Mysore 1st October
Wednesday, October 1, 2014
Hi guys,
We all are aware of highly inconsistent timings of last few meetings of Mysore.I developed a new system to negate that effect.Presented here is the new ADVANCED version of DR which represents value according to class
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Race1
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Sl
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Name
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DR
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12
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ORDERED STEPS
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602
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11
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FASHION FLAME
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590
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9
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OUR COMMANDER
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589
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5
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STAR OF DESIRE
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587
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7
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ARTHUR
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577
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8
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ENCOURAGER
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573
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3
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SHINING BAY
|
554
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6
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VRAJANANDAN
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553
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10
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SOMERSET ROSE
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541
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4
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BATTLE EMPRESS
|
536
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2
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REVA
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516
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1
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DANCING LAURIE
|
516
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Analysis:
For this class any horse getting a DR above 600 is a very
good sign .Ordered Steps on this No
False rails days will hit front and can manage to stay till end.Fashion
Flame is certain place option.Arthur may find distance sharp.Our Commander has
failed as fav and does not appeal due to jky factor.Star of Desire is not
prepared,Encourager won in well planned coup,may run easy this time keeping the
tradition of this stables.
12.Ordered
Steps-Win
Tanalaà
12/7.11/7.11.9.3.8
*************************************************
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Race2
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Sl
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Name
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DR
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5
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YOUNG GALLANT
|
588
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1
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BLACK DRAGON
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587
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11
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KIR ROYALE
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584
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9
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THE BACK BENCHER -
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575
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3
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CHARM AND DREAM
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573
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7
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AFTERNOON DELIGHT
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571
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6
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GUAPO
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569
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8
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SMART MISTRAL
|
565
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2
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CEASARIA
|
562
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4
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LAKE EMERALD
|
560
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10
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HAUTE ECOLE
|
558
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12
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FLYINGHORSE
|
555
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Analysis: Young Gallant has
been very consistent ,blessed with speed,can upset,Only worry is jockey.Black
Dragon is not sighted in tracks and runs in negative shoes,hence can be
ignored.Kir Royale after good forward run in last race gets services of top
rider and will be hot market fancy,can win.
11.Kir
Royale-Win
Tanalaà
5.11/5.11/3.6.7.9
***************************************************************
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Race3
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Sl
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Name
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DR
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1
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GALWAY GIRL
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614
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3
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SIVANTA
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588
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6
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SECRET STRIKE
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579
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2
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JEYEM’S PRIDE
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570
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8
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ONE TO NOTE
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562
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7
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GOLDEN CRUISE
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559
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12
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WINNING DESIRE
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557
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5
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TOUCH OF ROMANCE
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555
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10
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TAMMY TUNE -
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543
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9
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SWEET TODDY
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536
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11
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ORIENTAL KING
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534
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4
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SUNLINE
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523
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Analysis: Class 5 horse getting a DR of 614
Clearly speaks volumes of its class.Though iam of opinion that a maiden horse
running in class5 directly from maidens race is not a advisable bet but rest of
the horses are so backward in form that one is forced to letgo that notion for
one time here.One to Note is place certainity due to class factor
1.Galway
Girl—Win
Tanalaà 1/3.6.2/2.3.6.8
***************************************************************
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Race4
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Sl
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Name
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DR
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11
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STRIVE AND SERVE
|
593
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3
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TRUST ME BOY
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590
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1
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SHAKA ZULU
|
583
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6
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GRAND SUCCESS
|
576
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4
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KOHINOOR BLITZ
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575
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7
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ALL FOR CASH
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571
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8
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ABSOLUTE BRAVE
|
558
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2
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AL ATTATURK
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558
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9
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DANCE WITH ME
|
530
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10
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BREEZO
|
519
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Analysis: Strive And Serve at this weight has
very good chance to upset as it stays close to pace and can force a win in
final furlong.Trust Me Boy was a very good winner but best till 1400mts only .
