Hyderabad Derby

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Hi all,

Blue riband of the season Vijay textiles Golconda derby stakes looks like a mere formality for Wonder filly Attractress,however Lone filly in this race has to be careful with Reconnect.Saturday Jackpot paid almost 11lakhs on one single ticket,On sunday a carried over amount of almost 8 lakhs will be added to net jackpot pool.

School of thoughts:{Correct me if iam wrong}

1:Netto is loosing faith of his owners who r deserting him fast,he has to extend all his horses to restore faith.
2:Anupamsharma has great day on sat,he will rest on sunday.
3:Lesser known trainers strike on derby day,so keep an eye on Shamsuddins and Faiyaz sheiks horses.
4:If a race is one horse affair,it is not included in Jackpot pool,but Main race is included which in other words mean Attractress is not running unopposed.


Race1
:Rubycrown(9)/Flyingphoenix(2)

Rubycrown:Ignore its last run where it was ridden not properly,has very good chance to register win in this poor bunch.
Flyingphoenix:Well bred,half brother to Inspiring trust,working very well,is next best.
Royalquest:Good long shot place bet.
Kansascitymac:+ve change of shoes,last run was slowly off,working well with "Blks",only -ve point is that even in Gate practise on 19/01 it was slowly off by 3 lengths,can upset.

Ignore:Boldbrigade,Pavarotti,


Race2:Avemaria(6)/Siphsalar(4)

Avemaria:Ignore its run in Barley stakes where due to hot pace it cud not settle thru out,yet came up powerfully in the end to finish good fourth,here can extend its best.
Siphsalar:His Sire "Exceed And Excel" was one of Australia’s premier sprinters, underlined when as a spring 3year old in 2003, he led throughout to win, against the older horses, the 1400m G1 Dubai Racing Club Stakes at Caulfield. Then, as an autumn 3year old, he beat the best Australia had to offer in the VRC Newmarket Handicap down the testing Flemington straight over 1200m, a remarkable feat for a Sydney-trained horse. Exceed And Excel has gone on to prove himself as class sprinter,is very well bred for sprint races,working very well and can do like "Miss everywhere"
Indiagate:Good place bet.

Ignore:Easy pride

Race3:True Fashion(1)/Lightbrigade(6)

Truefashion:Ignore its last run in higher category where even in strong company was seen moving very well,can again extend his best here.
Lightbrigade:Last run was slow in start,finishing very well in end,earlier in monsoon has won very impressively beating likes of One mission with jockey Suraj narredu astride,shud take level jump to make an impression on final outcome.
Mrchief:Has lot of initial speed,Very good place bet.
Classiccruise:If takes level jump then can cause major upset.

Ignore:Shen Long,Royal Flyer,Ravileena,Colorful{Eat}

Race4:Cannonscot(1)/Redriverrebel(6)
Cannonscot:First two runs of season were slowly off,in subsequent run niggled thru centre to finish good third to Red fairy and truefashion,in 4th run moved up very well to finish good third behind Habituated and Cogent,last run can be ignored as it was forced to stop momentarily at bend to avoid clipping the heels of front runners,has very good chance to win here.
Redriverrebel:Impressive winner in lower category over poor bunch,last run was in superior company,has good chance in this set,but surprisingly not seen in tracks after last run,jockey Aadesh kumar scored a grand treble on Sat,his chances by default gets weakened.
Easytouch:Winner in lower category in weak company,last run chose to run unextended,yet finished close ,+ve change of shoes indicate it is on job,place looks good.
Lenavi:Something is brewing in it,cannot be ignored atleast for minor combination,can cause flutter.

Ignore:Hariharpriya,Embattled,Favourable terms,Page three

Race5:Celticshot(13)/Canopus(9)

Celticshot:Impressive third behind Templebells in its last run with Exercise jockey Laxman astride,is working well,will raise winning gallop.
Canopus:Has good initial speed,is working very well with "Blks",will lead all the way till being caught.
Goldenflame:Working very well,good bet for place,must for Jp.
Tigana:Working very well,is live threat over this extended distance,must for jp.
Tasteofindia:All its previous were dismayal,but take a chance in JP,will fetch huge returns if it obliges.

