Wednesday, January 2, 2013

Mumbai 3rd December--> Comments and selections

Race1:
[3] Carlyle Hills[Win]--Had a good forward run in the first run of the season,subsequent run was in wrong distance,has good chance to win this race.

Other Horses

[1] Will not be able to sustain this distance [2] Warms up late,will not be able to do much in this higher class [4] First run after gelding,long lay off

Race2:
[6] Adams Prince[Win]---Consistent,best suited for this distance,can win.
[1] Matter Of Heart--Won 2 yrs back under sunderji,has been on downside since,Conventional racing wisdom says never trust a horse which has come down by 2 class but a close look at its previous runs reveal that it was never fancied and ridden by work jockeys,merit attention in this race due to win in mockrace and first run in this lower class

Other Horses
[2]Will not be able sustain this distance [3] Failed as fav in lower class [4] Won a race at stage of retiring surprising even the trainer,is lethargic and cannot be trusted[6] Needs A,Whipless and winless rider [7] Will not sustain this distance [8] On downslide from the time it returned bleeding in a race last year

Race3:
[5] Borderline[Win]---Ignore last two runs,in this same age group has bright chance to win.
[3] Class Apart--Ridden by winless rider,horse has enough class to run away,can provide this apprentice first win of this season,place is certain.

Other Horses
[1] Incurred 8kgs penalty [2] Failed to sustain this distance even in same age group [4] No track,no visible form in last run [6] Failed as fav in 40-65 and this 60-85 class,looks to have lost form completely,trainer opting for multiple change of equipments in this race [7] Looking for class down

Race4:
[2] Dancing Prances[Win]---Good second on debut to Brindavan which went on to perform well against stronger company in its next run,step up distance will be helpful.

Race5:
[6] Laurus Pride-[Win]-Ignore its last few runs,in last Mumbai season won authoratively  a race in identical distance,class,weight,all its subsequent runs were unextended in higher class and in wrong distance,in this distance has good chance to win.
[7]Absolute Star--Never duly extended till date,runs with blks this time,place is certain.

Other Horses
[1] Urged in tracks,non winner,inconsistent pattern of running [2] Runs with blks this time but running pattern has been inconsistent. [3] On downslide,failed in same age group also [4] Will not sustain [5] Work jky,non winner [8] Not in tracks,no form whatsoever [9] will not sustain,outer box,Has tendenvy of lugging in [11]Will not sustain [12] Failed to beat half of the field in its last 3 outings,cannot improve all of a sudden [13] No two runs are same,non winner,jky having lean season with just one win in 47 rides [14] Best for 1000 [15] not even placed till now

Race6:
[1] Catharis[Win]--Running in handicap race for first time,was impressive in stronger company,can easily tackle this set and can be considered as Days Best.
[6] Home Factor--Failed fav in both runs,place option odds permitting

Other Horses
[2] Carrying 10kgs penalty for its win in maiden class [3] & [4] Best for 1000mts [5] Not in this higher class [7] Non winner for 2yrs On downslide,no form [8] In same age group,not here [9] Long in tooth,running in this class for first time

Race7:
[3] Ice Cool[Win]-Has been prepare for this event,can win
[5] Danse Debonair--Lightly  penalised for its win,can repeat

Other Horses
[1] Heavily penalised for its win in lower class,never raced over 1600mts [2] Stablemate will be fancied [4] Long in tooth,non winner for 2.5 yrs [6] First run

Race8:
[3] Bulls Eye-- Has best credentials to win this race quite easily
[10 Monza--Winner of mockrace,can run close to winner,place is certain.

Other Horses
[1] Needs Hard riding [2] Lost form,non winner for 2.5 yrs [4] in same group not here[5] Wrong distance and class [6] & [7]Work jky,yet to get a winner [8] not in this class [9] best for 1000mts

Race9:
[4] Kohima Girl[Win]--Ran close races at Pune,can upset over this extended distance
[7] Liberty Star--Can stage pillar to post victory in this very weak set,place is certain
[15] Suntan Beauty---Ran suggestive races at Pune,long straight of Mumbai will be to its liking,can upset
[can surprise
Other Horses
[1] Urged in tracks [2] Both runs were way behind  [3] Pattern of running is inconsistent,cannot be trusted [5] Best  till date is finishing 14lengths behind winner [6] Compulsive slow starter,work jky [8]Winner at Pune.just one track after that run,[9] Distance sharp[10] Non winner,work jky [11] Long lay off,no track work [12] best till date is finishing 14lengths behind winner,urged in tracks [13] Best till date is finishing 10lengths behind winner,no form,unimpressive trackwork[14] Running unplaced in all distances 

11 comments:

  1. any tanala combinations

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  3. hi sir i am one of ur follower now a days ur posts r very good........
    thanking u...

    ReplyDelete
  4. Sir I have a feeling 1 will win in 1st race as carryle hills was injured last and storm tracker is riding after long time

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  5. Sir any good treble combinations for Mumbai race tomorrow ?

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  6. Too good .... You did 4 in a row wins from 2nd race to 5th race ..... Excellent

    ReplyDelete
  7. Sir I am waiting for ur postings. R their any postings today.Any good bets. For Friday Banglore.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Sir r u posting your selection for today or not ?

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