Pune Derby -One for the day

Presented here is Analysis of Pune Derby race as a goodwill gesture for all

Race7		2000
Sl	Name	DR
12	LADY IN LACE	579
4	PERFECT STAR	578
13	THEMIS	576
14	ZANARA	575

Same Trainer: (6-8)

DI = Dosage Index    CD=Centre of Distribution

The fundamental principle of dosage theory is that the higher the DI and

CD, the lower the distance potential of the horse, and conversely, the lowerthe DI and

CD, the higher the distance potential of the horse

Big Sur: DI=2.50 CD=0.86

Last start winner of mile race, lost to Pure Zinc in Colts Championship stake in Mumbai.Dosage Profile suggests its stamina to stay decreases with distance, ignore

Caprisca:  DI = 3.44   CD = 1.00 

Yet to win a race over mile, was mercilessely punished in Colts championship stakes yet could not sustain.Dosage Profile suggests it loses speed rapidly after travelling 7 furlongs, ignore

Lord of The sea: DI = 1.57   CD = 0.50

Lord of The Sea cleared its maiden here in Pune and ran a game race over derby distance last time. Dosage Profile suggests it’s a perfect balance of speed and stamina, loses out on class factor

Perfect Star: DI = 1.67   CD = 0.36

Perfect Star’s last three runs have been in grade,has beaten Lord of the sea earlier.Its CD{Centre od Distribution} is mighty impressive and suggests this horse has stamina to stay this distance easily, should be in 1-2

Pure Zinc: DI = 2.60   CD = 0.67 

Winner of Colts Championship at Mumbai, last run was tad disappointing as it was seen hanging under pressure.Dosage Index and CD clearly suggests this horse lacks the stamina to stay, ignore

Rochester:  DI = 1.48   CD = 0.38

Rochester who was struggling to accelerate in Mumbai and first run here improved massively after removal of Blks. Dosage Profile suggests it is slow in speed but has stamina,loses out on relative handicapping, ignore

Sweet Music:  DI = 1.67   CD = 0.44 

Sweet Music has beaten Rochester, not in same league as that of others,preparation is ordinary.DI and CD suggests it has speed but loses out on stamina, ignore

Timeless: DI = 3.80   CD = 0.75

Has convincingly won a mile race here in Pune,before trying its luck in Hyderabad Colts stake,working very well.Dosage profile suggests it is bred for speed and lacks stamina to stay over mile, ignore

We Break The Rules:  DI = 2.00   CD = 0.56

Lacks class.Dosage profile suggests it’s a ideal combination of speed and distance ,ignore

Auburn:   DI = 2.27   CD = 0.44

Merits attention for winning a mile race in second run of its career, moving attractively in trials.Dosage Profile suggests it has stamina to stay over this 10 furlongs trip, upset if any

Kangra:  DI = 2.38   CD = 0.59

Winner of Mysore 1000Guinneas and close runs in Bangalore Derby clearly makes her one of the prime contender here.Dosage Profile suggests it has speed but stamina diminishes with increase in distance, may falter in final furlong, ignore

Lady In Lace: DI = 0.67   CD = -0.05

How beautifullyshe ran in Hyderabad derby!!.Dosage Profile suggests she has speed and very good stamina , Win contender

Themis: DI = 2.33   CD = 0.60

Winner of fillies stake in Mumbai and won a race over derby distance in Bangalore, showing out in trials.Dosage Profile suggests while it has good speed and stamina it may falter in final furlong against better stayers, can upset

Zanara: DI = 3.00   CD = 0.86

Winner of maiden’s race, takes on proven classic horses here.Dosage Profile suggests it has good speed but diminishing staying power, ignore