Mumbai and Hyderabad 19.11

Sunday, November 19, 2017


First day of the season.Its always better to wait for season to settle before venturing into serious wagering


Race1
1000
Sl
Name
DR
5
ANACAPRI
713
6
DOMINATION
693
2
GOLDIE'S PET
682
3
GOD'S OWN
649

5.Anacapri-Win
Anacapri who won Juvenile’s sprinter cup will be overwhelming fav for obivious reasons, can raise winning gallop in this set where Domination is ignored for short of preparation,God’s Own is suspect to stay over long straight Of Mumbai and Goldie’s Pet lacks class
************************************
Race2
1400
Sl
Name
DR
5
RUFFINA
691
1
SHIP ROCK
682
3
MYGRATOR
655
4
REMEMBER ME
633

5.Ruffina-Win
Ruffina is yet to taste defeat and should be followed till beaten.Ship Rock who is full brother to Booker Jones will  treat this run as conditioning runs for future long distance races.Mygrator was lucky to pull it off in last run where its main contender was slow in start
***************************************
Race3
1600
Sl
Name
DR
7
TAKE FIVE
652
8
WE BREAK THE RULES
644
6
JAGER BOMB
643
5
EIGER'S TIGER
642

8.We Break The Rules-Win
Sussex Pridewho was interfered badly in last run of Pune is back to its fav ground and trip but lack of preparatory work is strong deterent, keep an eye will enter winners circle soon if not today
Take Five won handsomely in last run but is suspect tostay over mile trip
We break the rules last run in derby can be ignored, at ideal handicap and can easily stay this trip
Irises is out for airing
Eiger’s Tiger performs poorly in Mumbai
Jager Bomb is goli of the day, has been brought systematically to winning mark, can easily stay this trip
**************************************
Race4
1400
Sl
Name
DR
2
IN THE STARS
672
3
FOREST FAIRY
648
10
ROYAL ECLAIR
633
9
SASSY LASS
628

3.Forest Fairy-Win
In the Stars who is full brother to Holy Smoke was mighty impressive winner in debut run at Pune,retains form , cannot fancy over 1400mts in second run of its career though one must admit that there is not much to beat here except for Forest Fairy
Forest Fairy merits attention for impressive mockrace under lights and subsequent impressive fast work, will strongly challenge eventual winner
Sassy Lass is sprinter and cannot stay this  trip
Royal Éclair is out for airing
Gregorian Chants has dropped a lot in handicap, no recent trackwork is noted, can sneak in place at longer odds
**********************************
Race5
1000
Sl
Name
DR
1
RENATO
732
10
PRICELESSGIRL
649
5
ASCENSION
642
4
RIDGEWOOD STAR
633

1.Renato-Win
Renato won on debut in great style, its broodmare Diffident is speed inducing, should take lot of beating in this set
Art Deco is showing out in trials, no appreciable previous form
Ridgewood Star is back to its fav track after reducing handicap in Pune, distance is bit sharp but can run in place
Ascension ran in better company in last run, is default place contender
PricelessGirl is from weak stables, got its share in last run at Pune
Financier is one for note book for early upset, not here though due to lack of trackwork
**************************************
Race6
1200
Sl
Name
DR
2
LINCOLN
685
8
FRINGE BENEFIT
671
5
ELYSEE
666
9
LADY SERGEANT
663

2.Lincoln-Win
Lincoln was repeat pattern winner, keeping fit and should be fancied
Lady Sergeant is back to its pet distance, can pose threat to Lincoln
************************************
Race7
1200
Sl
Name
DR
1
ALLEGRIA
637
2
MOONSHINE
635
9
YUTAKA
627
6
LILAC TIME
624

2.Moonshine-WIn
Lowest class race
Top 2 should be involved in finish
************************************
3 Best for the day

Anacapri,Ruffina,Lincoln


Hyderabad


Race1
2000

Sl
Name
DR
TR
4
EXCLUSIVE STRIKER
586
121
5
TOOTSIE ROLL
584
90
8
CITY OF SAILS
560
108
6
AL SADR
558
90

4. Exclusive Striker-Win
Exclusive Striker is bred to stay, can stay this distance easily
Tootsie roll gets staying power from her broodmare Alnasar Alwasheek but sire is a big flop
City of Sails was struggling to carry top weight in last run, has beaten Exclusive Striker earlier but his dosage profile suggests it is suspect to stay over this trip
Al Sadr was victim of inept handling by its rider in last run, has staying power and qualifies as genuine upset contender
**********************************
Race2
1100

