HYDERABAD 1ST OCTOBER--Pre Derby day analysis

A cursory glance on the card reveals that D Netto will have a busy day,unfortunately none of his horses come into my reckoning.
*********************************************************
Race1:

{A race for maidens where only Deal Maker,Star Wings and True Haven have managed to finish second as their best,rest all not even placed}

Deal Maker,Machintosh,The Da Vinci Code and True Haven may be targeting for lowest class race

Field Commander after good easy run now runs with +ve change of shoes and rider,working well,will run a good race this time

Musk Mellon is working well after an easy unextended last run{whip loss}

Golden Missile was up with front bunch till bend before easing off on False Rails day,has advantage on this No False Rails Day but jockey is horrible

Star Wings advocated its fitness in first two runs of the season where it gave good forwards runs,was fancied in subsequent runs.In race no 125 due to very hot pace it could not settle well and made its move very late yet was seen devouring ground.In last race it could not hit front due to outermost box and had to be content with second spot.There is a saying in racing that it is better to choose a horse which has been showing good form in more than 3 runs over horses who have  showed form just in one run

Selections:  6.Star Wings                2.Field Marshall          3.Musk Mellon
*****************************************************************
Race2:

Without any doubt one can safely conclude that bottom 4 horses have no chance whatsoever

Ein Ein Ein may not sustain this distance,last run was dismayal inspite of being a winner due to drifting out very badly when urged,even the final fast trackwork is shown as under whip

River Dale is running on No False Rails day for the first time,one gets the feeling it will not be able to hold on till end with this weight astride

Ancillary may be market fancy but can be ignored due to top weight and unimpressive final trackwork

Staminoizd has not been extended this season,last winter was impressive winner,with this rider astride one gets the feeling it will be fully tried and can swoop down on tiring front runners in final furlong

Selections:  4.Staminoizd                   2.River Dale                1.Ancillary
******************************************************************
Race3:

When a trainer regularly change equipments it sends a signal that horse is not responding as desired,Military Belle in its last run was hanging,now gets rid of DRB which was put on it in last run,with pace of race bound to be very hot,it will really require a very good effort from it to win

Winds And Waves returns after being disqualified in last run for dangerous riding,distance will be short for its comfort

Fair And Square runs for first time on No False Rails Day in this season,should be able to kick on gamely till end

Rock Heights is due for a win but for jockey one has to ignore it

Selections: 2.Fair And Square           3.Winds And Waves       7.Rock Heights
******************************************************************
Race4:

Looks like a gift race to Vijays Pride who is multi classic winner including 1000G at Mumbai and its parent centre

Silken Touch is expected to provide some threat to Vijays Pride

Selections: 1.Vijays Pride                   2.Silken Touch
*********************************************************************
Race5:

Golden Palace and Young Sapper can be ignored for -ve shoes and jockeys

Power Planet was winner of same class but at weight of 51.5.now carrying 6.5kgs more,no trackwork

San Ramon is rapidly coming down in scales,something wrong with horse

Prince Of Arabia is doing front running this season contrary to its winter style of running,may go all out to win

Aarohan will run for handicap reduction as evident by jockey declared

Best Pal is rapidly coming down in scales,looks like it will target class 3

Dazzling Empress won lot easy than it appeared,has age in favor,lightly penalised which is put off by allowance jockey,one gets the feeling it will  try to show its presence in this higher class also

Selections:8.Dazzling Empress              2.Power Planet            5.Prince Of Arabia
********************************************************************************
Race6:

Kohinoor Punch was a winner this season but conceding 6.5 kgs to its nearest rival,not an easy task

Novaya Zemla was winner of same age group,can be ignored here

Big Move failed as fav in winter,in this open race with this rider,will be hotly fancied

Golden Flash's last two runs were eye washers,earlier finished a good second,getting preferrential handicap reduction,should be on job

Rest of the horses have no form to be mentioned

Selections: 5.Golden Flash                      3.Big Move                   1.Kohinoor Punch
************************************************************************'
Race7:

Anacostia unlikes others in fray here is winner of class1,but choice of rider and top weight is -ve

Always Bullish is not sighted in tracks,will be hotly fancied but will find this distance sharp

Win and Joy in last Monsoon season after winning in lower class lost suspicously in this class,subsequent run was slowly away,In Winter ran good third in 1000G and subsequent runs were in wrong distance,has stripped fitter after good easy run this season,Trainer has put only two horses for the day,one being Vijays Pride who has good chance to win so on that count there is possibility of double with this horse

Hidden Power clocked handsome finishing timing when it won Race no 89,last run was interferred,has very good chance to repeat

Our Mascot finished good second to too good Aventus,in this shorter distance will be a live threat

Any Given Time and Prince Prashant are looking for class down

Selections: 5.Hidden Power                        3.Win And Joy                  6.Our Mascot  

***************************************************************************  
Race8:

Big Boss with this weight looks very difficult

Mr Glorious is back to its fav class after running listless in higher class,weight will be an issue as it is a gelding

Desert Bloom has lost form

Arudra will not sustain this distance

Komo Komo Komo won well last time,connections are looking for a repeat as evident by rider

Crimson Look warms up late,off late has developed tendency of drifting out in straight

Mukhtar and Kathakali not in this age group

Deccan Queen was badly boxed up in last 50mts ,had to literally stop to avoid hitting the rails,came up very well in last 25mts,+ve change of shoes indicates that Connections are sweet on its chances

Guiding Spirit is on threshold of a coup

Selections: 9.Deccan Queen                          5.Komo Komo Komo           10.Guiding Spirit
*********************************************************************
Race9:

Cannon Ten in this step up distance has chance

Ground Crew in its last run had to stop momentarily in final furling to avoid hitting rails,moved up well again,has good chance to win here

Sweety Girl in its last run failed to accelerate inspite of free ground in front,can be ignored for win

Cheyenne lost in hands of country's best rider

Symbol Of Beauty has tendency of slow start

Stolen Date is running after long lay off,is winner of lower class

Selections: 2:Ground Crew                             1.Cannon Ten                             11.Fashionista      
***************************************************************************