Bangalore 12th July
Friday, July 11, 2014
Derby weekend is here.Hope rain gods show mercy.Card is attractive and can reap rich dividends due to liberal odds offered by bookies
DR,Comments and Betting Options
Derby weekend is here.Hope rain gods show mercy.Card is attractive and can reap rich dividends due to liberal odds offered by bookies
DR,Comments and Betting Options
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8 comments:
Hello Vinod gaaru,plz plz plz post ur selections from race 4 to race 8 as i am having difficulty in viewing the same.hoping to see ur complete post in your blog(having issues viewing thru scribd).sorry for the trouble. Ur biggest fan...Rajesh
Dear All,
Not sure if the sky will hold up. There is a saying that one should be vary
during the Pre-Derby day. The card has scope for surprises. 86 horses in a card of
8. This means a mimimum of 3000-3500 kgs of weight will be pounding the track
per race. In the event of rain(per the weather report- thunderstorm), this will have an
effect. Riders will evade the rails and take the turn a bit more. This will have a bearing
on the eventual outcome.
I suggest to people who have the habit of laying their bets early to be cautious and take it
as the day progresses.
My study PER MY UNDERSTANDING is as follows:
Race 1:
Horses taken up for scrutiny:
Tanganyika - Aqua Aria - Summer Dawn - Glamour Boy -Oriental King
Rating:
Tangayika (659)-Aqua Aria (629)-Summer Dawn (616)-Oriental King(591)-Whimisical- (570)- Glamour Boy(566)
BOAP : None
Analysis:
Tanganyika- finished closer to the frame with the same jockey/class down/getting beaten in tracks/a bleeder/
Aqua Aria-weight up by 1.5/easy track with the same jockey/distance up/GOOD/trainer a put off/blk on
Summer Dawn-distance up/tracked with the same jockey/came with a belated run/GOOD CHANCE
Oriental King-Won with the same jockey with A/A-S- negative/class down/no recent track/gambling trainer/watch trend
Whimisical-has come back to its same rating it won with Chisty-tracked with Christy-weight down-good jockey
/Trainer a concern/injury on 26th/
Glamour Boy-ignore last run/winter runs good/eased up in tracks/upcoming jockey/GOOD
My Bet : Summer Dawn- Win / Glamour Boy or Whimsical - Place
Race 2:
Horses taken up for scrutiny:
Irish Song- Castle Stuart - Optimistic - MyLakshmi -Beauty is Truth
Rating:
Irish Song(654)- Castle Stuart(647) - Optimistic(645) - MyLakshmi(632) -Beauty is Truth(622)
BOAP : None
Analysis:
Irish Song- class up/retained jockey/no recent track work/
Castle Stuart -weight up by 4.5/retained jockey/tracked with the same jockecy/trainer a concern
Optimistic-Weight up by 2kigs/class up/horse in form/track okay
MyLakshmi-class up/weight down by 2.5/
Beauty is Truth-weight down by 1/Dasrath/track good/ran with good horses in winter/GOOD CHANCE
My Bet : Beauty is Truth e/w / Irish Song will be tried so SHP
Race 3
Horses taken up for scrutiny:
Laurita- Shivalik Eyes - Coriolios - Anarosa -Crazy Pineapple
Rating:
Laurita(645)- Shivalik Eyes(639) - Coriolios(635) - Anarosa(631) -Crazy Pineapple(578)
BOAP : None
Analysis:
Laurita- pushed in tracks/same jockey/can place
Shivalik Eyes -tracks good/
Coriolios-Terms Race/comes out of the gates well-can it sustain?-tracks good/Has an infection recently which does not augur well
Anarosa-best jockey /tracks good/
Crazy Pineapple-same weight/was in midfield/jockey change/tracked with the same jockey/GOOD
My Bet : Anarosa Win- purely for the track/jockey/Shivalik Eyes-Laurita-Crazy Pineapple - either one place
Race 4
Horses taken up for scrutiny:
Coldstream- HoneyMoon - The General - Barrachus -Merion
Rating:
Coldstream(669)- HoneyMoon(663) - The General(662) - Barrachus(650) -Merion(646)
BOAP : None
Analysis:
Coldstream- distance up/tracked with the same jockecy/Infection from 21/06/14 to 25/06/14
HoneyMoon -Weight up by 3.5/Same jockecy/no trackwork/jockey said he did not get a clear run/distance up
The General-had a mock race/withdrawn last time/jockey suraj/CHANCE/C.N.B. ON T.S. ON
Barrachus-Blnks on/jockey good/good track/GOOD/Colic 11/06/14)/Blk ON
Merion-coming back to maidens/tracked with the same jockey/has got good speed
My Bet :None. I feel the race should be between The General-Barrachus -Merion.
