Bng 31.05

 Hi 

In the earlier post there was a crucial error hence deleted, ignore that post . 

Posting again  in few mins

Race-1: BARTOLINO (2)

After re-evaluating Dosage profiles, pattern of preparation and intent BARTOLINO emerges as main contender. 

Race-2: KHAZANA (3)--NEXT BEST

KHAZANA a well-bred filly at competitive mark is the best of lot.  AMAZING STORM a well-bred has shown good gallop in Mock race and with aid of change of equipment can reveal true potential .

Race-3: ASSURANCES (2)--DAYS BEST

ASSURANCES though a sprint oriented pedigree can tackle this modest set. NIGHT RAIDER with run benefit can be a live threat however lack of recent preparatory gallops forces us to reconfirm his fitness during paddock parade. STEELT CHALLENGE a moderate bred has done well in mock race and can be a surprise element 

Race-4:  CIRCLE OF DREAMS (3)

This is a highly competitive race with as many as 6 horses having decent credentials. On current form and fitness ALFONSINE stands out however change of Jockey slightly lowers confidence. CIRCLE OF DREAMS found distance slightly short for his comfort and lost as hot fav, should make amends over this favorable step up distance.  

Race-5:  BUCKINGHAM (3)

SIEGE STORM was impressive winner but the TR earned was below par. BUCKINGHAM has excellent TR and despite downgrade in Jockey appeals most

Race-6: STEFFEN (2)

Between top-2 in card. DASADAYU ran decent in stronger companies and stands decent chance. STEFFEN has run advantage and will try a pillar to post tactics from innermost barrier. 

Race-7: Valiant Stream (3)

Valiant Stream's last run was too bad to be true, merits another chance

Bangalore 30.05

 

Indian Racing Industry received a big jolt on May 26th when Supreme Court upheld the constitutional validity of Rule 31(A) of  GST which levies tax on gross value. Supreme Court further opined that betting whether on speculative or Skill based games falls under the bracket of gambling. 

There is a very faint hope in form of a petition by Race Clubs regarding effect on legal wagering due to GST which will be heard after vacation. Whether Supreme Court will come to rescue of only legal betting second time is something only time will tell.  

Appears to be a fav card

Race-1: ARK EMPEROR (1)

ARK EMPEROR looks the best prepared horse of the race with deep conditioning work and strong intent signals. HANIEL appears the improving dark horse with progressive work pattern. PERFECT DREAM relies more on latent class and stable confidence than hard evidence of superior preparation.

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Race-2: MIRACLE STAR (4)

GOLDEN THUNDER runs exceptionally well with fresh legs, preparation pattern is suggestive of a positive intent in this slightly shorter trip as well MIRACLE STAR, the winner of Mysore Derby has proved her class, her mettle against superior horses in Summer season last year, field is weak due to inter-related opponents. 

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Race-3: THE ARCHER (8)

THE ARCHER like we mentioned last time needs mile but a run advantage may help him to produce peak performance over 1400mts as well. BORN TO RISE is thoroughly conditioned with repeated strong gallops and looks one of the fittest runners in the field. Major threat if able to transfer morning ability to race conditions. RAMPAGE a well-bred colt has impressed in both workouts, trainer + Jockey means business {5 wins out of 13 pairings} but over 1400mts preference is always for experienced runners. KNOTTY EMPEROR looks overworked and appears to be a grinder rather than a sharp maiden winner. 

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Race-4: REFINED AGGRESSION (4)

REFINED AGGRESSION is a progressive handicap colt maintaining excellent condition after consecutive wins and appears capable of defying rise in class before handicapper fully anchors him.

THESSALIAN has attained competitive mark and can complete 1-2 for the stables. SEE THE LIGHT a well-bred filly will not relish the hot pace of this 6f race. TRUE PUNCH in hands of Suraj failed to deliver in 5yrs above group last time. SPLENDID DREAM the stablemate of See The Light is drawn well for his customary front rolling style but lacks class depth to tackle much superior horses

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Race-5: MONEY BAGS (2)

MONEY BAGS and EFFICACY were both highly impressive last-start winners and again appear the principal contenders here. MONEY BAGS looks a progressive handicapper advantageously placed on the weights, maintains fitness and capable of dictating terms if allowed an easy lead over 1400m. EFFICACY remains the class benchmark of the race and could prove hard to contain despite top weight if reproducing recent form. RODNEY was an eye catching winner last time however lack of recent works and strongly run 1400mts race may not suit his aggressively front running style

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Race-6 PRINCE OF VALES (3)

PRINCE OF VALES clocked best finishing effort while winning close home, maintains form, wide draw may not be an hindrance to this pace stalking gelding. BULLET PROOF an impressive winner can traverse the extra furlong, needs to carry back breaking top weight. FEELING GOOD can place at decent odds ALAMGIR is fully exposed. LARISSA is struggling to exit maiden ranks. 

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Race-7: CORINTHAN (1)

CORINTHAN seems to have been prepared for this target modest sprint  race of class-4. STORMY SHADOW is pitched in last winning Class but with 2kgs over burden. STRAVINSKY a heavy weight gelding will be fancied for Jockey booking but will not relish 6f trip. ROAD RUNNER has credentials to place. 

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Place Options: 1-5 / 2-1/ 3-1/ 4-7/ 6-7/7-8 

PS: Sunday posting may be slightly delayed

Mysore 27.05

 First day of Mysore Races after a long break, caution is adviced

R-1: 3.Anushtubha

R-2: 3.To Hot To Touch

R-3: 2.Habibti

R-4: 4.Chief Admiral

R-5: 8.Klimt –NEXT BEST

R-6: 2.Rise Again

R-7: 1.Miraculous Girl

R-8: 10.Straordinario—DAYS BEST

Place Options: 2-2/5-7/6-3/7-4

STUD POKER – A Horse to Follow

STUD POKER emerged as one of the most impressive winners of the Bangalore summer season with a professional victory over 1400mts. Carrying 56kgs, the colt clocked 1:24.06 — virtually matching the 1:24.11 recorded by the Class-1 performer ZUCCARO later on the same day.

