Pune 21.10

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Last two days of Pune season.Previous trends suggests smaller stables have field day
Race1
1400
Sl
Name
DR
6
CRISTO BOSS
620
1
NOBLE CHIEFTAIN
607
3
JEENA
595
9
STAR ACE
593
2
REPLICA
590
7
ALFONSO
568
5
PRETTY ANGEL
547
4
MARVEL
545
8
BAY OF LOVE
510

Primary Choice:Jeena(3)-Win
Pattern handicapping suggests winner should emerge from 3yrs old rated between 26 and 30
Noble Chieftan is top rated 3yrs old but it has been a highly unreliable horse,finished 50 lengths behind winner in first two runs of its career and then hanging out badly in last run
Jeena merits strong attention on the fact that It won the only race it ran in this class ,subsequent runs were for handicap reduction,one also needs to note an important thing is that it gave good forward run in very first run of the season here advertising its intentions to go for the kill in most apt field and class
Marvel like Jeena has targeted this class as evident by drop in handicap but lack of preparation and inept rider are some negatives against it
Pretty Angel has age in favor but bad gate manners 
Cristo Boss ran fair races in higher class,good DR,can upset
******************************************************* 
Race2
1400
Sl
Name
DR
3
CHAMPAGNE
669
2
SHIELD OF ACHILLES
662
1
THE BIG BULL
641
4
SET TO FLY
631
5
NATURE BOY
597

Primary Choice:Champagne(3)-Win
The Big Bull faces younger horses, run here  for conditioning ahead of Mumbai season
Shield Of Achilles is best as per class terms
Champagne won as he likes last week,in current form looks good
******************************************* 
Race3
1000
Sl
Name
DR
3
MONTE GRECO
634
10
STAR WITNESS
628
9
SHE'S ALL MINE
617
1
AURODEN
602
2
DEMOCRAT
 FR
4
AKKI'S PET
 FR
5
ANOTHER CHANCE
 FR
6
KITTY HAWK
 FR
7
ROYSTON ROCK
 FR
8
SARRAZIN
 FR

Primary Choice:Kitty Hawk(6)-Win
Horse with experience{run benefit} look ordinary as evident by their sub 30 ratings
Democrat is eldest of lot,twice withdrawn due to fractious behavior,has benefit of mockrace but still needs a race 
Monte Greco who was interfered in last run has been tracked by Trevor himself in final two spurts,has failed miserably when fancied in Mumbai
Another Chance whose half brother DESIRE ran some good races at Hyd is showing out in trials
Kitty hawk ,a brought abroad,is mighty impressive in trials,jockey declared may fetch better odds
Sarrazin is full sister to Zahrazaan,distance is sharp,will need this run
Star Witness who is full sister to SOLOMON needs to improve a lot and in all probability will target a handicap class
******************************************* 
Race4
1400
Sl
Name
DR
3
ELEGANT BEAUTY
625
4
FABIO
611
2
SUMAAQ
607
1
DAZZLING DANCER
601
6
MONZA
593
7
CENTAURUS
590
5
SAIL PAST
582
10
WAR DECLARATION
578
9
STARRY MOMENT
574
8
SHIVALIK ROSE
562

Primary Choice:Elegant Beauty (3)-Win
Pattern handicapping suggests this Division 1 race will be won by preferably a 3 yrs old rated above 41
Elegant Beauty’s last run can be ignored due to new  turf factor,placed well here to make a strong claim 
Fabio which after winning on debut ran in Grade 3 races merits strong attention after running a easy run last time over scurry
Shivalik Rose lacks class
War Declaration another 3 yrs old is sitting at bottom handicap,will need to sharpen a lot
Monza can place at longer odds
************************************************ 
Race5
1000
Sl
Name
DR
2
DUSK N DAWN
633
5
STARRY IMAGE
625
8
RACHEL
624
15
TAREEF
619
1
THERE SHE GOES
615
13
OLIVIA KASPEN
611
11
DECCAN KING
603
6
RICH N RARE
597
4
RESILIENT
587
14
FLYING ELEPHANT
580
3
REALITY
572
12
TARGETMASTER
555
9
GOLDSMITH
553
10
ALLEGIANCE
552
7
JORDEN PRINCE
540

Primary Choice:Dusk N Dawn (2)-Win
Division 2 of a bottom class race!!!! 
Dusk N Dawn merits attention for getting a rider with whip after 6 runs and suggestive recent trials
Starry Image will try to lead from the Word Go,not a genuine performer
Rachel has failed when fancied,one paced
Tareef with that rider can be ignored
There she goes was tested with Blks last time,showed no improvement
Goldsmith is at bottom but merits attention for change in stables,suggestive trials,addition of TS and forward running capability
***************************************** 
Race6
1000
Sl
Name
DR
6
LADY COACHMAN
665
9
SNOWY PEAKS
635
3
ARC OF PASSION
628
1
ADAMS BEGINNING
614
11
VOULEZ VOUS
612
10
TRIPLE THREAT
579
4
GO MARISA GO
553
2
ALYATIES
FR
5
INAAQ
FR
7
LADY IN RED
FR
8
MOCKIN BIRD
FR

