Sunday, April 5, 2009

Mumbai 5th April

Hi all,
Following are my selections and workout.

Selections


Race1:Highlandvision(5) -Win Tattenhoe-Place Alohamora-Upset

Race2:Maseeha(2)-Win Desertdust(3)-Shp

Race3:Pretty Commission(4)-Win Chios-Place Recardo-Upset

Race4:Nonios(5) -Win Thefirstlady-Place Mrsjones-Upset

Race5: Clarion Call(1)-win Absolute (3)-Place Zen-Upset

Race6:River Chieftain(3) -Win Sea sparrow(4)-Place

Race7:Starimpact(7)-Win Spitz(3)-Place Beuamonde-Upset

Race8:Harmonica(4) -Win Riverblossom-Place Rockebyvenus-Upset

Race9:Portrush(7)-Win Spica(6) -Place Beyondbelief-Upset

Race10:Kapathos(15)-Win Fidel defensor(3) -Place Boldbabe:Upset

Daysbest:Harmonica(8-4)

Kainchi:Prettycommission,Nonios,Starimpact,Harmonica

Workout

Race1:

Highland Vision:Improved a lot as evident by impressive last run,working very well,can raise winning flag.
Alohamora:Well prepared,has good initial speed,can run away in this lower class.
Rule Of Law:Endowed with good intial speed,has tendency of jumping towards inside after start,impressive final preparatory gallop,long straight of mumbai track is disadvantegous. Tattenhoe:Ran good races in Pune as maiden,all its run in this season were in higher category,now in this lower class had good chance with "Blks",but beaten by same class horse in final track,hence ignored.
Fiamma:First run after lameness,will run easy,can be ignored.
Salawati:Underprepared,first run of season,will run easy.
Sunburst:First run,suffered from colic last month,not fully prepared,may run easy.
Last Nights Sonnet:May not be able to sustain itself till end.
Sarjerao:Suffered from joint stiffness,prepared well,may not be able to sustain itself.
Bold Act:Nothing impressive so far,looks to be underprepared.


Race2:

Maseeha is clearly better then rest of three but ran a race of 2800mts last sunday,will it be fit enough to run again?,only solace is, that race was literally walkover for it and didnot have to stretch itself completely as it had only to over take tiring nitrous and win.Desertdust and Skywards are short in class when compared to Maseeha, but if it fails to deliver than Desertdust who was fluent winner last time can make an impact and return as winner.Agha is underprepared and not suited to carry this weight over this distance.


Race3:
Pretty Commission:Better than Dancingglory when compared to timings,tracking well with blks and sporting the same for race,has good chance.
Dancing Glory:Ignore its run in 2000guineas,after clearling maidens last season ran along very good horses in Pune,working very well,should easily win this race.
Rose Bowl:As a maiden won impressively cutting smart timings,last run was fancied strongly but was struggling thru out,now running with "ts" and "blks",working very well,has to beat Dancingglory.
Recardo:Last run improved very well from last position to finish close in the end,seen regularly on threadmill,can do well.
Classic Star:Suffered from Respiratory infection after its last run,tracking well,winner of same age group consisting of poor performer.
chios:Good run last sunday but running too early for its comfort.
Sierravista,Adalia:Short of class when compared to other runners.


Race4:

Nonios:Final track was very impressive and cannot be ignored
Phosphor:endowed with good initial speed,can run away in this shorter distance.
Step By Step:Broke blood vessel in last race,only one GP after ,can be ignored.
The First Lady:Running in lower class,regular in pool and tracks.
Bay Destiny:ran easy in its debut,tracking regular.
Mrs Jones:Gave good forward over 1200mts in last race,regular in pools,can upset.
Rubaiyat:Blood vessel case,cannot be backed confidently.
Secret Affair,Glory Of Love:Looks difficult,nothing much done so far.