The manner of victory was equally impressive. STUD POKER travelled smoothly, showed tactical speed, and quickened like a horse with far more ability than an ordinary maiden winner. His pedigree and dosage profile suggest he is likely to improve further over 1400 to 1600mts

With continued progress, STUD POKER already looks a leading contender for the prestigious Colts Championship Stakes. Should he prove himself successfully over a mile, connections may even begin considering a possible Bangalore 2000 Guineas campaign later in the season.

Bangalore 24.05

 

Saturday was personally very disappointing for me. In hindsight, I should not have overlooked the massive TR advantage held by MARGARETTA. Racing is a cruel and unforgiving game, where even the slightest lapse or error in judgement is punished severely. I never expected TOLKEIN and PROKOFIEV to engage in a speed duel completely contrary to their natural running styles. Whether it was a tactical move or a miscalculation, their chances were virtually extinguished by the bend itself.

RAW FORM ANALYSIS alone can never fully capture hidden intent — and that remains one of the most unpredictable dimensions of racing. Disturbed by a reader’s comment on a veteran blogger, accusing him of being a “bookie’s man” simply because his selections failed. Let me make one thing very clear — no one truly knows the outcome of a horse race. Owners, trainers, tipsters, analysts — everyone is ultimately working with probabilities, patterns, and interpretation of statistics. We can only study the form, apply logic, and make informed predictions.

Race-1: IBADATH  (2)

IBADATH appears to be the complete package in terms of fitness, pedigree balance, and race readiness, and is the one to be beaten

KNIGHTSBRIDGE possesses a strongly speed-oriented pedigree and is likely to contribute to the early pace before fading in the closing stages.

STUD POKER has a sprint-mile oriented dosage profile, indicating strong finishing stamina, and his sharp fast workouts further validate that impression.

BELLUCI clearly lacked tactical speed on debut and is likely to require a few more runs before reaching full maturity.

SHUTTERFLY has been personally conditioned by Trevor himself, has natural speed but from inner barriers may require luck in the final furlong to make a serious impact.

Conclusion: 3-year-old maiden races over 1400mts at Bangalore are usually decided by preparation and pedigree. Preference should be given to horses with progressive stamina-building trackwork, balanced dosage profiles and riders capable of timing a sustained finish up . Knightsbridge likely to force pace, Stud Poker will stalk pace, late finishers Ibadath and Shutterfly will dominate in the end

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Race-2: ARMINIIUS (1)

ARMINIIUS possesses an excellent sprint-oriented dosage profile with strong tactical speed ideally suited for 1100mts. The colt also displayed both speed and staying traits in the final fast workout, indicating solid race readiness.

ATMAN carries an extreme speed influence in the dosage profile, though his staying prowess remains questionable. The absence of a blowout or fast workout in the last 20 days is a negative indicator for his prospects in a sharp sprint contest.

NIMBUS SPEED has a well-balanced sprint-to-mile pedigree profile, combining sufficient pace with controlled energy distribution. Recent fast works suggest the colt may rely strongly on a pace collapse to deliver late.

EVERYNN possesses an attractive sprint-oriented dosage profile that points toward natural speed and tactical suitability for 1100mts, though the preparation pattern leaves some room for concern.

PORTIEUX appears to be stripping fitter with each outing, as reflected by the steady reduction in body weight. She has enough speed influence in her pedigree, but others appeal more strongly on overall dosage and pedigree parameters.

SAI PRINCESS, despite coming from modest connections, appears to have been prepared in an ideal manner for a debut run in a favorable sprint assignment.

Conclusion: Early-season 3yo maiden sprints over 1100mts at Bangalore usually favor naturally quick horses with recent sharp work, gate practice and tactical early speed. Pace will be genuine but runs the risk getting collapsed if 2-3 horses engage in speed dual initially. 

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Race-3: ZEPHYRINE (1)

ZEPHYRINE was an impressive repeat-pattern winner in a lower class event and continues to maintain peak fitness.

BLIND FAITH appears likely to struggle over this unfavorable sprint distance, while the jockey is still searching for a first winner for the stable.

LG’S STAR has now dropped to a competitive handicap mark and should be strongly involved in the finish.

PARADOXICAL possesses, as indicated by the dosage profile, natural cruising speed along with an effective turn of acceleration ideally suited for this sprint contest. The preparation pattern further validates the pedigree inclination.

ANNABELLE shaped like a likely winner last time out but drifted late and disappointed as a hot favorite. However, the low weight in this stronger class could help the well-bred filly finally shed her maiden status.

Conclusion: In this  lower grade of class-4 progressive types maintaining speed and time form rating and recent fitness edges out fully exposed handicappers. Last start winner Zephyrine, interesting debutant Paradoxical and keen to prove Annabelle emerge as prime contenders. 

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Race-4: GLORIOUS STRIDES  (2)

STAR OF INDIA relishes summer conditions and traditionally performs well in the second-up run. The top-weight burden is significantly offset by the allowance claimed by the apprentice jockey.

GLORIOUS STRIDES showed glimpses of his old form while finishing a close second last time out. With blinkers fitted and Suraj in the saddle, he holds every chance of producing a winning gallop.

ALEXANDROS, a reject from the powerful P. Shroff stable, has been shaping well in trials but appears ideally suited to longer trips around 9–10 furlongs.

STALINGRAD is gradually developing the profile of a “morning glory” — highly impressive in trials but repeatedly disappointing under race conditions.

AZALEA, in my view, is fundamentally a 2400mts horse. Although possessing undeniable class, the preparation pattern suggests this runner may need an outing to adapt fully to the new turf conditions.

Conclusion: In this mile race of class-4 younger horses with consistency, peak fitness and distance aptitude merit attention against exposed older horses. Glorious Strides has decent credentials based on the criteria mentioned. 

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Race-5: FORTIS (6)

BEZWADA SULTAN may find himself vulnerable against the younger brigade in this contest.

SMALL DREAMS is a well-bred and useful type who generally performs honestly. He lacked initial speed in the seasonal debut but was subsequently given a jump-out practice, suggesting the stable has worked on sharpening him up.

