Madras 10.11 Ante Post and Post odds Musings

There is a forecast of evening and late night showers on race day, may not affect races

Originally scheduled to run on 5th this card has been re declared. While the horses remain same there is change in Barrier numbers and few change of Jockeys {R2-8, R5-1,3,5,11, R6-3,5,10,11,12 R7-12 R8-9}

 Ante Post

Race-1: 1.Wise Don

WISE DON has developed issues of slow start, has earlier won over this mile trip at a much higher mark. CATALYST is the only C&D winner here but got that in Craig Marshall's stable, last couple of runs need to be excused while WELCOME CHAKRAM ran on well despite hanging out, may not get the extra furlong. SWISS AGATTA continues to disappoint

Race-2: 7. Vulcanic

VULCANIC responded well to change of equipment,finished off well to suggest another positive showing is on the cards. MARTINGLE goes at low weights in this handicap class, showing out in trials but entrusted to second string Jockey in new declaration.ROYAL PEARL started slowly but covered good ground to fill in the frame, seems to be struggling since her return after a setback. QUEEN OF FAME settles well over this 9f trip and will try to make every inch a winning one in hands of a talented apprentice. CHEVAL BLANC needs to produce a lot more than what he did in two runs of career.

Race-3: 3. Laudree

A No whip race. WINNING LEGAGY makes debut in a lower grade of Class-4, not an ideal start.LAUDREE is well placed and can keep SACRE COURER at safe bay at all important end. DANCING GRACE hasn't exposed true potential, has decent credentials to place in this set.

Race-4: 2. Night Jar

Yet another No Whip race. NIGHT JAR will be hard to beat, her second behind Berrettini  holds her in high position among other rivals here. STAR LOOP and LEBUA can fill the frame.

Race-5: 4. Ayur Shakthi

EUPHORIC held on to the form and won emphatically, drop in trip need to be accounted for. SPEED AIR will be carrying overweight.AYUR SHAKTHI advertised return of form when she finished on well to end as runner up to OUI SAVAGE, loves 7f trip and has leading claims. RAYS OF SUN had to put whatever he had at his disposal to just hold on to the winning berth, and would be preposterous to fancy an encore.

Race-6: 2. Diamonds and Pearls

FIRST EMPRESS showed clean pair of heels last time, a penalty of 4.5kgs will have its toll. SUCCESSION will be hard pressed over this unfavorable shorter trip.DIAMOND AND PEARLS had excuses in last two runs, settles well from outer draw. ALEXANDER has won over this C&D, not placed well vis a vis that run. CONSTANT VARIABLE has blinding speed, no recent workouts noted which is a big negative for a horse in a sprint race.

 

Race-7: 6. La Jefa

SUPREME DANCE created a good impression while clearing maiden last time, longer trip suits as he takes a while to get going. LA JEFA got the race in stewards room and could make a successful handicap debut while SPORTING SPIRIT and CYNOSURE appear after a break, both run first time after gelding.

 

Race-8: 3. Rubirosa

WINDMERE enjoyed removal of Blinkers to post an eye catching win, can hold to that form but a 5kgs penalty appears to be bit harsh. MARSHALL cleared maidens in lower class, same jockey repeats in higher class. RUBIROSA makes handicap debut, participated in Group races and holds the first claim. LADY LUCK started slowly in debut, looks impressive in preparatory gallops suggesting she will relish the extended trip.

 

Post odds

R1) 1 is quoted at correct odds of 17/10 and can deliver as rest of the field lacks depth.

 

R2) Stablemates 6& 7 are favs which makes things a bit complicated,  I would rather back 3 for place which may be available @2.5

 

R3)  3 is 40/100 which is obnoxious considering this is a No Whip Race, 4 pl may not fetch much. I will take a small chance on 2 place which should be available @2/1

R4) 2 got Withdrawn.. As of now odds are not given for this race, 5 win is good option if offered above 2.5

R5) Competitive race. Both 8 and 12 which are first two favs have negatives so better to lay Jodi and back 4 for place @2.5

R6) 4 @1.5 is a good Lay option as it is bound to struggle over this trip. 2 Win @5/1 looks good wagering option

R7) 6@ 3.25 is very generous, do they know something we don't? Anyways can bang good if that odds stay at race time

R8) 3w@2/1 is a steal