Mumbai 1st March

Hi all,

Following are my observations for Mumbai races.

Race1:Desert Dynamite(4)

All are Equals.Equally worst in this case.

Desert Dynamite:Lacks initial speed,but in this very very poor set,has some credentials to go by and should pull it off.
Oriental Jewel:Has good initial speed,will lead the field and may find herself alone at WP if others fail to collar her.
Elegante:Working regularly.Last run finished in rucks,i doubt whether it can improve so much to register a win.
Dutchart:Not seen in track or Swimming after last run,entrusted to very good rider,is unknown commodity over this distance,last run struggled to accelerate,looks very difficult.
Nylaa:Poor runs earlier in Pune,not so impressive trackwork getting beaten by ordinary horses,gets weakened after 1200mts.
Flying Spirit:+Ve change of shoes,but very ordinary in track,never fancied,cannot sustain itself over this distance.
Aristocratical:Tracking very well,failed as fav in Pune,may be fancied but looks very difficult.

Race2:Persian Power(9)

Persian Power:Ran along with very good horses in Pune,has run benifit this season,working well,should be in fighting line,only -ve point is that it is working well with "Blks",but not sporting it for race.
Solid Rock:Stripped fitter after two listless runs,now running without "Blks",earlier in Pune was fancied,can upset.
Step By Step:Just a run,has impressive bloodlines,can be days longest upset.
Lone Trojan:I do not like apprentice jockey over this distance.
Regina:Lone winner in this group,but not sighted in track for last 1 month.
White Hart Lane:On demotion,Ran along with very good horses in Pune,not sighted in track after last run,one gets the feeling that it should win easily,but it is not easy as it appears,coz if it were so good he would have shown some zest or form in 20-46 class,good horses dont look for demotion to register a win.
Falcon Crest,Gift Of Grace,Saddlers Rule:Will need this run.

Race3:Flashingflame(2)

Flashingflame:Impressive second to Hot market fancy Ikaria,all set to make amends and return as winner.
Mysterious Star:Last run can be ignored as it was running after a gap of 10 months,will lead till being caught.
Balance De Power:Working extremely well,but running after almost one year,will definetely need this run.Will definetely give forward run.
Silent Presence:Company is too tough to handle.can be ignored.
Star Crusader,Mr Greedy:Very impressive winner in last outing in lowerclass,not keeping fit thereafter as evident by lack of trackwork,can be ignored here.
Cosmopolitan:No form to go by,can be safely ignored.
Lahinch:Looks to have suffered a set back after good start of career,will have to watch for few more runs.

Race4:Bluemountain(5)

Bluemountain:First race of the season,last run in Pune can be ignored as it was bit sluggish,drawn in inner most box,and if not rusty will simply run away with this race.
Got To Go:First race of season,working very well,i get a feeling that it will ran a good race.
Gentleknight:First race of the season,working regularly,ran with very good horses,may be bit rusty.
Desertsky:-ve change of shoes is clear indicator.
Da Vinci,Major Wager:No form to go by,cud not half of the field even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.
Misschevious Trot,Gatravat,Calling The Shots:Poor performance in same age group,will find this company too tough to handle.
Vantage:Stablemate of bluemountain and we hope that this will not be "Doosra".
Clarioncall:Winner in lower category,not completely fit as evident by only 1 track in one month.
Absolute Reality:Out of form,can be ignored.

Race5:Diego Rivera(1)

Diego Rivera:Always ran good races along with very good horses,won impressively in Pune,last run was bit rustic,working impressively thereafter and should return as winner.
Maseeha:Genuine upset horse,no strong reason to discount his chances,should place.
Hugo:Beaten by Diegoriver giving 10kgs,now just giving 3 kgs it will be a miracle if it can reverse that,can be safely ignored.
Rubenstar:As a fav got beaten by Hugo,i do not fancy its chances.
Spinoza:Working very well but running after almost one year,one cannot expect it to win a graded race immediately,ignore.
Vanquish:Last run was easy but not race fit as evident by only one track in last 1 month.
Cotswold Arms:Last two runs were in very tough company,earlier in Pune was fancied against Hugo,but failed,cud not even do better in hyd against medicore runners like Orochi,no chance here.
Predominant:Age,jockey,first run in mumbai,can it deliver against so many odds,no chance.
Agassiz:Hopelessly outclass,ignore.
Angelique:Got beaten by Orochi in Hyd,no chance whatsoever.
Blue Vision:Lost as fav in handicap race,outclass here.

Race6:Forestflair(3)/Rio Del Ray(4)

Can be upset race.On paper Forestflair looks outstanding after impressive win,but one cannot ignore the fact that there are unknown commodities running in this set and a surprise cannot be ruled out as it is short distance race and there is not much room for error.Forestflair may run at cramped odds and hence i wud look for value bet and i would like to put my money on Rio Del Ray who has impressed most in its final track beating Spinoza(r-110),should be in Top 2.

Race7:Setalight(10)/Icebreaker(5)-Shp

Feature event of the day.
Setalight:Wonderfilly there is absolutely no reason y it shud loose.
Icebreaker:Vanquisher of Abfabs which won Kol derby,this filly has impressed most lately and is the rightful contender to pose challenge to setalight,if any.
Attractress:Ran once along with Setalight,finished 23 lengths behind,y it is running here will be the first question,ignore even for place.
Aurora Aurealis:Earlier finished second to Setalight conceding 3 kgs.now at similar weights,will not even try.

Race8:Balthazaar(6)

Kiara will run at cramped odds.Earlier failed twice as hot market fancy,running after long lay off,past performance cannot be guide to present run.I see many contenders seriously challenging Kiara.
Balthazaar:Gave good Forward run to Juventus,working extremely well and shud be good Each way bet.
Lago Medio:Has electric turn of foot,can seriously challenge.
Englehart:Though long in tooth,has improved a lot as evident by trackwork,should be in fighting line.Good longshot place bet.
Spica:Won effortlessly,not seen in tracks after last run.

Race9:Equality(4)

Equality:After an easy outing has improved a lot and should return as winner.
Thanda:Running without "CNB",can be hot this time.
Chevron:Nonwinner,top weight in this distance looks difficult.
Indian Summer:Top weight,no track after last run,looks difficult.
Eagle Mountain:Proved stayer but again carrying this weight will be very hard.
Mountain King:Winner in poor set once,thereafter no form.
Sharpmemory:Not racefit.

Daysbest:Diegoriver(5-1)

Double:Flashingflame(3-2)/Diegoriver(5-1)

Treble:Flashingflame(3-2)/Bluemountain(4-5)/Diegoriver(5-1)

Have a nice day.