FORTIS was lightly raced against superior opposition in his seasonal return, and this well-bred colt is expected to be a completely different proposition against this relatively weaker field.

LA MCQUEEN advertised his fitness with an eye-catching forward run in the first outing of the season. The reasonably well-bred runner has the ability to figure prominently, though he may require a near-perfect ride from his moderate jockey.

Conclusion: This class-3 sprint race should be dominated  by horses that have perfect balance of speed and stamina and have proven record at this levels. Most of the horses aren't active in morning trials thereby giving an impression that pace may not be honest which can aid Fortis better than other hopefuls

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Race-6: SIEGE COURAGOUS (5)

MANDARINO appears outclassed in this company.

KNOTTY CHARMER has not looked the same horse since returning from the Chennai.

ZUCCARO has achieved credibly at Mumbai, and the Bangalore turf should suit his style of running. There is little to fault against his chances on current parameters.

SIEGE COURAGEOUS has performed below expectations in the last two outings; however, an eye-catching fast workout displaying both good speed and a strong finish indicates that the gelding is nearing peak fitness.

CROWN DRIVE is yet to register a victory outside Chennai, which remains a notable concern.

GALAHAD possesses the ability to dictate the race from the outset and could prove dangerous if allowed an uncontested lead.

Conclusion: Highly competitive event with all participants having edge in one or the other department. Siege Courageous and Zuccaro are ante post fancies.

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Race-7: EBOTSE  (4)

SOUTHERN FORCE drops in class for this assignment but tends to struggle during the summer season and is largely a Mysore specialist, with four of his five career victories having come at that venue.

MYSTIKOS failed to overcome his lean patch even against moderate opposition at Mysore. He appears to lack the necessary speed and, despite the assistance of a top jockey, remains difficult to fancy.

EBOTSE has been knocking on the door and could prove a different proposition against this six-years-and-above group. The gelding’s chances may ultimately be best judged through market support.

SUPER KIND has previously won under the exact class, distance, and age-group conditions, though the unfavorable outside draw could significantly hamper his prospects.

BREEZE BUSTER won against a moderate lower-class field last time out, the widest draw here may make it difficult to reproduce that performance.

STAR COMET shaped well in the comeback run after a lengthy 434-day absence. Nicely drawn and likely to strip fitter, he should run a competitive race against this older set of horses.

Conclusion: This Class-4 sprint for horses aged six years and above has the look of a potential gambling race, where raw form analysis alone may prove of little value. On pure intuition, EBOTSE is being fancied as a possible plunge horse in this field. STAR COMET appears the next best hopeful. 

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Race-8: SCENT OF RAIN (7)

GLORIOUSNESS appears to have suffered a setback during the last summer season, which could explain the absence of meaningful morning workouts. Her old form no longer carries the same authority, and despite top saddle assistance, she is difficult to fancy.

JADE MOUNTAIN returned as a repeat-pattern winner despite the excuse of a saddle slip. She continues to maintain form and looks capable of defying the penalty once again.

OUT INTO SPOTLIGHT appears more of a reject case, while the last performance was distinctly below par.

ZAYANA scored impressively last time out, albeit in a lower grade. The manner of victory was noteworthy, though the lack of significant trackwork suggests the stable may not be overly aggressive with intentions today.

MNEMOSYNE won a weaker division of this class last time but earned only a modest TR, leaving questions about the overall strength of that performance.

SCENT OF RAIN makes a handicap debut from what appears to be a workable mark. Peak fitness levels are indicated by an impressive fast workout, making this runner a leading contender.

Conclusion: This race appears likely to favor proven performers and class droppers. On that basis, the contest seems primarily centered around SCENT OF RAIN and JADE MOUNTAIN.

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BEST : 4-2/ 6-5/ 8-7 

Bangalore 23.05

Contrary to the advertised first four meetings, six meetings were reserved exclusively for local horses to compensate for the loss of the winter racing season. In today’s card, however, the presence of a few runners from the powerful P. Shroff yard has added greater depth and competitiveness to several races. Overall, the 7 races card promises exciting finishes and the possibility of rewarding odds due to the highly competitive nature of the fields.

My emphasis is on identifying overlays and avoiding false favorites

Race-1: OSAKA (4)

BRIGHT THUNDER possesses a pure sprinter’s pedigree, appears well prepared, and could prove dangerous if allowed to establish a sizeable lead. EURO STAR ideally requires 1400mts and beyond, though the eye-catching track work deserves close attention, can become dangerous if Bright Thunder enforces a suicidal pace. ON THE FIRE, judging by both dosage profile and preparation pattern, is likely to warm up late and may need a few runs before reaching peak effectiveness. OSAKA, the only runner with race experience, owns the best overall dosage profile for this 1200mts contest. The trackwork pattern mirrors that profile perfectly, highlighting tactical speed combined with sharp acceleration. SPARK OF LIFE has a staying-speed oriented dosage profile that may not ideally suit this sprint trip and has also been worked lightly in morning exercise. STRONG AND LIGHT is bred for longer distances, and this outing under a second-string jockey appears more an educational run than a serious winning attempt.

 

Conclusion: In this maiden sprint, pedigree, preparation, and stable intent become the decisive factors. In all probability, BRIGHT THUNDER could dictate terms from the front before being overtaken in the final 200–300mts by the strongly finishing OSAKA.

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Race-2: LG'S SCRIPT (3)

KAZING was eased off by the jockey after hanging out badly last time and now reappears in a lower grade over the same class and distance with hoods applied. However, the top-weighted filly lacks natural speed and is inconvenienced by a wide draw. IMPERIAL STAR, a foal of a black-type dam, showed improvement in the first outing of the season and could register a second career success through similar pillar-to-post tactics. LG'S SCRIPT qualifies strongly on recent improvement, and the additional 1kg penalty is unlikely to prove significant in a race of this modest standard. SHOCK AND AWE is somewhat lethargic by nature but, from the favorable inside draw, could attempt to steal the race from the word go.

