Pune 28.08.2016

Race1		1400
Sl	Name	DR
5	VULCAN	615
6	ANGEL GIRL	614
1	ARAGON	607
4	DROGO	602

4.Drogo-WIN

VULCAN is full brother to Square Moon,was withdrawn twice for fractious behavior till now,merits attention on impressive debut,but rider is incompetent

If we look at the company along which ANGEL GIRL ran then we have no other option but to conclude that this race is at mercy of her but over 1400mts nothing is CERTAIN

ARAGON who is Full brother of Auriga has stripped fitter after good forward debut run,out of form rider and difficult mid distance are negatives

DROGO is full brother to Spiritual star who was perfect 1400mts distance horse,stands very good chance to upset at lucrative odds as market will fancy horses ridden by top riders

***************************************************************

Race2		1200
Sl	Name	DR
1	SQUASH	701
6	CRITICS CHOICE	684
9	PHOENIX FIRE	684
8	STARDOM CALLING	674

1.Squash-Win

DR above 700 was considered CINCH but loss of VIA AMORIS has seriously dented my confidence and hurt me so much so that I researched for the reasons.Night races effectively altered the equations.I had to devise a methodology to incorporate that factor and as such had to recalculate TRACK BIAS for entire season.

SQUASH  is one of those rare horses which won in class 3 after winning in class5.It was withdrawn on second day of current season due to Colic,hope all is well with her now.As DIV-1 favors top weight one can discard filly and top weight factor.

CRITICS CHOICE runs after 6 months,has history of fractious behavior,cannot take any confident call on it

***********************************************

Race3		2400
Sl	Name	DR
1	IMPERIAL HERITAGE	590
3	ATALYA	565
10	UNICO CORAZON	563
2	JUNE	562

1.Imperial Heritage-Win

IMPERIAL HERITAGE has age and distance suitability in favor,should be in strong contention

ATALYA’s last run can be ignored due to jockey loosing reins,reasons for stables to persist with this buttered hand jockey is perplexing

JUNE has never raced beyond mile,can upset though

**************************

Race4		1000
Sl	Name	DR
2	GREEK GODDESS	663
1	ART DECO	651
13	ESPADA	639
11	JETAWAY	632

2.GREEK GODDESS-Win

ART DECO has comprehensively beaten Rock N Rio which went on to win its next outing beating POET’S SONG which started as hot fav in Saturdays races and as such it should easily win this race.THIS MAY BE LINE OF THINKING for most of us but will that prove to be true ? Probably not for the simple reason that presence of another very speedy horse will force her to scramble for early lead and that will prove to  be the reason for her failure

GREEK GODDESS won clocking smart timings under heavy conditions,allowance claiming rider further strengthens its chances,can cleanly come out of gates and take decisive lead in first furlong

ESPADA is speedy,can place at longer odds

*****************************************************

Race5		1200
Sl	Name	DR
8	MAKINO	689
3	SPARKLING EYES	676
2	HIDDEN SOUL	672
4	BEACH GAME	672

8.MAKINO-Win

Straight fight between MAKINO and SPARKLING EYES,former has weight advantage and hence first choice

***************************************

Race6		1600
Sl	Name	DR
2	COLOMBIANA	629
8	MELINDA	626
5	JACK FROST	620
7	KANDINSKY	617

2.COLOMBIANA-Win

Manner in which COLOMBIANA devoured ground in final 100mts in last run makes it obvious first chance over this extended trip

MELINDA after easy run last time will be strong contender now

***********************************************

Race7		1400
Sl	Name	DR
7	IN MY DREAM	667
3	ETERNAL SUNSHINE	660
6	TEMERITY	646
5	SNOW CRYSTAL	632

6.Tremity-Win

IN MY DREAMS is ignored for Blks

ETERNAL SUNSHINE displayed erratic tendency in last run

TEMERITY was runaway winner last time easing off in final furlong ,could have got  lot better DR than it actually had,good chance

************************************************

Race8		1400
Sl	Name	DR
4	MASTER SERGEANT	604
6	TCHIBOUELA	590
7	TOMAHAWK	583
9	BOUNTY QUEEN	581

6.TCHIBOUELA-Win

MASTER SERGEANT looses out due to jockey

TCHIBOUELA is full brother to Spirit and Truth,working very well and has decent chance

TOMAHAWK is unimpressive in trials

BOUNTY QUEEN has been prepared well which includes a mockrace,will be tried

*****************************************

Race9		1600
Sl	Name	DR
5	DIBABA	564
12	ADMISSION	560
2	SAHASHRABAAHU	557
8	AVAKRAZ	557

5.DIBABA-Win

DIBABA was withdrawn last time, handicap debut with Blks,fair chance

***************************************************

Days Best: Makino(5-8)

Double: Greek Goddess(4-2)
Treble:Tremity(7-6)