Hyderabad Derby Day
Thursday, October 2, 2014
D Day is here
I welcome all members of HT and other racing patrons which have descended on city of nawabs to witness Deccan Derby.Card is very good and hope you all return with smile
Race1:Galiat(1)-Win
Class towers over all other factors.Galiat has class and should be able to win inspite of welter weight it is carrying.
Stable mate Power Drive won very impressively in last outing and has good chance to finish second
Race2:Catherine(11)-Win
Ignore last run of Catherine due to whip loss,earlier very impressive winner,has very good chance to win
Coral Springs has been fine tuned for this event,will run a bold race and should be in 1-2
Note Aware who is getting preferrential handicap reduction,can upset any day
City of Dreams will place at lucrative odds
Race3:Musk Melon(4)-Win
I ignore 3 yrs olds who run with Blks and 3 yrs old who run in class 4 immediately after winning in maidens
Musk Melon ran unextended in last two runs over wrong distance,has very good chance over this trip
Upon A star is improving but not sighted in tracks after last run
Race4:Vijay Sakhi(7)-Win
Again here in this class i avoid horses which come directly after clearing maidens.
Preferences shud be given to horses which did not win in maidens race but ran on board.
Vijay Sakhi who gave good forward run in last race over 1800mts has been tracked by trainer himself which clearly shows it is on job,can win
Rubyonrails last failure as fav can be ignored,will be in strong contention,should be in 1-2
Mrinalini is working well,can place at longer odds
Race5:Cornawallis(3)-Win
Cornawallis is in great form and has good chance to repeat even in this higher class
Ld Silva has placed 3 runners.
Laurel Canyon though in long in tooth in comparision to stablemates but has class to atleast place
Race6:Modern Sniper(3)-Win
Class has to be determined here.
Desire and Modern Sniper are the horses which have run in class 2 immediately after clearing maidens,hence they are better than others.
Desire is a bit moody and likes to come off the pace,may falter over this shorter trip,hence iam preferring modern Sniper who has class to upset.
Jackpot hunters can opt for duo of this two
Race7:Green Jewel(1)-Win
Keeping the logic that 3 yrs old cannot win in class 4 immediately after clearing maidens iam preferrring Green Jewel who now looks well set to win in this shorter trip on No False Rails Day
Jackpot hunters needs to keep Khosgel in their selections as its last win was too good
Race8:Odalis(6)-Win
Very very tough race
Carlton has class but racing logic says not to fancy horses which run in distance shorter than last win
Beau Ideal will be in strong contention
Tejaswani will look other way if Beau Ideal is on job and same holds true for Beau Ideal if Tejaswani is on job
Odalis in last run was badly interferred,here it is bound to run a very good race and can upset
Silver Crown won very well last run but not sighted in track after that
Proof came like a rocket in last run,very impressive in tracks,should be in thick of action
Ashwashakthi always run good on D Day,cannot be ignored atleast for Jp
Always Bullish may need more ground
Dusty Lady is no pushover,found right combination of equipments in last race,should be in fighting
Finally
I opt for Odalis due to innermost box which will help it to grab initiative
Jackpot hunters need to keep Carlton.Beau Ideal,Tejaswani.Odalis,Proof.Ashwashakthi and Dusty Lady
Race9:Bold Majesty(2)-Win
This is the way i think abt this derby race
Colts will have upper hand,fillies can be ignored for win
Baashgar has no class to run in this race,can be ignored even for place
Bold Majesty who won colts stake in great style emerges as main contender,should be the one they all have to beat
Silver Phantom who finished second behind Bold Majesty is surprisingly slow in start even in mockrace,needs very hard riding and can be ignored
Spreadeagle from Bangalore circuit lacks class but still has chance to finish in top 3
Top Commander from Mumbai circuit will be doosra from MAM stable but considering the fact that Bangalore based horses run better on Hyd track than Mumbai based horses,one can ignore it
Veloz will not sustain over this distance,can be ignored for place
Culbera will recieve lot of support due to second behind Be Safe factor,pls note that it was under immense pressure that it managed to finish second in last run to God Speed,i dont think it has that gait to force a win over likes of Bold Majesty
Feliciana is noted in my records as winner when saddled,but it disappointed in last run,lacks class,can place
Supreme Fairy has no class to run here
Jackpot hunters can bank Bold Majesty
Race10:True Friend(8)-Win
Mr Glorious likes to run close to pace,doubt if it can hit front from outermost draw
Pakat pakat Pakat is on verge of a coup,can upset
Symbol Of Honor is seen urged in tracks,can be ignored
Careless Love is not sighted in tracks
True Scholar won on a derby day two years back,looks to have lost form
True Friend who improved a lot after removal of Blks now runs with +ve switch of shoes,will be in 1-2
Desert Bloom is a repair case,y it has been entrusted to Dashrath singh is unexplainable
Regal Groom is showing lot of speed in trials,dont ignore it alteast for Jp
11 comments:
Namasthe vinodji, wish you happy vijayadashami in advance, please give tanala selections in your style, thank you iam waiting.
dr rating please
yesterday ramaswamy banged from fink, would ramaswamy again in hyd,million dollar question isnt it??
Comments wull aid in Tanala combinations
Abt DR
Iam struggling to get right system... A system where all top rated DR will place,at least 40% of top rated will win and winner will be from top 4...
Very shortly i will arrange a office setup with assistant to update records and post DR regularly
MAM will derby in all centres
any long shots because amount is added to jp,ther will be long shots,please if any, & jp please
if dr is not possible, pease give atleast odds chart,if u can,thank u
I am ready to work with you in posting records . I am free to work in the evenings.
ms.srisri@gmail.com
1st Jp: 1/11/4.6/3.7/3
2nd Jp: 1.3/1.3/5.6.8/2/3.4.10
4th race tanala 3.7/3.7/F
5th race 3/1/F
9th race Tanala 2/4.5.9/4.5.9.10.12
thank u for jp
dear sir what about your DR rating where your horses CATHERINA / MUSK MELON / VIJAY SAKHI / MODERN SNIPER /GREEN JEWEL / ODALIS/ BOLD MAJESTY/ are running & your last race true friend won 10/1 odd. but i think some is wrong is with your DR . BECAUSE PREVIOUS YOUR DR RATING IN HYD IS VERY GOOD YOU ARE MASTER OF HYD RATING. IF YOU CANNOT CORRECT YOUR MISTAKE WHERE YOU DOING THEN YOU WILL SPOIL YOUR DECCAN SELECTIONS BLOG NAME .
as i said ramaswamy won in mysore and left out in hyd, gave out to vijay mallaya may be sponser of pune derby,high heads are involved in classics,what do u say??
Post a Comment