Pune 21.10

Last two days of Pune season.Previous trends suggests smaller stables have field day

Race1		1400
Sl	Name	DR
6	CRISTO BOSS	620
1	NOBLE CHIEFTAIN	607
3	JEENA	595
9	STAR ACE	593
2	REPLICA	590
7	ALFONSO	568
5	PRETTY ANGEL	547
4	MARVEL	545
8	BAY OF LOVE	510

Primary Choice:Jeena(3)-Win

Pattern handicapping suggests winner should emerge from 3yrs old rated between 26 and 30

Noble Chieftan is top rated 3yrs old but it has been a highly unreliable horse,finished 50 lengths behind winner in first two runs of its career and then hanging out badly in last run

Jeena merits strong attention on the fact that It won the only race it ran in this class ,subsequent runs were for handicap reduction,one also needs to note an important thing is that it gave good forward run in very first run of the season here advertising its intentions to go for the kill in most apt field and class

Marvel like Jeena has targeted this class as evident by drop in handicap but lack of preparation and inept rider are some negatives against it

Pretty Angel has age in favor but bad gate manners 

Cristo Boss ran fair races in higher class,good DR,can upset

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Race2		1400
Sl	Name	DR
3	CHAMPAGNE	669
2	SHIELD OF ACHILLES	662
1	THE BIG BULL	641
4	SET TO FLY	631
5	NATURE BOY	597

Primary Choice:Champagne(3)-Win

The Big Bull faces younger horses, run here  for conditioning ahead of Mumbai season

Shield Of Achilles is best as per class terms

Champagne won as he likes last week,in current form looks good

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Race3		1000
Sl	Name	DR
3	MONTE GRECO	634
10	STAR WITNESS	628
9	SHE'S ALL MINE	617
1	AURODEN	602
2	DEMOCRAT	FR
4	AKKI'S PET	FR
5	ANOTHER CHANCE	FR
6	KITTY HAWK	FR
7	ROYSTON ROCK	FR
8	SARRAZIN	FR

Primary Choice:Kitty Hawk(6)-Win

Horse with experience{run benefit} look ordinary as evident by their sub 30 ratings

Democrat is eldest of lot,twice withdrawn due to fractious behavior,has benefit of mockrace but still needs a race 

Monte Greco who was interfered in last run has been tracked by Trevor himself in final two spurts,has failed miserably when fancied in Mumbai

Another Chance whose half brother DESIRE ran some good races at Hyd is showing out in trials

Kitty hawk ,a brought abroad,is mighty impressive in trials,jockey declared may fetch better odds

Sarrazin is full sister to Zahrazaan,distance is sharp,will need this run

Star Witness who is full sister to SOLOMON needs to improve a lot and in all probability will target a handicap class

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Race4		1400
Sl	Name	DR
3	ELEGANT BEAUTY	625
4	FABIO	611
2	SUMAAQ	607
1	DAZZLING DANCER	601
6	MONZA	593
7	CENTAURUS	590
5	SAIL PAST	582
10	WAR DECLARATION	578
9	STARRY MOMENT	574
8	SHIVALIK ROSE	562

Primary Choice:Elegant Beauty (3)-Win

Pattern handicapping suggests this Division 1 race will be won by preferably a 3 yrs old rated above 41

Elegant Beauty’s last run can be ignored due to new  turf factor,placed well here to make a strong claim 

Fabio which after winning on debut ran in Grade 3 races merits strong attention after running a easy run last time over scurry

Shivalik Rose lacks class

War Declaration another 3 yrs old is sitting at bottom handicap,will need to sharpen a lot

Monza can place at longer odds

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Race5		1000
Sl	Name	DR
2	DUSK N DAWN	633
5	STARRY IMAGE	625
8	RACHEL	624
15	TAREEF	619
1	THERE SHE GOES	615
13	OLIVIA KASPEN	611
11	DECCAN KING	603
6	RICH N RARE	597
4	RESILIENT	587
14	FLYING ELEPHANT	580
3	REALITY	572
12	TARGETMASTER	555
9	GOLDSMITH	553
10	ALLEGIANCE	552
7	JORDEN PRINCE	540

Primary Choice:Dusk N Dawn (2)-Win

Division 2 of a bottom class race!!!! 