Conclusion: In this lowest-grade contest, preference should be towards horses showing signs of restored fitness, class relief, and hidden stable intent. On those parameters, IMPERIAL STAR and LG'S SCRIPT emerge as the leading contenders, with preference narrowly favoring latter owing to the recent fitness

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Race-3: QUEENDOM (7)

FILS DE FRANCE successfully carried top weight to victory in a lower class event over this same distance and remains a progressive colt, though the wide draw poses a challenge. BLUE STORM overcame slow-starting issues to score as a repeat-pattern winner and holds an advantage over FILS DE FRANCE on the May 3 line but slow start tendencies become dangerous with rise in weight. The colt appears to have maintained fitness, as reflected by a controlled fast-work outing. LENA returns to the original stable and center but, with strong speed influence in the pedigree, is likely to struggle over this 1400mts trip. QUEENDOM responded positively to the equipment change when finishing second last time and now enjoys a significant pull in the weights. With a balanced speed-stamina dosage profile, the filly could control the race from the front throughout.

Conclusion: In this lower-grade Class 4 contest, preference should be given to lightly raced improvers, horses with strong recent runs, and those holding a hidden handicap advantage. BLUE STORM and QUEENDOM could dominate proceedings from the front throughout, though the pull in weights may tilt the advantage slightly towards QUEENDOM.

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Race-4: MOONSTAR (6)

AQUASTIC surprised all by staying in front all the way over 1500mts, penalty and widest draw will strongly deter chances of this mare for an encore. PERFECT ATTITIUDE performs well with fresh legs, returns to handicap class but faces strong opponents. SASSY SARAH despite top saddle assistance struggled to perform in this class. MOON STAR was bit rusty in seasonal debut but the booking of top Jockey and suggestive trials are signs of classic recovery plotting. ALFONSINE is an excellent bred but her final fast working appears to be free moving one than explosive and she may win thru class rather than dominance ANGELISA failed as hot fav in Indian Fillies stake, this speed leaning filly does not appeal on preparation model. THRILL OF BRAZIL can thrill by landing a place at lucrative odds. 

Conclusion: This is competitive class-3 race , proven horses with recent fitness and distance aptitude should be fancied against penalized or improving sorts. Alfonsine along with  Moon Star tops the list 

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Race-5: TOLKEIN  (4)

INSPIRE finished close up over an unfavorable shorter trip in the seasonal debut; the extra furlong should suit and she is expected to be prominently involved. PROKOFIEV justified strong market support and defied the class rise with ease. TOLKEIN scored impressively and boasts an excellent form-line. ICE OF FIRE, winner of the 1000 Guineas during the winter season, does not appeal with this jockey booking. MARGERETTA was a mighty impressive winner in Mumbai, earning the highest possible TR; despite carrying an overweight of 1.5kgs, she can strongly challenge the supremacy of Prokofiev

.

Conclusion: In this top-quality contest, the horse that secures the best race run could matter more than bare form alone. All the contenders are proven performers, each possessing a distinct strength of its own. PROKOFIEV will be the obvious choice of most pundits, but he will have to earn victory the hard way. TOLKEIN should be in 1-2

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Race-6: CR SEVEN (6) / 3.MANDATE { If fancied}

DETECTIVE CONAN possesses a strong intermediate-speed dosage ideally suited for 1400mts and has the pedigree balance to cope with 62.5kgs better than most other Class-5 runners. MANDATE, a foal of an Oaks winner, can outclass this field on sheer class edge, but must first prove race fitness after a 177-day break without any preparatory work. RAZZMATAZZ, a lightweight filly, finished third under an apprentice rider; however, the strong speed influence in her dosage profile and the burden of carrying 61kgs remain significant negatives. VERSACE, a reject cast , does not appeal in this stronger grade. CR SEVEN is expected to expose his true potential in this lowest class, Well placed on the handicap and a strong market check on this runner from scheming connections is highly recommended.

Conclusion: This Class-5 contest over 1400mts shapes up as a fascinating affair, featuring a promising debutant gelding, a well-bred runner dropping in class, a few horses arriving with encouraging recent form, and an intriguing hidden-intent candidate. At this stage, CR SEVEN gets the nod as the top selection largely on the intuition that his gambling-oriented connections may try him all out today. However, if MANDATE passes the fitness test and continues to attract strong market support right until race time, he could emerge as the one to beat.

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Race-7: FLIGHT OF FANTASY (1)

FLIGHT OF FANTASY is a previous winner over the exact class, distance, division, and weight conditions. An eye-catching fast workout followed by a sharp final blowout suggests she may be ridden aggressively from the innermost barrier using start-to-finish tactics. SAPPORO holds the advantage of recent race fitness but may need to shed a few kilos to gain a stronger competitive edge. ZILFEE gets the services of a top rider after a lung-opener outing. Her pedigree reflects an ideal balance of speed and stamina, though a filly carrying 60kgs against colts and geldings of the same age is always a risky proposition. MISTER BROWN has impressed in morning trials displaying a controlled-to-strong gallop under the same jockey. He has been consistent since shifting stables, and his positive distance aptitude combined with a favorable handicap mark makes him a dangerous contender. SUPREME SUCCESS, a well-bred gelding, finally shed his maiden status at the eleventh attempt last time out, albeit while earning only a modest TR. He now makes a quick reappearance in a tougher class assignment.

Conclusion: In this competitive Class-4 event over 1400mts, horses consistently finishing within the top four while maintaining strong Speed and Time Form ratings, backed by evidence of recent fitness, appear to hold a distinct edge over fully exposed rivals. FLIGHT OF FANTASY ticks all the right boxes on current parameters, while MISTER BROWN is expected to run a bold race and finish in the top three 

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DAYS BEST:  [1-4] OSAKA 

Place Accumulator:  1-1//4-10//5-4//7-5

Bangalore 17.05

Saturday’s races, barring the maiden event, were largely dominated by front-runners and pace stalkers. Horses attempting to finish late found it difficult to make ground as the pace remained strong throughout. Even STAR GLORY, generally considered a specialist over 1200mts, managed to sustain the lead all the way over 1400mts

Most pre-race assessments were built around the possibility of a pace collapse, but that scenario never materialized. In fact, the only winning selection that succeeded came from off the pace, underlining how differently races can unfold in reality. The day itself began on a disappointing note when our strongly fancied runner in the opener lost the race at the gates after a slow jump. Assessments regarding ACANTHA and SUPPREME SUCCESS also failed badly.

