Mumbai Concluding Day -Edited Post odds

Sunday, April 24, 2016

Finally curtains fall on "Night"marish season of premier centre of Indian racing.New body of athys have disappointed on many counts.Time for unbiased review of happenings in last few months.


Race1
1200
Sl
Name
DR
1
HOPE SPRINGS 
651
11
MYTHICAL SUNRISE 
624
8
SECRET OATH 
617
4
LEOTHEFIERCEHORSE 
617
9
SPEED MAGIC 
612
3
MATRIOSHKA 
611
6
ARMEL 
607
12
GOLD STREAK 
607
7
BIG BRO 
605
2
GUNGA DIN 
601
5
RIPOSTE 
597
10
FLYING ELEPHANT 
595

1.Hope Springs-Win
Hope Springs could not extend well in last run due to sharp distance,can justify illustrious bloodlines

Mythical Sunrise should be in 1-2

Gold Streak which is maiden at age of 5 is pitched as hot fav solely on the count that it sprinted till 100mts in last run over 1400mts and with 200mts less to travel it can kick on gamely till end which i feel is wrong notion coz pace of 1200mts will be very hot initially and whipless rider may not be able to hit it front as required,definetely not worth that odds

Armel which won in oldies group last time is in money at 6/1,this 7 year old from stables of scheming trainer has very little chance

MY BET:Hope springs 3ways more in place

*************************************************
Race2
1600
Sl
Name
DR
7
HEDWIG
632
5
SANS PEUR
626
2
SAMBA WARRIOR
622
1
KOROL
612
4
BARRINGO
609
3
MAGIC IN THE AIR
603
6
DAZZLING DANCER
600

7.Hedwig-Win
Hedwig is due for a win,will be in strong contention

Sans Preur is quoted at 9/10,opposition is weak except for Hedwig,post penalty in higher class is negative factor

Cant understand why Samba Warrior which is non winner for 2 years is quoted at 3/1 ahead of Hedwig who has age and aid of TS now

MY BET:Hedwig Win/Shp

********************************************
Race3
1200
Sl
Name
DR
1
MY FREEDOM
629
3
SIMON SAYS
626
10
AME
624
12
DEVOTED
622
2
SILVER EDGE
620
11
YARDSTICK
617
5
GOOD MEMORY
616
6
LAS SALINAS
609
8
GENEROUS LADY
609
4
WHITESOX
600
7
AVAKRAZ
591
13
SUPER ICON
579
9
PRETTY IN PATPONG
557

1-My Freedom-Win
Race in all probability is restricted to Simon Says and My Freedom
I would opt for My Freedom ahead of Simon Says as latter is having some equipment changes which does not augur required confidence

Simon Says is ante post fav at 1.5 those who have faith in Ikthiyar Progenies can take chance,iam ignoring it due to multiple change of equipments

My Freedom is quoted at decent odds of 5.5,merits strong attention on good third to Repeat winner Squash in last but one run

Whitesox and Las Salinas have failed in oldies,no idea why they are quoted at 7/1,should loose out in odds during race time

Generous Lady has been tried in all distance,stables are expected to be non active

MY BET:My Freedom-Win

*********************************************
Race4
1000
Sl
Name
DR
12
ROSELLA
664
1
PRAELECTOR
660
4
SPEEDO
646
5
IN MY LIFE
640
14
ROYAL SAPPHIRE
637
3
SPANISH SAGA
630
8
WINDS OF CHANGE
626
10
FAST FUTURE
615
13
LOCARNO
614
15
RICH N RARE
607
7
MR MORRISON
606
6
ASAHI
606
11
REALITY
593
2
SONG OF AFRICA
584
9
BEYOND FORCES
579
12.Rosella-Win
Rosella is sitting prettily at tidy handicap after easy debut,stands good chance to win

Praelector is due for win and should be in 1-2 over this distance

Rosella is quoted at 9/10,can oblige

Praleactor is not in odds

MY BET:Pralector Place

***************************************************
Race5
1200
Sl
Name
DR
6
RISING BRAVE
628
1
ABU AL BUKHOOSH
626
14
SKY MINE
620
2
FORWARD THRUST
617
7
SUSSEX PRIDE
598
11
RIOT OF COLOURS
596
12
SAHASHRABAAHU
593
4
HURRICANE STORM
574
3
HUNAYN
0
5
LUCAS
0
8
AKKI'S PET
0
9
GOLDEN ECLIPSE
0
10
INAAQ
0
13
SILVER RIVER
0
15
SYMPHONIC
0

