Mumbai 27.11

The Crown of Indian racing resumes amidst this testing times. Wishing connections, patrons and officials an uninterrupted successful season

Depending on the preference one can either go thru table and comments or can simply jump to conclusion J

I write what I know which necessarily may not be correct all the time, please use your own wisdom to make the final call

Race-1		1200	00-25
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv	Dv	Cv	Age	Shoes	Draw	Prep	NTR
1	ROMANESQUE	654	33,54	58	26	23	0	0	40	100	48	70	62
8	I AM THE WAY	652	44,61	44   9	12	19	13	0	10	100	55	20	49
3	SAFFRON FLOWER	650	36,38		21	21	6	0	20	100	42	60	56
6	MASAR	643	26,19	26 19	23	19	8	0	40	100	64	60	58
7	FIRE FLAME	641	15,47	5	20	21	0	0	40	100	45	50	56
11	BOHEMIAN	638	5,-15	-15  28	8	23	4	0	10	100	26	20	47
10	WHISPERING QUEEN	637	11,43		5	25	0	0	40	100	52	60	58
9	RED FIRE	637	6,41	6	26	19	17	0	40	100	70	60	59
5	THEA'S PET	635	4,54		20	25	0	0	20	100	65	70	57
2	COLOSSEUM	630	-2,19	-2 19	21	14	0	0	40	100	41	80	57
4	FOREVER FREE	620	17,32		10	13	0	0	10	100	44	60	51
Top 4 in NTR		1-9-10-6

 

Top Pick: 1.ROMANESQUE

1.Romanesque  has impressed in Gates and final Fast work, his pace stalking tendencies can be advantageous on this Pune track which aids front rollers

8. I am The Way despite weak jockey switch and soft preparation appeals on numbers and can rattle the field, the place looks safe

3. Saffron Flower is best suited for 1400mts over the long course of Mumbai, should be ignored here

6. Masar can be ignored for unsuccessful Trainer-Jockey Partnership

7. Fire Flame has won with this jockey in this course if on job odds would be below 5/1

11. Bohemian has failed 9 times over this Class and Distance

10. Whispering Queens’s solitary win of career came with this Jockey but will not relish this course

9.Red Fire is the only Class and Distance winner in this set, look out for race time odds, if above 10/1 ignore and if below it can be considered as an upset option

5. Thea’s Pet seems to have lost the zest for racing, failed to improve despite equipment changes

2. Colosseum suffered a setback in Pune last year and missed Mumbai season, this run should be watched

4. Forever Free can be safely ignored for unsuccessful Trainer-Jockey Partnership

Conclusion: Romanesque can pull it off in this average set, pool hunters can include Iam the Way and Red Fire

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Race-2		1200	20-46
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv	Dv	Cv	Age	Shoes	Draw	Prep	NTR
6	SPECULATOR	673	44,		21	21	33	0	60	100	44	60	62
4	STICK TO THE PLAN	667	65,55	65	25	2	19	6	40	100	45	70	62
11	VICTORIOUS SPIRIT	667	56,-22	56 -22	30	23	17	0	60	100	55	70	65
12	BETWEEN FRIENDS	666	29,51	29 51	15	23	17	0	60	100	42	60	61
5	MIKAYLA'S PRIDE	665	53,50	50	18	19	25	28	60	100	70	75	67
1	AQUARIUS	658	59,64		25	100	6	6	10	100	65	60	65
7	HOLLYWOOD PARK	658	25,23	89	12	19	0	0	60	100	52	30	54
3	MOUNT OLYMPUS	657	54,86	54 86	20	25	15	14	40	100	64	60	61
13	TAKE IT EASY	648	37,6	37 6	19	19	0	0	60	100	48	80	62
2	BEEMER	645	17,54		26	29	0	8	60	100	60	60	63
10	GENAU	603	-10,40	40	14	20	0	0	60	100	26	40	53
9	MS BOSS	585	-7,33	33	22	27	0	6	60	100	41	50	60
8	MARIANNE	0			26	25	0	0	60	100	22	20	51
Top 4 in NTR		5-1-11-2

 

Top Pick: 6.SPECULATOR

 

