Bangalore 03.05

Race-1: BLUE STORM (1)

This is a lowest possible grade race over an extended sprint. Preference should be for Class droppers, horses with recent fitness and form, and neither pure sprinters nor late grinders. We have already established that class-5 horses lack closing finish hence would avoid horses with no speed drawn in outer draws. 

BLUE STORM, a compulsive slow starter seems to have improved gate manners as evident by recent trials, she can be a real threat, filly top weight negative factor gets negated by an allowance claiming Jockey. VERSACE, a reject case is sprinter by breeding, runs well with fresh legs and from a favorable inner draw should be in strong contention. SHOCK AND AWE failed to hold over this Class and Distance in last two runs, Time form rating earned for that efforts are poor. TIGER BAY is foal of flop dam, well-prepared but ridden by a second string Jockey

Post Race Notes: Result: ?-?-? 

Race-2: NIGHT RAIDER (2)

A lower grade of a class-4 sprint race. Horses with decent Speed numbers, drawn well, fitter and class droppers should be preferred in that order for this kind of races.

MUTUAL TRUST has excellent speed numbers but no recent trackwork noted. NIGHT RAIDER performed well last summer in better companies, looks sharp in trials and qualifies as top pick. MNEMOSYNE is a pure sprinter, fitted with Head Basket Bit suggesting horse has a tendency to grab Bit during race, drawn wide and will be engaged in speed dual with other horses initially blowing up all energy. ALLEGRA DANCE an ordinary bred makes handicap debut at an ideal mark, looks sharp in recent trials, Dexter Rubber Bit may allow filly to settle well unlike it previous runs where it was tossing head, will be extended fully.

Post Race Notes: Result: ?-?-?

Race-3: FILS DE FRANCE (1)

This is an interesting class-5 race over 1400mts with few exposed, few debutants and few improvers. Top 7 in the card are carrying 61kgs and above, for this kind of races simple rule is to oppose fillies carrying 61kgs against colts with same weight. Pace stalkers/Mid settlers will have the upper hand.

FILS DE FRANCE 's debut run form got boosted by AUCTAV on Friday which almost toppled the hotly fancied jodi, colt looks in great shape and under the top weight specialist Jockey has decent chance. BIG SAUCE and ICE QUEEN, average bred late debutant fillies makes handicap debut in a class-5, former was withdrawn last time, well-prepared and may extend well. KAZING has been prepared systematically in an ideal manner, fitted with Blinkers but filly carrying 61kgs is a strong negative factor

Post Race Notes: Result: ?-?-?

Race-4: SPLENDID DREAM (2)

This is a competitive class-4 sprint race. Apart from usual filters like wide draw and older horses we need to dig further in speed numbers, current mark vs last win mark and relative handicapping.

SAPPORO was winner of this C&D in penultimate run {TR-79}, 2kgs worse now. SPLENDID DREAM won over this distance in Mysore Main season, impressed in mock race and appears to be at par weights vis a vis last winning mark. ILIA was winner of lower grade in last run {TR-41}, earned a poor number and an encore looks highly unlikely. JADE MOUNTAIN makes handicap debut in hands of a Top Jockey, trials are suggestive, TR earned in last run is below par and need to show lot of improvement. 

Post Race Notes: Result: ?-?-?

Race-5: REIKO(2)

This is a quality class-2 handicap race over 1400mts, Top weights need class edge and horses weighted below 55kgs lacks class hence most ideal handicapped weight range would be 56-58kgs. In this type of races there are no blind improvers so horse must be within 2-3 lengths over 1200=1400mts in last couple of runs, in short consistency is the core. Apart from that for 1400mts usual filters like pure sprinters or late grinders, no speed horses drawn in wide draws should be ignored. 

PROKOFIEV is days best of multiple media selections, impressive trackwork and her runs in Pune and Bangalore Summer Derby are the reasons but we have established that horses below 55kgs need to show lot of improvement to be competitive.  DON CARLOS has top weight to carry. REIKO is on roll, has best Time form Rating. INSPIRE has decent form-line, should place. POWER OF BEAUTY is at an explosive mark and can upset all calculations. 

Post Race Notes: Result: ?-?-?

Race-6: OSAKA (9)

This is a maiden race with all first timers. We will keep it simple, trackwork {Trotting to fast work, mockraces} Trainer intent {evident by Jockey declaration} and barriers will be given preference, We are avoiding pedigree leanings for the reasons mentioned in earlier post

BULLET PROOF has won a mock race, ridden by a top Jockey and drawn favorably. KNIGHTSBRIDGE, stablemate of Bullet Proof has benefit of mock race, decent Jockey declared but drawn wide. BREATHTAKING showing lot of speed in trials, above average Jockey, drawn well. ESTELLE has benefit of mock race and a fast work, decent Jockey, drawn widest. MONSTERRA ordinary mock race but impressive fast works, stable's preferred Jockey for gambles, drawn good. OSAKA mighty impressive fast works, top Jockey who won 3 races for this trainer in 5 pairings, drawn good. PEARL STAR working well in trials, Jockey on upward form, drawn wide

Post Race Notes: Result: ?-?-?

Race-7: MONEY BAGS (2)

This is a class-3 sprint race with improvers from class-4, consistent class-3 performers and few class droppers. Apart from usual filters of wide draw and inconsistent speed rating numbers we have to ignore horses rated above 60 and below 52. MONEY BAGS will carry public purse for obvious reasons, nothing particularly negative against him. DEFENSE COUNSEL has weaker saddle support and drawn wide, most probably a lung opening exercise. POLE STAR is highly consistent, has won a race from outerdraw but that was a No-Whip race, he is not a genuine front runner and may struggle. FLIGHT FANTASY is back on fav Summer track but she will surely need a run. SEE THE LIGHT a well bred filly will not relish the hot pace of this 6f race. 

Post Race Notes: Result: ?-?-?

a

 

DAYS BEST: MONEY BAGS [7-2]

NEXT BEST: NIGHT RAIDER [2-2]

PLACE ACCUMULATOR: 1-3/5-4/6-6