6.Rising Brave-Win{Edited}
Abu Al Bukhoosh is best of lot but no trackworks suggest it will be tried in Pune
Rising Brave after easy debut gets better rider,will be In contention though looks difficult
SkyMine was badly hampered at start in debut,same rider repeating over exrtended trip,distance may be sharp
Forward Thrust found Miss Arzaan too hot to handle,will be different customer now
Sahashrabaahu meaning thousand shoulders ran in grade race after easy impressive debut in hands of J E Periera,should be a prime contender

Lucas is installed as fav,its impressive spurts with class1 horse may be the reason,cannot take any call for or against it
Skymine and Rising Brave next in betting at 4/1,latter is expected to be involved in finish as stables will be busy
Sahshrabaahu is not in odds reasons for that may be poor spurts and race report of debut run that it refused to raise fluent gallop
MY BET:Rising Brave-Win
**************************************************************************
Race6
1800
Sl
Name
DR
13
MASTER OF TRINITY
618
4
SHIVALIK ROSE
616
10
KOMANDANT
604
3
JEENA
598
2
RICOCHET
593
7
CAVALIA
592
6
ATALYA
591
9
MARCOS
590
5
DANSE DEBONAIRE
585
8
MAGIC VISION
585
14
DIABLO
578
1
HURACAN
577
11
SAVAGE GARDEN
575
12
COLEY
565
15
RITZ
562

13.Master Of Trinity-Win
Master of Trinity has dropped a lot in handicap,should be a strong contender now
Komandant is knocking on the door,will go all out here
10,13,14 all are quoted at 4/1
MY BET:Master of Trinity-Win
************************************************
Race7
1400
Sl
Name
DR
3
MIKAYLA
650
1
CARBONARA
648
8
NEVER SAY NEVER
647
5
DOMINATION
641
2
MAKINO
639
7
FURY
632
4
CIGARELLO
614
6
SUPREME GENERAL
0

3.Mikayla-Win
Mikayka was very impressive winner and should win again from Carbonara whose last three runs were in graded ones

Supreme General is quoted at 30/100 as if victory is just a formality.Over 1400mts its not going to be easy against battle hardened performers.

MY BET:Bar Supreme General and Mikalya Win/place{More}

******************************************************
Race8
1200
Sl
Name
DR
4
KING OF KILLEN
633
11
MILWALKEE
615
1
CAIELIN
609
5
MASKED BANDITO
572
2
ETTIHAAD
569
3
GREY ONE
0
6
NOBLE CHIEFTAIN
0
7
ART DECO
0
8
COURTSHIP
0
9
GLORIOUS ANGEL
0
10
LADY COACHMAN
0
12
POLLYANA
0
13
TIME OF MY LIFE
0
14
WINDFALL
0
15
WINTER RENAISSANCE
0

7.Art Deco-Win
Trainer opted to use ear plugs for King of Killen in debut run suggesting its gets distracted easily,cannot be backed confidently
Art Deco’s Dam has produced Vijays  Joy and other superior horses  ,tracking very imprssively,can upset
Courtship looks ordinarily bred,tracks are not impressive
Lady Coachman is installed as fav,tracking well,may or may not
Courtship from Champion trainer looses out on the spurt noted on 13th March where it is struggling to accelerate
Art Deco is not in odds,stables have just two entry for the concluding day hence a element of doubt whether it will be tried or not

MY BET:Art Deco Win
***********************************************************
Race9
1000
Sl
Name
DR
5
ALFREDO
666
12
ICE AFFAIR
659
15
AAMERICAN AGATTA
654
2
VICTORIO
651
7
MONZA
649
6
BULLDOZER
647
9
BARYSHNIKOV
644
14
QUEEN THEA
630
1
LOGANO
623
11
FOREVER YOURS
623
4
ALIBOXER
621
10
IMPERIAL PRINCESS
619
13
PASS THE GLORY
610
16
DEMARCHE
610
3
EL WONDER
598
8
MT TIANMEN
592

2.Victoria
Alfredo withdrawn 
Victoria was impressive winner,can repeat

Baryshinkov has been penalised 8kgs,not worth 75/100 odds

MY BET:Victoria for place {will be atleast evens}

**************************************************
Days Best:My Freedom(3-1)
Good bets
Hedwig(2-7)
Master of trinity(6-13)
Mikalya(7-3)


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