International Races 31.01

Monday, January 31, 2022

 πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¦ Greyville
Method: Speed Ratings
Overview: Polytrack is a tricky track and not many horses relish the bumpy rubber underfoot conditions.Markets fancy horses which have decent performance over this Synthetic Track.

3:55 PM: 1-3.Winter Journey 2nd
4:30 PM: 2-9.NKALANZINZI Withdrawn
5:05 PM: 3-3.Fearless Kitty 2nd
5:40 PM: 4-7.Roy's Command 3rd
6:15 PM: 5-3.Majorca Palace
6:50 PM: 6-7.Blue Sails WON
7:25 PM: 7-1.Royal Monarch
8:05 PM: 8-13.Stand By MeWithdrawn

πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡© Cagnes-Sur-mer
Method: Ratings & Comments
Overview: All Weather Track severely tests speed and stamina of horses and it will be wise to back horses which have winning form over this track

4:20 PM: 1-4.Zawaaya WON
4:50 PM: 2-4.Divan (First time Cheekpieces)
5:20 PM: 3-7.La Venelloise  WON
5:55 PM: 4-2.Shafaaf WON
6:37 PM: 5-2.Like You
7:12 PM: 6-4.Coimbra ( Scored at this levels) 2nd (40/1 shot)
7:47 PM: 7-3.Prospero
8:22 PM: 8-4.Wind of Change (Favorable AW now )

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Wolverhampton
Hosted by:  Betindiaraces.com
10:00 PM: 1-7.Becoming
10:30 PM: 2-3. Winklevi
11:00 PM: 3-1. Umm WON
11:30 PM: 4-1. Denzil's Laughing
12:00 AM: 5-1.Achnamara WON

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International Races 30.01

Sunday, January 30, 2022

Meyden
6:20 PM: 5-3. Good Tidings
6:55 PM  6-1. Dahawi
7:30 PM: 7-2. Sendeed

Naas 
6:10 PM: 1-6. Stattler
6:40 PM: 2-10. Mercury Lane
7:10 PM: 3-2. Saint Felician --DAYS BEST
7:40 PM: 4-13. Magic Word-Place
8:10 PM: 5-12. Plough On--GOOD
8:40 PM: 6-12. Mahler All Star-Place
7:10 PM: 7-7. The Tack Room
9:40 PM: 8-8. Seabank Bistro

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Hyderabad 30.01

Interested persons who want to avail Worksheets for a monthly subscription of 2000/- can email on vinodvyass76@gmail.com

Blogger's personal Selections will be posted in blog

Card looks good

First race choice edited at 12:00 Pm

Race-1: 8.Voice of Dream

City Of Gravitas: First foal of a class-1 sprinter based at Kolkotta, sporting owners but first run after gelding operation

Raisina Hill: May need few runs to get in the shape
Star Medal: Improved in the last run, dam was an ordinary performer at Madras
The Sensation: Full sibling Fergus failed in class-5 at Kolkotta
Wind Sprite: Experienced but Blinkers in a 3yrsm !!!
The Image: Modest bred who failed to show speed in the debut run which was a lower grade of 3yrsm
Toque Blanche: No trackwork
Voice Of A Dream: First foal of a class-2 performer, Jky cud not get a winner for this trainer in 4 pairings but has claims to upset

 Conclusion: Ordinary field of 3yrs old. City of Gravitas can sprint to glory in debut run but first run after gelding hence ignoring . Keep an eye on odds trend of Raisina Hills. The Image does not appeal for win

***************************************************

Race-2: 4. Sea Of Class

N R I Blue: Only C&D winner in the set, last run was very bad
Solar Eclipse: Improved slightly in last run, has services of the top rider this time
Open Affair: Negative shoes
Sea Of Class: drop in handicap and Blinkers on, can surprise.
Asturias: Poor show till now.
Inception: Working well, trainer is in full upbeat form landing huge gambles.
That's My Way: Improved last time and now gets better rider, not shown in the tracks after last run.
Hip Hop: No trackwork.
Rhine: Failed to show out after a promising run in Rno 114 of Monsoon, same jky rides now
Racing Rani: Nothing encouraging in the formline
New Hustle : failed 9 times in this class, does not appeal in the Division logic

Conclusion: NRI Blue is the best but has been  struggling after changing stables. Sea of Class is better than Solar Eclipse on 26th sep line and better than most of the runners here on 27th Dec and 13th Dec line hence first preference

