Pune 16th July

Hi,

Following appeal to me for second day of Pune races.

Race1:Pound Foolish(1)/Bemisaal(3)/Blush(5)

THE WIGGLES PLATE is divided in two races,,,Division2 being first race of card and Division 1 second race.Out of 17 horses accepted to run in this two races 5 are from stables of H J Antia,3 from Stables of N Lagad and 2 from M K Jadhav.

In first race H J Antia seems disnterested as obivous by declaration of jockey on Asclepieion and Brave Gun.His third entry Lady Black Star has failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last three runs and hence cannot improve suddenly,can be ignored for win.

Houdini can be ignored as it is not in tracks,failed to impress in same age group.

Ijal is non winner even after 17 runs,falls back rapidly after 5 furlongs,looks underprepared and can be safely ignored.

This leaves us with Pound Foolish and 2 horses of N Lagad Bemisaal and Blush.

Pound Foolish has ran good forward races along with better horses,this race was target for it evident by the fact that higher rated horse from this stable was purposely entered to get this horse in this division which by default will contain all second rung horses from other stables.good chance to win.

Out of 2 horses from N Lagad stable Blush seems to be choice of Stable but it has failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 races,hence cannot improve,can be ignored for win.This leaves us with Bemisaal who after winning a race in same class run listless and has significantly reduced handicap,should give good fight to Pound Foolish,place is certain.

Race2:Secret Talk(5)/Calypso Star(3)/Untouched(8)

Drama Queen,The Right Man can be ignored as former was here to help Pound Foolish and latter was winner with A shoes,now running in S shoes.
Fluent Victory failed to beat half of the field of same class even once in its last 3 outing,not in tracks.
Tintisa for work jky and Tomorrows Dreams for steel shoes{Antia never tries his horses with S shoes} can be ignored.

Calypso Star,Secret Talk,Untouched and Brilliant Moon are by default main contenders.

Calypso Star has problem of lugging in under pressure,has failed to deliver many times in higher class,can place in this set.

Secret Talk has displayed consistent patter of running except for last 2 runs,has good chance to win.

Untouched will strongly fancied by its connections,may not sustain till end.

Brillant Moon has never been tried seriously till now,With Suraj Astride will be fancied but has to improve a lot.

Race3:Tequilla(3)/Roman Legion(2)/Ariane(5)

Blue Bird not in tracks or pool,won on special sponsored day race,can be ignored.

Roman Legion is winner of maidens class and as such its rating should have been 30{default rating of colts}+8{4kgs penalty for one win}=38 not 42...so in my view it is running at disadvantage of 2kgs and will run easy to get back to that rating.

Tequilla is full sister to Ballibay,she too was steeply penalised for maidens victory,has struggled a lot to reduce rating,and now is at right handicap to win,can be good bet of the day..

Araine requires distance,short straight of Pune is not its liking.

Wilna travels well in slow pace race,will not be able to do well in this set,can be ignored for win.

Race4:Serenity(6)/Sun Elegance(4)/Sun Light(5)

Match race between Serenity and Sun Elegance.Both r winners of maidens class and placed in graded races.Sun Elegance attracted harsher penalty due to good third in GR1 race,running in shorter distance now and may not be able to win.Serenity has won well and has good chance to win.Sun Light  can place at longer odds.

Race5:Sea Value(1)/Illuminate(7)/Swept Away(8)

Sea Value always runs without preparation and as such as good chance to win inspite of no track and pool exercise.
Illuminate runs well at Pune track and will give tough fight to eventual winner.

Swept Away won both races of his career at this centre,will be in fighting line.

Always Smile can creep in place if any of the above falter.

Race6:Lyrical Lass(6)/Demonstrator(3)/Mischievous Trot(4)

Lyrical Lass is better placed on scales and has good chance to win from Demonstrator.Mischeivous requires more ground but can place in this set.Rose Bowl can place at longer odds.


Race7:Titleist(10)/Lunar Quest(12)/Star Of Zoltan(8)/.Legionnaire(3)

Titleist gave good forward runs in strong company and should be main contender to lift this race.Lunar Quest can pose some challenge to former.Note Star Of Zoltan for huge priced place prospect.Legionnaire is not sighted in tracks,hence there is an element of doubt over its complete fitness.

Race8:Forward Charge(1)/Up North(10)/Secret Magic(2)/Admirals Quest(6)

Forward Charge is facing lot easy opposition and can win easily.Note Up North for huge place prospect.Secret Magic will not relish short straigt of Pune.Admiral Quest is still a maiden and needs lot of improvement.

Race9:Hammerhead(3)/Sepia Tone(2)/Marine Zone(8)

Highland Bounty indeed has seen better horses but top weight will mar chances of this front runner.Hammer head is running in apt distance and if handled properly has good chance to win.Sepia Tone will place by default.Note Marine Zone for huge place prospect.