Race5:Clarion Call:Runaway winner of lower class,ran easy in higher class last run,working very well,should easily win.
Absolute Reality:Gave very good forward run over 1400mts in last run,always ran along good horses,can upset.
Zen:Winner of lower class,working well with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,can win again
Exotic Star:Failed as fav this season,last two runs were not impressive either,choice of jockey is -ve indication
Rising Princess:Runnig in lower class,seen only in pool,won two races in pune
Bonny Light:Failed in his own age group,not prepared,ignore.
Stud Of Gold,Honeyday,Expensive Affair,Born Destiny,Lucky Honey,Red Cloud:Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.
Game Of Power,The Right Man:Failed in his own age group,ignore,not prepared,ignore.
Wells Fargo:Won a race in same age group in lower class,not race fit as evident by lack oftrack work,can be ignored.

Race6:
Sea sparrow:Vanquisher of Astral,Natuacha,blue danube,wrking well,has bloodlines to sustain this distance,should be strong contender for this race
Classerville:Was prominent in millions race,cud not accelerate,distance may be beyond its compass,working very well,final track is very impressive.
River Chieftain:Won well but in not so impressive timings,working well with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,has good chance to win
Cambiasso:Prepared very well,but cud not beat River Chieftain last time,reversal of that trend looks difficult

Race7:

Star impact:Won impressively beating strong company consisting of Prettycommission{fancied to win},catalyst{winner},Heifitz{Winner},well rested,well prepared,will be right there at busy end.
Spitz:Ignore its last failure where it was not happy with prevailing conditions,is well prepared,can hoist winning flag.
Beau Monde:Looks have improved lot as evident by good forward run in last race in strong company,its earlier runs in higher category can be ignored,has very good chance to place.
Feet Of Flames:Running after 2 months,not seen in tracks or pool after 17th march,but seen regularly on threadmill,still has tough task on hand in this tough set.
Amberogio:Never won a race in Mumbai clearly establishing the fact that it does not love long straight.Neither in track nor pool after last run,can be ignored.
Appreciate:Coming down in scales rapidly,may be looking for class down,cannot sustain this distance,not fully fit.
Generalissimo:Not race fit as evident by lack of proper work outs,won a race long back in 2006.
Romantic Impact:Was shaping like a winner before being beaten to superior flamingace,has jsut won a maidens race in its entire career,can be ignored for win.
Flames Of Fire:Out of form and not prepared well,not suited for this distance as it may beyond its compass to sustain itself,won a race long back in Feb 2007.
Cyclades:Cannot sustain itself over this distance.

Race8:

Harmonica:Should have win more easily than it appeared,to me it was half hearted unextended win,tracking very well,should win with measure of comfort.
Astral Flash:Improving with every run,working very impressively beating class 1 horse by distance,but can neeraj rawal can perform like M cullagh.
The Pearl:Lot of hype in its first run with Jockey Oza astride,went wide and lost all chances,winner of mockrace after that run,will take lot of effort to make an impression. Captivating:From bangalore circuit,Winner over weak opposition majority of whom have not been able to pick up a race later on,has tough job on hand in this set.
River Blossom:Ran good race in Million,looks to be underprepared,can be ignored.
Rokeby Venus:Its final track is too good to be ignored,but may not be able to sustain this distance,beaten by River blossom.
Sea Queen:Not better than Harmonica,its ability to sustain over this distance is doubtful,not well prepared.

Race9:

Portrush:Toprated in this terms race,Blood vessel case,vanquisher of Diegoriver in Pune,subsequent run was ridden by whipless jockey,hence unplaced,ran unextended in sole run of Pune,and this season ran easy to Superior Oasisstar,has very good chance to register a win here.
Spica:Vanquisher of Avecplaisir,has benifit of 1.5 kgs when compared to that run,can again win
Beyond Belief:Has good initial speed,appeared in mockrace thereafter seen only in pools,can surprise.
Avec Plaisir:Working well,but not better than Pepejunior
Lago Medio:Not better than Pepe Junior
Elmwood:Lagomedio has beaten it at same handicap difference,can be ignored.
Pepe Junior:Vanquished of Lago medio at identical handicap difference,beaten twice by Avecplaisir but this time has scales in its favour,not prepared well,can be ignored.
Shyboy:Long in tooth,not well prepared.

