Bangalore 28.06

 Bangalore 27.06 already posted

Good card for form followers

Race-1: Calix (2) 

1.Auspicious Queen: Ran 3rd on debut over 1100m. More of a middle-distance type, likely to improve over 1400–1600m.

2.Calix: Failed favorite on debut over this distance after travelling well early but fading late. Pure sprinter by pedigree, and recent trials suggest he deserves another chance.

3.Panache: Gets a better rideR after insipid runs, not a pure sprinter and likely to stay on stronger later, momentum building trackwork confirms this

4.Abbakka: Heavy stamina oriented, debut over sprint is an experience gaining exercise

5.Charming Prospect: A light weighted filly that could be effective over 1400-1600 later in handicap class

6.Haniel: Interesting blend of speed and stamina. Ran a good 4th over this trip last start; 1200m is manageable, though 1400m may suit better later.

7.Preview: Moderate rather than explosive speed. Looks the type to improve with experience, and despite top jockey assistance, is hard to fancy on debut.

8.Sai Princess: Sprint leaning pedigree but still learning to jump in trials, blinkers in initial stage of career is a big red flag in my book

9.Time Tester: Slight speed influence but more of a grinder, should gain few races experience 

Conclusion: This sprint race for 3yrsm horses favors Sprint leaning pedigree and ideal preparation, both points towards Calix followed by Haniel 

Race-2: Sea Diamond (2)

1. Detective Conan: In this lowest class may expose true potential of intermediate speed profile suitable for 1400mts extending up to borderline 1600mts

2. Sea Diamond: All three wins of the career came over this Class and distance,  finished closely in last two starts in the same

4. Magna Carta: A well-bred filly that rallied on well from the rear to finish a good 4th, same type of tactics with a whip-less Jockey may not be fruitful

5. Superhero: Has won twice and finished runner-up over this C&D in three starts, Jockey has a stats of 1/1/0/5 for this stables, intent is visible, last few poor runs can be ignored, will pay well for place

6. Michiko: A reject case with a poor turn of foot

7. Bruce Almighty: Has dropped lot below last winning mark, well past prime

Conclusion: A mile race of lowest class, top-2 in card and Superhero have better credentials

Race-3: Dream Walkin' (2)

1.Queendom: Peak performance came over this C&D in penultimate run, looks tough at this handicap

2. Dream Walkin': Owing to impressive spurts in morning trials was fancied in debut run, fell back from a prominent position, a better Jockey after a run experience can trigger Second Run bounce

3. Super Charm: First foal of Grade-3 winner Dam, apprentice with his poor judgement has messed chances of quite a few good rides, don't know why he still gets good horses

5. Steely Challenge: A modest bred who managed to  finish second in lower grade in debut, laced with serious medical conditions in latest vet reports

6. Lightning Blitz: An ordinary bred that failed as fav in lower grade last time with the same jockey, a blow out work recently signals an all out effort over extended trip

7. Lots of Luck: Reappears after 11months, recently gelded but has been prepared in a text book pattern 

8.Tiger Bay: Failed as hot fav last time, stretching out well but clearly needs more ground

Conclusion: In this Class-4 race over 1400mts no horse seems to have a significant positive advantage. 

Race-4:  Knotty Charmer(1)

1. Knotty Charmer: Recorded a rare Dynamic Rating of 702 in his last run, a notable figure by Bangalore standards. TR compares favorably with Stud Poker, and he could spring a surprise if he controls the race from gate to post.

2. Crown Drive: Despite being a non-winner outside Chennai, was heavily backed at Mysore last start but failed as expected. Has prepared well for this, though a significant rise in class is needed to trouble the strong local and Mumbai contenders.

3. Dream Seller: Mumbai challenger tuned to peak fitness, highlighted by an impressive mock race win and strong extended work. Holds solid time-form ratings at the parent center and shapes as a leading contender if adapting well to this track on debut here.

4. Kalamitsi: performed well in last two runs but this terms race will be a different preposition

5. Reiko: Final entry for this Cup race. Ex-jockey turned trainer S John has been entrusted with quality horses and has already justified that faith with a win and a near miss on day one. Eager to prove his mettle, that momentum could help bridge Reiko’s rating gap with the top contenders.