That, ultimately, is the beauty of this sport — races may appear deeply complex on paper, yet the eventual results can sometimes make them look like the simplest of quizzes.

Sunday races though appear bit better and hopefully should recoup the losses of Saturday

Race-1: WINDCLEAVER (1)

WINDCLEAVER, a decently bred runner, stayed on well to finish third on opening day and now takes on older horses from an unchanged mark. The addition of a first-time trackwork session is a positive indicator. DAYS DATE is a speedy one that reappears without any preparation. MEGA SUCCESS has dropped to a competitive handicap mark but lacks natural speed and is further inconvenienced by the widest draw. SLING SHOT has slipped close to the last winning mark and comes here with an ideal preparation pattern — a blowout followed by a stretching push under an apprentice, signaling sharpness. Combined with favorable class, distance, and positive equipment changes, the gelding shapes as a potent upset candidate. DOUBLE SCOTCH enjoys some relief in the handicap but remains an overall weak performer. N R I GOLD has a weak form line and fails to appeal on any significant count. EMBOSOM raced one-paced while holding third throughout in a very weak field last time and may struggle to reproduce even that effort here. EMERALDO has dropped well below the last winning mark ,struggles on the Bangalore summer track.

Conclusion: With most runners carrying regular entries in veterinary reports, preference in this race should lean towards fitter, speedier horses with recent form and favorable draws. On those parameters, WINDCLEAVER stands out by comfortably passing the key filters and emerges as the natural choice 

Result: 6-10-5

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Race-2: KNOTTY CRUISE (3)

UNFORGETTABLE STAR ,a modest bred gelding may be out for a lung opening exercise, Jockey has won only one race for this stable in 32 pairings. KNOTTY CRUISE ran strongly against superior horses in both starts of career, drawn for customary pace stalking run. DREAM WALKIN' has impressed in preparation pattern, can raise a winning gallop in debut. TIGER BAY finished a close 4th in Debut, top Jockey is booked, controlled trackwork devoid of flashy works confirms his long distance staying leaning, may be effective over 8-10 furlongs later. 

Conclusion: This appears a moderate Class IV handicap where current fitness and upside carry greater importance than bare form-lines. Preference should therefore be given to progressive, race-fit horses with encouraging recent runs. On overall balance, KNOTTY CRUISE appeals most, though DREAM WALKIN' cannot be taken lightly if the paddock appearance and race-time market trends prove favorable.

Result: 3-10-5

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Race-3: REGAL REALITY (4)

STELLANTIS tends to perform in direct proportion to market expectations — the shorter the odds, the stronger the likelihood of a forward showing. On the November 1 line, the horse holds an edge over REGAL REALITY. REGAL REALITY has disappointed as a fancied runner in the last four starts but appears to have returned to peak condition and, in this relatively weaker company, could well resume winning ways. ROYAL DECCAN performed creditably in modest company but now raised in class following an easy outing a fortnight ago.MONTERIO showed improvement during the Mysore main season last year but still appears some way short of the cutting edge required in this contest.

Conclusion: In this Class 2 sprint, primary emphasis should be placed on proven speed figures, recent preparation, and the balance between weight and class. While STELLANTIS tops the field on raw speed figures, REGAL REALITY gains the edge on the latter two factors and is preferred overall.

Result: 4-1

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Race-4: IRON IMAGE (1)

IRON MIRAGE possesses an ideal 1200–1400mts dosage profile with strong speed influence and arguably brings the strongest preparation pattern into this contest. WHISTLING GLORY may hold the best-balanced pedigree profile for this 1400-metre trip, though the absence of recent preparatory gallops hints at a possible lack of stable intent. DEEP RESPECT defied her staying-oriented pedigree by showing sharp speed throughout on debut, but reproducing that sprinting effort over this route distance could prove difficult. The filly is likely to be more effective over 1600–2000mts in future. MONSTERA appears well prepared for this feature event following an eye-catching third over 1200mts on debut, though others appeal stronger on pedigree parameters. MOONVEIL owns an ideally balanced profile for 1400mts and has impressed in fast work, with some racing pundits even considering the gallop a winning one. However, the post-victory equipment change is viewed as a strong negative from a study perspective.

Conclusion: Feature event of the day  shapes as a tactically intriguing 1400mts contest between sharp speed-oriented runners and more balanced stamina-backed profiles. IRON MIRAGE rates as the top selection on overall assessment, though the colt can only be considered a worthwhile betting proposition if the odds adequately compensate for the risks posed by proven winners and potential hidden upsetters in the field.

Result: 1-5

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Race-5: CANTARINA (4)

LEGACY FIELD is ideally a 1200mts horse, can be vulnerable in final furlong. THEOS a stamina based colt makes a debut with soft preparation giving an indication that is an experience gaining run. CANTARINA is a speed-miler balance type colt implying it has quick acceleration and stamina ideal for this type of race, peak fitness is evident by impressive spurts in trials. EXOTIC BLACK, stamina laced filly has been given useful trials over longer distances in morning workouts, she may take time to mature. MYSTIC DEW has strong stamina influence. STARZELLA finished a good second in Winter over 1200mts, recent trials by same jockey are suggestive but can be effective only in unlikely case of a pace collapse

Conclusion: This is a competitive 3yrms event over 1400mts. Horses with most suitable pedigree for this tough distance and peak fitness should be preferred. Cantarina gets ticks in all boxes. 

Result: 8-1-4

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Race-6: ELYSUIM (6)

FORSETI, a summer specialist is discarded by Imtiaz Khan stable and ridden by a Delhi based Jockey. SILICON STAR was withdrawn last time, struggles in First Up Runs. N RI VICTORY is more or less a morning  glory, cannot be fancied confidently. ELYSUIM, an excellent bred should be first fancy based on her good second in 1000G. HAZEL, a speedy filly has tough task over extended trip of higher class. ETERNAL GLORY is a decent bred sprinter plagued with issues of slow starts.

