Mixed card with a possibility of 1 or 2 upsets. Merit odds will be updated in WhatsApp channel
Race-1: DOUBLE SCOTCH (7)
AGAPE has scope for improvement with Ts on but top weight of 61kgs and weak finish are negatives. PALMA showed no significant improvement with Blinkers in last run, dangerous if fancied in this lowest class otherwise can be ignored. ENJOYABLE has run advantage, capable of sprinting all the way from barrier to post. FRIYA in my record book is marked as "Note when runs without Blinkers" , has good speed and without blinkers this time can upset. MAKOTO foal of a decent miler drops to lowest class, belongs to scheming connections that can eye a gamble in this weak set, race time odds will present clear picture. DOUBLE SCOTCH has been running consistent in last few runs and on that count merits prime attention
Conclusion: This class-5 race over 1500mts is usually full of inconsistent horses, unreliable form, hidden intent from connections and large improvement/regression pattern hence emphasis would be on recent progressive form, handicap advantage and distance aptitude. At this stage picking Double scotch due to recent form but hidden intent has to be carefully reviewed.
Post Race: Results 6-1-8
Agatha was backed well from 13/10 to 90/100 but there was big gamble on Mokovo (3.75 to 12/10) which made every post a winning one to land a successful gamble. Dr Cholestar finished 3rd at lucrative odds denying Double Scotch a place berth
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Race-2: AGRADOR (2)
REFINED AGGRESSION, impressive winning debut profile, maintains fitness level, positive intent is shown in first run after gelding but series of recent medical issues should be accounted for. AGRADOR scored hat-trick in failing as fav, can redeem in this relatively weaker grade. CHINKY PINKY is drawn well for a customary pace stalking position, age limits her chances. HOLD YOUR BREATH makes handicap debut at attractive mark but insipid preparation and weak connections temper enthusiasm. MY SOLITAIRE has some form but all in lowest class. PURSUIT OF WEALTH despite slow starts finished close in last few runs, a clean jump can cause an upset over this favorable distance.
Conclusion: This lower grade of class-4 over 1400mts should be assessed on class transition, handicap placement and tactical speed + stamina. Winner should emerge between Agrador and Refined Aggression.
Post Race: Results 1-3-2
Refined Aggression (45/100-50/100) and Agrador (3.75 to 3.25) and others above 10/1 was the betting scenario.
Fav sat in pace stalking position whereas Agrador was in back bench. Refined Aggression won quite easily, Dr Ash finished second (backed well in place from 3/1 to 1.4) whereas Agrador could only finish a timid third.
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Race-3: BASILICA (12)
TRUE PUNCH (TR-79) won twice during the Mysore main season but faces a difficult task from a poor wide draw. SILICON STAR (TR-82) returns from a setback pleasing second in a mock race, though the lack of early speed combined with the widest draw makes the assignment tough. SENOR CHERIE (TR-69) suffered setbacks twice in the last three runs, but recent work suggests the horse is back to peak fitness. FELISA (TR-83) owns the best speed figures in the field, has drawn favorably, and should be prominently involved. MASTER WAY (TR-66) is consistent, though the current jockey booking may prove a disadvantage in securing a good position amid the expected strong pace. BASILICA (TR-93) had a valid excuse in the last outing and now appears attractively placed in the handicap.
Conclusion: In this Class 3 sprint, preference goes to horses that have consistently sustained their speed against stronger Class 3 opposition over 1200mts. On that count, the winner is likely to emerge from between BASILICA and FELISA
Post Race: Results ?-?-?
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Race-4: MAANA(2)
THE LEADER was not in his usual elements in last summer season which ended with a setback, recent trials are suggestive of its peak level fitness, top weight may trouble in last 100mts. MAANA is a progressive type filly and has strong chance in this set. SUNSHINE ran a good 3rd in 1000G, looks well prepared and should run a bold race. AQUASTIC has speed influence and may struggle over this distance. CORINTHAN drops significantly in class but lacks killer acceleration against strong finishers.
Conclusion: In this tricky class-3 race over 1500mts preference should be given to horses progressing in handicap and proven between 1400-1600mts.
Post Race: Results ?-?-?
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Race-5: EFFICACY (4)
PROMISE OF THE FUTURE runs well with fresh legs, has won a mock race last week and despite top handicap stays competitive. EFFICACY is a good mixture of speed and stamina and looks in pink conditions. JERSEY KING is at ideal handicap, booking of top Jockey emits positive intent to regain winning ways though there is a good possibility he may find one better. VICTORIA DORESAANI finishes on without any killer instinct. LUX ATERNA is drawn well for her lead/pace stalking tactics.
Conclusion: Most of the horses are well exposed and closely matched, winner usually is not the best handicapped but the one who gets best run at the race pace. Efficacy may steal the race before Promise of the future, Lux Aterna and Jersey King could sense the danger.
Post Race: Results ?-?-?
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Race-6: VALIANT STREAM (5)
UNFORGETTABLE STAR generally struggles in first-up appearances, and the booking of a second-string jockey suggests this could be more of a lung-opener run. EL REY, though enjoying favorable setups on several occasions, has repeatedly failed to deliver and does not inspire confidence. VALIANT STREAM emerges with a highly compelling profile. The colt was a repeat-pattern winner when comfortably beating JADE MOUNTAIN, who won last week, while AGRADOR has been installed favorite in second race of today's card. From the same race, AUCTUVA nearly won on opening day, JALWA scored on Saturday, and FIL DE FRANCE won last Sunday. Adding further strength to the case is a mighty impressive fast work under the same jockey, indicating peak fitness levels. GLORIOUS STRIDES does not appeal strongly on current preparation trends. PRINCE OF WALES appears well placed on all counts and, in all probability, could follow the winner home.
Conclusion: This race appears likely to be dominated by progressive types rather than exposed performers. On that basis, VALIANT STREAM appeals as the strongest winning proposition.
Post Race: Results ?-?-?
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DAYS BEST: VALIANT STREAM [6-5]
NEXT BEST: AGRADOR [2-2]
Place Accumulator: 1-4/ 3-5/ 6-9