6. Speculator is best as per class hierarchy, looks well prepared and can strike it rich for his gambling owner

4. Stick to the Plan is probably looking for class demotion

11. Victorious Spirit missed Mumbai season for unknown reasons, recent trials are suggestive

12. Between The Friends despite featherweight failed to sustain in the last run, made handicap debut at a low mark of 25

5. Mikayla’s Pride landed a successful place gamble in the last run, belongs to weak connections

1 . Aquaris failed 6 times in this Class and Distance

7. Hollywood Park is not active in trials after 14^th October; both runs of career was unimpressive and ordinary

3.Mount Olympus will find this distance sharp

13. Take It Easy is a half-sister to speedy Greek Goddess, has been worked up well in morning exercise should do well

2. Beemer always displayed pace stalking tendencies over 7-8 furlongs, hot pace of this 6 furlongs race may be tough to handle for this offspring of Leitir Mor {Produced fine Milers}

10.Genau ran poorly in both runs of its career

9. Ms Boss will be on job as this Jockey A Sandesh has highly successful partnership with trainer Sanjay Kosla

8.Mariane is half-sister to RAEFALE, is not active in trials since a gate practise in September

Conclusion: Class 4 field which is class 5 in quality; baring top 4 rest of the horses are capable of running in the lowest class as well. Speculator will be offered a good price and hence can score. Ms Boss is safe for the place. Take it Easy can make things hard for others, include in the pools

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Race-3		1400	60-86
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv	Dv	Cv	Age	Shoes	Draw	Prep	NTR
8	RAINBOW TROUT	650	95,91	95 91	26	25	63	50	60	100	46	70	76
2	MYSTIC BAY	648	88,96		36	29	63	33	60	100	83	70	74
9	SULTAN SULEIMAN	645	94,59	94	21	26	50	33	60	100	54	70	73
7	MAJESTIC WARRIOR	631	95,83	83 97	20	25	46	0	60	100	50	80	69
6	GOLDEN ERA	622	68,54	79 79	21	9	50	0	60	100	50	70	63
4	KILDARE	621	100,71	108 75	25	23	67	0	60	100	72	70	65
3	KARIEGA	619	89,60	89	30	23	33	100	60	100	52	60	72
5	BARACK	611	90,81	90	28	10	67	0	40	100	68	70	60
1	GLORIOSUS	581	38,64		26	27	0	26	20	100	56	70	59
Top 4 in NTR		8-2-9-3

 TopPick: 8.RAINBOW TROUT

5. Barack is a decent horse with good initial speed but still cannot be trusted with an apprentice lad, anyways this horse relishes Mumbai long straight

8.Rainbow Trout had excuses in last 3 runs, loves Pune track, looks very fit and has rosy chances

2. Mystic Bay has won twice in First Up run, Jockey has highly successful partnership very trainer {5/3/0/9}, in all probability should end in 1-2

9. Sultan Suleiman performed below expectations after raising hopes of a classic prospect by winning Poona MILLION last year at this centre, recent trials are suggestive and Jockey has won a couple of races for this trainer but still need to watch this race

7. Majestic Warrior can be termed as Pune Specialist {2/3/1/6} but this set is beyond its class, note when runs in the lower class

6.Golden Era exactly same comment as that of Majestic Warrior

4.Kildare is a nice horse who won First up {Debut run},  climbed class ladder impressively defying class penalties got TR of class 2 in the last run, but now runs over tricky Pune course and hence discounting its chances

3. Kariega is the only Class and Distance winner in this set, sharply penalized and will struggle

1.Gloriosus will find distance sharp

 Conclusion: Highly competitive race; Rainbow Trout is the top pick for impressive TR, Mystic Bay appears to be safe for the place.