Ignore:Adorna{Topeweight,front runner and outer box},Bundleofroses{winner in 5 years group,suspect over this distance},Secretsilence{Very poor win in monsoon over company majority of which have not win a race till now},Titleshot,Ultravioletray{Topweight,winner in poor set},Luckydamsel{Unable to perform after lameness},Kodos{Neednot to say anything},Regentspark{Bad show this season},Manon fire{Running in wrong distance},Narwhal{Poor performer,may do well only in his age group},Cannonhawk{Going for class down}

Race6:Glaring Godzilla(7)/True Legend(9)/Sprucespringstien(10)

Glaringgodzilla:Should do well over this extended distance,looks good here.
Truelegend:Has regained form as evident by its last run,can do well here.
Sprucespringstein:Was seen moving very well in final part of race in its last outing,working very well,genuine upset horse.
Lanchashire:Impressive and easy winner ,cannot be ignored atleast for Jp.
Adamant approach:Consistent,but getting beaten still should be in JP.
Doingmybest:If takes a level jump,can upset.

Ignore:Arrowoflight{Just one track in this season,pulled up lame in first run},Flyingrudolph{-ve change of shoes,no track for last one month},Globalpresence{Distance and jockey -ve},Starcomposer{Jockey is clear -ve},Birdie{distance and class -ve}


Race7:Caligatae(6)/Copertina(9)

Caliagatae:Won twice this season,is very good type gelding,has good future ahead,should do well
Copertina:Impressed most in its last win,will be there at busy end.
Seeyouthere:Last two runs can be ignored as it was bit slow in both starts,genuine upset horse.
Goldentricks:Something is brewing in it,do not ignore atleast for JP.
Bellacool:Never travelled over 1400mts,warms up late,has relatively best jockey,must for JP.

Ignore:Spectacularfalcon{no track,distance is against},Goodspeed{poorrun,earlier winner in 5 years group},Cleverploy{Do not forget,it cud not even clear upto 50 cat,,,,ratings r high coz of running in graded races,good -ve bet,Eat},Smartempire{No track after last run},Pillantronics{No track after last run},Sikander e alam{No track after last run},Lavendermist{no track for last 20days},Shegotthe looks{Very poor form},Worldvision

Race8:Attractress(9)-win

Conventional racing wisdom says "Its is better to back Performers than Expectors".Feature event of the day.Attractress has proved her mettle beyond doubt,on paper she is the best.Reconnect may be fancied .Only once it has run along with Attractress in Monsoon derby,where Attractress was shaping like winner before being beaten whereas Reconnect was running unextended.Hyperkinetic will place ahead of Earthbender.

Race9:Indhradhanush(2)/Stormcommand(5)

Indhradhanush:Ignore last run,is capable to doing better,shud be there at busy end.
Stormcommand:Genuine upset,do not ignore,always moves up well over 1200mts,can create flutter in this distance.
Sweetyboy:Ignore its previous run,Trainer Netto is left with no option but to go all out with all his horses as considerate number of horses have been shifted to other stables.Must for jp
Fantasticboy:Knocking door for quite sometime,place looks certain
Manofmoment:Fully extended third in Non winners group,if installed as fav will be good -ve bet.

Ignore:Enforcement{Does well with A},Nandanavana{Distance is against},Acciaccatura{Winner of non winners group},Classicdancer{Lethargic slowstarter,no track for last 20 days},Easyflash{Distance against},Maximumcity{I dont prefer upto 25 Winners in upto 50 cat,Eat}

Daysbest:Celticshot(5-13)

Double:Celticshot(5-13)/Caliagate(7-8)

Treble:Indhradhanush(9-2)/Celticshot(5-13)/Caliagate(7-8)

After seeing the odds My money would on
Royalquest{Place},Siphsalar{E/w},
Truefashion{Win/Shp},Easytouch{Place},Celticshot{Win},
Glaringgodzilla{E/w},Caliagate{Win},Indhradhanush{Win}

Jp:13/3,4,5,7,8,9,10/6,9/9/2,5,11,12,14=70Tickets

Have a nice day

1 comments:

rohit January 25, 2009 at 9:23 AM  

well done Vinod.............
Rohit

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