Happy Valley 15.04

Next Posting: Sunday,Sha Tin {10.15Am Start}

This is Just a Fun exercise to kill time during Lockdow

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Race1		4:15 PM
Sl	Horse	DR
10	VIRTUS STAR	640
12	ROCKAGE	638
1	GALAXY RACER	637
11	CHARITYDREAM	634

Results: {6-3-4}

My Choice: 10.Virtus Star

Class 5 race to start with

Virtus Star improved with a change of equipment in the last run and should do well here

Galaxy Racer still remains maiden who now gets services of top rider

Break Record just manage to win in last run, has a penalty to beat now

Rockage and Charity Dream are ridden by ordinary riders and have weak credentials in other departments

Mischievous Sundae’s last run in Wet conditions should be ignored, drawn favorably and can place at decent odds

Conclusion: 10.Virtus Star for the win and 9.Mishchievous Sundae for place

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Race2		4:45 PM
Sl	Horse	DR
10	COMPASSION SPIRIT	719
3	LADY FIRST	703
9	SWEETLY BABY	703
2	MONKEY JEWELLERY	701

Results: {10-8-2}

My Choice: 10.Compassion Spirit

Monkey Jewellery lacks initial speed and will struggle on this track which favors front rollers/Pace stalkers

Lady First’s last run was on All Weather Track, earlier finished a close second over this track at R60, can improve further in new stables

All Wongchoy has dropped significantly in handicap, has decent credentials and should be in 1-2

Compassion Spirit hasn’t exposed its true potential yet, gets services of top rider and seems to have stripped fitter as evident by decrease in body weights, should do well

Conclusion: 10.Compassion Spirit for win and 5.All Wongchoy for place

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Race3		5:15 PM
Sl	Horse	DR
2	TRIUMPHANT HORSE	657
9	BULB ELITE	652
3	TUNG WAH GLORY	646
12	COURAGEOUS DRAGON	646

Results: {7-3-5}

My Choice: 2.Triumphant Horse

Triumphant Horse was struggling for cover in last run as it was drawn wide, now drawn favorably and same jockey repeats

Tung Wah Glory won well in last run but has penalty to beat now over inexperienced Happy Valley track

Methane has been steadily losing body weight, got positive ticks in all department but much depends how fit he is

Bulb Elite relishes this trip and should run a good race

Courageous Dragon has services of jockey who has great partnership with trainer but step up distance may not suit

Conclusion: 2.Triumphant Horse for win and 9.Bulb Elite for place

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Race4		5:45 PM
Sl	Horse	DR
1	HAPPY GOOD GUYS	708
5	TELECOM MISSILE	701
2	SHANGHAI MASTER	699
12	PROMISE KEPT	695

Results: {11-3-10}

My Choice: 1.Happy Good Guys

Happy Good Guys won easily and in current form can score an encore defying penalty

Shanghai Master was withdrawn last time, looks sharper as evident by pleasing trials and decrease in body weight

Telecom Missile was seen running one paced in debut, will need few more runs

Victory Mastery will garner support but has poor numbers

Conclusion: 1.Happy Good Guys for win and 2.Shanghai Master for place {odds permitting}

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Race5		6:15 PM
Sl	Horse	DR
8	EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE	724
12	THE ABRAXAS	710
6	CALIFORNIA RAD	709
11	SUPER WINNER	708

Results: {6-3-12}

My Choice: 8.Exceptional Desire

Super Lucky just managed to win last time, has penalty to beat now

California Rad merits attention for favorable draw and decent Trainer-Jockey partnership

Exceptional Desire won well last time and penalty is set off by a allowance claiming rider, can surprise again

Super Winner is a maiden who gets services of top rider, has good speed but may not relish fast conditions of this track

Conclusion: 8.Exceptional Desire for win and 6. California Rad for win

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Race6		6:45 PM
Sl	Horse	DR
6	MOST BEAUTIFUL	724
3	SHOUSON	723
7	BEAUTY SPARK	723
2	CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT	722

Results: {7-2-3}

My Choice: 6.Most Beautiful

Tightly handicapped race as evident by DR

CaliforniaDeepshot has good speed but drawn in unfavorable barrier which may not aid its front rolling style

Shouson has been highly consistent but has sharp penalty to beat now

Most Beautiful won last season at this mark, gets services of good rider and will be strongly involved

Beauty Spark gets negative switch in saddle support

Victory in Hand has brilliant speed and drawn favorably this time, should place

Conclusion: 6.Most Beautiful for win and 11.Victory Hand for place

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Race7		7:15 PM
Sl	Horse	DR
9	ALPHA HEDGE	670
1	FLYING QUEST	651
7	HEAVENLY THOUGHT	650
6	REEL BIZZY	649

Results: {5-4-12}

My Choice: 9.Apha Hedge

Flying Quest has won twice this jockey, drawn badly

Jolly Honour reaped rich dividends in last run for its connections persistence, has tough penalty now

Reel Bizzy was struggling for cover and rallied wide yet finished decent 3^rd, can improve further

Heavenly Thought will be hot market fancy due to consistent performance and red hot Trainer+Jockey partnership, has piled up handicap

Alpha Hedge won lot easily than it appeared in last run and can defy class penatly

Conclusion: 9.Alpha Hedge for win and 6.Real Bizzy for place

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Race8		7:45 PM
Sl	Horse	DR
12	CONFUCIUS DAY	736
1	WINNING METHOD	720
7	ISLAND SHINE	719
8	VICTORY POWER	717

Results: {7-1-3}

My Choice: 12.Confucius Day

Winning Method won well in last run despite slow start

Amazing Knight is an import from Great Britain where it won in both starts of career, may need a run on this track

Island Shine improved well with change of equipment and now gets services of top rider

Victory Power lacks initial speed and may struggle to position well from innermost box

Confucius Day finished decent second with the same rider, has numbers in favor and can surprise

Conclusion: 12. Confucius Day for win and 1.Winning Method for place

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Race9		8:20 PM
Sl	Horse	DR
9	ENRICHMENT	667
5	RELIABLE TEAM	665
7	AMAZING BEATS	659
1	INSAYSHABLE	653

Results: {4-9-11}

My Choice: 9.Enrichment

Insayshable will relish step up distance but has modest rider

Dances With Dragon’s last run can be ignored due to severe interference and Wet Going, earlier impressive winner over this track

Reliable Team is a Happy Valley specialist, has HAB {High Achievement Bonus} tag and should go all out seriously

Amazing Beats did not relish Going in last run, was easy winner in earlier race

Enrichment is knocking on door and deserves a winning berth now

Conclusion: 9.Enrichment for Win and 5.Reliable Team for place

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DAYS BEST:  ALPHA HEDGE {7-9}