Monday, August 15, 2022

Hyderabad and Pune Independence Day Choices

 

Happy 75th Independence Day to all beloved countrymen
 
As a goodwill gesture posting choices along with analysis for both centers
 
 🇮🇳 Hyderabad
 
Race-1: 10. Yaletown
City Cruise ran below par in last two runs on this Monsoon track, should improve over step up trip
Resurgence was victim of poor handling in last run, looks very sharp in trials but first run this season and change of equipment are negatives
Shubrak is an average bred who will need few runs
Tiger Mountain made debut in weak looking field where it finished far behind winner, will need more sharpening
Yaletown gave a good forward run over this trip and appears to be a default contender
 
Race-2: 5. Gurbaaz/ 2. Ice Berry
Isra has won twice over this C&D but seems to struggle on Monsoon track
Ice Berry performed well over Monsoon track last season, can be a different customer in second run of this season
Mireya has short burst of speed
Gurbaaz after two easy runs gets positive switch in shoes, has won a race over mile last season
Starwalt won despite hanging out last time, now pitched in higher class
 
Race-3: 4.Quality Warrior/ 1.Siyavash
Siyavash was fancied by us last time where it appeared be bit rusty, should run good this time and can finish in 1-2
Quality warrior was not on job last time due to presence of stablemate Bellagio, has leading claims on TR it got in Rno 171 of Winter season
Black Onyx gave a decent forward run last time after returning from a setback
Ashwa Pushkin appeared rusty last time, can surprise at this weights
 
Race-4: 1.Lamha
Lamha is a gutsy miler who in last run beat good horses and despite top handicap looks formidable
Galwan runs after a gap of 8 months
Miss Marvellous has failed 24 times in this class
Pacific Command who returned lame last time will not be pressed against stablemate
 
Race-5: 4. Lifes Song/ 2. Kingston
Blue Origin failed as fav against better horses, retained at same mark
Kingston after two easy runs should perform well under this Jockey and most probably end in 1-2
Amyra runs well when least expected, has earlier won with this Jockey
Lifes Song was mighty impressive winner and with that TR tough to take a stand against her
 
Race-6: 4. N R I Secret
Battle Ready drops to target class, has earlier won in First Up Run
N RI Secret was not given judicious ride last time, can sprint away in this shorter trip
Life Time’s performance can be gauged by race time odds
Good Tidings has failed with this Jockey in lower grades

***************************

DAYS BEST: LAMHA [4-1]

🇮🇳 PUNE
 
RACE-1: 2. Doc Martin
Commandment could not improve significantly even with aids of Blinkers last time, now drops to the lowest class and runs without Blinkers, has tendency of getting stuck in traffic
Doc Martin the offspring of Quasar was hanging under pressure last time, has been tested with Blinkers in trials and should run good
Jack Bauer a modest bred from low performing stables was ordinary in both runs of career
Mad Love was supposed to run on 29th July but race got cancelled due to heavy rains, that set was easy for him whereas this one looks a bit tough

Conclusion: Top handicap horses in card dominate lowest class races. Doc Martin has best TR and hence given first preference

 
RACE-2: 1.Montgomery
Montgomery finished second in debut run in modest company
Champagne Smile is a modest bred who is most suited for this 6f trip
Lady Cadet is full sister to Mzilikazi , urged for response in final fast work suggesting she may need a run
Zip Along has been finishing far away from winner, stables usually don’t go all out in maidens race.

Conclusion: Montgomery is best among experienced horses and can score in this modest set

 
RACE-3: 8. Buckley
Multistarrer performs well at Pune but has piled up handicap and will find it tough to carry top weight
Flaming Lamborgini the only Class and Distance winner has all boxes ticked except for Horse+ Jockey
Arabian Phoenix defied setback factor to win well last time, goes up in class at a slightly higher handicap
Wellington from Madras will use this unfavorable trip as a lung opening exercise
Pure likes to roll in front and will see her stamina stretched over this mile trip
Mandeville who faced an inquiry for dismayed performance last time is running first time after a gelding operation
Buckley participated in grade races at Hyd, Jockey has stunning 39% strike rate for this trainer
Alastair appears to be an ordinary horse

Conclusion: A competitive event where Buckley is preferred solely on the count that stables regard him as classic prospect. Flamingo Lamborgini has credentials to end up in 1-2.

 
RACE-4: 2. Petronia
Petronia was asking for more ground in last run where despite an unfavourable trip was installed as hot fav, should redeem that losses in this race
In Contention piled up huge handicap owing to his winning spree at Hyderabad
Rambler drops in handicap after an easy outing
Pride Angel struggles in First Up Runs
Alicia is better than Petronia on 7th November line but could not find any preparatory gallops hence ignored
Kinnara with issues of hanging out under pressure is a difficult horse to handle

Conclusion: Petronia has outstanding credentials. Rambler can grace board at decent odds

 
RACE-5: 1. House Of Lords
House of Lord’s last run can be ignored as it was first run after gelding
Golden Lioness who is full sister to Leopard Rock failed as fav in debut against better horses and improved with blinkers in next run, I have strong reservation against this mediocre Jockey
Kaitlan ran fairly at Hyd, Trainer Sunderji needs to revive his old spark

Conclusion: I will make an exception to my rule of not backing N Lagad’s horses in a maidens race and fancy House of Lords

 

RACE-6: 5. Leto
Gangster from Madras is one of the successful offspring of Quasar and despite Dam being a class-1 sprinter won a 10f race very easily, true class will be revealed here in company of superior RWITC horses
Kamaris has best TR for this trip but struggles in First Up Runs
Leto after a good lung opener is entrusted to local champ, first foal of Devoted Eyes can easily stay this trip
Royal Alamdaar finished second in a modest set and any further improvement looks unlikely
Sky Storm appears to be one paced

Conclusion: While Gangster, Kamaris and Sky Storm have decent credentials laced with a negative it would pay to back Leto who is bound to relish this 10f trip

 

RACE-7: 1.Magileto
Magileto failed as a "only 3yrs old" in a handicap debut race after winning impressively at Mumbai, should be able to redeem that losses
Almas from Sunderji’s stables performed well at Hyd
Esperanza extended well to burn both ends succesfully in last run, does not impress on class progression terms
Fortune Teller had an excuse of whip loss in last run, drops back to winning class
Trinket obliged us as an upset place prospect, loves Pune track but may struggle in this set

Conclusion: 3yrs old are expected to dominate and among them Magileto despite wide draw appeals most.

RACE-8: 4. Cognosco
Perfect Man who had setback in Mumbai drops to the lowest class and looks well prepared
Cognosco is a sprinter by breeding, belongs to weak connections but numbers are good
Red Dust despite top saddle assistance and change of equipment could not show any improvement last time
Conclusion: Cognosco appeals most in this race
 

DAYS BEST: MONTGOMERY [2-1]

GOOD: PETRONIA, COGNOSCO