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Race-4		1200	00-25
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv	Dv	Cv	Age	Shoes	Draw	Prep	NTR
4	ADAMS BEGINNING	684	50,57	50 57	21	18	18	0	10	100	44	70	61
1	ABRAXAS	674	50,78		20	10	0	0	20	100	55	20	51
6	AME	669	49,56	49 56	25	15	22	0	0	100	52	70	60
9	HONOURABLE EYES	669	53,59		26	18	0	0	20	100	48	70	58
3	FALDO	663	54,	54  35	15	23	0	0	40	100	64	70	59
7	ARABIAN STORM	663	36,38	36 38	20	25	10	0	10	100	41	70	60
5	CAESAR	655	49,67	10	26	25	0	0	40	100	26	70	60
10	LAMBRETTA	651	41,11		25	19	0	0	40	100	45	70	59
11	GANDALF	644	24,42	38	20	31	11	0	20	100	42	20	52
2	ETERNAL DANCER	643	29,43	29	16	19	24	0	10	100	70	20	53
8	SANDALPHON	640	21,11	55	16	19	17	0	20	100	65	70	60
12	NAVIGATOR	637	6,27	6 27	20	21	4	0	40	100	22	20	50
Top 4 in NTR		4-6-5-8

Top Pick: 4.ADAMS BEGINNING

4. Adams Beginning has everything in favour except for Jockey Trainer Partnership, still has a chance in this ordinary set

1. Abraxas is blazing tracks in morning trials but peters out quickly after traversing 5 furlongs

6. Ame should be fancied in 5yrs old race from January

9. Honourable Eyes is yet to win in Pune, failed thrice in First Up runs

3.Faldo has decent TR, returns after setback and looks fit in recent trials, this run should be watched

7. Arabian Storm has fallen lot below its last winning mark

5. Caesar has failed to live up to expectations, struggling in trials, hard to fancy despite top saddle astride

10. Lambretta has dropped close to its last winning mark, can upset in this set

11.Gandalf has services of a good rider and is at tidy handicap mark but past performance record shows that this horse improves after a couple of runs in new season

2. Eternal Dancer can be ignored due to Jockey

8. Sandalphon has best TR for this trip but Jockey is yet to get a winner for this trainer

12. Navigator has failed 7 times in this Class and Distance

Conclusion: Adams Beginning can pull it off in this ordinary set,  Lambretta runs with a decent upsetting chance

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Race-5		1600	40-65
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv	Dv	Cv	Age	Shoes	Draw	Prep	NTR
9	GIANT STAR	629	94,58	58	27	23	100	0	100	100	80	70	75
1	QUESTIONABLE	614	31,48	48	23	25	17	0	20	100	55	70	64
7	SUNRISE RUBY	612	24,81	24  46	19	23	75	0	60	100	71	70	72
5	MOUNT MORIAH	605	83,73	38	26	27	33	0	60	100	45	70	62
2	GALLOPING GOLDMINE	604	65,48	72	25	23	67	0	60	100	33	70	65
3	BOSTONIA	594	55,60	71	30	29	17	0	60	100	63	30	60
4	WESTERN FRONT	588	85,51	51	26	21	42	0	40	100	11	70	58
6	STAR COMRADE	582	72,-6	-6	25	19	30	0	10	100	80	70	59
8	FLEUR DE LYS	570	36,36	32	26	25	25	0	40	100	75	70	60
Top 4 in NTR		9-7-2-1

 Top Pick: 9.GIANT STAR

9. Giant Star extends well but waywardly, one gets the feeling that handicapper has underestimated its class by allotting a lowly 43 mark, surely is the one to be beaten in this set

1. Questionable despite favourable Jockey, class and Course loses out on all important distance suitability factor

7. Sunrise Ruby has won a race in this Class and Distance but has weak numbers

5. Mount Moriah defied penalty to score an encore last time, now runs over extended trip in a Higher class

2. Galloping Goldmine has piled up handicap and is placed disadvantageously

3. Bostania has failed to live up to expectations on multiple occasions, maiden and yet rated at 60

4. Western Front can be safely ignored due to Jockey

6. Star Comrade will need a couple of runs to get sharpened

8. Fleur De Lys will be looking to shed a few points before going for a kill

Conclusion: Giant Star can exploit low handicap mark.

