Monday, April 13, 2009

Congrats Antonios

Hearty congralutations to Antonios winner of Indian dery which won superbly breaking previous record.It was moving best of lot,was badly checked near 800mts,yet accelerated very well when asked for.Full credit must be given to Jockey D Seousa for his brilliant riding.

Setalights defeat has marred reputation of Mallesh narredu beyond repair.Showing wind early was too silly mistake to be expected from jockey of his calibre.There were rumours afloat that he might have done willingly,i do not agree with it.He has been here for too long,must have made enough money,one cannot expect him to barter his prestige for money at this point of his career.

Setalights defeat drowned sea of hopes.There was hush of silence for few seconds in HRC.Iam sure this must have been the scene in all race clubs.Who is to be blamed for her defeat?

  • Jockey: For showing wind too early?
  • Trainer:For not stretching his horse completely in all earlier races,today when it required she simply could not.Why did he over work his horse?
  • Heat:Heat affects uniformly to all horses,when other fancied runners obliged,infact many of them breaking course records,y cannot setalight perform?
  • Jinx:Jinx of favourites not winning in indian derby,winners of Ruia gold cup not winning Derby.
  • There was huge betting on Setalight,roughly 300 crores which means a payout of 150 crores in this time of recession,did something happened backstage to ensure that existence of bookies is not threatened?


Lastly it was indeed heartening to see our beloved Shyam and Tiger tipping Antonios.Full credit must be given to them and i express my gratitude towards them on behalf of all visitors.

Sunday, April 12, 2009

Autonomy or Riyasat:Who will prove to Nemesis of Riyasat?

Hi all,

Premier event of Indian racing calender Indian derby has generated lot of curiosity and will be keenly watched by entire racing fraternity.Setalight will leave no stone unturned to make a history of remaining unbeaten till all prestigous Indianderby.Nearest rival is Autonomy who won 2000 guineas and usually winners of that race win Indian derby.Next comes Riyasat who clocked better timings than Indianderby record holder Velvetrope's timings.Having said that in the end they all have to beat Setalight.


Race1:Brezhnev(5)/LoneTrojan(6)

Totally avoidable race.

Brezhnev:Long in tooth,Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in last 3 outings,best suited for 2000mts as it has won three races in that distance.
Lone Trojan:Can upset,do not ignore.
Aristocratical: Only notable thing of his career is finishing second in its last run,at best can again place.
Elementto Code:Bit slow in both starts,whipless jockey could not mount to full extent,now entrusted to same jockey,has best chance in this very very poor set.
Eternal Flight: Neither in track nor pool after last run,cannot sustain this distance,ignore.
Quand Meme:
Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in last 3 outings,ignore.
Statjford:Reading of its previous running suggest it is best suited for 1400mts.
Musical Rhythm:Non winner till to date,will not be able to last this distance.
Forest Native: No two runs are same,cannot be trusted.
Yowza:Very poor performance all thru.

Race2:Cotswold Arms(1)

Cotswold Arms: Ran with better horses,well rested and prepared,should easily win.
Secret Pilgrim:
Not fully prepared,only one track after last run,not better than cotsworldarms.

Race3:Flaming Ace(1)

One horse race

Flaming Ace:Won impressively inspite of rough passage thru out,is heads and shoulders above the rest should win as it like.
Carlos: Has good initial speed and will lead all the way till being caught.
Rococo: Hopelessly out of for,last won a race 2 1/2 years back,ignore.
Cosmopolitan: Working very well,but it is problematic horse,does not like to get crowded,has short dash,short of class when compared to flamingace.
Prince Lochinva:
Failed twice in his own age group,no chance here.
Corfu:Can do well only in its parent centre,ignore.

Race4:Cabriolet(2)/Salute The Star(6)

Uncertain race

Cabriolet: Must have benifitted by its last run,regular in trials,can make an impact.
Salute The Star: Improving with every run,can trouble the eventual winner.
Desert Queen:Regularly tracked by Rajender himself,nothing much to write against or in favour as it ran only once unextended.
Snow Queen:Improving with every run,can win here over this longer distance.
Bemisaal: Averagely bred,not so impressive track works.
Itsallaboutracing: Not prepared for this run,ignore.
Prince Of Troy:
Neither in track nor pool for last one month,but based on its previous runs has an outside chance to place in this distance
Red Dragon: Suffered from respiratory infection after last run,tested with "Blks" in final gallop but not sporting the same for race,will run easy.
Caustic Finale: Regular in trials,with same jockey astride gave one good forward run,not impressive bloodlines,may place only.
Divine Majesty:Need lot of polishing before entering winners cirle.


