Mumbai 1st may
Thursday, April 30, 2009
Hi all,
Following are my observations for races to be held on Friday.
Race1:Doi moi(3)-win
Doi moi:Vanquisher of Ares which went on to win very easily beating Psychic Power,is fit as evident by impressive track work and swimming exercise,should run a good race and return as winner.
Psychic Power:Not better than Doi moi and in all probability should follow him home.
Western Challenge:Failed to live upto expectations too many times,cannot be backed confidently even though it ran with relatively better horses.
Frenchkiss:Winner of lower class in unimpressive timings,is keeping fit,but will not be able to make any impact here.
Flonightangle:Out of form,failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,can be ignored.
Race2:Saddlers rule(1)-Win
Saddlers rule: Is in forward condition running good races,now with aid of "blks" will extend its best and if weight is a not a burden then can return as winner.
Saarah:Long in tooth,never won a race in Mumbai,is best suited for this distance,can be season end surprise.
Desert dynamite:So many gate practise creates doubt,still has good chance over this distance.
The giant:Will not be able to sustain itself carrying this weight,ignore.
Whitehartlane:Not prepared for this race,can be ignored.
Chieftan:Failed as hot favourite with jockey M cullagh astride,finished second to Firevault in uninterested company,trainer is big put off,can be ignored.
Desert fire:Nothing impressive in first run,not race fit.
Highland quest:Non impressive runs so far.
Race3:Seasparrow(1)-Win
Seasparrow could have won juvenile colts championship trophy if ridden properly,here it has nothing to beat,in all probability will run at cramped odds.Si como no can finish second if race fit.
Race4:Dancing Glory(5)-Win
Dancing Glory:Twice unlucky in lower class as it cud not carry top weight,now at feather weight can make an impact even in this higher class.
Chios:Is in great form this season,impressed most in final track wrk,will be there at busy end.
Feet Of Flames:Ignore last two runs as it was made to run in shorter distance,working very well and should run a bold race.
Rococo:Out of form,failed in its own age group in Pune,will not be able to carry this weight,ignore.
Arkhos:Has been languishing in this class for too long,in all probability looking for class down and Pune,can be ignored.
The Rising,Siroco:Failed in its own age group,not race fit,ignore.
Race5:Cameo(3)-win
Race for horses which have run during the current Mumbai Meeting and not won.
Cameo:Ran along good horses,tracking well with "Blks" and sporting the same for race,should run a good race.
Red Chili:Ignore last run where it was drawn in outermost box and hence cud not keep up with the pace,now drawn favourably,will run a good race and if blood vessel does not break can win.
Casual Look:Has been knocking on the door for quite some time and in this set of non winners can make an impact,only worry is short distance as it warms up late,place looks certain.
Blazing speed:Failed in own age group,Weak jockey is put off.
Ring bearer:Failed in own age group,not race fit.
Pacemaker:Endowed with very good speed,but outer box and out of form jockey will not help its cause.
Arabianpride:Failed in own age group.
Hymns to Freedom,Paris Hilton:Failed to impress in lower class,now running at feather weight in higher class,not prepared well,can be ignored.
Race6:River blitz(3)-Win
Their lil sister is full sister to classy juventus and Hotstepper,working very impressively,is it another Antonios in making??? since it has not given any gate practise i would avoid a bet on it.River blitz has ran good races and on that account should be market fancy,can win but has to be careful with Superking who gave good forward run in its debut,working regularly thereafter and now running with "blks",can upset River blitz's chances.Of the remaining, Feona is working very impressively infact best of lot,but first run and no gate practises either.Auraria has given two good gate practises and can place.
Race7:Es Sider(4)-Win
Es Sider:Ran good race with aids of "blks",should improve upon it and ran a good race.
Aristocratical:Was moving very well in final furlong in its last run,will improve further and can win.
Forest Native:Distance is beyond its compass and out of form jockey will not be able to extract best from it.
Gift Of Grace:Always ran in longer odds indicating its worthiness,nothing much has improved to make an imprssion here,ignore.
Hi Dolly:Won well last time but entrusted to rider who has ridden 30 times for this trainer and did not win a race till now.
Yaan:Long lay off and weak jockey are -ves.
Rattle:Running after one month without any track work or swimming exercise,can be ignored.
Yowza:Inspite of whipping is unable to make an impression,now entrusted to whipless,may not be able to put up a good show.
Race8:Suraj(1)-Win
Race for horses which have run during the current Mumbai Meeting and not placed 1st, 2nd, or 3rd
Suraj:Running in this class after 3 years,has enough class to keep the field at bay.
Game Of Power:Working well and in this set will definetely extend its best,place looks certain.
Gatravat:Was fancied in its last run where it had to be withdrawn due to sore left hind,lacks finishing effort,at best may place.
Tearaway:Jockey is clear -ve indication.
Stud Of Gold:Failed as fav in its own age group and facing enquiry,has tendency of sluggish start.
Raging Star:Blood vessel case,can be ignored.
Grand Stand:Relatively long lay off,-ve change of shoes and jockey are clear indication that it is looking for pune.
Gypsy Queen:Will try to run away with this race,out of form jockey and outer draw will not help her,ignore.
Honeyday,Anamika,Shaktiman:failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outings,can be ignored.
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