Conclusion: This looks a competitive Class-3 handicap where current fitness and race sharpness appear more important than pure class. The race shape suggests a genuinely-run 1400mts contest with multiple forward-going types likely to ensure proper pace.

Result: 6-8-2

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DAYS BEST: CANTARINA [5-4]

Bangalore 16.05

 Appears to be a fav card

POST RACE UPDATES will be posted in Whatsapp Channel

Race-1: DR ASH (1)

DR ASH achieved the first summer placing of the career when finishing a distant second behind a superior rival last time out. The quick reappearance under a stronger jockey booking suggests intent, and the gelding will be keen to overcome a poor overall record in this class, C&D, and in the trainer-jockey combination. ELEVEN was heavily fancied under a top jockey over this class and distance previously but failed to deliver. Fully exposed in this class, the horse appears to have little scope for further improvement. ACANTHA, aided by a leading jockey and impressive recent trials, is likely to attract support. However, the former Vijay Singh reject has yet to produce anything noteworthy since shifting from Chennai. STAR COMET returns after a lengthy 434-day absence, making old form difficult to rely upon. ART OF ROMANCE attempts this distance for the first time, and race-time market trends could prove significant given the scheming nature of the connection

Conclusion: In this lower-grade Class 4 for older fully exposed horses, recent poor form and exposed profiles are best overlooked in favor of well-handicapped runners that are neither out-and-out sprinters nor plodding stayers. Jockeyship alone may not prove decisive in such races, and on overall balance DR ASH fits the ideal profile best.

Result: 3-7-4

****Dr Ash slowly away by 3 lengths and always in rear

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Race-2: ROYAL JEWEL (1)

ROYAL JEWEL appeared to respond positively to blinkers last time but was victim of a questionable ride that led to the jockey’s suspension. A positive jockey switch and the move to a more suitable extended trip are notable advantages, the stable is known for improving horses significantly in their second run of the campaign. MAGNA CARTA is a well-bred filly whose conditioning trackwork suggests strong stable intent. SUPPREME SUCCESS, despite being well bred, continues to disappoint and faces a difficult assignment even with an equipment change and top jockey booking. VAFADAR, a naturally bred miler and former leading stable discard, has impressed in fast work and could prove dangerous in this lowest class if fully recovered from recent medical setbacks. HONEY POT showed useful sprinting ability when finishing second over this class and distance last season,despite the benefit of race fitness the wide draw poses a challenge . LEGENDARY IMPACT has repeatedly failed to justify market support even in favorable race conditions.

Conclusion: In this class-5 race over 1400mts class droppers and horses which finished within 3-4 lengths in recent runs hold advantage over fully exposed and under performing horses. Royal Jewel gets the first nod however a paddock look and market check is recommended on Magna  Carta 

Result: 4-1-5

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Race-3: EXCEED (2)

BAASHA has attained competitive mark and in this target class will try to make every post a winning one from a favorable draw. EXCEED a well-bred heavy weight horse justified fav tag in last run thus enabling first win of Jockey for the stable, recent trials are suggestive and should run a good race. AMAZING STRIDES performs well in Summer, recent impressive conditioning trial work suggest he has overcome the setback suffered in last run, however not better than Exceed on 31st July Line. FEELING GOOD related to St Ledger winner lacks natural speed and will struggle in hands of a whip-less Jockey. 

Conclusion: This is much stronger and cleaner handicap with several horses possessing ability with genuine reliable current form. Pace will be honest due to presence of sprinters thus strongest late-sustaining horses will be more effective. Exceed gets tick in all boxes.

Result: 1-2-4

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Race-4 RICARDO (1)

RICARDO was caught close home last time out and makes a quick reappearance in an attempt to capitalize on that strong effort. The gelding tops the Timeform ratings and sets the standard here. GLOBAL INFLUENCE invariably dazzles in track work but has repeatedly failed to reproduce the same form on race day. After winning a few races early in the career at Kolkata, the horse has yet to score since shifting to Southern India. Moreover, the gelding tends to produce peak performances in the second run after a break and may therefore struggle to make a strong impact in this outing. STAR GLORY shaped encouragingly in the seasonal debut, but with eight of nine career wins coming over 1200mts the horse appears best suited to shorter trips and is overlooked here. DON CARLOS, in the second run of the season, takes on a tougher higher-class assignment and will also carry a half-kilo overweight.

Conclusion: This is the highest-quality race on the card, where horses unable to travel strongly at a sustained pace are likely to be exposed quickly. The ideal winner profile demands class edge, current sharpness, and tactical speed — and on all counts, RICARDO emerges the standout choice.

Result: 4-2

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 Race-5: SHINING WAYS (3)

BUREVESTNIK failed as a hot favorite last time, reportedly after losing shoes during the race. Trainers generally follow such reversals with either a maintenance gallop or a sharp 600-metre blowout, but the absence of recent fast work along with a jockey downgrade suggests stable confidence may no longer be absolute. SHINING WAYS possesses the right blend of speed and stamina for this 1200-metre trip, booking of top Jockey who tested it multiple times in trials is a positive signal.FLAVIANUS is more of a sprint-miler type whose conditioning work has been eye-catching, but the chances appear heavily dependent on an unlikely pace collapse. QUANNAH, the stablemate of BUREVESTNIK, is expected to finish strongly. However, a history of respiratory and guttural issues directly impacting oxygen efficiency, and just a single track workout after such setbacks slightly dents confidence. REGAL BEAUTY appears naturally speedy and precocious, making the filly capable of making an immediate impact on debut. SHRISTI, a modestly bred runner, is likely to require a few outings before reaching peak effectiveness.

Conclusion: This is an intriguing maiden contest. Two runners from leading stables are likely to command strong market support despite carrying notable negatives, making their chances more hope-based than evidence-driven. On overall profile, SHINING WAYS or REGAL BEAUTY could emerge successful on debut.

