Pune 1st August Selections
Friday, July 31, 2009
Hi,
Following are my views for Pune races.I have shortlisted 4 probables for each races based on my system,will give pointers for each of them and my final pick.
Race1:My Pet Honey(6)/Easter Lily(8)
(6)My Pet Honey:Has good initial speed,will find this feather weight and short straight of Pune to its advantage and winner has to beat her.
(8)Easter Lily:Non winner till date,best performance till date is finishing 3 lengths behind winner in lower class,outermost box hinders its chances further,in this poor set still has chance.
(5)Fascination:Coming from Kolkotta with out any participation,one gets the feeling it needs distance,can place in this poor set.
(2)Lucky honey:Winner of Mockrace,non winner for last three years,difficult to bet on a horse which earlier displayed fractious behaviour,if fancied can be ignored for win.
Race2:Estevez(5)/Appalina(2)
(5)Estevez:Was in forward condition in both starts,impressed in final track work,will be hard to beat.
(3)Carmen:Offsprings of Ikhtyar have failed to deliver,ran good forward races to superior horses ,prepared systematically,will run at cramped odds,can fail.
(2)Appalina:Good fourth to Amoremia on Debut and then good forward run in Forbes million,emerges as good upset bet,place looks certain.
(7)Perpetuation:Neither last two runs nor preparation impresses at best can place due to jockey.
Race3:Triunfo(2)/Blumarine(3)
(2)Triunfo:Has outstanding chance in this set to clear maiden status,good win bet.
(5)Desert Queen:Nothing impressive in last two runs,regular easy track works,at best can place due to jockey merit.
(3) Blumarine:Improving with every run,impressive trackwork,place looks certain.
(8)River Route:If not for Appu had chances.
Race4:Arts(1)/Creme de le creme(3)
(1) Arts:Ran in graded races,looks best of lot,prepared well,but 2 points go against him a)Top weight b)Outer box.Has nothing to beat in this except for Creme de La creme which will set hot pace and try to run away.
(2)Creme de le creme:Won impressively last time,advanegously drawn in innermost box,will run away and can win if Arts fail to catch her.
(4) Check Her Out:Has right credentials to place.
(9) Adams Law:Did all the running before being beaten on post in its last outing in lower class,at best can only place.
Race5: First Empire(5)/Ciambossi(4)
(5) First Empire:Ignore last run,working well with Blks and sporting the same for race,has good chance in this tough set.
(4)Ciambossi:Will try to run away and can hold on to runner up berth.
(3)Imperio:Impressive winner of lower class,can only hope to place in this higher set.
(9)Solskjaer:Good long shot place bet.
Race6:Algorithms(8)/Star attraction(2)
(8) Algorithms:Ignore its run in Kolkotta,prepared very well,loves Pune track and can win.
(2) Star attraction:Has only to beat Algorithims.
(4)Classic Star: Good longshot place bet.
(1)Generalissimo: Running on demotion has good chance to place.
Race7:Casual look(11)/Sepia Tone(8)
(11) Casual look: Ignore last run,has good chance in its same age group,good upset bet.
(8)Sepia Tone: Endowed with good initial speed,prepared well and has good chance to win.
(2)Amberley: Will lead the all way till being caught,place looks certain.
(1) Arabian Pride: Will place,may need longer distance for win.
Race8:Secret agenda(9)/Mrs Jones(1)
(9) Secret agenda:Working very well with Blks and sporting the same for race,runs best till 1000mts,has good chance to win.
(1) Mrs Jones: Has good initial speed,may place.
(3) The First Lady: Non winner till date,can only hope to place.
(6)Chak De: Working well,can upset.
Daysbest:Triunfo(3-2)
Good bets:My Pet Honey,First Empire,Secret agenda
JP:
1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
3 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 |
4 | 8 | 11 |