Hyderabad 31/08

Hi all,
chief event of the day wears an open look and there is strong possibililty of an upset.

Race1: Greenhaven(6)-win Lordnelson(3)-place
[Probable odds: Conceptual(5)-80/100,Greenhaven(6)-3/1,Pacific groove(4)-4 1/2]

Lordnelson: +ve change of equipment and jockey,is seen regular in trials and fully extended last track suggests that it will be in contention.
Pacificgrove:-ve change of shoes, does not inspire much trust,better to wait till it enters the winning circle.
Conceptual: Will be strongly fancied as it is ridden by Appu,is from bangalore where it finished second twice.-ve point is that it is straight from bangalore to race with no exercise or feel of conditions given .
Greenhaven: +ve shift of jockey and shoes,was hampered badly in its last run and was seen moving most impressively in final furlong,with this extra 200mts here and Suraj astride it has best chance to win.

Race2:shakinstevens(3)-win
[Prob odds: Shakinstevens(3)-90/100,Blastinclass(1)-18/10,commandermoil(4)-5/1]

Blastinclass: Running frequently and top weight over this distance looks very difficult.
Turfraider: Looks difficult here
Shakinstevens: Even though long in tooth he is the only horse in the feild winning over this distance,well rested and fit as evident by track work,will be by default in first two.
Commandermoil:Always finishing on over mile,if it can stay this distance it has an outside chance.
Timeon: Will lead the field till it retires which will help this horse to regain his oldform.

Race3: Blaackmischief(2)-win Standingovation(4)-place
[Prob odds: Blaackmischief(2)-70/100,Encounter(3)-3 1/2,Allegation(1) &Standingovation(4)-5/1]

Allegation: At best may place.
Blaackmischief: Hardridden second to Powerplay(won again) ahead of carteblanche(won in its next outing) and ridden by top jockey makes him natural selection.
Encounter: Ignore last run where it was interfered, is working very well can create a flutter over this distance.
Standingovation:Running in right distance,but only -ve is that trainer declared appu on his other ward in last run indicating that either they are looking for good odds or they have no trust in this horse.
Classicdancer:Habitual slow starter.
Pharlap: Its last run was sham,has the capacity to win but intentions are not as evident by declaration of jockey.

Race4:Realtor(4)-win/shp
[Prob odds: Powerranger(2)-13/10,Chiefdemission(1)-2 1/4,Vijayam(3)-3 1/2]

Small field but difficult to pick clear winner.I would prefer realtor to powerranger on basis of race no 275 in winter where powerranger won at same handicap over 2200mts whereas realtor finished closed third at weight of 62.Realtor is running in favourable distance ,handicap and should emerge as winner.Chiefdemission and vijayam i feel are best suited for 1600-1800mts.Lalapitus is unknown thing over this distance.

Race5: Luckydamsel(6)-win
[Prob odds: Darkstranger(2)-16/10,Luckydamsel(6)-2/1,Airbender(3)-3 1/2]

Darkstranger :With allowance claiming jockey in this lower category will fight for prime honours.
Cannontreasure:No track after last run.
Luckydamsel:Ignore its third behind Lalapitus and Stratgic partner in 3 yrs group,looks very good in this 5yrs group.
Altai:Cannot be trusted.
Festivals of india:Finished good third in 3 yrs old group but distance is out of its compass.
Vanenberg:Habitual slow starter

Race6:Royalassembly(1)-win Siralmas(10)-place
[Prob odds: Royalassembly(1)-80/100,Canopus(4)-3/1,Chamaatkar(5)-4/1]

Royalassembly was Impressive second on his debut,+ve of shoes,with his fav jockey astride and working well will be strongly fancied,only worry is the top weight but in absence of worthy opponent can win.Note Siralmas whose last three runs were unextended,has impressed in gate practise and with Blk "On" can create a major upset here.

Race7: Reflection of gold(6)-win/shp
[Prob odds: Queenguest(5)-1 3/4,Violethoney(7)-2/1,Dorabella(3)-4/1]

Feature event of the day and as expected local contenders will have to play second fiddle to strong outstation contenders.Reflectionofgold who is advantageously drawn in innermost box has strong chance to win from Inspiring trust and Voilet honey.

Race8: Seeyouthere(5)-win
[Prob odds: seeyouthere(5)-80/100,Justbecool(3)-3/1]

Seeyouthere was hopelessly ridden last time,now has services of top jockey and should easily score from Cannon gain and Just be cool .

Daysbest: seeyouthere(8-5)
Treble:Shakinstevens(2-3)/Luckydamsel(5-6)/Royalassembly(6-1)
Place: Lordnelson(1-3),standingovation(2-4),Siralmas(6-10),cannongain(8-9)
My jp: 2,4*2,6*1,10*4,5,6,7*5=32 tickets

Have a nice day
Vinodvyas