Result: 3-7-1

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Race-6: DARINGTON (1)

DARRINGTON confirmed mile breeding last time out, makes handicap debut over shorter trip, looks ideally prepared and despite conceding 6kgs to same age contestant cannot be ruled out due to class edge.  LIGHTNING BLITZ showed some forward form in maidens races, light preparation and second string Jockey does not present good optics of stable intent in this first run after a gelding operation. SOLARA, a 6f specialist makes handicap debut at an ideal mark, tends to get weakened. FIERY LOVE belongs to stable which extend their horses in second up run so can be ignored unless it is backed heavily. KHAZANA a well-bred is showing out in trials, dangerous at this mark.

Conclusion: This race is class vs sprint dynamics. Darington has proven class, controlled gallops in morning gallops shows stable is expecting a pace collapse of younger horses which can aid this gelding's late finishing. 

Result: 3-8-1

****DARRINGTON’s trainer had apparently obtained permission for the horse to race without the use of the whip. This crucial information, not available in the public domain beforehand, altered the race dynamics significantly against the colt in a sprint where a strong finishing effort was expected.

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STANDOUT SELECTION:  [4-1] RICARDO

Bangalore 10.05

 

Mixed card with a possibility of 1 or 2 upsets. 

Race-1: DOUBLE SCOTCH (7)

AGAPE has scope for improvement with Ts on but top weight of 61kgs and weak finish are negatives. PALMA showed no significant improvement with Blinkers in last run, dangerous if fancied in this lowest class otherwise can be ignored. ENJOYABLE has run advantage, capable of sprinting all the way from barrier to post. FRIYA in my record book is marked as "Note when runs without Blinkers" , has good speed and without blinkers this time can upset.  MAKOTO foal of a decent miler drops to lowest class, belongs to scheming connections that can eye a gamble in this weak set, race time odds will present clear picture. DOUBLE SCOTCH has been running consistent in last few runs and on that count merits prime attention   

Conclusion:  This class-5 race over 1500mts is usually full of  inconsistent horses, unreliable form, hidden intent from connections ern hence emphasis would be on recent progressive form, handicap advantage and distance aptitude. At this stage picking Double scotch due to recent form but hidden intent has to be carefully reviewed. 

Post Race: Results 6-1-8

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Race-2: AGRADOR (2)

REFINED AGGRESSION, impressive winning debut profile, maintains fitness level, positive intent is shown in first run after gelding but series of recent medical issues should be accounted for. AGRADOR scored hat-trick in failing as fav, can redeem in this relatively weaker grade. CHINKY PINKY is drawn well for a customary pace stalking position, age limits her chances. HOLD YOUR BREATH makes handicap debut at attractive mark but insipid preparation and weak connections temper enthusiasm. MY SOLITAIRE has some form but all in lowest class. PURSUIT OF WEALTH despite slow starts finished close in last few runs, a clean jump can cause an upset over this favorable distance. 

Conclusion:  This lower grade of class-4 over 1400mts should be assessed on class transition, handicap placement and tactical speed + stamina. Winner should emerge between Agrador and Refined Aggression.

Post Race: Results 1-3-2

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Race-3: BASILICA (12)

TRUE PUNCH (TR-79) won twice during the Mysore main season but faces a difficult task from a poor wide draw. SILICON STAR (TR-82) returns from a setback pleasing second in a mock race, though the lack of early speed combined with the widest draw makes the assignment tough. SENOR CHERIE (TR-69) suffered setbacks twice in the last three runs, but recent work suggests the horse is back to peak fitness. FELISA (TR-83) owns the best speed figures in the field, has drawn favorably, and should be prominently involved. MASTER WAY (TR-66) is consistent, though the current jockey booking may prove a disadvantage in securing a good position amid the expected strong pace. BASILICA (TR-93) had a valid excuse in the last outing and now appears attractively placed in the handicap. 

Conclusion:  In this Class 3 sprint, preference goes to horses that have consistently sustained their speed against stronger Class 3 opposition over 1200mts. On that count, the winner is likely to emerge from between BASILICA and FELISA

Post Race: Results 4-1-5 

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Race-4: MAANA(2)

THE LEADER was not in his usual elements in last summer season which ended with a setback, recent trials are suggestive of its peak level fitness, top weight may trouble in last 100mts. MAANA is a progressive type filly and has strong chance in this set. SUNSHINE ran a good 3rd in 1000G, looks well prepared and should run a bold race. AQUASTIC has speed influence and may struggle over this distance. CORINTHAN drops significantly in class but lacks killer acceleration against strong finishers. 

Conclusion:  In this tricky class-3 race over 1500mts preference should be given to horses progressing in handicap and proven between 1400-1600mts. 

Post Race: Results 4-3-2

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Race-5: EFFICACY (4)

PROMISE OF THE FUTURE runs well with fresh legs, has won a mock race last week and despite top handicap stays competitive. EFFICACY is a good mixture of speed and stamina and looks in pink conditions. JERSEY KING is at ideal handicap, booking of top Jockey emits positive intent to regain winning ways though there is a good possibility he may find one better. VICTORIA DORESAANI finishes on without any killer instinct. LUX ATERNA is drawn well for her lead/pace stalking tactics. 

Conclusion:  Most of the horses are well exposed and closely matched, winner usually is not the best handicapped but the one who gets best run at the race pace. Efficacy may steal the race before Promise of the future, Lux Aterna and Jersey King could sense the danger.

Post Race: Results 4-7-2

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Race-6: VALIANT STREAM (5)

UNFORGETTABLE STAR generally struggles in first-up appearances, and the booking of a second-string jockey suggests this could be more of a lung-opener run. EL REY, though enjoying favorable setups on several occasions, has repeatedly failed to deliver and does not inspire confidence. VALIANT STREAM emerges with a highly compelling profile. The colt was a repeat-pattern winner when comfortably beating JADE MOUNTAIN, who won last week, while AGRADOR has been installed favorite in second race of today's card. From the same race, AUCTUVA nearly won on opening day, JALWA scored on Saturday, and FIL DE FRANCE won last Sunday. Adding further strength to the case is a mighty impressive fast work under the same jockey, indicating peak fitness levels. GLORIOUS STRIDES does not appeal strongly on current preparation trends. PRINCE OF WALES appears well placed on all counts and, in all probability, could follow the winner home.