ShakaZulu and Alattaturk are suspect over this distance
11.Strive And Serve-Win
Tanalaà
11/1.3/1.3.4.6
*************************************************
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Race5
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Sl
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Name
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DR
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2
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MAHIKI
|
599
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7
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ITS MY PARTY
|
589
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4
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KOHINOOR GLAMOUR
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577
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5
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FIORITTA
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574
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3
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AMAZON BAY
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572
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6
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BEST MOVE
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571
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12
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ICEPICK WILLIE
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549
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10
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NERON
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534
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8
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SWEET ANGEL
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532
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1
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BETTER THAN EVER
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520
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11
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SUPER SALONI
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466
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9
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SEA RUNNER
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433
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Analysis: Mahiki is from Mumbai,has class,looks
very fit,can upset.Its My Party is not sighted in tracks and runs in negative
shoes,hence can be ignored.Fioritta runs after a long layoff , inadequately
prepared and in negative shoes.Kohinoor
Glamour will find distance sharp.Amazon Bay will find distance sharp.Ice Pick
Ville which lost blood vessel in last race in Bangalore will run easy here
2.Mahiki-Win
Tanalaà2/3.5/3.5.12.4
***************************************************************
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Race6
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Sl
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Name
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DR
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1
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SHIVALIK STAR
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659
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7
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WHISPERING GALLERY
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651
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5
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INVINCIBLE PRINCE
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650
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8
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TOPSPOT
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645
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2
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ROCK WITH U
|
640
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6
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SECRET PUNCH
|
633
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4
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CHUL BUL PANDY
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630
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3
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ISHPINGO
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622
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Analysis:
Shivalik Star comes on top in all aspects and has great chance to
win.Whispering Gallery is certain Shp/Place
1.Shivalik Star-Win
Tanalaà1/7/2.5.6
***********************************************
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Race7
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Sl
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Name
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DR
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4
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SOFAST
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608
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1
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FRENEMEE
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608
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6
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BEYOND THANKFUL
|
606
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8
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VIOLENT STORM
|
604
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12
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INDIAN ROYALTY
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596
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3
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DIVINE FRIENDSHIP
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591
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9
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SPEARTOOTH
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591
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5
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COOL APPROACH
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588
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2
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NOBLE AND NICE
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588
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11
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SUMMER SUN
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585
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10
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AUTUMN RUSH
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582
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7
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IMPRESSIVE BOLT
|
548
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Analysis: Close race but So
Fast has slight advantage
4.So Fast-Win
Tanalaà 1.4/1.4.6.8/1.4.6.8.12
*********************************************
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Race8
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Sl
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Name
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DR
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5
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WAR COMMAND
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608
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2
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FINK
|
603
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1
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BOOKER JONES
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594
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6
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ZUCCHERO
|
593
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3
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SUPER STRONG
|
587
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4
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SUPREME DOMINATOR
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583
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Analysis: Very very
interesting race.Fink is retained at same rating after its win,infact running
with 3.5 kgs less whereas horses finished behind it are now carrying 2-3 kgs
more than their previous runs.War Command has better DR than Fink and will
seriously test class of Fink.Last time I commented that if Fink wins then it
will win Derby,I still stick to it and opt for Fink
2.Fink-Win
Tanalaà
2/5/1.3.6
**************************************************
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Race9
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Sl
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Name
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DR
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2
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THE ALCHEMIST
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566
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3
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TRIPLE VICTORY
|
558
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12
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PROST
|
557
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9
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SAMAJDAAR
|
554
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8
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ROCKETEER
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554
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4
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ALPINE SHINE
|
551
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5
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ROSIE’S DREAM
|
546
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10
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STONE WARRIOR
|
546
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1
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PEPPR
|
544
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11
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BIGSTORM
|
540
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6
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SHADES OF SCARLET
|
540
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7
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LAKE OF MAGIC
|
535
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Analysis: But for Alchemist
rest all are very closely matched.DR of Alchemist is not a ideal one but still
on this No False rails day has slight advantage
2.The Alchemist-Win
Tanalaà
2/3.12.9.8/3.12.9.8.4.5.10
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Race10
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Sl
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Name
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DR
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12
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HERCULEAN
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598
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10
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NUALA
|
595
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3
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CATCHY CHARGER
|
590
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11
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COUNTRY’S NOBILITY
|
588
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9
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COFFEE TIME
|
587
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1
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MAGIC WAVE
|
585
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8
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SNOW ANGEL
|
569
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5
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INDIAN
|
562
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4
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VIRTUOSO
|
559
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6
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LITTLE ATHENA
|
545
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7
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ACE PRINCESS
|
540
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2
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PAMUSHANA
|
530
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Analysis: Herculean is
running in negative change of shoes on promotion,hence ignored.Naula is running
in most apt distance and among its group,can upset.Catchy Charger is under
temporary trainer.Countrys Nobility is best as per class but ignoring due to
Blks factor.Coffee Time is showing massive speed in trials,should be in 1-2
10.Naula-Win
Tanalaà
10.9/10.9/12.3.11.1.8
********************************************************8
Three Best Bets for the day-à Strive And Serve,Mahiki and Shivalik Star
Jackpot
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2
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3
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1
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4
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4
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5
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9
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1
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6
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2
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8
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10
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8
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9
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10
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12
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5 comments:
long card,good work out,in your advanced dr rating work is there any any thing for soft footing or regular footing, because mysore had very good rains since 4-7 days so there will be soft foot hold,thank u for ur work, waiting for analysis of hyd special durby day
thank you sir
Sirji
I like ur hardwork with taking a lesson from the mistake n tried to analised to try new method. Thk u very much n i wish u all the best for future ur hard work will work.
false rails about 3m is there ,reading is 4.1,any good bets ??
vinod sir tomorrrow derby neeeeed ur comennts
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