Saturday, August 23, 2014

Hyderabad 24th August


Small unattractive card.

Following are Rating odds.Compare with race time odds to get clear picture

Race1
Race2
Race3
Race4
Race5
Race6
1
4
1
2.25
1
5
1
6
1
5
1

2
0.4
2
3.5
2
10
2

2
10
2

3

3
0.9
3

3

3
0.9
3
8
4
10
4

4

4
4
4

4

5
2.5
5

5
0.6
5

5
10
5
10
6

6

6
2.5
6
3
6

6
8
7

7

7

7
7
7
3
7
2.5
8

8

8

8
2.25
8
10
8

9

9

9

9

9

9
1.2




Race1

Sl
Name
DR
Comments
5
SANTA MONICA
687
Heavily whipped last time as it was rusty,seems to have improved a lot as evident by pleasing trials,should run a good race now over this distance
1
HIDDEN POWER
659
Distance will be out of compass,shud be ignored inspite of good dr
2
GALIAT
635
No doubt a classic horse but weight is proving to be stopper
4
POWER DRIVE
619
Will set pace for stable mate Galiat
3
AUDACIOUS
570
Jockey A Imran Khan was cautioned to be more vigorous in first run of season but negative shoes,No Trackwork

Selections

5.Santa Monica
2.Galiat


Analysis

3 out of 5 are from Netto Stables,such has been the standard of racing at this centre off late. Galiat will be hot market fancy but it has to ward of challenge of Santa Monica who seems to have improved a lot, has impressive previous form to go by.

It is interesting to note here that Galiat and Santa Monica ran only once and in that run Galiat Finished short head second to Rock With u carrying weight of 52 whereas SantaMonica finished 4 lengths behind carrying 60 kgs. Now Galiat is at 60 whereas Santa Monica at 56.5.

My Final vote goes to Santa Monica

*********************************************************

Race2

Sl
Name
DR
Comments
3
IVANOVA
590
Winners of maiden don’t win in class 3 directly,clocked poor finishing time in its last win
1
GOLDEN ESSENCE
569
Will try start to finish
4
GOLDEN PHOENIX
561
Stable mate Golden Essence will be fancied
5
SCHOLAR GYPSY
529
Slow starter,ignore
2
STAR PLAYER
504
Second in last run due to non interest of other runners

Selections

1. Golden Essence
3.Ivanova

Analysis

Not much to choose from.Golden Essence seems to have edge over Ivanova

******************************************************

Race3

Sl
Name
DR
Comments
5
DANCE TO DESTINY
723
Massive impressive winner,should easily win
6
BOUNCER
679
Facing very tough set,can place only
4
CORAL SPRINGS
638
Developed tendency of slow start,ignore
3
FLYING SPUR
630
Did not raise fluent gallop inspite of jockeys best effort,now -ve shoes,ignore
2
GLOBETROTTER
627
Hangs in under pressure ignore
7
GREAT WARRIOR
618
Slow starter,ignore
1
FLYING DUTCHMAN
602
Seems to be getting ready for a coup,will run easy here

Selections

5.Dance To Destiny
6.Bouncer

Analysis

Dance To Destiny will run at cramped odds,shud win easily
**********************************************************
Race4

Sl
Name
DR
Comments
1
LAUREL CANYON
592
Received handicap rating advantage,placed very well now to win in its fav distance
6
SWEETY GIRL
588
Ignore last run due to slow in start,but not better than Dark Avenger in relative performance
3
QINGHUANGDAO
586
Best till 1400mts,will fall back
4
DARK AVENGER
580
Runs with positive change of shoe and jky after good unextended easy run,will be in strong contention
7
HANDSOME HUNK
577
Lethargic,cannot be trusted
2
PRICE WARRIOR
571
will not sustain
9
MAHARADHI
569
will not sustain
5
JADEN GIL
565
not better than Laurel Canyon on relative performance
8
GOLDEN DASH
551
On roll but will run easy in this higher class

Selections

1.Laurel Canyon
4.Dark Avenger
6.Sweety Girl

Analysis

Laurel Canyon and Dark Avenger emerges as main contender but  former has clear upper hand.

*****************************************************

Race5

Sl
Name
DR
Comments
3
DESERT BLOOM
645
ignore last run due to slow start,winner of same age group earlier,struggles to keep straight under pressure
7
SPIRITED
609
BLK ON,should win
1
TAKE STOCK
581
Place certainity of the day
4
FLOWER OF TEMBA
581
no trackwork,cannot trust this stables
6
STAR WINGS
568
Compulsive slow starter,ignore,RDB OFF, TS,HOOD,RB ON now
9
BABA’S GIFT
555
failed to impress even in lower class
8
FENWAY COURT
554
gave very good forward run,has age in favor,keep an eye
2
ROMA ROUGE
550
not in track,running in shorter distance
5
JAMIE
533
long lay off

Selections

7.Spirited
3.Desert Bloom
1.Take Stock

Analysis

Initially i dropped spirited because it lost in lowest class as fav but was forced to recheck it when found other runners were very hopeless and I found that Spirited lost to Homely Helo which went on to win 3 continous race thereafter.So Spirited which has good lung opener over 1000mts last time has very good chance to win now over this step up distance

************************************************************

Race6

Sl
Name
DR
Comments
5
NAAMDHARI
637
Not in track which is not winning pattern
3
KIREETI
637
Jky in last run was cautioned for failing to position his mount to complete advantage in the initial stages of the race,shud run good race over this trip
10
KOHINOOR KARISHMA
619
ignore last run,will run good race now
9
KOHINOOR GRACE
611
slow starter,hangs in under pressure
12
RUBYONRAILS
597
Will fall back
11
NANO CLASS
590
Struggling,ignore
2
ITALIAN CYPRESS
581
Showing out in gate practise,can upset
7
SEA CHANGE
581
Shaping well in trials after good forward run last time,will be in contention
6
REBELLION
569
hangs under pressure ignore
8
AHALYA
538
very poor performer,ignore
1
HARLEM SHAKE
500
TS ON now after very poor debut run,nothing suggests it improved
4
MAKE ME A STAR
NR
Debui run without gatepractise,ignore

Selections

3.Kireeti
10.Kohinoor Karishma
2.Italian Cypress
7.Sea Change

Analysis

DR fails in 3yrs old maiden race.Too many contenders. I would opt for Kireeti due to odds .Kohinoor Karishma will place
*********************************************

Days Best : Dance To Destiny(3-5)

4 comments:

Suresh August 23, 2014 at 8:59 PM  

Thanks and Superb Analysis sir..

Anonymous August 23, 2014 at 10:46 PM  

When hyd card is bad I expect good pune tips....waiting

vib1010 August 24, 2014 at 9:12 AM  

sir,please post hyd odd --or suggest where we can get hyd odds-pl link up sir

Anonymous August 24, 2014 at 10:49 AM  

R4-I feel 3&7 are main .contenders.
Others agree with you.
KEERTI MAY BE A DISTENCE HORSE -DAM SIDE. MY CHOICE IS 3&6

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