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Race-6		1000	3yrsm
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv	Dv	Cv	Age	Shoes	Draw	Prep	NTR
9	FINALIST	685	47,43	47 43	20	25	11	11	100	100	78	70	70
4	MONARCH	681	47,44	47	36	23	0	0	100	100	42	70	67
1	AEGON	678	46,53	53	25	21	50	25	100	100	54	70	72
3	MAJOR GENERAL	671	45,40	40	25	21	50	25	100	100	52	70	74
12	SPRING GROVE	668	51,	51	25	15	0	0	100	100	73	70	66
2	FUHRER	FR			21	26	0	0	100	100	72	70	66
5	RAYS OF SUN	FR			25	19	0	0	100	100	65	70	62
6	STRONG ONE	FR			26	27	0	0	100	100	21	70	63
7	COGNOSCO	FR			14	20	0	0	100	100	22	70	61
8	ENIGMA	FR			28	23	0	0	100	100	61	80	65
10	ONE WISH	FR			25	18	0	0	100	100	72	70	62
11	PLANET OF CAPE	FR			36	25	0	0	100	100	30	70	63
13	SUITED ACES	FR			5	10	0	0	100	100	65	70	60
Top 4 in NTR		3-1-9-4

Top Pick: 8.ENIGMA

9. Finalist can be ignored as trainer targets handicap class

4. Monarch failed to improve despite equipment change

1. Aegon has best TR for this trip but cannot be trusted with this Jockey

3. Major General got weak numbers and most probably will target Handicap class

12. Spring Grove ran a decent forward run in debut, recent trials are eye-catching and should be a jobber with this jockey who won a couple of races for Trainer

2. Fuhrer will be comfortable over Route trips, this run is educational outing

5. Rays of Sun has been prepared judiciously but the choice of Jky suggests connections want to test it once with a lung opener run

7. Cognosco is showing out in trials, has ordinary bloodlines

8. Enigma from Champion’s stable looks very sharp in trials

10. One Wish as per bloodlines will need of a couple of runs to sharpen

11. Planet of Apes inherits staying attributes from Dam Side

Conclusion: Enigma can make a winning debut. Spring Grove is safe for place

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Race-7		1200	3yrsm
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv	Dv	Cv	Age	Shoes	Draw	Prep	NTR
1	LEOPARD ROCK	722	93,63	93	36	23	50	100	100	100	55	70	77
3	PEPPER	683	58	58	22	26	0	0	100	100	45	70	66
7	POWERFUL LADY	680	50	50	25	23	50	50	100	100	65	70	78
2	RECALL OF YOU	668	60,64	60	26	27	0	50	100	100	70	70	76
6	HIOCTANE	658	45	9	28	20	0	0	100	100	48	70	66
4	SERGIO			0	22	13	0	0	100	100	52	70	62
5	COSTA RICA			0	28	15	0	0	100	100	64	70	63
Top 4 in NTR		7-1-2-6

Top Pick: 1.LEOPARD ROCK

Conclusion: Leopard Rock with that TR looks outstanding

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Race-8		1200	20-46
Sl	Name	DR	TR	TD	Trv	Jkv	Dv	Cv	Age	Shoes	Draw	Prep	NTR
3	GUARNERIUS	708	70,69	70 69	21	20	33	20	60	100	60	70	75
8	DREAMS	693	59,73	59	24	19	44	33	60	100	48	70	71
2	JETFIRE	689	58,79	58 79	25	15	30	33	40	100	41	70	69
13	MONK	689	48,73	48 73	22	23	29	17	60	100	42	70	66
12	BELENUS	684	67,100	34	26	27	17	10	60	100	64	70	71
4	STEPPENWOLF	674	42,49	42 49	26	25	30	20	40	100	45	70	66
6	PULVERIZE	666	50,42	50	25	19	20	17	40	100	26	70	61
10	WILD FLOWER	655	58,73		20	21	0	8	40	100	70	70	60
11	ASPIRATION	655	43,63		36	25	0	0	60	100	44	70	62
1	TIMELESS DEEDS	654	35,36	30	20	25	17	37	20	100	52	70	64
7	SAFDAR	648	50,43	43	16	19	28	21	10	100	22	70	61
5	BRAZOS	627	33,54		25	10	0	26	10	100	65	70	71
9	POWER OF NEATH	610	17,61	41	20	20	27	5	40	100	55	70	58
Top 4 in NTR		3-12-8-8

Top Pick: 3.GUARNERIUS

Conclusion: Guarnerius has best TR and comes on top in relative handicapping terms should be able to prove lucky in 3^rd attempt in this Class and Distance

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DAYS BEST	1-1 ROMANESQUE
PICK-1	3-8 RAINBOW TROUT
PICK-2	5-9 GIANT STAR
PICK-3	2-6 SPECULATOR