***************************************************

Race-3: 2.Morior Invictus

Campania: Winner of the lower grade, has penalty to beat.
Morior Invictus: 3/4 th sister to Horus hence mile trip is well within her reach, keeping fit.
Kimberley: Last run was below par, Jky has executed few gambles for this stables, can surprise
Dream Station: Failed to win in a lower grade, again change of equipment!!
Southern Act: Merits attention for close 3rd despite saddle slipping over this C&D in Rno 62
Royal Girl: Winner but TR earned was lower than the 6th placed!!!
Lightning Power: Excuses in both run this season, struggling to regain lost form
Miss Little Angel: Winner of lower class, step up trip will strain stamina of this front roller
Winning Streak: Drop in handicap, can surprise over favourable mile trip
Team Player: Failed 10 times in this class
Silver Bells: Failed in lower grade, will carry overweight
Isra: Modest bred, looks sharp in trials, but others appeal more

 

Conclusion: A competitive affair where Morior Invictus is the first preference. Kimberley and Southern Act can make finish interesting

***************************************************

Race-4: 2.Knotty Dancer

Blue Origin: Incurred steep penalty after participating in the Grade races.

Knotty Dancer: Well placed on handicap vis-Γ -vis Rno 18
Akido: Better than Blue Origin on Nov-8 line, improved in the last run
Unsung Hero: Loves to rattle rail birds…step up trip and penalty are against
City Of Blessing: Winner of a lower grade of class-4 but well placed on the weights in this class
Able Love : Not better than City of Blessings on 27/11 line
Siyavash: Eyeing demotion, Performs better on Monsoon track
N R I Sport: Not better than City of Blessings on 27/11 line, others appeal more
Jean Lafette: Struggling in this class-3
Keystone: Pitched in this class-3 for first time, failed to deliver in class-4 with the same jockey

 

Conclusion: Knotty Dancer appears to have a clear advantage. City of Blessings can place at decent odds

***************************************************

Race-5: 8.Narakamicie

Take A Gamble: First run here conceding weight to same age contestants

Unmatched: Winner of a lower grade, has penalty to beat
Hot Seat: Finally cleared maiden last time, can score an encore
Blue Label: Lower class winner who is drawn widest this time-ignore
Cabello: inept handling by the rider last time, not sighted in tracks thereafter
Archangels: Finished in ruts last 3 outings
Siri: Developed issues of slow starts
Narakamicie: Excuse of an interference in the last run, has decent chances at this handicap
Star Cruise: Landed a succesful place gamble last time, will run unextended here
Smolensk: Debut run was pretty ordinary, will need few more runs
Aibak: Failed 22 times in this class!!
Ashwa Sulta : Negative shoes
Sputnic: Will target lower class
Story Teller: Poor Trainer-Jockey partnership

 

Conclusion: Narakamicie should be able to reverse its standing against Hot Seat

***************************************************

Race-6: 1.Lagos

Lagos: Speedy and looks best on the 5th Dec line

Agni: Out of form and looks outclassed here
Market King: Has penalty to beat now
Xfinity: Speedy and targets Big Race days
Headway: Doosra from over hyped Sunderji stables, best for 1000mts
Saffron Art: Will struggle over this unfavourable shorter trip
Skipton: All 3 runs this season have been ordinary
Watch My Stride: Now in higher class where it does not look well placed
Incredulous: Runs after a gap of 55 days and will struggle
Staridar: Not with this Jockey over unfavourable trip
Stunning Force: On Promotion under a new rider in a hot paced race, numbers favor

 

Conclusion: Highly competitive race which can go anyway. Lagos is first preference. Stunning Force can place at decent odds

***************************************************

Race-7: 4.Despang

Bloom Buddy: Last two runs slow start, cannot trust this type of horses

Wallop And Gallop: Struggling with the issues of slow start and hanging under pressure
Philanthropist: Will not relish drop in distance and higher handicap this time
Despang: Repeats in the same C&D, Can defy lenient penalty
Greek's Ace: Winner of a lower class, has failed 9 times in this class-4
Call Of The Blue: Poor T-J, Performs better on Monsoon Track
Grand Duke: Best on the 2nd Jan Line
Majestic Show: Disastrous debut run
Battle Ready: Improved in the last run, step up trip does not suit
Sorry Darling: Facing Younger horses this time
Pedro Planet: Dropped a lot in the handicap and can land a place berth at huge odds
Dream Jewel: Winner of a lower grade of class-5

 

Conclusion: Despang and Grand Duke are the shortlisted ones. Pedro Planet if on job can land a place berth

***************************************************

Race-8: 10.Teresita

Ashwa Raudee: Staying attributes from Sire{Razeen line},

Buckley: Dam was Oaks winner at Bangalore

Count Of Savoy: Displayed front rolling tendencies till now, Dam was Nizam Gold Cup Winner