Sl
Name
DR
TR
DP
DI
CD
GSV
10
VALLEE ROMANCE
638
105
4-4-6-0-0 (14)
3.67
0.86
56.78
1
LOCKHART
576
24
 5-4-9-1-1 (20)
2.08
0.55
54.65
9
SILVER BABE
574
22
 3-3-15-1-0 (22)
1.59
0.36
60.7
3
AAROHI
495
-31
 5-1-12-4-0 (22)
1.2
0.32
59.75
2
SOLO WINNER
FR 

2-2-7-0-1 (12)
1.67
0.33
54.79
4
AIR SALUTE
FR 

6-7-11-0-0 (24)
3.36
0.79
55.56
5
ALTA VITA
FR 

 5-1-11-3-0 (20)
1.35
0.4
54.4
6
MYSTIQUE
FR 

8-5-14-1-0 (28)
2.5
0.71
70.98
7
ROYAL FAITH
 FR

12-4-11-1-0(28)
3.31
0.96
0
8
SHIMMERS
FR 

4-1-9-1-1(16)
1.46
0.38
0

10. Vallee Romance -Win
Valee Romance was running bit green in debutrun due to shoe splaying, earned impressive TR and should be the one to be beaten here
Air Salute is progeny of Air Support whose first foal  Catalonia won mighty impressively in debut run beating Vallee Romance but it was due to  inherited speed from dam Cesendry here Air Salute’s dam Celestrella  was router-miler type horse and hence will surely require more ground
Shimmers is showing out in trials, her full brother Style could not win a class 5 race in Kolkotta,anyways her DI suggests she will need more ground
Royal Faith looks to be an exciting entity here , has plenty of speed and can run well on debut
**********************************
Race3
1400

Sl
Name
DR
TR
4
INVASION
589
71
3
ICE MUMMY
577
50
2
VIJAY'S HARMONY
576
59
1
FLOWERSFROMABROOK
570
68

7. Cannon Grey-Upset
Lowest class race
My Pick here is a rank outsider Cannon Grey who has shed lot of handicap ,runs over fav winter track and can upset at huge odds
**********************************
Race4
1200

Sl
Name
DR
TR
1
DREAM CATCHER
644
99
8
GOOD STRIKE
640
86
5
CHINA MILLENUIM
631
87
2
AFTER EIGHT
623
88

2. After Eight-Win
After eight is well bred, last run over 1400mts in strong company should be ignored, stands decent chance
China Millenuim’s last two runs were in strong company, should be in 1-2
Dream Catcher who registered a sensational victory on Derby day under wet conditions disappointed in last run due to slow start, is speedy which is a disadvantage on this fast winter track, another negative pointer is multiple change of equipments
Good Strike was bit rusty in last run, well placed on handicap but final fast work is unimpressive
Shaandar was ridden shabbily last time ,may not improve immediately in next run
Lord Gift is unprepapred and runs with negative switch in shoes
**********************************
Race5
1400

Sl
Name
DR
TR
1
PRINCESS OF DREAMS
611
91
8
CITI COLORS
606
83
3
RAJA HINDUSTANI
604
85
5
TIME TO CLIMB
601
76


3.Raja Hindustani-Win
Princess Of Dreams was interfered in last run , has decent record on this Winter track,lack of trackwork is negative pointer
Citi Colors after easy run last time is placed in its fav trip, should run a bold race
Raja Hindustani lost blood vessel in last race, finished ahead of horses which registered win this season,looks fit and should be in 1-2
Time to Club is on verge of a coup but negative shoes and out of form jockey are reasons  to ignore
**********************************
Race6
1400

Sl
Name
DR
TR
8
KOHINOOR LEGEND
600
100
5
SUNDAY CARNIVAL
593
64
3
MOUNTAIN OF LIGHT
592
59
4
PATRON SAINT
589
48

4. Patron Saint-Win
Class 5 race
My Pick here is Patron Saint who seems to have targetted this class
**********************************
Race7
1600

Sl
Name
DR
TR
11
PROSPERO
636
113
7
TIME FOR FUN
632
89
1
EXCLUSIVE WIND
629
75
5
AIKA AIKA AIKA
626
71

5. Aika Aika Aika-WIn
Aika Aika Aika is a gutsy miler and will be the one to be beaten here
Prospero was very impressive winner, mile may be tough to handle if it adopts its customary front running tactics
Time For Run moved very well in last race ,has lost to Aika Aika Aika earlier
Exclusive Wind with this weight cannot stay over mile trip
Vijay Viraaj is showing out in trails but choice of jockey is not a encouraging pointer
Ashwa Raftar has beaten Amorous White but mile trip is certainly beyond its capacity
**********************************
Race8
1200

Sl
Name
DR
TR
1
SWEET STORY
606
80
8
GLORIOUS GREY
589
66
11
CANNON FURY
581
47
4
WITHROSEMAKEUP
569
60

1.Sweet Story-Win
Class 5 race
Sweet Story runs in targetted class and should be fancied here
Glorious Grey is place contender
**********************************


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