Race 5
Horses taken up for scrutiny:
Champakali- Fast Lady- Pippin - Appollo Star -Cadogan
Rating:
Champakali(672)- Fast Lady(645) - Pippin(643) - Appollo Star(642) -Cadogan(602)
BOAP : None
Analysis:
Champakali- finished second under whip/tracked with the same jockey/weight up by 3/is a 4 year in this set
Fast Lady -coming to handicap race/tracked with the same jockecy/trainer hopeless
Pippin-massive jockeychange /yash/tracks okay
Appollo Star-tends to fall back/tracks good with the same jockey/CHANCE
Cadogan-jockey change to Jageesh/has a chance to place/no recent track work
My Bet : Pippin - win / Cadogan Place
Race 6
Horses taken up for scrutiny:
Gentle Knowledge- BullsEye- SupremeStar- RockWithYou -Invincible Prince
Rating:
Gentle Knowledge- BullsEye- SupremeStar - RockWithYou(671) -Invincible Prince(651)
BOAP : None
Analysis:
Gentle Knowledge- WEIGHT down by 0.5/good track/dk ashish/GOOD
BullsEye -won last time in lower class/weight down by 9/ CHANCE/TRACK MODERATE/last win in 1200 per IR is 1:11.87/is it true???
SupremeStar-horse in form/weight up by 2.5/tracks okay
RockWithYou-weight by 1.5/jockey change to YS/tracks okay
Invincible Prince-Good chance
My Bet : Very tight finish race/ I am going with Invincible Prince
Race 7
Horses taken up for scrutiny:
IMDifferent- Alcazaba - Frankness- Supreme Regime
Rating:
IMDifferent(682)- Alcazaba (654)- Frankness(651)- Supreme Regime(616)
BOAP : None
Analysis:
IMDifferent- weight up by 11.5/last run in higher class/no recent track work/
Alcazaba -class down/good jockey allowance/weight down by 1.5/GOOD
Frankness-class up/weight down by 1.5/apt distance/ GOOD
Supreme Regime-massive jockey switch to Sandesh/GOOD
My Bet : Race should be between the above four, of which I am going for Supreme Regime.
If it rains then may look for other options from the above ONLY.
Race 8
Horses taken up for scrutiny:
Kingstontwon- Santa Ana - Alfons-De-Borja- Absolute Red -Noble Reward
Rating:
Kingstontwon(661)- Santa Ana (655)- Alfons-De-Borja(649)- Absolute Red(639) -Noble Reward(636)
BOAP : None
Analysis:
Kingstontwon- weight reduced by 9.5 /won impressively in lower class 00-25/tracked good with the same jockey
Santa Ana -weight up by 2.5/massive jockey switch to YS/CHANCE/tracks okay/Injury from 15/06/14 to 17/06/14
Alfons-De-Borja-weight up by 4/was behind the winner last time/trainer bad
Noble Reward-massive jockey switch to Dasarath/no recent track work/CHANCE
My Bet : A three corner fight with Santa Ana-Kingstontown-Noble Reward. Going with Kingstontown
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Dear Vinod, good double and days best , great job, keep it up.
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