Race5:Rage Of Angels(2)/Matata Pride(1)

Rage Of Angels: Finished impressive second to Matatapride in a race where none of the runners won a race over 2400mts,can win here as it has handicap advantage over Matatapride.
Matata Pride:Won under heavy whipping last time,now carrying top weight would be difficult.
Western Challenge:Failed twice as favourite,connections running in different distances but still unable to get desired result,has handicap in favour,tracked with "Blks" but not sporting for race,very difficult to back for win.
Rising Hero: Struggled to accelerate in its last run over mile,won a race in poor timings in Pune,looks difficult.
Indian Summer:
Poor blood lines,Entrusted to better rider,impressive final preparatory gallop,ran for first time over this distance in last run,looks difficult to me.
Cavaradosi: Needs hard riding,ignore.

Race6:Recardo(17)/Cameo(9)

Recardo:Improving with every run,final track given by Mcullagh himself,can win.
Cameo: Ignore its last run,can make an impact here.
Insite Soul: Fifth entry from Harish Mehta,over worked,used as peddler for other classic hopefuls in track,won two races in row over 1000mts,jockey is strong +ve point,cannot be ignored.
Yankee Lane:First entry from Mansoor shah and Harishmehta camp last run ran easy due to strong company and long lay off,always shows very little work in track before race,jockey baria is -ve still can upset.
Exuberance: Third entry from Mansoor shah and Harishmehta camp,Running after long lay off,will need this run.
Forbes List: Won in same distance clocking gppd timing,outermost box is huge -ve,can be ignored for win.
Star Attraction: Fourth entry from Mansoor shah and Harishmehta camp,failed as fav in last run,well rested,but not seen in track for last 15 days which is not the pattern of preparation of this horse.
Bella: Impressive second behind Divine,now running in most ideal distance,not ideally prepared for this race as we see only one track wrk when compared to regular 3 tracks wrks before its last run,weight will be stopper.
Wahy,
Wild Vegas: Long lay off,will need this run,ideally suited for 1400mts,may find this distance sharp.
Here Comes The Don: Failed thrice in same age group and even Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in last 3 outings,ignore.
Snow Blind: Second entry from Mansoor shah and Harishmehta campJockey is clear -ve indication,best for 1000mts,ignore.
Absolute Reality: Won a race in lower class by inform jockey Parmar,now entrusted to jockey who is yet to register a win for this trainer,looks difficult.
Ponyta,Tearaway: Failed in same age group,not in tracks for last one month,non winner for last 2 years.
Kiss Away: Failed to deliver even its own age group,looks to have lost the zest for racing.
Major Wager:Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in last 3 outings,ignore.

Race7:Star Crowned(9)/San Rafael(3)

Star Crowned: Full sister to classy Sixspeeed,Failed as fav to very good horse,has improved a lot,will not go down without fight.
San Rafael: Full brother to Arkhos ,impressive Gate practises and final gallop where it is beating Escavaros{R 102} makes him as one of the contender.
River Route: Improved a lot after good third in debut,will be in thick of action.
Blumarine:Finished good third inspite of lethargic start and interference in straight,must have beniffited by that run,should run a bold race here.
Blumarine:Finished good third inspite of lethargic start and interference in straight,must have beniffited by that run,should run a bold race here.
Triunfo:Failed in last run in weak company majority of which have not been able to make any impression thereafter,was urged in its lone track,may only hope to place.
Baskervile: First run,ridden by Delhi jockey,working well and if not rusty can make an impact.
River Pride:
Has run benifit,entrusted to better rider this time,regular in trials.
Super King: Will need this run,tracking regular but not given any gate practise.
Estevez:Ignored as it is not race fit as evident by lack of track work and swimming exercise.