Fire Power: Dam was Golcanda Derby winner, last run was an eye catching effort

Karanveer: Maiden, serious stamina query over this grueling 12f

Painted Apache: Will see his stamina stretched over this extended trip

Stockbridge: 2000G winner and that appears the best he could do

Faith Of Success: Oaks winner, facing talented sturdy colts

Icicle: Last run was too bad where it drifted and did not finish

Teresita: Bangalore Oaks winner, looks sharp in trials, top rated in terms

 

Conclusion: An open affair. On class progression terms Faith of Success and Teresita are better than rest. Buckley can make finish interesting

***************************************************

Race-9: 9.Good Tidings

Precious Gift: Drops to lowest class, no trackwork noted

Stride Forever: Poor formline

Rivadavia: Decent forward effort last time, now eases off in grade

Spectacular Cruise: Absolutely no show till now, no idea why trainer opted for better rider this time

N R I City: Last run was bad, earlier failed to show out with a top jockey

Amalfitana: Speedy, Jockey has a poor partnership with trainer {0/3/0/11}

New Role: Better rider this time, very poor show till now

N R I Gift: Improved in last run, has failed 19 times in this class

Good Tidings: Horse-Jockey developing partnership

It's My Life: Poor formline and stables non preferred jockey

Royal Avenger: At the least possible rating, failed in lower grades

 

Conclusion: Lower grade of class-5 where in almost all runners have poor formline and in such cases it is better to opt for a horse ridden by top jockey. Rivadavia can place at lucrative odds

***************************************************

Try a roll with bare minimum investment

Win: 4-2/5-8/7-4/9-9 (Failed in last leg)

Place: 2-4/3-5/4-5/6-11/9-3

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Next Posting

Friday, January 28, 2022

 Hi

Next Posting of selections along with comments would be for 30th Jan Hyderabad races


Worksheets containing DR/TR/JK/TRV/NTR is available on a monthly subscription of 2000/-
{Bloggers personal choices would be posted in blog for general} 

Remittance can be done in following 
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Vinod Vyas
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After payment send a mail to vinodvyass76@gmail.com 

Sample Worksheet 
DR==Dynamic Ratings {Speed Ratings Adjusted with Track Bias, Distance and Weights}
TR==Time Form Ratings {Rating arrived by adjusting all horses in a race to a standard Weight closely on lines what is adopted by leading Time Form analyst around the world}
TRV==Trainer Performance Value {Higher the better }
JKV==Jockey Performance Value {Higher the better }
NTR== Net Final Rating arrived using an algorithm alloting due weightage to all handicap factors. In simple word NTR lists out best handicapped horses
T-J== Trainer &Jockey Partnership Stats
Class+Distance== Performance in Class and Class+Current Race distance
HR+JKY==Horse &Jockey stats
First Up==Performance of the horse after a lay-off more than 100 days

 PLEASE NOTE WORKSHEETS WONT CONTAIN SELECTIONS OR ANALYSIS

Race-1

1400

00-25

 

Sl

Name

DR

TR

TD

Trv

Jkv

Age

Shoes

Prep

NTR

T-J

00-25

Class5+1400

Hr+Jky

6

GRAND CHEVALIER

619

7,32

 32 

17

24

60

100

70

59

1

1

3

13

0

0

0

2

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

1

9

MISS CHINA

617

23,29

23 29

22

26

40

100

10

48

0

0

2

10

0

0

0

4

0

0

0

3

0

0

0

0

2

ALL GREAT FRIENDS

613

57,20

20

17

20

100

70

53

6

3

8

70

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

8

LADYBLUE

606

19,-27

19  

23

33

40

100

10

48

0

2

1

11

0

0

0

2

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

2

7

SPIRITUALQUEEN

581

-3,19

14

2

0

100

70

50

0

0

0

4

1

0

1

4

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

4

HIGHLAND PARK

576

-4,46

 46

21

23

40

100

70

55

0

2

1

15

0

1

1

3

0

0

1

2

0

0

0

0

3

VALENTINO ROSSO

567

3,-33

22

9

20

100

70

51

2

1

7

28

0

0

0

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

11

ORION PRINCESS

560

-27,-13

 -13 

11

5

20

0

70

43

0

0

0

9

0

0

1

8

0

0

0

2

0

0

0

1

10

RUSSIAN SPY

543

-27,59

-27  

13

21

10

100

70

51

10

8

8

70

0

0

1

2

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

5

RED HOT CHILLI

511

-71,-142

-71 -142 

23

6

20

0

70

41

0

0

0

4

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

1

JUNGLE STREAM

497

-70,-13

21

15

60

0

40

43

0

1

0

4

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

Top 4 in NTR

6-4-2-10

 


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About This Blog

All the postings and comments are my personal Views.Owner of the blog cannot be held responsible for any consequences arising due to use of data from this blog for any wagering etc . The blog is basically for information & guidance purposes and not for basis of any venture of any kind. I have created this site for airing my views on the subject and not for any personal benefits

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