Conclusion:  This race appears likely to be dominated by progressive types rather than exposed performers. On that basis, VALIANT STREAM appeals as the strongest winning proposition.

Post Race: Results 9-7-5

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DAYS BEST:  VALIANT STREAM [6-5]

NEXT BEST: AGRADOR [2-2]

Bangalore 09.05

 Tough competitive card with possibilities of upsets. I will be posting inputs based on paddock view and odds movement in our Whatsapp Channel, stay tuned

Race-1: ALAMGIR (2)

STAR OF INDIA is a fully exposed mare carrying top weight. ALAMGIR, drawn favorably and partnered by a claiming jockey, looks a strong contender. PLEDGE is progressing and remains far from fully exposed, recent trials are suggestive and colt looks capable of continuing the Mysore winning form. ASSURANCES impressed while carrying top weight to victory in lower company and retains the same leading jockey, though the extra 100mts in this higher class could test her sprint-oriented pedigree.

Conclusion:  In this 1500mts contest, horses possessing the right blend of speed, stamina, and a strong finishing effort in the last 400 mts hold a clear edge over winners of weaker races. PLEDGE and ALAMGIR fit the profile well and appear the leading contenders for the win, while ASSURANCES faces a tougher assignment in this company.

Post Race: Results 5-6-2

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Race-2: RODNEY (1)

RODNEY impressed while winning a recent mock race and, despite top weight, holds a distinct class edge that makes him a live threat. CIRCLE OF DREAMS has shown explosive track work and returns for the first time after being gelded, though this distance may not ideally suit his running style. SASSY SARAH is a progressive filly with two wins over this trip and will be eager to overcome the class deficiency. KISS OF GREY drops back into handicap company after unsuccessful graded race attempts at Mysore and Hyderabad, but the presence of other pacey runners may deny her the usual front-running advantage. SPLENDID DREAM, a beaten favorite last week, is expected to ensure a strong pace from the outset and could stay on gamely. WAITARA may improve for the outing and could need this run.

Conclusion:  In  this class-3 race over 1300mts Raw class and speed matter much more than improvement. My emphasis is to pick horse with good natural speed to stay within first 4 early, proven 1200-1400 form and has class edge. Rodney fits perfectly in this profile. 

Post Race: Results 1-3-8

 

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Race-3: HUSNARA (1)

HUSNARA, after shaping competitively in stronger company, looks poised to reveal her true sprinting ability in this lowest class event. ANNABELLE, a well-bred filly, drops to the basement class off an attractive mark and is aided by an allowance-claiming jockey, though the absence of recent trackwork raises concerns over fitness. RAZZMATAZ, a lightly built filly,lacks early speed and is partnered by a whip-less jockey. JALWA also drops to the lowest class, though her previous efforts have been uninspiring. Among the older handicappers, FEMME FATALE could emerge as the joker in the pack after benefiting from a recent run.

Conclusion:  Tricky class-5 sprint race as low rated are inconsistent, exposed form is unreliable, pace collapses happen often.  As such we have to rely on intent handicapping and pick class droppers. Between  Husnara and Annabelle we have to pick former due to intent. 

Post Race: Results 6-2-4

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Race-4: RICARDO (1)

RICARDO performs best with fresh legs, has already displayed top-class sprinting ability, and the allowance-claiming jockey helps offset the burden of top weight, making him the one to beat. MANDARINO may prove effective only in an unlikely scenario of a pace collapse. KALAMITSI, under jockey Trevor, can stay in contention with his strong pace-stalking style. EXCELLENT LASS faces a much tougher task against Class 1 opposition after completing a hat-trick of wins. NEVER GIVE IN is an honest performer, though he may lack the finishing kick required against superior company.

Conclusion:  This is a high class sprint race with proven performers. Core principle is to pick a horse that is proven in this class, has tactical speed and drawn well to be with pace. Ricardo is worth taking chance.

Post Race: Results 4-1

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Race-5: SIEGE STORM (5)

ATMAN, the only runner with race experience, possesses strong speed influence in his pedigree and races with blinkers, though the stablemate appears to have secured the stronger jockey booking. BARTOLINO is likely to be better suited to future races over a mile and beyond, making this more of an educational run. CONQUISTADOR has a perfectly balanced dosage profile for 1400mts and has impressed in his final fast work. DUKE OF BUCKINGHAM, on dosage indications, should race prominently early but may find the closing furlong testing. SIEGE STORM owns an ideal balanced dosage profile, has been working well, and could finish explosively in the last 300mts THE ARCHER has caught the eye in both mock race and final fast work, though his dosage profile suggests he may eventually require at least a mile. ASHWA NEW YORK is expected to force the pace alongside ATMAN before weakening late. ROYAL LEGACY, a full sister to PROKOFIEV — winner of a Class 2 event over 1400mts last week — has been working well and looks capable of being in contention.

Conclusion:  This is a well-bred 3yo maiden over a demanding 1400mts where balance between Speed and Stamina becomes more important. Race assessment is done combining dosage profiles, trackwork, Jockey and stable intent. Race is expected to be a true pace race due to presence of 3 speedsters. Siege Storm and The Archer along with Conquistador may be busy at all important end with first one having an slight advantage 

Post Race: Results 5-7-6

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Race-6: FLASH (3)

FINAL CALL, despite meeting her own age group while carrying top weight, may find this sprint trip on the sharper side given her mile-oriented pedigree. EBOSTE, a naturally speedy gelding, should improve considerably with the benefit of a recent run and a valuable 1kg drop in the handicap. FLASH performs well when fresh, has dropped to a competitive mark, and could spring a surprise if breaking cleanly from the inside draw. SUPER KING returns after a 287-day absence without any published trackwork and can be safely ignored if quoted above 4/1, as market strength may reveal stable intent. LG'S STAR could emerge as the gamble horse in this age-group contest.

Conclusion:  This is class-4 sprint races for older horses. We have to rely on exposed form and hidden intent. Clearly a fitter horse that is drawn well and has ability to be with pace should be preferred

Post Race: Results 1-3-8

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DAYS BEST:  SIEGE STORM [5-5]

NEXT BEST: RICARDO [4-1]