Mumbai 25/02

Hi all,

Following are my observation for Mumbai races.

Race1:Stefano(7)

In my view, a horse which has not beaten half of the field of same class even once in its last three outings has no chance,by that logic we can ignore Morpheus,Pacific Zone,Shaktiman,Arabian Emperor.Ratnavali can be ignored as it running after almost 10 months.Therebel is not seen either in tracks or swimming,hence can be ignored.We are left only with Classicspirit and Stefano.I dont like a horse which gets beaten by same class horse in track,hence classicspirit too can be ignored for win.Stefano likes to run in front and in this very poor set should kick away till wire.

Race2:Veerawang(1)

Cavaradosi cleared maiden status on objection,failed to clear 20-46 barrier,so in my view it will not be able to make an impact in this 40-66 class.Salveregina cleared maiden status in great style in last Mumbai season,now running after lay off of nearly 10months,working very well,will need this run.Veerawang found distance a bit short for his comfort in his last outing,can do well over this mile.Go guzzi go has ran along very good horses in Pune,but its last run in current season was not impressive where it was seen tiring out in final stages.

Race3: Cambiasso(2)

Picking winner in this race is akin to predicting outcome of a blind lottery draw where any number can come out of the box.I prefer to go with Cambiasso on two counts, run benifit and Foreign jockey.

Race4:Premier Queen(1)

Premier queen in its last outing showed lot of improvement,extended very well in final furlong,should be a strong contender here.Hiddendragon is ignored as it always ran in higher odds indicating his worthiness.Meditaspride failed to justify trust shown in him in its last outing,may try start to finish tactics but longer straight of Mumbai may not be to its liking.Polariser is still a Non winner,last run was seen tiring.Expensive affair failed to show any form even in hands of strong riders.Lovelyfeelings is not seen in track and swimming after its last run.Paris hilton can place due to jockey merit.Nuncio is regular in swimming,can place at longer odds.

Race5:Secretpilgrimage(3)

Nitrous ran along with very good horses,but it is at weight of 62 and next is 8kgs less,seen in track only twice clearly indicating the fact that it is not completely prepared.Call to arms has services of very good jockey,but it won only once in his same age group in last 3 season.Secretpilgrimage found weight as stopper in its last run,here in this higher group,should easily win.Tigressnoire will breathe fire on neck of Secretpilgrimage in final furlong.

Race6:Causallook(2)

I prefer only winners of 20-46 in this higher class of 40-66.By that logic Princess Ruby,El Bunduq and Daffodils can be ignored.Of the rest Fantasy lake Fantasy Lake,Suraj,Mantovani can be ignored due to long lay off,inadequate track work and jockey merit.Sepiatone won in his own age group,sharply penalised for its win,can be ruled out for win.Dont be silly is working well,has run benifit,will try to run away.My choice would be Causal look who after an easy run last time,has stripped fitter as evident by track work,should win this race.

Race7: Desdemona(6)

Picking winner in this race is akin to predicting outcome of a blind lottery draw where any number can come out of the box.I prefer to go with Desdemona who impressed most in his final trackwork.Progenies of Chinavisit are relatively doing well when compared to others.

Race8:Successor(3)

Competitive race.My pick is Successor who as a maiden defeated Kiara,lost to Autonomy,again entrusted to his fav jockey.Almarina is working very impressively and should be involved in final finish along with Ildivo.

Race9:Courage Under Fire(2)

Courageunderfire ,a maiden,should not have much difficulty in handling this lowest category horses.Firequeen and Ganador may fill in the remaining berth.

Race10:Thegiant(5)/Larose(4)

Very bad race.The giant was fancied in both its start and in this lower set,can extend best.Larose has impressed in GP,can make a race of it.

Daysbest:Stefano(1-7)

Double:Stefano(1-7)/Premier Queen(4-1)

Treble:Stefano(1-7)/Premier Queen(4-1)/Successor(8-3)

Kainchi:Stefano(1-7)/Premier Queen(4-1)/Causallook(6-2)/Successor(8-3)

Have a niceday