Bangalore 13/12

Friday, December 12, 2008

Hi all,
Only day of racing in 15days.One has to be careful in betting as u have to win or lose on the same day.2weeks off for vaccination means there will be sense of urgency in lesser mortals and one can expect some surprises.Feature event of the day looks to be safe in hands of Fleeting arrow but it has to be careful with Originality and his stable mates which can make his task difficult.Having said that, there is a possibility of Upset in form of Archipenko and Aritos if Fleeting arrow finds himself wanting for room in final stages of race.Following are my views for other races.


Race1:Fairoption(1)-win
4 out of 8 belong to MAM camp.Out of remaining 4 ,three r running for first time.So that leaves us only with Fairoption and Sungold."S" shoes is the only worry for Fairoption.Sungold is ridden by Vivek who is out of form for long long time.So,by default Fairoption has fair chance to win.


Race2:Whispervalley(8)-win
Centrum:Wellbred,Firstrun,only one gate practise,in all probability will be an educational run.
Chillichoclate:Failed as fav in its last outing,likes to run in front,outermost box is huge drawback.
Aspiringseven:-Ve change of shoes and weight clearly indicate that it has no chance.
Charchand:Running in lower class,can place.
Adair:Pulled up lame on two occasions,can be safely ignored.
Stagelight:Ignore last two runs,gave nice forward runs in mysore,now running in lower class has good chance to place.
Whispervalley:Has run benifit,working well,has very good chance in this lower class.
Nonstopcannon:Running with +ve change of shoes,but no track work for last one month.


Race3:Silkencare(2)-win
Queenraina:Had good lung opener in its last outing 1400mts,working very well,entrusted to Taskmaster,by default should be in top3.
Silkencare:Drawn advantegously in innerbox,if long lay off factor is not a issue, then can give anxious moments to all.
Milagro:Winner in lowercategory,looks difficult here.
Tinastriumph:Winner in lower category but clocked impressive timings,can do well.
Andronics:Habitual forward runners,failed to impress in gate practise.
Southerner:Runs in and out of form,no track work after last run.
Lushfoliage:Lost as fav in lower class,looks difficult.
Mangalayprarambh:Working well,if distance is not sharp will be right there.


Race4:Callista(1)-win
Callista:Was fancied in higher class,now running in lower class has very good chance.Its final track on Dec10 is excellent.
Superiorsurprise:ignore its last run and mysore runs,is working very well and running with +ve change of shoes,should be in top2.
Giftadiamond:If taken to front will be live threat to one and all,but jockey is mediocore.
Eversoclever:-ve change of shoes and jockey r clear indication.
Refresh:Running in right distance after easy run last time,but no track for last 3 weeks is big disadvantage.
Doubleemerge:Running with +ve change of shoes and jockey but again no track work for last 3 weeks.
Crackerjack:May do well with better saddle assistence and change of shoes from S-A,place looks very good bet.
Badarupaiya:Was seen finishing on well under testing conditions,is genuine dark horse and can upset depending on its fitness level which cannot be guaged due to absence of trackwork.
Auchinlech:May not sustain itself over this distance.

Race5:Cannavora(3)-win
Lava:Running in lower class with +ve change of shoes,but no trackwork.Weight will be stopper as it loves to come off pace.
Readmymind:Easy unextended win in mysore,working very very well,its last three spurts are given by Appu himself,will definetely be in 1-2.
Cannavora:Just carrying a penaltly of 2.5 kgs for the win,cut splendid timing in testing conditions,is working very well,everyone has to beat him.
Classicaldancer:Running with change of S-A shoes,finished second in heavy underfoot conditions,cannot repeat in this conditions.
Afea:+ve change of shoes,jockey,fully extended final trackwork suggest he will be tried,by default will be in top 3.

Race6:Royalbank(2)-win
Royalbank:Ignore last run where it ran easy in tough company,can tackle this set if the intentions are so.
Raptorforce:Lost race in ring in its last outing,came up well in heavy underfoot condition to finish good second, will definetely improve on that run.
Sarang:Stablemate of Royalbank,running after long lay off,working impressively,can cause major upset.

Race7:THE HARVINS BANGALORE 2000 GUINEAS (GRADE II)
Fleetingarrow(1)-win
Fleetingarrow:Toprated,Winning continously,has done nothing wrong till now,by default will be market fancy.
Undue:No chance against stablemate Fleetingarrow.
Ableassociate:Obivously short of class.
Archipenko:Only horse which ran close to Fleeting arrow,now ridden by very good jockey,winner of mockrace,will be involved in finish.
Aritos:Won very impressively cutting smart timings,drawn in innermost box,if taken on start to finish mission can upset all calculations.
Fantasticquest:Beaten by Archipenko in summer,stands no chance whatsoover but may play role of catalyst.
Markofgibraltar:Beaten by Fleeting arrow at same weight,no chance,may play role of spoilsport.
Starpresentation:Won against poor opposition in summer,proceeded to win Malakpet derby,was shaping like winner before being beaten by Abfabs in mysore derby.Abfabs failed to make any impact in its last outing and finished behind Originality.Its defeat on hands of Succeddingstar which failed to impress subsequently also casts doubt over his ability.
Palazziossun:Was fancied by its connections in Mysore derby,looks very very difficult.
Originality:Late entry,finished impressive second to Icebreaker.4 horses from MAM camp are in fray which itself is clear indication that Originality will be tried and should do well.

Race8:Tomsk(12)-win
Vanquish:64.5 Kgs and in innermost box,there is only one possibility of winning,going start to finish,looks extremely difficult.
Nobleguest:I believe Puttana's ward will be tried only when they r shown regularly in trials,thats the reason inspite of +ve change of shoes and pet distance iam ignoring this good horse.
Perpetuity:Vanquisher of southerncharge which went to win beating quality opposition, in this shorter distance should be in 1-2
Royalambassador:Running after gap of 3 1/2 months,will need this run.
Dancinghighness:May be fancied it loves to run in front,is drawn in outer box,beaten in its final trackwork,i dont fancy her chances.
Soberano:Last two runs were in strong company,earlier a won race over same distance in summer,will place by default.
Fullspeed:Longlay off, and not able to beat half of the field in its last 3 outings in same class are clear indications,ignore.
Milford:Won impressively in Mysore against poor opposition,cannot make any impression here.
Tomsk:Ignore its last run where it slipped thru rails beautifully surged ahead and was beaten by suoerior Icebreaker which went to win again,has nothing to beat in this set and should win with measure of comfort.

Race9:Brothersinarm(8) ** Edited after lagovista was withdrawn**
Masterstrategist:Won a race in Mysore with A shoes,last run was dismayal,no track after that run,can be ignored.
Graphicdesign:Running in lower class with +ve change of shoes should be in top3.
Seasonsgreeting:Prominent second till bend,can do well in this reduced distance and weaker company.
Lagovista:Has very good chance to win,needs to be alert.
Brothersinarm:Had good lung opener,with better saddle assistence and drop in handicap,should finish in 1-2.
Rainman:Lost race in ring in its final outing,at best may finish on board.

Daysbest:Tomsk(8-12)
Double:Royalbank(6-2)/Tomsk(8-12)
Treble:Silkenlanes(3-2)/Royalbank(6-2)/Tomsk(8-12)

Winroll:Fairoption(1-1)/Fleetingarrow(7-1)/Brothersinarm(9-8)
Have a nice day.

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