Race8:THE MCDOWELL SIGNATURE INDIAN DERBY (GRADE 1)
Set Alight:Must have preserved best for this race,only -ve point one can see is that may be it is over worked,has to be careful with Autonomy and Riyasat.
Autonomy: Usually winner of 2000 guineas wins Derby,he is the only horse to have beaten Set alight,never travelled over mile which does not mean it cannot travel this distance,a big coup is possible.
Riyasat:Won impressively clocking better timing than record holder of Indian derby Velvet hope,her last win was part of grand plan,do not ignore,she can beat Riyasat.
Juventus: Has impressive blood lines,can sustain this distance,will be in top3.
Icebreaker: Do not get carried by its last defeat,it learnt hard lesson abt the long straight of mumbai,will make amends and should place.
Antonios:Failed to beat even Phenomenale who has failed miserably this season,can be ignored even for place.
Dancing Dynamite: Beaten by Poor Phenomenale ,i do not fancy it even for place.
Falcon Crest: Will play the role of pace maker,hope it does not turn out to be another "Noble guest",can be ignored even for place.
Fantastic Quest:
Will not even place,ignore.
Go Guzzi Go:
shud be feeling honoured to share paddock with great horses,just a cosmopolitian put up,nothing else,will not even place.
Star Presentation: Can win only in centres like Hyderabad,ignore even for place.
Telstar:
Will play the role of CATALYST to set alight,ignore even for place.
Abs Fabs:
Won kol derby beating Raghuvansh who could not even beat Aquillo,only brave hearts can fancy its chances,to me it does not even qualify for place berth.
Nora: Running within 15 days, i do not fancy its chances even for place.
Veera Wang:.I do not prefer fillies who ran race of 2400mts just 13 days back.

Race9:Onus Probandi(4)/Highland Flame(15)

Onus Probandi: A Forward runner,advantegously placed in innermost box,should be in 1-2.
Highland Flame: Winner of lower class with relatively better timings,well rested,is race fit,will be right there.
Flaming Arrow: Not seen in track for last one month,but regular in swimming,running after long lay off,can run away with this race.
Fidel Defensor: Genuine upset horse,cannot be ignored and for lack of track work it has not given any track work this season,last was seen in oct in pune.
Hymns To Freedom: Not race fit,cannot carry this weight,ignore.
Stefano: Winner of poor company,not in track or pool for last one month,ignore.
The Tempest:
Winner of lower class in poor timings,can be ignored.
Tattenhoe: Last time won in lower classdue to advantage of innermost box,now in outer box may find difficult to make any impact in higher class,ignore even for place.
Katania:
Underprepared,looks very difficult even for place.
Warcraft:
running after 50 days and without any preparation,ignore.
Alaska:
Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outing,ignore.
Zen: Jockey declared to ride is clear -ve indication.
Amadomio: Winner of lower class of same age group,can be ignored.
Red Cloud: Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outing,ignore.
Jaanemann: Not so impressive mockraces,can be ignored.
Uproar:Can upset in this shorter distance,good place bet.

Race10:
Alexus: Working very well,should easily win this race.
Elegante: Has very good chance to earn a victory.
Flying Spirit: Vanquisher of Elegante,working well but is placed disadvantegously vis a vis elegante.
The Giant: Non winner,fails to accelerate when asked for,can only place.
Highland Quest :with help of "Cnb" may try to make an impression,can place.
Saarah: Running in higher category for last 2 1/2 years,won a race in identical distance earlier,can be ignored.
White Hart Lane:Non winner,will not be able to carry this weight,igore for win.
Chandelier: Must be suffering from some problem as it running after gap of 45 days without any preparation.
Headlight:
First run,will need this run.
Dreamride: First run,will needthis run.
Gift Of Grace: Done nothing so far to merit attention.

Daysbest:Flamingace(3-1)

Kainchi:
Flamingace(3-1),Cabriolet(4-2),Rage Of Angels(5-2),Recardo(6-17)

Have a nice day

Friday, April 10, 2009

Mumbai 11th April

Hi all,

Card looks good and competitive.


Race1:Nonios(6)/Crescendo(1)/Solor(2)

Nonios:Was fancied last Sunday on basis of impressive final preparatory gallop,failed and facing Enquiry for the same,was badly hampered near 800mts and was not ridden properly in straight,can do well here.
Crescendo:Ignore all its run in higher class this season and of Pune,won a race at identical handicap in same class,looks to be fit,will be involved in final finish.
Solor:Failed as fav in last race,runs wee bit lethargic thru out,one gets the feeling that it does not settle well,cannot be backed with confidence for win,at best can place.
Persian Power:Can place in this shorter distance.
Beacon Light:Does not take proper jump,no consistent form,may place at longer odds.
Devilitto:Neither in track nor pool for long time,can be ignored.
Nymph:In its debut was slowly off and showed some movement at fag end of race,in subsequent run was withdrawn due to stiffening of hindquarters,unimpressive in mock race, lone track and not on Threadmill after that does not inspire much confidence and it would not be wise to back "Unknown and Unproved" horses just on basis of bloodlines or big names attached with it.
Morality:Hopeless performances in higher category,not seen on tracks for last 2 months,sparingly seen in pool,can be safely ignored.
Modesty:Failed in own age group,neither in track nor pool for last one month,a non winner even after 20 runs,can be ignored.