Conclusion: This main event of the day has attracted small but quality field, winner need not be the best handicapped but the one who got the best race run. I am respecting Dynamic Rating earned by Knotty Charmer. 

Race-5: Vegatha (3)

2. Mahler: Returns to home center after participating in regional classics at Kolkotta and Mysore, runs well with fresh legs and should run a good race

3. Vegatha: Won in debut last summer, proceeded to Mumbai where it won 3 handicap races and a decent run in 1000G, an ideal 1400mts profile, travels strongly all the way and stays in contention

4. Irish Coffee: Has won twice over this C&D, if jobber odds would be less than 8/1

5. Gachchhatu: Winner of all 4 races on common canter at Hyderabad, has no real speed and depends heavily on last finishing, Bangalore Summer rewards horses with tactical speed and hence a real test of class in this  tough conditions

7. Lux Aeterna: Most probably eyeing a demotion

Conclusion: A tri-way contest between 2,3 and 5 is expected for this class-2 1400mts race. 

Race-6: River Deep (6)

3: Noble Cause: Yet to win in Bangalore, seems to have lost competitive edge after suffering a setback

4. Il Volo: Surprisingly was spiritedly backed in last run and almost obliged, lacks tactical speed needed for this No-Whip Race

5. Carat Love: Our Days best in last run where it was shaping like a winner but appeared like Jockey eased off at crucial stage and lost in close finish, has advantage of speed here and can recoup that loss

6. River Deep: Returned fitter after a gelding operation and won a lower grade of this class last time, sharply penalized but has tactical speed to be in contention again

8. Chotipari: We fancied for an upset last time, Blinkers and drop in handicap can aid a reversal

9. Glorious Sceptre: Has short burst of speed, runs with a change of equipment

Conclusion: This is a No-Whip sprint race, late grinders can be ignored, front rollers will have upper hand. River Deep is open to further improvement hence the first preference over Carat Love. Chotipari is a live danger

Race-7: Pledge (1)

1. Pledge: Steep penalty had its toll last time, repeats at same mark with A grade Jockey gives an impression trainer thinks last run was not a true run

2. Luca: Returned bleeding in last run at Mumbai, mile is not his forte, stables have put a better Jockey on 5

3. Imperador: A well-bred gelding that will be carrying additional 1kg this time for finishing second over C&D in last run

4. Shahenshah: Drop in handicap can ensure a place berth

5. Regal Aristocracy: Returns after a gap of 540 days, was in process of good preparation but for some reasons trainer has put him away from active morning exercise

7.Absolute Thunder: Momentum building works after a good 4th over 1400mts last run, should be in contention

