Sunday, October 22, 2017

Mysore Derby analysis

Presented here is DR and analysis of Mysore derby race as good will gesture for regular visitors of this blog

Race7
2000
Sl
Name
DR
2
CASTLEBRIDGE 
653
6
ROMANTIC STAR 
651
3
KAMBAKU 
640
5
TURF STAR 
631

5. Turf Star-Upset

Lower the CD and DI higher the stamina of the horse

ApacheSunrise:  DP = 5-5-10-0-0 (20) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.75
Won in ordinary company in last run, has earlier beaten Romantic Star who incidentally lost blood vessel in that race and hence reversal is very much possible, Dosage Profile shows highest points in “Classic” division suggesting it has ideal combination of speed and stamina

Castlebridge: DP = 7-0-9-0-0 (16) DI = 2.56   CD = 0.88
Has been winning as he likes, lost to Manifold who could not do much thereafter.Dosage Profile shows highest points in “ Classic” Division which shows it has good speed and stamina but not better than Apache Sunrise,Ignore for win

Kambaku: DP = 6-0-8-0-0 (14) DI = 2.50   CD = 0.86
Kambaku ran behind Prevalent Force and Lady in Lace in Hyderabad Derby, Dosage Profile suggests it has speed and stamina to stay this trip,can upset

Spotlight:  DP = 2-2-6-0-0 (10) DI = 2.33   CD = 0.60
 Clearly out of class here .Dosage Profile suggests it will not stay this trip

Turf Star:  DP = 4-2-9-1-0 (16) DI = 1.91   CD = 0.56
Ran behind Castlebride in last run.Dosage Profile shows maximum points in classic division and also note that he is the only horse here to get a point in Solid division, futher it is free of inbreeding like other horses in fray here, fair chance

Romantic Star:  4-2-10-0-0 (16) DI = 2.20   CD = 0.63
Regained its form after losing blood vessel in last run of Bangalore, can be live threat to Castlebridge as its Dosage Profile suggests it’s a perfect mixture of speed and stamina but its not advisable to trust a bleeder in a hotly contested event


Conclusion: Castlebridge will be market fancy but is not a certainity and can get beaten by Turf star or Romantic Star {if does not bleed} or rank outsider Kambaku

Results: Castlebridge won very easily toying with the opposition in a record time.Turf Star finished last and was seen struggling in last furlong


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