Race10:
Kapathos:Has some credibility in this very poor set,should pull it off.
Fidel Defensor:Not fully prepared,earlier won a race beating good horses.
Fascination:Won very impressively covering lot of ground in final furlong beating Mysterio and Siouxchief{winner in next outing},but not race fit as evident by no track work or swimming
Bold Babe:Finishing on board regularly,but not race fit.

Pomme De Terre:Forward runner,may not be able to last this distance
Adams Law:Winner of lower category in poor bunch none of which have done anything worthy thereafter,looks difficult here.
Uproar:Outermost box is huge disadvantage,not race fit.
record after last run.
Pacific Zone:May not be able to sustain itself till the end.
Rave On,Morpheus,King's Troop,Solskjaer,Gold Biscuit,Clas:Failed to beat of the half of same class even once in its last 3 outings,ignore.

Saturday, April 4, 2009

Mumbai 4th April

Hi all,

Lacklustre card.Caution will be key word.

Race1:American Idol(5)/Paper King(2)

American Idol:Working regular on tracks and in pools,last ran was prominent with front runners till bend in strong company consisting of weizhou,Firevault{winner in next race},Frenchkiss{already winner},cud not accelerate thereafter in mile race,now running in shorter distance without TS,winner has to beat him.
Paper King:Ran along good horses.Was fancied in higher category,Has good initial speed,was prominent till final furlong in its last two runs in higher category,Not seen in tracks after 11/02 but seen regular in pools,running with aid of Ts and blks this time has very good chance.
Zippitycity:Running in lower class,was seen finishing on well in its last outing to superior Centreofattraction who was running as hot market fancy at cramped odds,seen regular in trials in last week,can extend its best here in this set.
Aboveall:May lead initially but long straight of Mumbai will be disasdvantage.


Race2:Golden Grace(6)/Resilience(8)

Golden Grace:Ignore its last run over 1800mts,where it led all the way till final furlong before being beaten by stablemate Firevault,earlier in higher category was seen to be prominent till final furlong to superior clarioncall,eased thereafter as evident by warning issued to jockey for deliberately easing off thus loosing third position,ran good races in Pune,has nothing to beat in this set,should easily pull it off.
Resilience:Came up very well to finish very good second to belligerent finishing ahead of fav solar,will be involved in final finish,cannot be ignored.
Raftaar:Seen regular in pool after its last run,can place.
Anemos:Finished in rucks in both starts,done nothing to improve so much that it can win.
Siooux Chief:As a favourite, failed to not so impressive horses,neither seen in tracks or pool after last run,can be ignored.
Dangerous Belle:Poor form,sparingly seen in pools,no track for over month,can be ignored.


Race3:Sepia tone(6)/Hidden Dragon(1)

Sepiatone:Vanquisher of Hiddendragon giving 1kg,now giving 4kgs,it is better than hiddendragon,seen in pools,can pull it off.
Hidden Dragon:Winner of poor company in lower class,seen regular in pools thereafter,can force a win again.
The Brave Heart:Winner of same class in last mumbai season,subsequently ran in higher class in Pune and first two runs this season,its last run in same class was very very poor,not sighted in tracks after last run and not seen in pools for last one week,at best can place.
Heifitz:Won two races in row 2 years back in Pune,subsequently failed to show any form,may be heading towards class down,can be ignored.
Amberley,Yourethetouch:Running after long lay off,Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three outings,sparingly shown in track,can be ignored.
Arabian Pride:Neither in track nor pool after last run,except for first run of this season all its previous runs in Pune and last mumbai season were very poor,won two races in row in lower category some 2 1/2 years back,can be ignored.
Top Action:Won a race in lower class in Pune,it is obivous that it is aiming for class down,will raneasy.
Hitz:Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three outings,sparingly shown in pool,it is obivous that it is aiming for class down,will raneasy.