Race2:Slickkit(6)/Golden Kingdom(3)/Shabdeez(5)

Slickkit:Heads and shoulders above the rest on basis of its runs of Pune where it ran very good races along classic horses,suffered from Neurological problems in last run,well rested and if race fit then can keep the field at safe distance.
Golden Kingdom:Gave very good forward run over 1400mts last time,its 4th in race no 210 of Pune merits strong attention as it finished ahead of Centre of attention,Adamslaw and Double delite all of which have won race this season very easily.Working well and should be involved in final finish.
Shabdeez:Working very impressively,last run was seen moving very well inspite of jockey not extending,in Pune finished credible third behind star of attraction,Moonstorm{both winners of 40-66 class this season} ahead of Tattenhoe{winner} merits strong attention,only worry is that it came under Stewards scanner in last run for not running on merits,will it extend its best immediately in next run?
Courage Under Fire:Fluent winner of lower class,last run was very impressive,looks to be race fit,has tough set to handle.
Sudden Impact:Winner of very poor bunch in Pune in same class,all its run this season were unextended in higher category,cannot sustain this distance,can be ignored for win.
Fluent Victory:Neither in track nor pool for long time,can be ignored.
Suavemente:Will need this run,ignore.
Addiction:Very difficult to make an impression in this very set.
Blades Of Glory:Not better than Shabdeez and other runners,looks very difficult,not fully prepared.
Real Dream:Has problem of developing sore legs,cannot be backed,ignore.

Race3:Il Divo(2)/Successor(5)/Zarzaitine(7){Edited at 1 am }

Il Divo:Easy winner over not so impressive company,working well,has good chance
Successor:In last season as Maiden beaten likes of Aurora Aurealis,Kiara,Queensguest and in this season won impressively beating Divine,Hefitiz{both winners},running in most ideal distance,not prepared as it was prepared for its last win.
Zarzaitine:Working impressively,winner of lower class in opening event of season over very weak company,failed in its own age group,failed to ordinary horses in Pune,may be fancied due to feather weight,but has no class to beat Successor and Ildivo.
Aurora Aurealis:Working very impressively,in same class laboured hard to win a race over a not so impressive bunch,endowed with good initial speed and will try to run away,but will find this set very tough to crack.
Premier Queen:Impressive winner in lower class,can place at best in this higher set.
Alvida:Poor performance this season,except for a win in maidens set,did nothing substantial,not race fit,can be ignored.
The Rising:Failed more than twice in same age group,winner 2 years back,will find it difficult to make any impact.


Race4:Smokin Aces(4)/Lyrical Lass(9)/Whispering Willows(11)

Smokin Aces:First run,well prepared, good gate practise and impressive final gallop makes it one of the contender,can win on debut.
Lyrical Lass:Finished unextended third to stable mate Forestflair in its debut run,has very good chance to register a win.
Whispering Willows:Shaped like a winner before being beaten by hot market fancy Arts,ran very good race in its debut in strong company,can win.
Azul:First run,ran last in mock race,may need this run.
Battle Fury:Good second to superior Blue danube,working regularly,will be involved in final finish.
Forward Charge:Full brother to Spitz,not fully prepared,will need this run.
Tudor Regent:Has run benifit,last run was in tough company where it veered out badly near bend,was moving well in final stages,can only hope to place.
Blessings,Sentiments:Averagely bred,not prepared well for this race,will need this run.
Cinquecento:Nice educative run,needs lot of polishing.
Hickory:Averagely bred, prepared well for this race,can place at longer odds.


Race5:Cest Bon(2)/Ecstatica(9)/Tyumen(3)

Cest Bon:Ignore its last run in 2000Guineas,earlier toyed with opposition winning in very good timings,working regularly,shud win.
Ecstatica:Ignore its last run,earlier won a race on debut itself,working well,will follow Cestbon home.
Tyumen:Failed in not so impressive company,did nothing exp for a win in maidens class,can be ignored for win.
Fire Vault:Winner of lower class in very poor timings,at best can place.
Fire Within:Winner of poor bunch,may not be able to carry this weight over this distance.
Bonny Light:Stablemate of Tyumen,failed in own age group,can be ignored.
Sharp Memory:Not race fit,won a race 2 1/2 years back as maidens,can be ignored.
Eagle Mountain:Stablemate of Tyumen,failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three outings.
Adam's Pleasure:Winner of same age group in poor timings,can place.
Palermo:Failed twice in its own age group,still a non winner,ignore.
Tommy Carmichael:Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three
outings.
Morpheus:4th entry of Faisal abbas in this race,Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three outings.
Blau Himmel:Surprise winner in lower class,its last run in same class was not impressive,can be ignored.


