Mumbai 30th December

Sunday, December 30, 2012

Race1:
[2] Domain Anna[Win] :Ignore last run due to whipless jky and wrong distance,can stage pillar to post victory.
[3] Herculean[Place]In Pune was fancied,gave forward runs over 1200mts,now with 200mts less to travel has good chance.
[9] Let It Fly[Upset] Facing weak set,can surprise by start to finish tactics

Other Horses
[1] Stablemate will be fancied [4] In same age group not here,ridden by weak rider who is yet to get a winner [5] In same age group not here,ridden by weak rider who is yet to get a winner [6] With same astride  failed to sustain over this distance in Pune,may do well in same age group,no chance here [7] Trainer himself stated it is an ordinary filly and has never shown any form [8]In same age group,no chance here
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Race2:

[2] Incognito[Win]Not much penalised for its win in Pune in same class,last run was seen moving well,can do well here.
[3] Neath:Can simply run away this race before others could warm up.

Other Horses
[1] Heavily penalised for its win in Pune,almost 10kgs up [4] Winner of 20-45 class,no chance in this 60-85 however less handicap may be
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Race3:
[3] Mountain Force[Win]:Ignore last  run due to interference,was seen moving very well in straight,extened trip will help.
[2] Caesar Star: Lightly penalised for its win in its last win,can repeat over this extended trip.

Other Horses
[1] Will not be able to carry this weight over this distance [4] Has been struggling in this class,ridden by jky who just had 1 winner in 43 rides [5] Winner of 1600mts,can it travel 2400mts? Its sire has won 12 furlong races but only at kol

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Race4:
[3] Mountbatten[Win]: Good debut run,can come good over this extended trip
[8]  Jet Stream[Place]: Final fast track was very good,can do well.
[13] Mcqueen[Upset]: Ignore last few runs,can upset

Other Horses
[1] Winner in A Shoes over 1600mts,ignore here [2] First run after gelding [4] Weak Rider [5] First run,not so impressive preparation [6] Cannot sustain this distance [7] Long lay off [9] will not sustain [10] Winner 2.5 yrs back,on downslide,ignore [11] Both runs very poor,no track for 40 days [12] Except for debut run all its run have been very very poor [13] may be in lower class [15] Failed as fav in lower class
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Race5:
[6]Turf Lightning:Ignore last run due to poor saddle support,can blow off his set,can be considered as days best.
[2]Mountain Regiment: Entrusted to stronger rider after listless runs in stronger company,will try its best.

Other Horses
[1] Ridden by weak rider who is yet to get a winner [3] Non winner in this class,may not sustain [4] Weak Rider [5] Winner of lower class will run easy
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Race6:
[1] Ancient Warrior:[Win]Was badly interfered in final 200mts,was seen moving fast when shown light,can do well over this extended trip
[8] Senor Belle: Devoured ground rapidly in straight,can do well again
[7] Brindavan[Upset] :Impressive winner in debut,can upset.
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Race7:
[1] Amitayus[Win]:Lost  as hot fav in Bangalore,last run was easy one,should be a different customer this time,can win.
[5] Arusha: Lugged in its last run,no remedial measure taken,tracks look ordinary,odds are due to bignames attached to it,at best place.
[3] Eclipsed[Upset]:Last run finished good second to superior Barringo,earlier in Pune suffered injuries during stalling process,can upset.

Other Horses
[2] First run,urged in final track [4] First run,no gate practises [6] Slowly off in its first run,not so impressive trackwork,need  lot of polishing [7] First run,no gate practises [8] Running after long lay off with just one trackwork,will need this run [9] Not impressed by its bloodlines and use of TS
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Race8
[6] Astapi[win]: Last run was too bad and dubious,trainer stated that may be use of TS had its effect,now runs without TS,Can do well.
[3] Smashing:Is classic type but looks like it needs more ground in Mumbai,at best place.
[4] Onasis:Lost as fav in its last run where it struggled to accelerate,can upset over this distance.

Other Horses

[1] Non winner for over 15months [2] On wrong side of age,not here [5] Will not sustain this distance [7] Best for 1600mts [8] Just one winner over 1400mts,not here [9] Highest rated but yet to win in a terms race,all its win were in handicap races.

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Race9:
[4] Bucharest[Win]:Ignore its last run in Pune where it failed as fav,long straight of Mum will help its cause,can win now.
[1] Mable: Runaway winner in its last run,surprisingly is at same rating even though carrying 6kgs extra.
[3] Alkazi[Upset]: Ran good races in Pune,can upset.

Other Horses
[2] No trackwork,runs after long lay off,ideal for long distance [5] Ideal for 1000,non winner for 16months  [6] Best for 1000mts [7] Will not sustain  [8] In same age group,not here  [9] Front runner drawn in outerbox,loses all chances [10] Lost in weak company,does not deserve the odds it is quoted at [11] Runs in -ve change of shoes [12] Slowly off in its debut run,needs lot of polishing [13] Best for 1000mts in same age group,not here [14] Looking for class down  [15] Work jky

6 comments:

Anonymous,  December 30, 2012 at 9:14 AM  

Please analyse the remaining 3 races

Anonymous,  December 30, 2012 at 11:09 AM  

just one word. . . BRILliANT !!!

libero December 30, 2012 at 12:04 PM  

Dear Vinod garu

in the 5th race you mentioned (4)emerging star suited for 1000mts only and the race said race is 1000mts only. Then why you are ignoring it. Kindly clarify

Regards

Santhosh

Vincero December 30, 2012 at 12:13 PM  

Thanks for pointing the error...it is actually "Ignored due to weak rider"

Nathan December 30, 2012 at 6:46 PM  

hats off vinod sir 8 winners in a day thank you so much excellent good work sir.

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