Dusk N Dawn merits attention for getting a rider with whip after 6 runs and suggestive recent trials

Starry Image will try to lead from the Word Go,not a genuine performer

Rachel has failed when fancied,one paced

Tareef with that rider can be ignored

There she goes was tested with Blks last time,showed no improvement

Goldsmith is at bottom but merits attention for change in stables,suggestive trials,addition of TS and forward running capability

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Race6		1000
Sl	Name	DR
6	LADY COACHMAN	665
9	SNOWY PEAKS	635
3	ARC OF PASSION	628
1	ADAMS BEGINNING	614
11	VOULEZ VOUS	612
10	TRIPLE THREAT	579
4	GO MARISA GO	553
2	ALYATIES	FR
5	INAAQ	FR
7	LADY IN RED	FR
8	MOCKIN BIRD	FR

Primary Choice:Lady Coachman (6)-Win

Lady Coachman who lost to COURTSHIP on debut is running after long lay off{6months},30+ rated horses are superior for this kind of races 

Snowy Peaks who was ridden by Suraj with negative equipment Blks is not in trials thereafter

Arc of Passion is full brother to ordinary ITALIAN CYPRESS,will target handicap class

Lady in red is tracking very impressively,may need a little more ground

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Race7		1600
Sl	Name	DR
1	LONDON	585
3	ANTEROS	570
2	SKY MINE	568
5	STAR COMRADE	563
4	SOVEREIGNSKY	555
6	COMIC TIMING	554

Primary Choice:London (1)-Win

London is winner of both starts of its career,mile will be well within its compass 

Skymine got numbers but lacks in class

Anteros runs over apt distance,should run a bold race

Soverignsky who is stablemate of LONDON has impressed a lot in mockrace but maiden and taking on multi winners

Star Comrade for reasons best known to its connections is now sporting negative Blks

Comic Timings lacks class

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Race8		1800
Sl	Name	DR
7	VOLANTIS	575
2	MEKONG DELTA	573
5	DAYDREAMER	571
3	JOSS	569
9	VITESSE	564
11	BAKER STREET	563
6	ATALYA	563
8	KOAL	562
13	MYTHICAL SUNRISE	559
10	RAPID GIRL	551
1	OLLY BOY	550
4	SABIQ	550
12	DANSE DEBONAIRE	541

Primary Choice:Volantis (7)-Win

As per pattern handicapping VOLANTIS stands out and has very good chance 

Mekong Delta  failed fav of higher class pitched in lower class,has earlier beaten Volantis at par weight now giving 5kgs!!!!

Day Dreamer won in lowest class,can be ignored in this set

Joss has not been extended in last few runs,genuine upset contender

Koal qualifies on pattern handicapping but jockey is incompetent

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Race9		1200
Sl	Name	DR
1	MAGICAL MEMORY	679
2	FLAMBOYANT FLAME	670
7	KING OF KILLEN	644
5	SPORTO	643
3	FLASHY WINGS	641
10	SYNCHRONICITY	639
8	AURORA AUSTRALIS	637
9	JULIANO	631
4	GRAN PARADISO	618
6	SCION	603
12	WARLOCK	575
11	FRISKY WHISKEY	505

Primary Choice:Magical Memory (1)-Win

Race for 3yrs only

Pattern handicapping suggests winner should be emerge from 40+ rated horse,DR Table confirms the same

Magical Memory won mighty impressively on debut,subsequent runs were In class 3 and grade,this half sister to derby winners HOTSTEPPER,JUVENTUS has oodles of class to carry ever top weight

Flamboynant flame can be ignored due to jockey

Flashy wings is not prepared,has disappointed in last few runs

Gran Paradiso took advantage of lower handicap and won well last time,looks tough now 

Sporto is struggling to find right pair of equipment

King of Killen is speedy and will try to steal race from the Word Go

Synchronicity failed as fav in lowest class,at this weight may place at longer odds

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Race10		1000
Sl	Name	DR
8	MAD HATTER	643
7	ZION	640
6	TOUGH ENOUGH	636
9	PURE SIN	633
12	RISING CONCERT	633
5	SUPER ICON	631
13	WILDHORN	628
1	ASAHI	626
4	FURIOSA	621
10	WESTERN LIGHTS	614
3	BLAZING STEPS	612
2	SEACAUCUS	611
14	GLORIOUS GIFT	607
16	MOONDROPS	598
11	BLACK JAGUAR	592
15	MANO NA MANO	583

Primary Choice:Mad Hatter (8)-Win

Pattern handicapping suggests winner will emerge from horses rated above 23 and hence ignoring sub 23 rated horses

Zion is speedy and will try start to finish,not a genuine sprinter and hence one can give only fair chance

Tough Enough is sprinter but not displayed the same till now,rider is highly incompetent

Pure Sin gets negative switch in saddle support after failing in last run

Furiosa is mighty impressive in trials,will run like a scalded cat with BLKS

Mad Hatter has conditioned well in higher class, stands decent chance in this lowest class under foreceful rider

Rising Concert was impressive winner,may run for handicap reduction now

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Two choices for the day

Will  update on whatsapp after opening odds are declared