Primary Choice:Lady Coachman (6)-Win
Lady Coachman who lost to COURTSHIP on debut is running after long lay off{6months},30+ rated horses are superior for this kind of races 
Snowy Peaks who was ridden by Suraj with negative equipment Blks is not in trials thereafter
Arc of Passion is full brother to ordinary ITALIAN CYPRESS,will target handicap class
Lady in red is tracking very impressively,may need a little more ground
***************************************** 
Race7
1600
Sl
Name
DR
1
LONDON
585
3
ANTEROS
570
2
SKY MINE
568
5
STAR COMRADE
563
4
SOVEREIGNSKY
555
6
COMIC TIMING
554

Primary Choice:London (1)-Win
London is winner of both starts of its career,mile will be well within its compass 
Skymine got numbers but lacks in class
Anteros runs over apt distance,should run a bold race
Soverignsky who is stablemate of LONDON has impressed a lot in mockrace but maiden and taking on multi winners
Star Comrade for reasons best known to its connections is now sporting negative Blks
Comic Timings lacks class
*********************************** 
Race8
1800
Sl
Name
DR
7
VOLANTIS
575
2
MEKONG DELTA
573
5
DAYDREAMER
571
3
JOSS
569
9
VITESSE
564
11
BAKER STREET
563
6
ATALYA
563
8
KOAL
562
13
MYTHICAL SUNRISE
559
10
RAPID GIRL
551
1
OLLY BOY
550
4
SABIQ
550
12
DANSE DEBONAIRE
541

Primary Choice:Volantis (7)-Win
As per pattern handicapping VOLANTIS stands out and has very good chance 
Mekong Delta  failed fav of higher class pitched in lower class,has earlier beaten Volantis at par weight now giving 5kgs!!!!

Day Dreamer won in lowest class,can be ignored in this set
Joss has not been extended in last few runs,genuine upset contender
Koal qualifies on pattern handicapping but jockey is incompetent
***************************************** 
Race9
1200
Sl
Name
DR
1
MAGICAL MEMORY
679
2
FLAMBOYANT FLAME
670
7
KING OF KILLEN
644
5
SPORTO
643
3
FLASHY WINGS
641
10
SYNCHRONICITY
639
8
AURORA AUSTRALIS
637
9
JULIANO
631
4
GRAN PARADISO
618
6
SCION
603
12
WARLOCK
575
11
FRISKY WHISKEY
505

Primary Choice:Magical Memory (1)-Win
Race for 3yrs only
Pattern handicapping suggests winner should be emerge from 40+ rated horse,DR Table confirms the same
Magical Memory won mighty impressively on debut,subsequent runs were In class 3 and grade,this half sister to derby winners HOTSTEPPER,JUVENTUS has oodles of class to carry ever top weight
Flamboynant flame can be ignored due to jockey
Flashy wings is not prepared,has disappointed in last few runs
Gran Paradiso took advantage of lower handicap and won well last time,looks tough now 
Sporto is struggling to find right pair of equipment
King of Killen is speedy and will try to steal race from the Word Go
Synchronicity failed as fav in lowest class,at this weight may place at longer odds
********************************************************* 
Race10
1000
Sl
Name
DR
8
MAD HATTER
643
7
ZION
640
6
TOUGH ENOUGH
636
9
PURE SIN
633
12
RISING CONCERT
633
5
SUPER ICON
631
13
WILDHORN
628
1
ASAHI
626
4
FURIOSA
621
10
WESTERN LIGHTS
614
3
BLAZING STEPS
612
2
SEACAUCUS
611
14
GLORIOUS GIFT
607
16
MOONDROPS
598
11
BLACK JAGUAR
592
15
MANO NA MANO
583

Primary Choice:Mad Hatter (8)-Win
Pattern handicapping suggests winner will emerge from horses rated above 23 and hence ignoring sub 23 rated horses
Zion is speedy and will try start to finish,not a genuine sprinter and hence one can give only fair chance
Tough Enough is sprinter but not displayed the same till now,rider is highly incompetent
Pure Sin gets negative switch in saddle support after failing in last run
Furiosa is mighty impressive in trials,will run like a scalded cat with BLKS
Mad Hatter has conditioned well in higher class, stands decent chance in this lowest class under foreceful rider

Rising Concert was impressive winner,may run for handicap reduction now
******************************************* 
Two choices for the day


Will  update on whatsapp after opening odds are declared

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