Mumbai 29.04 Analysis and Choices

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Race1: 4. Raise a Grand-Win

Raise a Grand drops to lowest class after finishing good suggestive second in higher class, should be the one to be beaten here

Lovely Fair who was interfered in last two runs over unfavorable trip returns to this trip where it finished second beyond Centaurus who won again; since its previous form is ordinary I am inclined to discard that run as flash in pan

Saffron Flower was hanging in last run, has history of slow starts, not a genuine performer

Angel Coin could not show spark in any run of this season

Shakin Stevens lost as fav in same class and distance in penultimate run, was once considered to be a good performer proved by the fact that it made handicap debut with a rating of 30, has lost way since then and cannot be trusted

Spirit of Oath drops to lowest class, has impressed in preparation, gets aid of Tongue strap but one really needs a big leap of faith to fancy him since his best performance till date is finishing 23lengths behind winner

Toretto made handicap debut with a rating of 30, gets better rider and positive switch in shoes, working very well but again same story, out of 4 runs 2 times trailed the field and finished 30+ lengths behind winner

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Race2: 3. Domination-Win

Arc Shine won last time but at this juncture of season I am inclined to ignore repeat winners

Star of Thea is fair consistent performer, comes slightly better than Arc Shine if we compare 15^th March runs, allowance claiming rider will further boost its chances

Celestial Light has been consistent, has impressed in preparation

Zanzibaar has disappointed this season, may run well in same age group

Domination has dropped closer to its winning mark, should be in serious contention

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Race3: 2. Excellent-Win

Excellent drops in grade, finished good second in debut in a field consisting of winners, here in this set of maidens looks formidable, his DAM ran a good second in grade race, default contender

Grand Chieftain was heavily whipped in last run, bloodlines suggest it is will be suited for races over mile

Jetfire is from ordinary dam, last run was good forward one

Retained Asset gave a good forward run in last run which was first after gelding, looks ordinary on Dosage Profile

Natalma from red-hot stables is out successful sire, has put up lot of work in trials

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Race4: 3. Kimberella-Win

Sandalphon’s dam was Black type long distance filly, will improve after interfered good second in last run

Cupido was fancied in last run, could not carry weight, can upset

Arrecife failed with top jockey astride, gets rid of blks this time and can surprise

Kimberella over this trip in maidens has won a race formline of which has worked well since producing 3 winners and runner ups, last 3 runs can be ignored due to top weights, will be the one to beaten here

Momentum from champions stable made a disappointing debut over mile

We Break The Rules is suspect to carry this weight over mile

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Race5: 9. Lorraine-Win

Lorraine gets positive switch in shoes and saddle support, disgraced jockey will hope to end his final assignment on winning note

Rare Silver targeted lowest class where he could not do much

Yutaka has dropped rapidly, can be season end surprise

Sporto is bleeder, buckles out under pressure

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Race6:3.Nembe Greek-Win

Nembe Greek drifted out in last run yet finished good second to better horse, not a regular morning worker

Hopeilicious is keeping fit by regular pool exercise,ran a good forward in last run and stands good chance in this shorter trip

Reds Revenge failed as fav in last run, distance will be sharp for its comfort

Speed of Sound was stumbled in last run, gets better saddle assistence and impressed in preparation

Fabio and Blitzkreig are bleeders

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Race7: 1.Abraxas-Win

Abraxas makes quick appearance to cash on forward form

Royal Blood who won well has penalty to beat now

Arvan is speedy but drawn widest

Outstanding improved in last run, has dropped significantly in handicap

Golden Tower bundles out too quickly

Alsace drops to lowest class but negative shoes, wide drawand ordinary preparation are against it

Magical Blossom is speedy, positive switch in shoes,saddle support and suggestive work outs make her a worthy upset contender

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Days Best:Lorraine(5-9)

Double: Excellent(3-2)

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