Race6:Redromeo(7)/Spirituall(8)

Redromeo:Working regularly for last 7 days with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,has beaten very good horses,only worry is the distance which may be wee bit sharp for its comfort.
Spirituall:Ignore its last run where it ran in shorter distance,has very good chance to score an encore over this favourable distance,has only to take care of Redromeo.
Shyboy:Long in tooth,running good races this season,entrusted to better rider this time,will be involved in final finish.
Call To Arms:All its run in this season where in longer distance in which it was prominent till bend,can place in this shorter distance.
Balthazaar:Tracking well,not so impressive this season,registered wins in poor company in pune,at best can place only.
Avec Plaisir:Never won a race carrying this weight,needs hard riding,whipless jockey will not be able to extract the best.
River Dancer:Best suited for 1000mts,never won a race carrying this weight,not seen in tracks nor pool for long time,ignore.
Escravos:Won races at bottom weight,will not be able to sustain this distance.
Covenant:Best suited for 1000mts,won a race in its own age group cutting poor timings,cannot make any impression in this set.
Major Roberts,Enceladus:Short of class,can be ignored.

Race7:Forest Flair(1)/Topkapi(5)

Forest Flair:Fluent winner last time,beaten only by Versaki which went on to prove her mettle by winning Million race,can sustain this distance.
Topkapi:Yet another Bangalore challenge,won authoratively in Home centre,gave one impressive Mockrace,much will depend on how it adjusts to the prevailing hot climate and long straight of mumbai.
Bourbon Bay:Working very well with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,it can be "Doosra"
Mighty crusader:Good forward runner in Multimillion race,may have benifitted a lot by that outing,can hope to place.
Arts:Failed as fav in first run,last run laboured hard to register a win over weak company,ran green in both starts,cannot be trusted.
Sea Of Kisses:Troublesome manners,needs lot of polishing,ignore.
Amore Mio:Impressive winner last time,but looks to be under prepared for this race,ignore.
River Minstrel:May need this run,prepared well.
Breeze And i :First run,not prepared well.

Race8:Patek Philippe(5)/Catalyst(2)

Patek Philippe:Was seen gaining places in its last run over 1400mts,earlier won a race over 1600mts by distance,working very well and should not have much difficulty in winning this race.
Catalyst:Vanquisher of Chios{won over strong company last week},careful observation reveals in that race all runners carried a over weight of 5 kgs,hence catalyst cud beat tiring horses,here the pace will be hot due to presence of many front runners,looks difficult to make an impression.
Mysterious Star:However good the horse might be,i do not prefer whipless jockey in this distance of 1600mts.
Gentle Knight:Will not be able to carry this weight over this distance.
Pretty Commission:Likes to run in front,may not be able till end.
Buster:Long lay off,will need this run,first run after clearing maidens facing strong opposition,ignore.
True Elegance:Failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three
outings.
Blade Runner:Cannot sustain till end.
Tsesebe:Not so impressive record to merit attention,ignore.

Race9:Flo Nightingale(2)/Tromos(3)

Flo Nightingale
:Won two races in April 2007 in identical distance,subsequent runs were in higher category,now again back to where it belonged,can upset.
Tromos:Running after long lay off,impressed in mock race,working well with Blks and sporting the same for race,will have to sustain itself till end.
Saddlers Rule:Failed to deliver in first outing,now running with aid of "CNB" and "TS",working regularly,still iam not impressed by its winning chances,there may be generally feeling that Vijaymallya may be awarded this race as he is chief sponspor,i do not believe in that logic.
Dutch Art:Non winner till to date,whipless jockey.
Es Sider,Magical Mantra,Oriental Jewel:Non winner till to date,underprepared.
Shanghai Gal:Cannot sustain till end.
Nara:Non winner even after 16 runs,very poor runs,ignore.

Daysbest:Slickkit(2-6)

Winroll:Slickkit(2-6)/Cest Bon(5-2)/Redromeo(6-7)/Forest Flair(7-1){Edited at 1 am }

Kainchi:Nonios(1-6)/Il Divo(2)/Patek Philippe(8-5)/Flo Nightingale(9-2)
Have a nice day

Vinodvyas