8. Art of Romance: An unsound horse

Conclusion: Nothing much to chose from in this mile race of class-4

DAYS BEST: 1-2 Calix

Next Best:  6-6 River Deep

Place Hopefuls: 1-6 / 2-2 / 3-2 / 6-5 / 7-7 

Worksheet 

Race-1		1200	3yrsm
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv		Age	Shoes	Prep	NTR
1	AUSPICIOUS KING	641	98,		14	16		100	100	60	74
2	CALIX	616	55,	55	35	43		100	100	80	82
6	HANIEL	596	49,	49	33	26		100	100	70	74
8	SAI PRINCESS	590	42,		15	17		100	100	60	70
5	CHARMING PROSPECT	582	42,		15	28		100	100	70	74
3	PANACHE	496	-24,18	18	19	39		100	100	70	71
4	ABBAKKA	0			30	23		100	100	60	65
7	PREVIEW	0			30	51		100	100	80	79
9	TIME TESTER	0			28	20		100	100	70	66
Top 4 in NTR		2-7-1-6
Race-2		1600	00-25 Div-2
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv		Age	Shoes	Prep	NTR
2	SEA DIAMOND	581	39,44	39 44	19	25		20	100	70	67
7	BRUCE ALMIGHTY	574	41,23	41	18	31		10	100	70	65
6	MICHIKO	572	34,57	59	10	16		40	100	60	64
4	MAGNA CARTA	570	34,-28		30	25		60	100	70	65
1	DETECTIVE CONAN	546	-17,23		33	26		60	100	70	66
8	RISING FORM	544	3,9		19	32		40	100	70	62
9	PRINCESS JASMINE	542	-34,24		15	15		0	100	40	51
5	SUPERHERO	429	-116,6	-116	18	16		20	100	70	61
3	BIG SAUCE	214	-390,-60	-390	30	34		60	100	70	50
Top 4 in NTR		2-1-4-7
Race-3		1400	20-45
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv		Age	Shoes	Prep	NTR
7	LOTS OF LUCK	614	63,42	63	15	28		60	100	50	70
5	STEELY CHALLENGE	601	43,		33	34		60	100	60	73
6	LIGHTNING BLITZ	585	23,58	92[Mad]	28	51		60	100	70	80
8	TIGER BAY	585	48,42	48	10	16		60	100	80	68
4	MERICLE BEAUTY	582	22,20	3	10	19		40	100	30	56
2	DREAM WALKIN'	567	38,	38	30	39		60	100	70	67
3	SUPER CHARM	514	-21,27	27	28	11		100	100	70	67
1	QUEENDOM	483	-45,61	61  4	35	43		60	100	40	76
Top 4 in NTR		6-1-5-7
Race-4		1200	Terms
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv		Age	Shoes	Prep	NTR
1	KNOTTY CHARMER	702	100,109	109 81	38	34		20	100	70	83
2	CROWN DRIVE	690	84,77	84[Mys]  138 [Mad] 88[Bng]	28	29		40	100	70	82
3	DREAM SELLER	677	114,128	114 128 [Mum]	34	43		20	100	70	82
4	KALAMITSI	673	62,89	89	35	43		10	100	50	76
5	RIEKO	658	90,72	90  99	15	31		40	100	60	74
Top 4 in NTR		1-3-2-4
Race-5		1400	60-85
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv		Jkv	Age	Shoes	Prep	NTR
5	GACHCHHATU	664	103,131		24		31	60	100	70	80
2	MAHLER	660	87,92		35		39	60	100	70	86
6	JERSEY KING	644	70,68		19		27	40	100	40	63
1	SEKHMET	638	72,72	72 59	19		13	0	100	0	52
8	VICTORIA DORESAANI	638	66,63	92	30		21	20	100	40	71
3	VEGATHA	630	108,110	108 [Mum]	34		34	60	100	70	83
7	LUX AETERNA	612	62,70	62   87	35		43	40	100	40	76
4	IRISH COFFEE	602	62,72	62  68	22		26	20	100	70	72
Top 4 in NTR		2-3-5-7
Race-6		1200	20-45
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv		Jkv	Age	Shoes	Prep	NTR
3	NOBLE CAUSE	616	55,68	55  47	19		25	40	100	60	66
6	RIVER DEEP	616	56,78	56 78	15		28	40	100	60	82
4	IL VOLO	609	56,10	56  53 68	10		16	40	100	60	67
5	CARAT LOVE	609	54,41	54 41	16		43	40	100	70	79
7	SUPER KIND	600	66,27	51 44	22		25	0	100	70	63
1	EL ALAMEIN	598	34,25		18		13	10	100	40	56
9	GLORIOUS SPECTRE	595	37,70	37 70 82	22		26	40	100	60	68
8	CHOTIPARI	578	19,30	19 30 31	22		22	40	100	60	66
2	AGERA	562	31,42	31 42	22		21	10	100	70	64
Top 4 in NTR		6-5-9-4
Race-7		1600	20-45Div-1
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv		Age	Shoes	Prep	NTR
5	REGAL ARISTOCRACY	596	57,56	56  74	30	34		20	100	70	76
7	ABSOLUTE THUNDER	593	49,64		20	22		60	100	80	72
8	ART OF ROMANCE	593	49,51	49	14	16		40	100	70	72
4	SHAHENSHAAH	592	49,63	63	9.9	22		10	100	60	59
2	LUCA	588	62,61	62 [Mum]	30	25		40	100	70	70
1	PLEDGE	555	20,60	20	33	43		60	100	70	80
3	IMPERADOR	553	3,63	3	38	32		60	100	40	67
6	RAZZMATAZZ	522	-21,55	-21	31	35		60	100	40	69
Top 4 in NTR		1-5-8-7