides with best at its parent centre,ran good forward race in strong company at this centre,with strong rider astride can win in this very poor set.


Race5:The Last Samurai(8)

Still will may be fancied for its last effort but this horse has tendency of running out under pressure,needs lot of hard pushing,can be ignored for win.Tanzanite was beaten squarely in its last effort,has ran along superior horses like Jacqueline,Change Of Luck and it looks like it has lost zest for racing.The Last Samurai recieved mild check at start in its last run,was seen moving well inspite of tender handling by its rider,now with +ve switch of rider and shoes should run a good race and should win.Greens can win in its own age group,not here.

Race6:Raptures Of Victory(2)

Pace of the race will be very hot due to good initial speed if Flying Tricolor,Rosemead and Braavo.
Raptures Of Victory is a beautiful horse with large heart,impressed at its parent centre,had run well in mock race,can make a race out of it.Flying Tricolor has  good initial speed but gets weakened in final 100mts,hence can only hope to place.Rosemead surprised in its last run but this is altogether different set and can be ignored.Braavo is working very well,won in its last outing but over weak company,may not sustain till end.

Race7:Beckett(2)

Beckett was slow in start and eager to run out from last 1600mts due to which it lost and earned disgrace,now looks very fit.It is difficult to look beyond a horse which clocks 1.20 for 1200mts on Outer Sand.Sprint Star won impressively in a race where others runners looked uninterested,can only hope to play role of bridesmaid to Beckett.Onassis was badly interefered in final furlong in its last outing,should have benifitted by that run and can hope to place.

Race8:Son Of The Soil(4)

Party Tonite with Khurshad Alam does not impress,moresover it is a filly carrying top weight.Son Of The Soil can win in this very poor set.Persian Princess will place for sure.

Race9:Shotgunn

Shotgunn was impressive winner in lower class,is facing weak higher set and can win.Red Renegade is running after long lay off,is blood vessel case and may need this run.The Spartan may place.

 Race10:Gluetues Maximus(9)

Conventional racing wisdom says in this class{20-45} horses which ran in maidens group should be prefered.By that logic Glueteus Maximus and Golden Quest emerge as better than rest and race should be restricted to this two only.Glueteus Maximus gave good forward in its last run,earlier in winter was seen moving impressively in strong company,working well and should win this race.