Race4:Pacemaker(7)/Master Craft(8)

Pacemaker:Set up a hot scorching pace over 1400mts in its last run,it should be fancied on that point in this shorter distance, ignore its run{Raceno 59} in same distance where it finished behind Elementoangel and ringbearer as it was drawn in outermost box,took flyjump and was trying to run out. Will run true to its form and can win if others wake up late.
Master Craft:Running after long lay off,prepared well,failed thrice in same age group in Pune,always ran in longer odds suggesting its worthiness,won a race 3 1/2 years back when it was in its peak running in classic races,can win if it has regained his past zest.
Encouragement:Winner over good horses,has good initial speed,will be live force over this shorter distance,can win again.
Three Of Arts:Started his career with bang,easily clearing maidens,and winning upto 60-90 class,disqualified in subsquent run,thereafter lost form,and for last 2 1/2 years unable to win a race,has developed tendency of slow start lately,sparingly seen in tracks but regular in pools,can be ignored.
Elementto Angel:Failed twice in same age group in this season,picks up a race every season,may wait for another race.
Blazing Speed:Endowed with good initial speed and drawn advantegously in innermost box,has services of top jockey,seen in pool regularly,won a race 2 years back in Pune,long straight of Mumbai may not be suitable.
Ring Bearer:Running in ideal distance,but after gap of almost 2 months with no track work,cannot be backed confidently.
War Of Attrition:Likes to come off the pace,this distance may be sharp for his comfort,except for a win in 20-46 class last mum season,has failed to impress in any of its runs.
Casual Look:Good runs this season along with good horses,now running in his own age group,but not sighted in tracks or pools after last run,twice winner of lower class,one gets the feeling it is heading for class down.

Race5;Urban Warrior(4)/Thanda(3)

Urban Warrior:Whipless jockey cud not extract best of it in its last 2 runs,distance is favourable,should be in thick of action.
Thanda:Inspite of whipless jockey astride,won well last time with aid of "blks" ,now at rating of 39,will definetely be in top 3 so as to increase rating atleast by 2 points to ensure a berth in higher class of 40-66.
Forever Amber:Failed to carry top weight in lower class,working well,will be in thick of action,earlier runs in Pune were good.
Telstar:Winner of not so impressive company,will not be able to carry this weight over this distance.
Arbudh:Winner of same age group,not sighted in tracks for long time,can be ignored.
Lightning Cavalry:Winner of same class in Pune but in very weak company,except for +ve switch of jockey nothing else merits attention.


Race6:Hereafter(8)/Peregrine Falcon(10)

Tricky race.

Hereafter:Failed as fav to much superior Amore mia,working very well,will not go down without a fight.
Peregrine Falcon:Ignore its last two runs in tough bunch,cannot be ignored as its final track was given by M Narredu.
Adriana:Working well,final two track works were given by Mcullagh himself,can win this race.
Divinegrace:Winner of mockrace,has very good chance to upset,can place at longer odds.
Semper Eadem:Gave 2 good gatepractise,working very well,regular in swimming,cannot be ignored,can place at longer odds.
Azul:Prepared very well,can upset.
Chanakya:Gave good forward race over 1400mts in its debut run,can do well in this shorter distance.
First Empire:Well bred,working very very well,if allowed to run can make a race out of it.


Race7:Khubsoorat(14)/Elementto Trance(8)

Khubsoorat:Running first time over this distance,is non winner even after 21 runs,last run was seen mving well thru out,regular in swimming and gave one good GP,can win over this extended trip.
Elementto Trance:Still a maiden even after 23 runs,regular in trials,is in forward condition this season,but still win is elusive,at best can place.
Can Can:Good runs in higher category,earlier in last mum season won a race over identical distance in same class,but not seen in tracks or pool for last one month,outermost box is added disadvantage,can only place.
Jolteon:May not be able to sustain itself over this distance,can only hope to place


Daysbest:Golden Grace(2-6)

Kainchi:
American Idol,Sepia tone,Pacemaker,Urban Warrior

Have a nice day.

Saturday, March 28, 2009

Mumbai 29th March

Hi all,

Following are my views

Race1:Belligerent/Beaconlight

Belligerent:Working regularly in tracks and pool,In last race finished ahead of Firevault,doubledelight which went to win,earlier in Pune ran close to Brad,and in last mumbai season was seen finishing on well to good horses like Rosebowl and setalight,gave 2 good gatepractises and now running with "Blks',can pull it off.
Beaconlight:Was seen gaining places in final furlong,entrusted to allowance claiming jockey,can extend its best here.
Rattle:Finished ahead of Belligerent in last race,but habitual slow starter,hence avoided.
Solar:Was moving lethargically thru out in its last run,can be ignored for win.
Anemio:Finished 25lenghts behind in its sole run,no track work after that,cannot win.


Race2:Anastasia/Empressofindia

Anastasia:Was bit slow in start,was last till bend,came with burst of speed,but was running green in its last run where stable prefered other horse,now entrusted to Mcgullah who had the feel of the horse in lone track work,gets the first preference in this set.
Empressofindia:In its last run was handy close 7th till bend,could not accelerate in straight,thereafter systematically prepared,can upset.
Moonflower:Bumped at start in last run,was seen moving well in final stages,working regularly,will not go without fight.
Riverglory:Only track work after last run,last run was prominent till bend,then fizzled out,cannot be trusted for win.
Notability:Was up with front bunch till last 400mts,could not accelerate,has no chance here.

Race3:Premier perception

Premier perception on basis of its impressive second to Monopoly stands out clearly in this junk race where Rococo,Forcado,Strathendrick are running for first time and The Rising,Nativestrategy,Wafadar,Red Dawn are not seen in tracks for long time.Starowar has services of good jockey but distance is sharp,so by default Premier perception has best chances to win in its pet distance.

Race4:Arts

Arts has threat only in form of Cinquecento but one can safely assume that Banja would not go against Mama.Captainsmart in place looks good option for place.

Race5:Catalyst/Chios

Catalyst:Never travelled this distance,working well can pull it off in this set.
Chios:Heavily penalised,working very well with good horses,should be in 1-2

Race6:Te Quiero/Ganador

Bad race. Te Quiero and Ganador have some chance as they are running in pet distance and seen in pool.

Race7:Snowden

Snowden should not have much difficulty in winning this race.Grandwarrior is running after long lay off of nearly 1 year.Goldenkingdom and Sirtaj will need this run.

Race8:Icebreaker/Attractress

Icebreaker:Best filly of the country after Setalight,should not have much difficulty in winning the race,only thing she has to take care is that she does not get weakened in long straight of mumbai.
Attractress:Wonderfilly from Malakpet,had a feel of Mumbai track in Guineas2000,working very well with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,distance is not a issue,should run a good race.
Phenomenale:Last run was too bad to be true,vanquisher of Dancingdynamite in Pune derby,this filly has good chance to enhance her reputation.
Barbara:Winner of lower class,never travelled beyond mile,can be ignored.
Congrats:Its previous runs suggest it may not be able to sustain itself after 2000mts.
Nora,originality,Riyasat,Veerawang:Never travelled over mile,can be ignored.
Corfu:This Kolkotta horse may not be able to make any impression here.

Race9:Daffodils/Rubidium

Daffodils:After clearing maidens last Mumbai season,ran forward races to too good horses like Redromeo,Autonomy,ran unextended races in higher category in Pune,ignore last run in this season where it could not get clear passage in final furlong,if fit can make a race out of it.
Rubidium:Vanquisher of Bluejay in Pune,Finished good second to superior Moonstorm{2nd win}in higher class,has good chance.
Sophie:Eventhough running for first time in this season,its lone Gatepractise was impressive,can upset.
Easter Lily:Still a maiden,failed to carry topweight in lower class,will try to run away at this weight.
Highland Bounty:Needs stronger saddle assistence,ignore for win.
Blue Jay:Needs stronger saddle assistence,cannot be backed for win.


Race10:Maseeha

Maseeha has an edge over Silvertern and Nitrous{may not be able to sustain this distance}.

Daysbest:Anastasia(2-3)

Kainchi:
Anastasia/Catalyst/Daffodils


Winroll:
Premier perception/Arts/Snowden/Icebreaker/Maseeha

Placeroll:Beaconlight,Empressofindia,Te Quiero,Attractress,Rubidium

Have a nice day.